Journal of Demographic Economics最新文献_第10页

Economic returns of family planning and fertility decline in India, 1991–2061 1991-2061年印度计划生育的经济收益和生育率下降

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-20 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2021.3

Srinivas Goli, K. S. James, Devender Singh, V. Srinivasan, Rakesh Mishra, M. J. Rana, U. S. Reddy

{"title":"Economic returns of family planning and fertility decline in India, 1991–2061","authors":"Srinivas Goli, K. S. James, Devender Singh, V. Srinivasan, Rakesh Mishra, M. J. Rana, U. S. Reddy","doi":"10.1017/dem.2021.3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2021.3","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Investment in family planning (FP) provides returns through a lifetime. Global evidence shows that FP is the second-best buy in terms of return on investment after liberalizing trade. In this study, we estimate the cumulative benefits of FP investments for India from 1991 to 2016 and project them up to 2061 with four scenarios of fertility levels. The findings suggest that India will have greater elasticity of FP investments to lifetime economic returns compared to the world average (cost–revenue ratio of 1:120). We have taken four scenarios for the goalpost, viz., 2.1, 1.8, 1.6, and 1.4. Although different scenarios of total fertility rate (TFR) levels at the goalpost (i.e., the year 2061) offer varied lifetime returns from FP, scenario TFR < 1.8 will be counterproductive and will reduce the potential benefits. With a comprehensive approach, if the country focuses more on improving the quality of FP services and on reducing the unmet need for FP to enhance reproductive health care and expand maximum opportunities for education and employment for both women and men, it can improve its potential to reap more benefits.","PeriodicalId":43286,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Demographic Economics","volume":"89 1","pages":"29 - 61"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/dem.2021.3","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48237171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

Gendered migration responses to drought in Malawi 马拉维对干旱的性别移民反应

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-06 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2021.8

Luis Becerra-Valbuena, Katrin Millock

引用次数: 7

A recent change in the relation between women's income and childbirth: heterogeneous effects of work-family balance policy 妇女收入与生育关系的近期变化：工作与家庭平衡政策的异质性影响

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-04-06 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2021.9

Min-Su Chung, Keunjae Lee

引用次数: 1

The geography of climate migration 气候迁移的地理位置

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2021.6

M. Burzyński, F. Docquier, Hendrik Scheewel

{"title":"The geography of climate migration","authors":"M. Burzyński, F. Docquier, Hendrik Scheewel","doi":"10.1017/dem.2021.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2021.6","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In this paper, we investigate the long-term effects of climate change on the mobility of working-age people. We use a world economy model that covers almost all the countries around the world, and distinguishes between rural and urban regions as well as between flooded and unflooded areas. The model is calibrated to match international and internal mobility data by education level for the last 30 years, and is then simulated under climate change variants. We endogenize the size, dyadic, and skill structure of climate migration. When considering moderate climate scenarios, we predict mobility responses in the range of 70–108 million workers over the course of the twenty-first century. Most of these movements are local or inter-regional. South–South international migration responses are smaller, while the South–North migration response is of the “brain drain” type and induces a permanent increase in the number of foreigners in OECD countries in the range of 6–9% only. Changes in the sea level mainly translate into forced local movements. By contrast, inter-regional and international movements are sensitive to temperature-related changes in productivity. Lastly, we show that relaxing international migration restrictions may exacerbate the poverty effect of climate change at origin if policymakers are unable to select/screen individuals in extreme poverty.","PeriodicalId":43286,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Demographic Economics","volume":"87 1","pages":"345 - 381"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/dem.2021.6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48093698","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

Gender norm conflict and marital outcomes 性别规范冲突与婚姻结果

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2021.7

Francisca M. Antman, Priti Kalsi, Soohyung Lee

引用次数: 2

Mortality decline, productivity increase, and positive feedback between schooling and retirement choices 死亡率下降，生产力提高，教育和退休选择之间的正反馈

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-03 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2020.33

