Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association最新文献_第8页

Decrease in differentiation of electric power supply in regions and sustainable development of the Russian economy 减少地区电力供应差别化与俄罗斯经济可持续发展

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-6

S. Nekrasov

{"title":"Decrease in differentiation of electric power supply in regions and sustainable development of the Russian economy","authors":"S. Nekrasov","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-6","url":null,"abstract":"Differentiation in (per capita) electricity consumption (PC) between developed and developing countries is decreasing in the world. However, the difference between Russian regions in terms of this indicator in 1990–2020 increased. It is shown that an increase in differentiation in the electric power supply leads to an increase in imbalances in socio-economic development. The relationship between the low profi tability of goods and services in the regions and low EPC was revealed. Unlike developing countries, where electricity consumption is limited by the possibilities of electricity production, in the Russian regions the limiting factor is the underdevelopment of electricity consumers. Under conditions of underdeveloped industry and low power supply, higher losses in power networks are characteristic, which causes a signifi cant increase in electricity prices for local industrial and agricultural consumers. Prerequisites are created for the transfer of industrial and agricultural production to regions with lower electricity supply costs. The mechanism aimed at preventing this negative trend is considered. As a result of its implementation, the modernization of production processes at electricity consumers will be initiated and conditions will be created for the emergence of new points of growth in these currently subsidized regions.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"48 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69824931","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Technological entrepreneurship as a development factor of Russia 科技创业作为俄罗斯的发展因素

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-11

Stepan Zemtsov

{"title":"Technological entrepreneurship as a development factor of Russia","authors":"Stepan Zemtsov","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-11","url":null,"abstract":"Technological entrepreneurship is a potential driver of Russia’s socio-economic development. But an optimal combination of environment and business networks (entrepreneurial ecosystem) to be formed is very rare and depends on many factors. The article discusses the potential role of technology start-ups in diversification, economic and employment growth, and adaptation to technological changes. The number of start-ups in Russia had decreased since 2015, and there is a low entrepreneurial activity in comparison with other countries. In general, the change in the industry structure of startups in Russia is consistent with the global trends; the role of knowledge-intensive business services and ICT is high and growing, the share of manufacturing is declining. We revealed the determining role of socio-cultural factors, human capital and universities, business climate and access to foreign markets in the creation and success of technology companies, as well as the contradictory impact of state support. Significant and increasing role of immigrants and diaspora abroad is underestimated for Russia. We noted the inability of the widespread development of successful technology companies (“gazelles”, “unicorns”); identified regional and sectoral priorities for public policy. We examined the main elements and models of national entrepreneurial ecosystems, limitations and prospects for their application in Russia.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69821875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

Cost of achieving zero CO2 emissions by mid-century: Approach and estimation for the world largest economies 到本世纪中叶实现二氧化碳零排放的成本:世界最大经济体的方法和估计

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-7

A. Kolpakov, A. A. Yantovskii, A. A. Galinger

{"title":"Cost of achieving zero CO2 emissions by mid-century: Approach and estimation for the world largest economies","authors":"A. Kolpakov, A. A. Yantovskii, A. A. Galinger","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-7","url":null,"abstract":"The article presents a methodological approach to assessing the cost of energy for the world economy in ambitious scenarios for reducing CO2 emissions associated with energy consumption. The approach takes into account that large-scale replacement of fossil fuels with electricity generated from renewable energy sources: a) should be accompanied by the grid development and the deployment of reserve storage capacities and hydrogen technologies; b) requires the use of mechanisms for projects payback, which are included in the final prices for electricity; c) will create the need to replace the shortfall in budget revenues from the production and consumption of hydrocarbon fuels. Forecast calculations show that the scenario of achieving zero emissions in the middle of the XXI century may turn out to be unstable, since it is characterized by increase in the cost of energy supply to the world economy by 40% compared to the current level, and the ratio of energy costs to GDP will exceed 13% in certain periods, and for some countries (including Russia) — 15%. For the global economy to remain within its solvency limits, hydrocarbons should play a decisive role in energy supply for another two decades, but the growth in energy demand can increasingly be met with the help of carbon-free solutions.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69823871","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Value of statistical life in Russia based on microdata 基于微数据的俄罗斯统计寿命价值

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-8

E. A. Zubova

引用次数: 3

Theoretical analysis of development traps: On the example of Russia 发展陷阱的理论分析:以俄罗斯为例

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-3

A. Golub, V. Potashnikov

{"title":"Theoretical analysis of development traps: On the example of Russia","authors":"A. Golub, V. Potashnikov","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-3","url":null,"abstract":"Russia still has a large pool of high-quality human capital and, despite certain limitations, access to the advanced technologies needed for transition from a resource-based to a knowledge-based economy. Despite this potential, the gap between Russia and the developed countries was not narrowing for the last ten years. Russian economy falls into a development trap. The paper offers a theoretical analysis of the development trap. It provides solutions that may help to escape the development trap and close the income gap with the developed countries. The Ramsey model with a convex-concave production function is used for the paper. The convexity of the function is the cause of multiple equilibria. Country may move to a higher equilibrium, but under certain conditions a country cannot overcome the “gravity” of a lower equilibrium and remain in development trap. High investment risks, dependence on the export of fossil fuels and excessive investment in resource and energy-intensive industries led the Russian economy into a development trap. Convergence Russia with the most developed countries with high per capita incomes requires a profound diversification of the Russian economy grounded on a massive replacing natural resources and resource-intensive industries with the human capital.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69822893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Bank of Russia regular communications and volatility short-term effects in financial markets 俄罗斯央行定期沟通和波动对金融市场的短期影响

