Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis最新文献_第10页

Improving stochastic analysis for tradeoffs in multi-criteria value models 改进多准则价值模型中权衡的随机分析

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2020-06-23 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1717

John Caddell, Matthew Dabkowski, Patrick J. Driscoll, Patrick DuBois

{"title":"Improving stochastic analysis for tradeoffs in multi-criteria value models","authors":"John Caddell, Matthew Dabkowski, Patrick J. Driscoll, Patrick DuBois","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1717","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1717","url":null,"abstract":"In multi-criteria value modelling (MCVM), uncertainty clouds decision making by complicating choices that inevitably must be made among an offering of competing alternatives. In stochastic MCVM settings involving value versus cost (risk) tradeoffs, exposing and communicating ramifications that choice instigates becomes increasingly difficult directly in response to the increased sophistication of mathematical methods needed to distinguish between alternatives, leaving the decision maker potentially unprepared for eventual opportunity or disaster. This article introduces an approach called realization analysis that leverages stochastic simulation, probability theory and tradespace geometry to estimate full spectrum outcome probabilities in an effort to enrich decision making and reduce the potential for surprise or regret, demonstrating its effectiveness when competing alternatives are tightly co-mingled in their potential realizations causing issues for traditional stochastic dominance methods. The approach is surprisingly straightforward to implement, with results easily communicated to technical and non-technical decision makers. A brief acquisition case study involving competing alternatives is presented to illustrate how this approach offers advantages for multi-criteria decision analysis practice.","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/mcda.1717","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43850502","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Chance-constrained multi-objective approach for hazardous materials routing and scheduling under demand and service time uncertainty 需求和服务时间不确定条件下危险品运输和调度的机会约束多目标方法

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2020-06-18 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1718

Kamran S. Moghaddam, Farshid Azadian

引用次数: 2

Special issue on “AHP/ANP Studies in Technology, Entrepreneurship and Corporate Social Responsibility” “科技、企业精神与企业社会责任的层次分析法/层次分析法研究”特刊

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2020-03-02 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1706

Luis G. Vargas

引用次数: 3

The economic valuation of social aspects: A multicriteria approach based on input–output models1 社会方面的经济评价:基于投入产出模型的多标准方法

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2020-01-13 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1700

Jaime Sanaú, Carlos Gómez-Bahillo, José María Moreno-Jiménez

引用次数: 1

Valuation of a startup: Moving towards strategic approaches 创业公司的估值:走向战略方法

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2019-12-29 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1703

Monika Dhochak, Prince Doliya

{"title":"Valuation of a startup: Moving towards strategic approaches","authors":"Monika Dhochak, Prince Doliya","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1703","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1703","url":null,"abstract":"The valuation of a new venture is often considered to be a combative point of negotiation between venture capitalists and entrepreneurs. To bridge this gap, the present study aims to comprehend the link between startup valuation and established strategic management theories. The purpose of this study is to prioritize the theories from the strategic management literature in the valuation of a startup to assess firm performance using evidence from India, an emerging market. This study addresses research questions such as whether strategic theories (internal-based theory, industry-based theory, and network-based theory) enable the valuation of a new venture and how venture capitalists prioritize and vary the importance of these theories to assess the economic value of a new venture. The strategic management theories are prioritized using the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, a multicriteria decision-making technique for the valuation of a venture. The present study develops an integrative multicriteria fuzzy decision-making approach to measure the relative importance of the strategic input variables. The results of the study validate the inclusion of strategic variables and provide a systematic approach to follow and measure the important factors when valuing a new venture. Such outcomes of the study help to theoretically and practically build a valuation foundation for both venture capitalists and entrepreneurs. This study brings increased rigor to the venture capital valuation literature by introducing a supplementary method to identify and measure the importance of these theories in new venture valuation.","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/mcda.1703","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51262150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 7

Restructuring a correlated multilevel decision hierarchy in multicriteria decision analysis 多准则决策分析中相关多级决策层次的重构

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2019-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1705

Susanna Sironen, Jyrki Kangas, Pekka Leskinen

{"title":"Restructuring a correlated multilevel decision hierarchy in multicriteria decision analysis","authors":"Susanna Sironen, Jyrki Kangas, Pekka Leskinen","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1705","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1705","url":null,"abstract":"The main aim of this study is to propose applicable and easily adopted statistical analyses to restructure a sound multilevel decision hierarchy, which reflects decision makers' priorities, achieves a good balance between completeness and conciseness, and takes unconsciously intercorrelated subcriteria into account. A forest planning case was used as a numerical example to demonstrate the role of correlations, and the set-up was based on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). With the AHP, as well as other hierarchical multicriteria approaches, shape of the hierarchy structure may influence the decision makers and their judgments. In particular, the risk of overrating some main criteria exists, if the same concept is measured within multiple main criteria. We propose an approach, in which the subcriteria are grouped so that correlations between the different subcriteria are taken into account. A new decision hierarchy is constructed based on distance metrics, explanatory factor analysis, and cluster analysis. According the results, all these subsequent analyses supported each other. The tested methods seemed to be advisable tools to reveal the impacts of intercorrelated criteria and to guide the reconstructing a new decision hierarchy without intercorrelated subcriteria underneath main criteria.","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/mcda.1705","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44740646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Identification of intrinsic suitable sites in Gaza Strip for the application of artificial groundwater recharge using a geographic information system multicriteria decision analysis 利用地理信息系统多准则决策分析确定加沙地带应用人工地下水补给的内在适宜地点

