{"title":"The effects of population aging on industrial structure upgrading: Empirical analysis of provincial and threshold characteristics in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Global population aging trends are intensifying, presenting multifaceted economic and social challenges for countries worldwide. As the world’s largest developing country, China has entered a phase of extreme demographic aging, posing significant questions about its impact on the ongoing upgrading of industrial structures. How does this demographic shift influence the upgrading of industrial structures, and does technological innovation mitigate or exacerbate this impact? The empirical results indicate that population aging impedes upgrading the industrial structure, while technological innovation positively affects the relationship between the two. Moreover, using technological innovation as a threshold variable, the impact of population aging on industrial structure upgrading evolves in a “gradient” manner from “impediment” to “insignificant” to “promotion” as the technological innovation levels increase. These findings offer practical guidance for tailoring industrial policies to different stages of technological advancement.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on the impact of manufacturing servitization on environmental pollution: spatial econometric analysis of sulfur dioxide based on 284 prefecture-level cities","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using China’s regional input–output table, the paper constructs indicators of manufacturing servitization, matches manufacturing servitization at the regional level with city data, and uses spatial econometrics to empirically analyze the impact of manufacturing servitization on urban sulfur dioxide (<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></math></span>) emissions within the classical Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework. The results show that manufacturing servitization can reduce <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></math></span> emissions. Producer servitization and consumptive services can both significantly reduce industrial <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></math></span> emissions. Transportation and warehousing servitization, information servitization, leasing, and commercial servitization, technology research and development servitization significantly reduce <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></math></span>emissions; technology research and development servitization, in particular, have the largest influence coefficient, while the reduction effect of servitization in the wholesale and retail and finance sectors is not significant. The study also found that servitization reduced the <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></math></span> emissions through technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Megacity pathways in China under the dual carbon goal: The case of Shanghai","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The pathways to achieving carbon neutrality at the city level are diverse due to varying energy supply and demand conditions. Shanghai faces obstacles such as limited land resources, high costs of renewable energy technologies, and instability of renewable energy. These challenges hinder the city’s efforts to achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality (dual carbon). Therefore, Shanghai must identify and optimize its development path for renewable energy under the dual carbon goal. We employed the Low Emissions Analysis Platform-Shanghai (LEAP-SH) model to simulate the impact of policies, such as industrial upgrading, energy efficiency improvement, energy structure optimization, increased technical innovation on energy, and ecological restoration, on the carbon emission pathways from 2022 to 2060 using five different scenarios. Our results indicate that Shanghai has the potential to achieve carbon neutrality in 2059 by promoting carbon reduction, pollution control, and green expansion. Moreover, we determined that the manufacturing industry; power generation industry; and transportation, storage, and mail services are the three major sectors for emission reduction under the dual carbon goal. Furthermore, the capacity and output of coal-fired power plants will be gradually replaced by offshore wind power in the dual carbon pathway. Finally, this study proposes countermeasures and suggestions for Shanghai to attain the dual carbon goal and high-quality development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Synergistic dance of digital economy and green finance on carbon emissions: Insights from China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China has recently implemented a dual-carbon strategy to combat climate change and other environmental issues and is committed to modernizing it sustainably. This paper supports these goals and explores how the digital economy and green finance intersect and impact carbon emissions. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces over the period 2011–2021, this paper finds that the digital economy and green finance can together reduce carbon emissions, and conducts several robustness tests supporting this conclusion. A heterogeneity analysis shows that these synergistic effects are more important in regions with low levels of social consumption Meanwhile, in the spatial dimension, the synergistic effect of the local digital economy and green finance adversely impacts the level of carbon emissions in surrounding areas. The findings of this paper provide insights for policymakers in guiding capital flow and implementing carbon-reduction policies while fostering the growth of China’s digital economy and environmental sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533880","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is economic fitness helpful in achieving environmental sustainability in BRICS economies? A risk exposure perspective","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A country’s ability to create complex goods and diversify its lines of products is essential for addressing all types of vulnerabilities. Quantifying a country’s vulnerability to extreme climatic events, such as droughts, superstorms, and other natural disasters, and its capacity for successful adaption, is an essential global need that has been ignored. This study examines the role of economic fitness (EF) in addressing climate change risk exposure in BRICS countries in the context of the environmental Kuznets curve using panel data from 1995 to 2015. Panel threshold methodology is employed to ascertain the nonlinear relationship between EF and climate change risk exposure (i.e., Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative Country Index (ND-GAIN)). In addition, empirical associations were estimated using panel-corrected standard errors, Driscoll-Kraay standard errors, and feasible generalized least squares estimation techniques. These findings demonstrated an inverted N-shaped link between EF and ND-GAIN. Moreover, even after controlling for significant ND-GAIN influencing variables such as gross domestic product per capita, financial development, and urbanization, our robustness checks revealed significant and consistent findings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2325426224000196/pdfft?md5=52b1d493f73a1dd0bfbfc6afb6afef05&pid=1-s2.0-S2325426224000196-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141959657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Are cities greener because of innovation? Independent innovation policy and green economic efficiency","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The national independent innovation demonstration zone (NIIDZ) is an independent innovation policy that plays a crucial role in implementing strategies. Given the importance of the NIIDZ, this study uses panel data of 278 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2020 and empirically examines the effect and internal mechanism of the NIIDZ on green economic efficiency (GEE) using the difference-in-difference model (DID). The results show that the NIIDZ effectively enhances the growth of GEE, and the results remain valid through several robustness tests, such as year-by-year propensity score matching. The transmission mechanism suggests that the NIIDZ indirectly drives GEE by accelerating scientific and technological investment, promoting talent concentration, and optimizing the industrial structure. Moreover, heterogeneity analysis reveals that the promotion effect of the NIIDZ on GEE is more prominent in the eastern region and high green development level areas. The study’s findings can serve as a reference for China to further utilize the policy effectiveness of the NIIDZ and accelerate the high-quality development of the green economy in the future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2325426224000202/pdfft?md5=5a9004b40a80cabee7d2d94e4cc2ea5f&pid=1-s2.0-S2325426224000202-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Transformation power or development pressure: economic growth targets and urban carbon productivity","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Maintaining moderate economic growth targets (EGTs) is the key for local governments to effectively implement the “carbon peak and carbon neutrality” goals under the refreshed development pattern. Utilizing panel data of 276 prefecture-level cities in mainland China from 2010 to 2020, and employing methods such as intermediary and threshold models, this study empirically analyzes the internal mechanism of EGT’s impact on urban carbon productivity (UCP). Our findings demonstrate that: ① The overall EGT during the analyzed period is not conducive to improving UCP. This conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests. This effect is more pronounced in the central region and resource-based cities than in the east-west region and non-resource-based cities. ② EGT not only directly suppresses UCP but also exerts indirect negative impacts on UCP from three aspects: delaying the digital economy (DE), constraining financial expansion (FE), and hindering green technology innovation (GTI). This negative indirect effect is similar to or even surpasses the direct effect, suggesting that the internal relationship between EGT and “dual-carbon” goals should be re-evaluated from a new compound perspective. ③ EGT not only has a simple linear impact on UCP but also significantly exhibits a dynamic evolution pattern in inverted “U” shape. That is, as EGT continuously upgrades, a nonlinear impact on UCP emerges in the form of “promoting first, suppressing later”. This indicates that surpassing the “degree” limit for EGT will be detrimental to the improvement of UCP. This study broadens the scope of carbon productivity analysis by introducing a new perspective centered on EGT. The insights gleaned from this research offer valuable guidance for local governments to effectively manage economic growth expectations and promote the synchronized achievement of dual-carbon objectives.