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-7

O. V. Telegin

{"title":"Bank of Russia regular communications and volatility short-term effects in financial markets","authors":"O. V. Telegin","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-7","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the relationship between the volatility of various indicators of the Russia financial markets and the communication policy of the Bank of Russia, namely, regular communications channel – press releases and press conferences following the meetings of the Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia. The use of these two channels of regular verbal interventions aims not only to familiarize market participants with the decision on the key rate adopted during the meeting, but also to describe the reasons for this decision, along with a brief description of the current state of the economy in the way the regulator observes it. The results of econometric analysis using HAR‑models of high-frequency 5-minute volatility, taking into account intraday volatility patterns, show that regular communications of the Bank of Russia (namely, press releases following a meeting of the Bank of Russia Board of directors) really increase volatility in financial markets, while market participants cannot instantly estimate the significance of the new information, while this process takes about 15–20 minutes. However, the effect of increasing volatility is practically insignificant statistically when it comes to press conferences of the Governor Elvira Nabiullina. This result may indicate almost complete absence of new information for the market participants, disclosed during the opening speech at the press conference and the Q&A session. Also, within the framework of the study, recommendations were formulated for the Bank of Russia to change the format of regular communications.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69822916","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Typologization of industrial systems in the countries of Central-Eastern and South-Eastern Europe 欧洲中东部和东南欧国家工业系统的类型学

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-5

M. Lobanov, J. Zvezdanović Lobanova, M. Zvezdanović

{"title":"Typologization of industrial systems in the countries of Central-Eastern and South-Eastern Europe","authors":"M. Lobanov, J. Zvezdanović Lobanova, M. Zvezdanović","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-5","url":null,"abstract":"The differences between the countries of Central-Eastern and South-Eastern Europe in terms of socio-economic and, in particular, industrial development suggests the use of complex approach to their study. At the same time, the formation of industrial potential takes place in similar, but not identical institutional conditions, which allows the development of typologies and classifi cations as a result of qualitative and quantitative data generalization. We analyzed intraregional differences in indicators of industrial production dynamics, its role in the economic development, the supply and cost of labor resources, foreign trade diversifi cation and the level of foreign capital penetration, structural rationalization and the effi ciency of enterprises. In addition, on the example of the countries of the region, the relationship between labor productivity and the share of foreign companies in the production structure was studied. The proposed typology of industrial systems in CEE and SEE countries is based on a comparison of two groups of indicators characterizing 1) the main trend in the industrial development and its contribution to economic growth (reindustrialization, recurrent / repeated deindustrialization, persistent deindustrialization, secondary / market industrialization); 2) the effi ciency of factors of production, the extent of involvement in global economic relations, the focus on the products with high added-value (intensive, extensive and transitional industrial development).","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69824379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Russia’s opportunities for entering Industry 4.0 markets by improving its position in distributed production 通过提高其在分布式生产中的地位，俄罗斯进入工业4.0市场的机会

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-12

N. Smorodinskaya, D. Katukov

引用次数: 1

Policy of sanctions against Russia: Newest stage 对俄制裁政策:最新阶段

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-11

I. Timofeev

{"title":"Policy of sanctions against Russia: Newest stage","authors":"I. Timofeev","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-11","url":null,"abstract":"Russia is facing significant rise of economic sanctions since the beginning of the military operation in Ukraine in February 2022. The list of restrictions includes financial, trade, visa, transport and other types of sanctions. There are few precedents of similar scope of sanctions since at least the end of the Cold War. In recent 30 years there has been a transition from “economic carpet bombing” to “smart sanctions”. Sanctions against Russia after February 2022 seem to deviate from this trend. Such a deviation raises research questions about the ways of the “smart” sanctions combination with more comprehensive restrictions and about the evidence of a new paradigm of sanctions policy. Key assumption implies that these are the intensity and the scope of sanctions, rather than the change of the restrictions’ instruments which mark a new paradigm, provided by the Russian case. “Smart sanctions” remain a key instrument, however, their quality and quantity make them similar to the “economic carpet bombing”. The only meaningful obstacle for the initiators to abstain from a wider use of sanctions is a threat of a damage to their own economies. They have to use “smart sanctions” to avoid greater losses for themselves. The article relies on the analysis of key decisions on sanctions as well as their legal substance to test this assumption.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69823385","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

The impact of the first demographic dividend on economic growth considering human capital 考虑人力资本的第一次人口红利对经济增长的影响

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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-5

I. Kalabikhina, Z. G. Kazbekova

{"title":"The impact of the first demographic dividend on economic growth considering human capital","authors":"I. Kalabikhina, Z. G. Kazbekova","doi":"10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-5","url":null,"abstract":"Given the modest growth rates of the Russian economy over the past 10 years and population aging, a careful study of the demographic component of economic growth is of particular interest. This article provides a quantitative assessment of the first demographic dividend in Russia in 1997–2017. Based on Rosstat data for 74 Russian regions, the growth rates of real GRP per capita are modeled depending on the share of the working age population. Additionally, the model includes the possibility of assessing the dynamics of economic growth at the expense of human capital, since its high level can compensate for the negative influence of the demographic factor. According to our calculations, the demographic factor is significant and in the 2000s, it contributed to economic growth; since 2010, Russia has received a negative demographic dividend. Human capital weakly compensates for the negative trends of the demographic factor, which in the coming years will serve as a serious challenge to the growth of the Russian economy. The revealed positive, although still weak, influence of human capital indicates that the development of human capital in the regions of Russia can become a driver of their development.","PeriodicalId":43676,"journal":{"name":"Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69823750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1