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1701

Salah B. Ajjur, Yunes K. Mogheir

{"title":"Identification of intrinsic suitable sites in Gaza Strip for the application of artificial groundwater recharge using a geographic information system multicriteria decision analysis","authors":"Salah B. Ajjur, Yunes K. Mogheir","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1701","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1701","url":null,"abstract":"Gaza coastal aquifer is perceived as the only natural source of water in Gaza Strip (GS), providing water for about 1.9 million inhabitants living in an area of 365 km2. GS annual mean precipitation is about 325 mm, but this precipitation is not exploited properly to feed the aquifer. This study aims to identify the intrinsic suitable sites in GS for the implementation of artificial groundwater recharge. The most suitable sites were identified using a geographic information system multicriteria decision analysis based on four criteria: hydrogeological aptitude, soil, slope, and land use. Three steps were carried out to find these sites: screening for suitable areas, suitability mapping, and sensitivity analysis. The suitability map was divided into two zones after the screening: available and unavailable. Available areas (70% of total GS area) were further divided into four classes according to the weighted linear combination ranking. The findings show that 60% of GS areas are suitable for artificial recharge application. After that, seven current storm water-collection basins were assigned. Five of them were found to be corresponded with sites suitability analysis. This map is a powerful tool for implementation of recharge techniques in GS.","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/mcda.1701","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49470276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 9

A multi-criteria decision analysis for the public distribution system of food grains in Indian Punjab: Towards decentralized food policies in developing countries 印度旁遮普粮食公共分配系统的多标准决策分析:走向发展中国家分散的粮食政策

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1698

Abhay K. Grover, Shweta Chopra, Caroline C. Krejci

{"title":"A multi-criteria decision analysis for the public distribution system of food grains in Indian Punjab: Towards decentralized food policies in developing countries","authors":"Abhay K. Grover, Shweta Chopra, Caroline C. Krejci","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1698","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1698","url":null,"abstract":"In 2014, the government of the state of Indian Punjab amended its existing system of public distribution of food grains by launching the “new atta-daal (wheat-pulses) scheme”. Instead of distributing subsidized food grains monthly to its underprivileged citizens, the state started distributing grains on a biannual basis (i.e., every 6 months). The state claims that the new system yields logistical and monetary benefits that favour the state treasury; however, beneficiaries have voiced concerns regarding grain handling and one-time payments. To achieve a beneficial outcome for multiple stakeholders with conflicting objectives, a formal analysis of different policy alternatives is necessary. This research paper applies multi-criteria decision analysis to evaluate alternative public grain distribution schemes for the district of Ludhiana in Indian Punjab. First, an objectives hierarchy and measures for the decision problem were developed using emergent codes from qualitative data collected via semi-structured interviews, focus group discussions, and guided conversations with 40 participants representing eight different stakeholders. Using the rank-order method, weights were then assessed to identify the relative importance of these measures. Five feasible grain distribution policy alternatives were generated, and data describing the performance of these alternatives with respect to each measure were collected via Likert scale surveys of over 300 beneficiary households across 14 different villages (rural) and localities (urban) of Ludhiana district in Punjab. Value functions were assigned to each measure to identify the best performing alternative, and sensitivity analysis was performed to establish the robustness of the final solution. Overall, beneficiaries preferred a 6-monthly distribution system with improvements, such as better communication and disciplined distribution.","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/mcda.1698","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43453705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8

Multicriteria decision making for sustainable development: A systematic review 可持续发展的多标准决策:系统审查

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2019-11-26 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1682

Ahmet Kandakoglu, Anissa Frini, Sarah Ben Amor

{"title":"Multicriteria decision making for sustainable development: A systematic review","authors":"Ahmet Kandakoglu, Anissa Frini, Sarah Ben Amor","doi":"10.1002/mcda.1682","DOIUrl":"10.1002/mcda.1682","url":null,"abstract":"Making decisions by integrating social and environmental concerns beyond the financial dimension involves complex decision-making processes in which innovative approaches and best practices need to be implemented. Recently, the literature on decision-making related to sustainable development has grown rapidly, and multiple criteria decision making or analysis (MCDM/A) methods appear to be the most widely used approaches. The general objective of this paper is to provide a systematic review of the literature on the use of MCDM/A in a sustainable development context. We carefully analysed 343 papers dealing with decision-making in sustainable development contexts published in the last 7 years (2010-2017) using MCDM/A methods. Descriptive statistics were provided to highlight the main trends and gaps in the literature, and future research avenues were presented. The results show that although sustainable development strives to achieve a balance between the short and the long term, most articles surveyed did not investigate either the long-term perspective related to sustainable development or the unforeseen events that could impact future project evaluations. Indeed, the need for temporal MCDM/A methods under uncertainty emerges as an important research challenge. In addition, results show that the social dimension was the most frequently ignored dimension. In future research, decision-making processes should closely investigate social well-being and encourage the participation of stakeholders (including the communities affected). Finally, the recent research on sustainability is relatively easy to implement but may not lead to the desired outcome. Future research needs to develop methods that promote sustainability without being overly difficult to implement in practice.","PeriodicalId":45876,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/mcda.1682","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41779487","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 33

Editorial: Special Issue on MCDM models for Economic Development 社论:经济发展的MCDM模型特刊

IF 2

Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2019-11-26 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1702

Hatem Masri, El-Ghazali Talbi

引用次数: 0