Ambio最新文献

{"title":"Highly resolved projections of climate and vegetation indicate major changes in northern Scandinavia: Implications for reindeer herding, tourism and nature conservation.","authors":"Håkan Pleijel, Fredrik Lagergren, Erik Kjellström, Petter Lind, Paul A Miller, Robert G Björk, Tinja Olenius, Danijel Belušić, Mats P Björkman, David Lindstedt, Gunhild Rosqvist, Camilla Andersson","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02423-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02423-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Through Arctic amplification, global climate change is projected to disproportionally affect high-latitude environments. Additionally, the geographical heterogeneity and complex terrain of mountains promote climate-driven ecological change on fine spatial scales. We used a high-resolution convection-permitting regional climate model (HCLIM) and a state-of-the-art dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS) to explore mid-twentieth century implications of continued global warming for reindeer herding, tourism and nature conservation in the mountainous, northern parts of Scandinavia. Several indicators relevant for stakeholders were investigated: length of snow season, crossings of zero temperature, rain-on-snow events, as well as tree and forest line shifts. Comparing results from the high-resolution (3 km) climate model with results from a coarser-scale (12 km) model commonly used for climate change assessments revealed that ecologically and societally significant patterns become apparent only at higher resolution. Large changes are projected among all investigated indicators for the present century, and we explore their societal implications.</p>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2026-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148003974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Transformative potential of digital systems for promoting human-wildlife coexistence: A systematic literature review.","authors":"Bas S H T Michielsen, Gerard Schouten, Joris P G Cromsigt, Remco C Veltkamp, Irma Arts, Jitse Bijlmakers, Magali Frauendorf, Tim R Hofmeester, Amy Newsom, Minh-Xuân A Truong, Helen Verploegen, Els Weinans, Wenjin Yu, Silja Zimmermann, Ine Dorresteijn","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02399-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02399-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Digital technology plays an increasingly important role in wildlife management and conservation, by enhancing monitoring capabilities and reshaping human-wildlife interactions. However, the transformative potential of these digital solutions for coexistence remains unclear. This paper presents a novel framework to assess the transformative potential of digital systems in wildlife management and conservation, focusing on two key factors: Digital Maturity, which evaluates technical sophistication of digital systems, and Systemic Depth, which measures their capacity for enabling lasting change. We used this framework to evaluate 524 studies in a systematic literature review in wildlife management and conservation, and found that although sometimes higher Digital Maturity or Systemic Depth was achieved, overall the transformative potential of applied digital systems was still low. Studies that scored high emphasize interdisciplinary collaboration, adaptability, data sharing, and technologies such as machine learning. This research highlights achieving transformative potential requires a holistic approach integrating ecological, social, and technological perspectives.</p>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2026-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147979967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Influence of management on susceptibility of Nordic boreal forests to damage by natural disturbances","authors":"Teresa Fustel,&nbsp;Karin Öhman,&nbsp;Maartje Klapwijk,&nbsp;Tomas Lämås,&nbsp;Niklas Björklund,&nbsp;Johanna Boberg,&nbsp;Michelle Cleary,&nbsp;Annika Felton,&nbsp;Adam Felton,&nbsp;Stephanie Jonsson,&nbsp;Wiebke Neumann,&nbsp;Carin Nilsson,&nbsp;Åke Olson,&nbsp;Jonas Rönnberg,&nbsp;Jeannette Eggers","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02394-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s13280-026-02394-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Natural disturbances are fundamental in shaping forest ecosystems, yet management decisions in production forests can aggravate or mitigate their impacts. Understanding the interplay between forest adaptation strategies and susceptibility to damage is important for sustainable forest management. Here, we review the scientific literature to explore the relationship between natural disturbances and the impact of forest adaptation strategies on the forest susceptibility to damage. To do so we reviewed seven different adaptation strategies (mixed-species stands, shorter rotations, longer rotations, few or no thinnings, logging residue removal, prescribed burning and uneven-aged forestry), and how they affect forest susceptibility to damage by ten different disturbances. Each of the strategies offers opportunities to improve the forest's resilience to damage in different ways and against specific disturbances. A combination of these strategies may have a greater impact on reducing forest susceptibility to damage. The review informs the development of adaptation strategies considering relevant forest characteristics coupled to natural disturbances.