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2325426224000275/pdfft?md5=b363bfc6ed938eb09f70a9741f8b6679&pid=1-s2.0-S2325426224000275-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Promoting sustainable consumption and circular economy: the intention of Vietnamese youth consumers to purchase products made from recycled plastics","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recycling is viewed as a key component in a circular economy and serves as an ideal solution for promoting sustainability. During the global plastic crisis, plastic recycling practices have been adopted worldwide, leading to the production of various products made from recycled plastics (PRP). Nevertheless, a gap persists between consumption and demand for such products, which is primarily attributed to a lack of comprehension from the consumer perspective. Given the pivotal role consumers play in the adoption of these products, this study explores consumers’ intentions to purchase PRP. This is particularly significant in Vietnam, which is an emerging economy aspiring to achieve the objectives of a circular economy and sustainable development. Utilizing an integrated cognitive-emotional framework comprising the Valence Theory and the Norm Activation Model, data from 564 Vietnamese students were gathered and analyzed using structural equation modeling. The results show that awareness of consequences is a major driver of consumer purchase intentions, followed by perceived ease of application and monetary incentives. The results also indicate that health concerns have the strongest effect on purchase intention and in the negative side, meaning that the health-related risk is the primary concern for consumers during the decision-making process. This research holds substantial value for academics and managers, as it aids in the theoretical exploration and the formulation of strategies to improve consumer acceptance of PRP.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2325426224000299/pdfft?md5=1454f73c30480a00c287703ba709f793&pid=1-s2.0-S2325426224000299-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analyzing the transportation infrastructure–rural industry integration relationship in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Transportation infrastructure is crucial to China’s economic growth because it substantially contributes to the holistic development of rural primary, secondary, and tertiary industries. This study innovatively examines transportation infrastructure and urbanization levels to explore, both theoretically and empirically, their relationship with the holistic development of primary, secondary, and tertiary industries in rural China, and the mediating role of urbanization on this relationship. We employed fixed-effects models, the entropy weight approach, mixed regression, and generalized method of moments to analyze the data of 30 provinces across China from 2013 to 2020. The results indicate that the construction of transportation infrastructure directly fosters the collective advancement of such industries in rural areas and that urbanization partially mediates the transportation infrastructure–rural industry integration relationship. However, the western region shows disparities in the integrated development of these sectors. Further analysis reveals that foreign investments amplify the positive influence of transportation infrastructure on rural industry integration. Essentially, the enhancement of rural transportation infrastructure, promotion of urbanization, implementation of strategic planning, and strengthening of support mechanisms are crucial aspects in the comprehensive development of rural industries and the achievement of rural revitalization in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S232542622400024X/pdfft?md5=c28c1b8cda74f8f5912d040e56d485a3&pid=1-s2.0-S232542622400024X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950767","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How to promote cooperative innovation in environmentally friendly technology: a case of agricultural biotechnology in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.06.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study explored the factors influencing cooperative innovation in environmentally friendly agricultural biotechnology in China. First, we constructed an evolutionary game model comprising the factors of net income of cooperative innovation, net income of independent innovation, market constraints, and government subsidies. Using MATLAB simulation, we assigned different values to the aforementioned variables to explore the evolutionary trend of innovators’ willingness to cooperate. Results showed that when the values of net income of cooperative innovation, net income of independent innovation, market constraints, and government subsidies exceeded the threshold, innovators’ willingness to cooperate was significantly enhanced. Furthermore, the proportion of innovators who cooperated with others gradually increased to 100%; otherwise, it gradually decreased to 0%. Comparing the simulation curve with the real evolution curve of cooperative innovation in agricultural biotechnology in China, we found that the gradual decline in the willingness to cooperate could be due to insufficient subsidies for cooperative innovation, low income from cooperative innovation, weak profitability of innovators, and weak market constraints.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2325426224000214/pdfft?md5=ec79912c4dd0b8b748dc4c756e4bbf4b&pid=1-s2.0-S2325426224000214-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141950764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}