{"title":"Understanding Patterns of Change in Group-Based Trajectory Modeling Using Latent Transition Analysis: Valid Approximations of Development or Statistical Artifacts?","authors":"Thomas W. Wojciechowski","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00260-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00260-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The objective of this study is to validate how well aggregate change is approximated using group-based trajectory modeling and latent transition analysis. The Pathways to Desistance dataset was analyzed. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify patterns of street time data. Analyses were carried out for the full dataset from start to finish and separate analyses were carried out for the early half and late half of the study period. The data was split and latent transition analysis was used to determine how well trajectory groups in the full-data approximated change observed in the early-data to late-data models. Regression was used to determine the robustness of these change effects with covariates controlled for. A five-group model was identified in the early-data that was very similar to the model identified in the full-data. An eight-group model was identified in the late-data though. The change trajectories characterized by declines in recidivism were predictive of abstaining in the late-data model in a manner consistent with the change predicted by the declines observed in the early-data model. Latent transition analysis may help validate change observed in group-based trajectory modeling. Group-based trajectory modeling may provide more accurate approximation of aggregate change than stability.</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142247427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nathalie M. G. Fontaine, Vincent Bégin, Frank Vitaro, Michel Boivin, Richard E. Tremblay, Sylvana M. Côté
{"title":"Psychopathic Traits in Childhood and Depression Symptoms in Adolescence: the Mediating Role of Peer Victimization","authors":"Nathalie M. G. Fontaine, Vincent Bégin, Frank Vitaro, Michel Boivin, Richard E. Tremblay, Sylvana M. Côté","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00259-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00259-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Youth with psychopathic traits are at risk of engaging in physical aggression and being exposed to victimization from peers, which, in turn, is associated with symptoms of depression. The mechanisms underlying the associations between psychopathic traits, peer victimization, and subsequent depression symptoms remain unclear. Using data from the Quebec Longitudinal Study of Child Development (<i>n</i> = 2,120 youth; 49.1% female) and path analyses, we tested whether peer victimization (at 10–12 years) mediated the associations between psychopathic traits in childhood (at 6–8 years) and depression symptoms in adolescence (at 15–17 years). We also examined if the association between psychopathic traits and peer victimization was moderated by child sex, anxiety symptoms, and physical aggression. Teachers assessed psychopathic traits and peer victimization in childhood. Participants reported on their depression symptoms in adolescence. Findings showed that the association between childhood psychopathic traits and depression symptoms in adolescence was mainly indirect and (partly) operated via peer victimization. This indirect association appeared to be particularly salient for children who manifested low levels of physical aggression. The association between psychopathic traits and later depression symptoms via peer victimization could be less typical of children with high levels of physical aggression. This study highlights the importance of the mediating role of peer victimization and the moderating role of physical aggression when examining the association between psychopathic traits and subsequent depression symptoms.</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142247429","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Family Reaction as a Developmental Turning Point Among Formerly Incarcerated LGBTQ + Adults","authors":"Skyler Morgan","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00258-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00258-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Family reaction to LGBTQ + identity is a complex developmental experience that can lead to various outcomes for LGBTQ + people. Prior scholarship has identified family rejection as a risk factor for poor mental, physical, and social outcomes and family acceptance as a protective factor. However, little scholarship has considered the developmental role of family reaction to LGBTQ + identity on offending and desistance trajectories or explored the experiences with family reaction among LGBTQ + people who have had contact with the criminal legal system. This paper addresses this gap in the literature by centering the role of family reaction to LGBTQ + identity among formerly incarcerated LGBTQ + people. More specifically, this paper draws on original data collected from life history interviews with 25 formerly incarcerated LGBTQ + people. This qualitative work considers (1) their experiences with family reactions, (2) family reaction as a developmental turning point, and (3) navigating the criminal legal system with complex family dynamics. Findings indicated that the majority of the sample encountered some form of rejection (subtle and/or explicit) from their families, which was shaped by other LGBTQ + family members and generational, structural, religious, and political factors. Family reaction functioned as a developmental turning point that impacted offending (rejection) and desistance (acceptance). This work holds important policy implications, including the need for support groups for LGBTQ + people experiencing family rejection inside and outside of criminal legal contexts.</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142219775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Change in Time Spent on Homework as a Possible Turning Point for Youth with a History of Serious Delinquency: Testing the Intervening Influence of Cognitive and Moral Agency","authors":"Glenn D. Walters","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00257-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00257-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study tested whether time spent on homework could be considered a turning point for youth with serious prior involvement in delinquency. A sample of 934 youth (809 boys, 125 girls) from the Pathways to Desistance study who attended a community or institutional school during baseline and Wave 1 of the Pathways study served as participants in this study. The results of a four-equation path analysis revealed that while a change in time spent on homework did not have a direct effect on later delinquency, the indirect effect was significant when unsupervised routine activities served as a first-stage mediator and cognitive and moral agency served as second-stage mediators. Hence, spending an increased amount of time on homework was associated with a concurrent decrease in unsupervised routine activities with friends and led to increased levels of cognitive and moral agency in serious delinquent youth, which, in turn, appeared to contribute to heightened levels of future desistance. The key to understanding the turning point identified in this study appears to have been a change in unsupervised routine activities.</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141937350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Corrie Williams, Tara Renae McGee, Shannon Walding, Christine E. W. Bond