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":"55 11","pages":"2578 - 2600"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-026-02394-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147969298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Key underwater habitat types of the northern Baltic Sea: An assessment of biodiversity and ecosystem functions","authors":"Laura Kaikkonen,&nbsp;Susanna Jernberg,&nbsp;Fiia Haavisto,&nbsp;Christoffer Boström,&nbsp;Camilla Gustafsson,&nbsp;Suvi Kiviluoto,&nbsp;Kirsi Kostamo,&nbsp;Sanna Kuningas,&nbsp;Harri Kuosa,&nbsp;Essi Lakso,&nbsp;Annica Långnabba,&nbsp;Henrik Nygård,&nbsp;Mats Westerbom","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02391-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s13280-026-02391-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Effective management of marine ecosystems requires understanding linkages between biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. While key species have been identified in many marine systems, the functions provided by different habitats have not been comprehensively synthesised in the region, limiting the ability to identify key habitats. Here, we assess the current state of knowledge on biodiversity and ecosystem functions associated with benthic and pelagic habitat types in the northern Baltic Sea. Drawing on literature, data and expert assessments, we evaluated 49 habitat types, identifying 750 habitat type-function linkages. Of these, 35% were supported by Baltic Sea literature and 29% by expert opinion, while one-third remained unassessed due to data gaps. Our findings highlight key habitat types with high functional importance and reveal major knowledge gaps and research biases across habitats. This synthesis provides a science-based foundation for marine spatial planning, ecosystem service assessment, and sustainable management of northern Baltic Sea biodiversity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":"55 11","pages":"2601 - 2619"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-026-02391-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147939538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Urban spatial dynamic modeling in transition: Hybrid, human-centric, and scalable futures","authors":"Zipan Cai","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02392-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s13280-026-02392-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Urban spatial dynamic modeling (SDM) has long been used to anticipate land-use change, urban expansion, and infrastructure demand. Yet, despite increasing methodological sophistication, most applications remain oriented toward reproducing spatial patterns rather than supporting sustainability transitions. This perspective argues that SDM is at a turning point and outlines how it can evolve to address climate neutrality, resilience, and equity in both growing and shrinking cities. Five interlinked development pathways are proposed: (i) hybrid AI–theory models balancing predictive accuracy and interpretability; (ii) human-centric accessibility frameworks grounded in time geography; (iii) network-based resilience approaches drawing on graph theory and space syntax; (iv) semantic place functions enabled by vision–language foundation models; and (v) scalable architectures applicable across diverse data and governance contexts. Together, these pathways reposition SDM from a forecasting tool to a transition-support instrument, aligning it with planning support systems and enabling more sustainable and just urban futures.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":"55 11","pages":"2650 - 2662"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-026-02392-0.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147939612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing social-ecological feedbacks in small-scale fisheries.","authors":"Leandro Castello, Adriana Guimarães Abreu, George Christopher Brooks, João Vitor Campos-Silva, Priscila Dos Reis Cunha, Ayan Santos Fleischmann, Caetano Lucas Borges Franco, Ana Claudia Gonçalves, Emma Ann Hultin, Holly Kathleen Kindsvater, Eduardo Guimarães Martins, Cristina Isis Buck Silva, Michael G Sorice, Eduardo Sonnewend Brondizio","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02407-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02407-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Assessment frameworks do not capture the complexity of the social-ecological dynamics of small-scale fisheries (SSF), which support millions of livelihoods yet face persistent sustainability challenges. Reciprocal feedbacks between fish populations and fishers that are central to sustainability remain insufficiently integrated into assessment approaches because conventional fisheries management emphasizes population dynamics, whereas social-ecological systems research focuses on social drivers and faces operational challenges. We propose an integrative diagnostic approach that explicitly links fish population dynamics with theories of fisher behavior and governance. We illustrate its application using co-managed arapaima fisheries in the Amazon Basin, where sustainability emerges from multi-scalar social and ecological interactions. By capturing these feedbacks, the approach bridges ecological and social dimensions to identify key drivers of sustainability. It provides a replicable, interdisciplinary framework for diagnosing SSF sustainability and identifying leverage points to support adaptive governance across diverse contexts.</p>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2026-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147939626","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Designing with uncertainty: Rights of nature as Public Design interventions in freshwater governance.","authors":"Mariam Carlsson Kanyama, Åsa Nilsson Dahlström","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02422-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02422-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Freshwater governance is a wicked problem, characterised by uncertainty, contested values, and complex socio-ecological interdependencies. This article analyses rights of nature frameworks in freshwater ecosystems through a Public Design perspective, arguing that they operate as legally transformative design interventions. Drawing on theories of wicked problems and multi-loop learning, it conceptualises rights of nature as emerging experimental institutional designs that redistribute agency across human and nonhuman actors reshaping how uncertainty and ambiguity are governed within freshwater governance. Through comparative analysis of cases from Aotearoa New Zealand, Northern Ireland, Nigeria, and Peru, the article shows how rights of nature initiatives reconfigure problem definitions, decision-making practices, and epistemic authority in freshwater governance. Rather than resolving complexity, these frameworks aim to institutionalise deliberation and learning under uncertainty. By situating rights of nature within Public Design theory, the article extends design scholarship into legal innovation and foregrounds law as a material for governing socio-ecological complexity.