{"title":"Eigenvalue-UTilité Additive approach for evaluating multi-criteria decision-making problem","authors":"Nahid Rezaeinia","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1796","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1796","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Forest road building is experiencing a period of expansion. It is linked to better resource extraction and transportation and higher ease of access for inhabitants. This paper discusses the problem of evaluating a forest road network in the Hyrcanian forest in northern Iran. This includes the requirements that forest managers must consider, such as economic and environmental criteria. In addition, opportunities and risks of forest road building are also considered. A multi-methodology decision-making approach is proposed to solve the problem. In light of the results, the proposed approach is reliable and flexible for use in similar cases. Using the proposed approach can structure and facilitate the decision-making process for the managers.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"431-445"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mcda.1796","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41480659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Josemir Araújo Neves, Adriano Henrique do Nascimento Rangel, Manoel Pereira Neto, Marta Maria Souza Matos, Rita de Cássia de Andrade Silva, Luciano Patto Novaes, Stela Antas Urbano, Hideljundes Macedo Paulino
{"title":"Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop two efficiency indicators for the Food Acquisition Program – Milk modality","authors":"Josemir Araújo Neves, Adriano Henrique do Nascimento Rangel, Manoel Pereira Neto, Marta Maria Souza Matos, Rita de Cássia de Andrade Silva, Luciano Patto Novaes, Stela Antas Urbano, Hideljundes Macedo Paulino","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1795","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1795","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This work describes the process of building two indicators in order to measure the efficiency of the Food Acquisition Program – Milk modality (<i>PAA-</i>Milk) in the States which implement it. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) methodology was used to develop the first indicator, while the Principal Component Analysis was used as a tool for cutting and simplifying the structure of the first indicator to obtain the second indicator. The results demonstrate the great potential of the AHP tool together with the statistical tools to develop indicators to diagnose and monitor public policies in Brazil. The states of Alagoas, Paraíba, and Ceará presented the best efficiency in the performance of the Program, while Bahia and Pernambuco presented the worst results.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"416-430"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mcda.1795","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47587976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Consistency re-evaluation in analytic hierarchy process based on simulated consistent matrices","authors":"Amarnath Bose","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1784","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1784","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A new approach to re-evaluating consistency in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) using simulated consistent matrices is presented. The proposed consistency evaluation method makes use of statistically significant deviations from the average consistency measure for the simulated matrices. This addresses most of the deficiencies of the conventional consistency ratio (CR) method. A pairwise comparison matrix (PCM) is adjudged inconsistent by the proposed method if its consistency measure exceeds the modeled consistency threshold. Comparison of the consistency evaluation for simulated nearly-consistent matrices using the proposed method shows a statistically significant reduction of the order-specific bias in comparison with the CR method. The proportion of nearly consistent matrices which are evaluated as ‘inconsistent’ increases more than three-folds when the evaluation is done using the CR method. Several examples are presented which illustrate the advantages of the proposed method and differences in classification with the CR approach. Evaluation of consistency using the proposed method of statistically derived thresholds from simulated, nearly consistent matrices is more nuanced and objective, as well as intuitive in its interpretability.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"393-401"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49137007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Damien Jourdain, Juliette Lairez, François Affholder
{"title":"Identify Lao farmers' goals and their ranking using best–worst scaling experiment and scale-adjusted latent class models","authors":"Damien Jourdain, Juliette Lairez, François Affholder","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1785","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1785","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In order to better design more sustainable farming systems, and prepare for the development of multi-criteria farm decision model, we investigate how farmers rank their main goals when making decisions. First, we identified the main goals used by farmers through in-depth interviews with randomly selected farmers in which we used small games to elicit the main goals they are using to make farm-level decisions. Then, we developed a best–worst scaling (BWS) experiment, in which farmers have to declare the “most” and the least “important” goals they use when making decisions. The experiment was conducted with 120 farmers. We first derive a ranking of the goals according to the population average, which showed the importance of rice self-sufficiency and transmission of farm capital. We then use a scale-adjusted latent class analysis. We identified four groups of homogenous preferences among farmers. The use of differentiated scale, a measure of choice inconsistencies, suggested different levels of certainty about the ranking, and the presence of more inconsistencies when asking the least important goal. While a large group focuses only on rice self-sufficiency, and farm transmission, we also identified a group of optimizers, and risk-averse farmers. Farmers of each group are likely to behave differently with regard to sustainable innovations. We also showed that some socio-economic variables describing the farms and the households influenced the probabilities for farmers to belong to one of the four classes. Overall, we showed that BWS scaling experiments provide a rich set of information about the diversity of rankings. It also provides the set of tools to evaluate the consistency and quality of respondents' choices.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"402-415"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42095630","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multiple criteria decision making in health and medicine","authors":"Davide La Torre","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1783","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1783","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 1-2","pages":"3-4"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49497902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ileana Grave, Luis A. Bojórquez-Tapia, Alejandra Estrada-Barón, Donald R. Nelson, Hallie Eakin
