{"title":"Evaluating Dynamic Discrimination Performance of Risk Prediction Models for Survival Outcomes.","authors":"Jing Zhang, Jing Ning, Ruosha Li","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09362-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12561-023-09362-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Risk prediction models for survival outcomes are widely applied in medical research to predict future risk for the occurrence of the event. In many clinical studies, the biomarker data are measured repeatedly over time. To facilitate timely disease prognosis and decision making, many dynamic prediction models have been developed and generate predictions on a real-time basis. As a dynamic prediction model updates an individual's risk prediction over time based on new measurements, it is often important to examine how well the model performs at different measurement times and prediction times. In this article, we propose a two-dimensional area under curve (AUC) measure for dynamic prediction models and develop associated estimation and inference procedures. The estimation procedures are discussed under two types of biomarker measurement schedules: regular visits and irregular visits. The model parameters are estimated effectively by maximizing a pseudo-partial likelihood function. We apply the proposed method to a renal transplantation study to evaluate the discrimination performance of dynamic prediction models based on longitudinal biomarkers for graft failure.</p>","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10483238/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10588040","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wenyi Lin, Jingjing Zou, Chongzhi Di, Dorothy D Sears, Cheryl L Rock, Loki Natarajan
{"title":"Longitudinal Associations Between Timing of Physical Activity Accumulation and Health: Application of Functional Data Methods.","authors":"Wenyi Lin, Jingjing Zou, Chongzhi Di, Dorothy D Sears, Cheryl L Rock, Loki Natarajan","doi":"10.1007/s12561-022-09359-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12561-022-09359-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Accelerometers are widely used for tracking human movement and provide minute-level (or even 30 Hz level) physical activity (PA) records for detailed analysis. Instead of using day-level summary statistics to assess these densely sampled inputs, we implement functional principal component analysis (FPCA) approaches to study the temporal patterns of PA data from 245 overweight/obese women at three visits over a 1-year period. We apply longitudinal FPCA to decompose PA inputs, incorporating subject-specific variability, and then test the association between these patterns and obesity-related health outcomes by multiple mixed effect regression models. With the proposed methods, the longitudinal patterns in both densely sampled inputs and scalar outcomes are investigated and connected. The results show that the health outcomes are strongly associated with PA variation, in both subject and visit-level. In addition, we reveal that timing of PA during the day can impact changes in outcomes, a finding that would not be possible with day-level PA summaries. Thus, our findings imply that the use of longitudinal FPCA can elucidate temporal patterns of multiple levels of PA inputs. Furthermore, the exploration of the relationship between PA patterns and health outcomes can be useful for establishing weight-loss guidelines.</p>","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10299778/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9799319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lacey H. Etzkorn, Amir S. Heravi, Nicolas D. Knuth, Katherine C. Wu, Wendy S. Post, Jacek K. Urbanek, Ciprian M. Crainiceanu
{"title":"Classification of Free-Living Body Posture with ECG Patch Accelerometers: Application to the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study","authors":"Lacey H. Etzkorn, Amir S. Heravi, Nicolas D. Knuth, Katherine C. Wu, Wendy S. Post, Jacek K. Urbanek, Ciprian M. Crainiceanu","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09377-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09377-7","url":null,"abstract":"As health studies increasingly monitor free-living heart performance via ECG patches with accelerometers, researchers will seek to investigate cardio-electrical responses to physical activity and sedentary behavior, increasing demand for fast, scalable methods to process accelerometer data. We extend a posture classification algorithm for accelerometers in ECG patches when researchers do not have ground-truth labels or other reference measurements (i.e., upright measurement). Men living with and without HIV in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort study wore the Zio XT® for up to 2 weeks (n = 1250). Our novel extensions for posture classification include (1) estimation of an upright posture for each individual without a reference upright measurement; (2) correction of the upright estimate for device removal and re-positioning using novel spherical change point detection; and (3) classification of upright and recumbent periods using a clustering and voting process rather than a simple inclination threshold used in other algorithms. As no posture labels exist in the free-living environment, we perform numerous sensitivity analyses and evaluate the algorithm against labeled data from the Towson Accelerometer Study, where participants wore accelerometers at the waist. On average, 87.1% of participants were recumbent at 4 a.m. and 15.5% were recumbent at 1 p.m. Participants were recumbent 54 min longer on weekends compared to weekdays. Performance was good in comparison to labeled data in a separate, controlled setting (accuracy = 96.0%, sensitivity = 97.5%, specificity = 95.9%). Posture may be classified in the free-living environment from accelerometers in ECG patches even without measuring a standard upright position. Furthermore, algorithms that fail to account for individuals who rotate and re-attach the accelerometer may fail in the free-living environment.","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135260639","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Doubly Robust Semiparametric Estimation for Multi-group Causal Comparisons","authors":"Anqi Yin, Ao Yuan, M. Tan","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09378-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09378-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"52603356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Retraction Note: Positive Stable Shared Frailty Models Based on Additive Hazards","authors":"David D. Hanagal","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09380-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09380-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134890760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Variable Selection in Multivariate Functional Linear Regression","authors":"Chi-Kuang Yeh, Peijun Sang","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09373-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09373-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43640560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Non-parametric Test Based on Local Pairwise Comparisons of Patients for Single and Composite Endpoints","authors":"Xuan Ye, Heng Li","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09371-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09371-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46016367","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Clinical Trial Design—What is the Critical Question for Decision-Making?","authors":"Jingjing Ye, Hong Tian, Xiang Guo, Naitee Ting","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09365-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09365-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48322598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Integrative Structural Learning of Mixed Graphical Models via Pseudo-likelihood","authors":"Qingyang Liu, Yuping Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09367-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09367-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45996197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
B. Ryan, Ananthika Nirmalkanna, Candemir Çigsar, Yildiz E. Yilmaz
{"title":"Evaluation of Designs and Estimation Methods Under Response-Dependent Two-Phase Sampling for Genetic Association Studies","authors":"B. Ryan, Ananthika Nirmalkanna, Candemir Çigsar, Yildiz E. Yilmaz","doi":"10.1007/s12561-023-09369-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12561-023-09369-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45094,"journal":{"name":"Statistics in Biosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43235691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}