</p>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2026-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147939565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Between conservation and achievement: Hunters' values and sustainability certification as a governance tool in recreational hunting.","authors":"Olmo Linares, Mario Soliño, Juan Carranza, María Martínez-Jauregui","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02412-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02412-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Understanding how resource users perceive and negotiate sustainability is essential for designing legitimate conservation governance. This study explores recreational hunters' preferences for sustainability certification in Spain using a discrete choice experiment. Data were collected from 621 hunters representing both big game and small game modalities. Results show that hunters consistently prioritise ecological criteria-such as game population conservation, habitat management, and wild genetics-yet support for certification is conditional on maintaining satisfactory hunting outcomes. Pro-sustainability attitudes coexist with achievement-oriented motivations, with conservation valued when it sustains continuity, fairness, and authenticity of the hunting experience. These findings highlight how ecological and experiential rationalities can align rather than conflict. By revealing the conditions under which certification is perceived as acceptable, the study shows how sustainability standards can function as information-based governance tools that enhance legitimacy, trust, and adaptive management in recreational hunting systems.</p>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2026-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147925272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corporations and financial institutions driving coastal conflicts involving Indigenous Peoples","authors":"Sebastian Villasante,&nbsp;Julia Tovar Verba,&nbsp;Veronica Relano,&nbsp;Sílvia Gómez,&nbsp;José Bakit,&nbsp;Nathan J. Bennett,&nbsp;Anthony Charles,&nbsp;Rafael Calderón-Contreras,&nbsp;Andrés M. Cisneros-Montemayor,&nbsp;Bernardo M. Flores,&nbsp;Lucas A. Garibaldi,&nbsp;Maria Grazia Pennino,&nbsp;Priscila F. M. Lopes,&nbsp;Unai Pascual,&nbsp;Nick Roskruge,&nbsp;Adriana Carolina Flores-Díaz,&nbsp;Yesenia Hernández Márquez,&nbsp;Karen O’Brien","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02406-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s13280-026-02406-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Socio-environmental conflicts associated with large-scale economic projects in Indigenous territories are well documented, but conflicts in coastal areas remain largely unexplored, despite the crucial differences between inland and coastal ecosystems. While the empirical literature about socio-environmental conflicts in Indigenous territories in coastal areas is growing, the role of financial institutions and corporations in these conflicts is often overlooked. This study addresses this gap by examining the financial institutions and corporations associated with more than 400 reported socio-environmental conflicts affecting Indigenous Peoples in coastal areas worldwide. Our results show that most financial institutions supporting projects linked to conflicts are based in West Europe and North America, with North American financial institutions linked to multiple projects. The energy sector accounts for the highest number of socio-environmental conflicts, particularly those involving corporations operating across continents. Many European and North American corporations operate mostly in Africa, but also globally. Corporations with overseas operations are associated with a higher intensity of conflicts. These findings highlight the need to scrutinize financial investments and corporate practices driving socio-environmental conflicts in coastal Indigenous territories, where human rights are often at risk. The lack of due diligence and accountability in applying environmental and social safeguards weakens protections for both ecosystems and Indigenous communities. Strengthening the enforcement of national and international laws on environmental sustainability, human rights and Indigenous rights is therefore essential for coastal development projects.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":"55 10","pages":"2422 - 2437"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-026-02406-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147925319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Bringing in the citizen: Stakeholder participation in co-production processes of sustainable housing","authors":"Hanna Ahtosalo,&nbsp;Charlotta Harju,&nbsp;Eliisa Kylkilahti,&nbsp;Jani Lukkarinen,&nbsp;Katja Lähtinen,&nbsp;Henna Syrjälä","doi":"10.1007/s13280-026-02416-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s13280-026-02416-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Incorporating citizen views through stakeholder engagement enhances the democratic and equitable governance of sustainability transitions. Using stakeholder theory as a conceptual frame, this study evaluates the use of different stakeholder participation processes to co-produce solutions for more sustainable housing in Finland. This study examines how citizens are positioned, levels of participation, and factors affecting success. Data were collected in three participatory processes: a service design process, a hackathon, and transition arenas, which sought to improve citizens’ opportunities for more sustainable housing. Our results show that citizens were positioned differently across the stakeholder processes. Although all processes aimed for high levels of participation—such as collaboration and empowerment—the achieved levels varied and, in some cases, remained limited. Moreover, several contextual, organizational, and process-related factors influenced the outcomes and shaped how participating stakeholders perceived citizens’ views. Addressing these challenges is crucial when selecting participatory methods for research, planning, and policy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":461,"journal":{"name":"Ambio","volume":"55 9","pages":"2079 - 2093"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s13280-026-02416-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147832081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}