{"title":"The Role of Prosocial Behaviour in the Deceleration of Conduct Problem Behaviour","authors":"Corrie Williams, Tara Renae McGee, Shannon Walding, Christine E. W. Bond","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00256-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00256-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While conduct problem behaviour initiated in early childhood often escalates in frequency and seriousness through adolescence, a notable deceleration is typically seen by mid-adolescence. It has been hypothesised that prosocial behaviour, characterised by acts like sharing and comforting, may play a role in this deceleration. However, there is a distinct gap in the current literature when it comes to understanding the temporal dynamics between the acceleration of prosocial behaviours and the deceleration of conduct problem behaviour. This study seeks to bridge this gap. Using a General Cross-Lagged Panel Model (GCLM) and data from the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC), we investigated temporal dynamics and sequence of how the acceleration of prosocial behaviour influences the deceleration of conduct problem behaviour between ages 4 and 15. Results indicate that increases in prosocial behaviour facilitate the deceleration of conduct problem behaviour, with increases in prosocial behaviour preceding decreases in conduct problem behaviour. Further, we show a cumulative effect of increases in prosocial behaviour on decreases in conduct problem behaviour over time. This knowledge provides a foundation for understanding how timely prevention and intervention strategies that include the mechanisms for increasing prosocial behaviour may interrupt the conduct problem behaviour trajectories of children and adolescents.\u0000</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141610038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Steve G. A. van de Weijer, Abigail Novak, Brian B. Boutwell
{"title":"Educational Attainment, Crime, and Causality: a Population-wide Sibling-based Design","authors":"Steve G. A. van de Weijer, Abigail Novak, Brian B. Boutwell","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00255-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00255-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Criminologists have been interested in educational attainment for decades, a focus the field shares with virtually all other social and psychological sciences. The effects of formal schooling are expected to emerge across a host of developmental outcomes, but they are thought to be of particular relevance when assessing the risk of delinquency and crime. As time spent in formal schooling increases, the future risk of criminal offending is expected to fall precipitously. Associations between education and criminal outcomes have emerged repeatedly in the past, but evidence of <i>causal</i> effects remains in short order by comparison. In this study, register data from the Netherlands is used to examine the effects of educational attainment on offending in both adolescence and early adulthood. Using a population-wide discordant sibling design, our results are consistent with an argument that both education exposure and educational performance exert causal influences on criminal involvement. Until additional work of a similar nature is carried out, however, stronger assertions about the causal effects of education and crime remain premature.</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141511251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Are All Aspirations and Expectations Alike? A Longitudinal Test of Domain-Specific Effects of Future Beliefs on Offending","authors":"Heejin Lee, Damon M. Petrich","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00251-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00251-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141112097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Simon D. Venema, Marieke Haan, Eric Blaauw, René Veenstra
{"title":"Paternal Incarceration, Family Relationships, and Adolescents’ Internalizing and Externalizing Problem Behaviors","authors":"Simon D. Venema, Marieke Haan, Eric Blaauw, René Veenstra","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00253-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00253-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Little is known about the conditions under which paternal incarceration is harmful to children and the mechanisms that explain this. This study addressed the family relationship context in the associations between paternal incarceration and adolescents’ internalizing and externalizing problem behaviors. Using data from the Future of Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a moderated mediation model was specified where paternal incarceration predicted adolescents’ internalizing and externalizing problem behaviors through family relationship quality, and where the mediating role of family relationship quality was moderated by pre-incarceration family relationship characteristics. Using latent profile analyses, three pre-incarceration family clusters were identified (“Cohesive”; “Fragmented”; “Disharmonious”). Analyses indicated that the association between paternal incarceration and family relationship quality differed across pre-incarceration family clusters and that decreased father-mother relationship quality mediated the negative association between paternal incarceration and adolescents’ internalizing and externalizing problem behaviors among “Cohesive” and “Fragmented”, but not among “Disharmonious” family clusters. The findings suggest that adolescents with more harmonious pre-incarceration family relationships are most vulnerable to the negative consequences of paternal incarceration. The study demonstrates the need to consider the family relationship context to understand the intergenerational consequences of incarceration.</p>","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140932091","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Miguel Basto-Pereira, David P. Farrington, Laura Maciel
{"title":"Unraveling the Sequences of Risk Factors Underlying the Development of Criminal Behavior","authors":"Miguel Basto-Pereira, David P. Farrington, Laura Maciel","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00254-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00254-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140653918","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
J. Kroese, W. Bernasco, A. Liefbroer, Jan Rouwendal
{"title":"The Anticipatory, Short-Term, and Long-Term Effects of Parental Separation and Parental Death on Adolescent Delinquency","authors":"J. Kroese, W. Bernasco, A. Liefbroer, Jan Rouwendal","doi":"10.1007/s40865-024-00252-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40865-024-00252-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45772,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140675540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}