{"title":"Analytic hierarchy process and sensitivity analysis implementation for social vulnerability assessment: A case study from Brazil","authors":"Ileana Grave, Luis A. Bojórquez-Tapia, Alejandra Estrada-Barón, Donald R. Nelson, Hallie Eakin","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1782","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1782","url":null,"abstract":"<p>One major challenge of social impact assessment concerns the implementation of multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) to ascertain the vulnerability of households to environmental change. While MCDA has been widely used to combine vulnerability indicators into an aggregated vulnerability score, the sensitivity of vulnerability indices to uncertain appraisals and judgements of the magnitudes and weights of indicators has been largely ignored so far. In this work, based on vulnerability indicators previously selected and ranked using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) technique, for household Brazil surveys carried out in 1998 and 2012, a sensitivity analysis (SA) was implemented to account for the variation of vulnerability indicators over time and space. In particular, two techniques were applied: the indicator removal and the threshold value tests. The indicator removal test involved setting to zero a particular indicator weight and rescaling the remaining indicator weights linearly. The threshold value test aimed to identify which indicators had the most relative influence on both indices. Finally, the critical threshold value showed the most important vulnerability indicators and allowed to summarise and contrast the standardized scores differences of the indicators between the two surveys. The results showed which indicators were the most important in increasing or decreasing the vulnerability and improved the understanding of how the overall vulnerability of rainfed farming households changed through time as a function of changes in sensitivity and adaptive capacity.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"381-392"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49066500","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Gilles Dejaegere, Mohamed Ayman Boujelben, Yves De Smet
{"title":"An axiomatic characterization of Promethee II's net flow scores based on a combination of direct comparisons and comparisons with third alternatives","authors":"Gilles Dejaegere, Mohamed Ayman Boujelben, Yves De Smet","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1781","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1781","url":null,"abstract":"<p><span>Promethee ii</span> is a multi-criteria decision aid method working as follows: firstly, all alternatives are compared two by two to form a pairwise comparison matrix. Then the net flow score procedure is applied on this matrix to assign a score to each alternative according to which they are ranked. Methods of the <span>Promethee</span> family may suffer from rank reversal occurrences. The legitimacy of methods suffering from this phenomenon has been largely debated in the literature. The aim of this work is to provide a characterization of the <span>Promethee ii</span> net flow scores as a combination between two distinct methods based on different hypotheses. The first one is based on the direct pairwise comparison of the two considered alternatives while the second is based on the comparison with respect to all the other alternatives of the problem. This combination highlights the dependence on third alternatives as an inherent characteristic of the <span>Promethee ii</span> method.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"364-380"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44651536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pascal Halffmann, Luca E. Schäfer, Kerstin Dächert, Kathrin Klamroth, Stefan Ruzika
{"title":"Exact algorithms for multiobjective linear optimization problems with integer variables: A state of the art survey","authors":"Pascal Halffmann, Luca E. Schäfer, Kerstin Dächert, Kathrin Klamroth, Stefan Ruzika","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1780","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1780","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We provide a comprehensive overview of the literature of algorithmic approaches for multiobjective mixed-integer and integer linear optimization problems. More precisely, we categorize and display exact methods for multiobjective linear problems with integer variables for computing the entire set of nondominated images. Our review lists 108 articles and is intended to serve as a reference for all researchers who are familiar with basic concepts of multiobjective optimization and who have an interest in getting a thorough view on the state-of-the-art in multiobjective mixed-integer programming.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"341-363"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mcda.1780","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46395465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anton Talantsev, Tobias Fasth, Cenny Wenner, Ellen Wolff, Aron Larsson
{"title":"Evaluation of pharmaceutical intervention strategies against pandemics in Sweden: A scenario-driven multiple criteria decision analysis study","authors":"Anton Talantsev, Tobias Fasth, Cenny Wenner, Ellen Wolff, Aron Larsson","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1779","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1779","url":null,"abstract":"<p>To enhance preparedness for diverse pandemic situations we aim to predict the performance of various pharmaceutical intervention strategies. We gathered domain experts and ran a series of decision conferences where a scenario-based multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) model was interactively defined and implemented. Assuming an influenza pandemic, a micro simulation model was used to estimate societal health impact, a health-economic model was used to estimate economic losses, and expert preferences were elicited to define trade-offs between multiple criteria and synthesize various estimates. Sensitivity analysis to address various forms of uncertainty was also conducted. Nine intervention strategies, including the baseline “no interventions” strategy, were evaluated and ranked under five pandemic scenarios for Sweden's population. We conclude that a scenario-based MCDA approach relying on multiple models for assessment of consequences is instrumental in defining robust interventions and support decision-making at the pre-pandemic and pandemic situations.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 1-2","pages":"49-66"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mcda.1779","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43808775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maria Carolina Pariz, Claudia Maria F. Carvalho, Paula Cristina A. Rebelo, João Carlos Colmenero
{"title":"Treatment of the uncertainties in prioritization of information technology projects: A hybrid multicriteria approach","authors":"Maria Carolina Pariz, Claudia Maria F. Carvalho, Paula Cristina A. Rebelo, João Carlos Colmenero","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1777","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1777","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Prioritizing information technology (IT) projects for resource direction is a complex decision-making process that involves the analysis of qualitative and subjective criteria. The uncertainty of the subjective and imprecise assessments derived from estimated data that represent the analyzed criteria characterizes the decision-making process. To reduce the uncertainties related to IT project priority setting, we proposed a model based on a hybrid multicriteria method composed by the best–worst method to establish the weights of the criteria and fuzzy-TOPSIS to define the project ranking. The model allows us (1) to define strategic subcriteria, (2) adjust the weights according to the company's reality, (3) to deal with the uncertainties of the evaluations of the decision makers, and (4) provide the project ranking that translates reality into the distribution of resources in the IT sector. Finally, we applied the model to a case study in the IT sector of a Brazilian agroindustrial cooperative. For the managers, the method provides a precise decision aiding tool. Although the model has been applied to the prioritization of IT projects in a cooperative, the same can be generalized to the IT sectors of other companies.</p>","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":"29 5-6","pages":"327-340"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41763418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}