Z. Cai, S. Lau, C. Yuen

引用次数: 0

Does the expectation of having to look after parents in the future affect current fertility? 未来必须照顾父母的期望会影响目前的生育率吗？

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-02 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2020.35

K. Sakata, Colin McKenzie

引用次数: 1

Household expenditure and child health in Vietnam: analysis of longitudinal data 越南家庭支出与儿童健康:纵向数据分析

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2020.24

Trong‐Anh Trinh, Preety Srivastava, Sarah Brown

{"title":"Household expenditure and child health in Vietnam: analysis of longitudinal data","authors":"Trong‐Anh Trinh, Preety Srivastava, Sarah Brown","doi":"10.1017/dem.2020.24","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2020.24","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract While the relationship between socioeconomic status and child health has been studied extensively in developed countries, evidence is limited for developing countries. This study makes an important contribution by examining the relationship between child health and household socioeconomic status in Vietnam, using household expenditure as an alternative measure. This also allows us to explore the mechanisms via which income affects child health, in which household consumption arguably plays a crucial role. We employ different measures of health that allow us to examine both long-run and short-run effects, and two alternative instrumental variables, the unemployment rate and rainfall deviation, to address the potential endogeneity of household expenditure. We find evidence of a strong positive impact of household expenditure on child health and the findings are consistent across age groups. Specifically, a 10% increase in expenditure will result in a weight gain of 213–541 g in a “typical” child. We also explore the effect of a range of exogenous adverse economic shocks on children's health.","PeriodicalId":43286,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Demographic Economics","volume":"88 1","pages":"351 - 377"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/dem.2020.24","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41624783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A meta-analysis of the literature on climate change and migration 气候变化与移民文献的荟萃分析

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2019.22

M. Beine, Lionel Jeusette

{"title":"A meta-analysis of the literature on climate change and migration","authors":"M. Beine, Lionel Jeusette","doi":"10.1017/dem.2019.22","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2019.22","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Recent surveys of the literature on climate change and migration emphasize the important diversity of outcomes and approaches of the empirical studies. In this paper, we conduct a meta-analysis in order to investigate the role of the methodological choices of these empirical studies in finding some particular results concerning the role of climatic factors as drivers of human mobility. We code 51 papers representative of the literature in terms of methodological approaches. This results in the coding of more than 85 variables capturing the methodology of the main dimensions of the analysis at the regression level. These dimensions include authors' reputation, type of mobility, measures of mobility, type of data, context of the study, econometric methods, and last but not least measures of the climatic factors. We look at the influence of these characteristics on the probability of finding any effect of climate change, a displacement effect, an increase in immobility, and evidence in favor of a direct vs. an indirect effect. Our results highlight the role of some important methodological choices, such as the frequency of the data on mobility, the level of development, the measures of human mobility and of the climatic factors as well as the econometric methodology.","PeriodicalId":43286,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Demographic Economics","volume":"87 1","pages":"293 - 344"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/dem.2019.22","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46187249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 63

Domestic and international migration intentions in response to environmental stress: A global cross-country analysis 响应环境压力的国内和国际移民意向:一项全球跨国分析

IF 1.3 4区经济学

Journal of Demographic Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/dem.2020.28

E. Bekaert, Ilse Ruyssen, S. Salomone

{"title":"Domestic and international migration intentions in response to environmental stress: A global cross-country analysis","authors":"E. Bekaert, Ilse Ruyssen, S. Salomone","doi":"10.1017/dem.2020.28","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2020.28","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In light of increasing environmental stress and its likely implications for migration patterns, we conduct a cross-country individual-level analysis of the impact of self-reported exposure to environmental stress on people's migration intentions and their destination choice. We simultaneously model intentions to migrate domestically and internationally for 90 countries worldwide in 2010. We find that self-reported exposure to environmental stress increases the probability to intend to migrate both domestically and internationally in the coming year. In absolute terms, the largest impact is obtained for domestic migration, but controlling for the fact that this is the most common form of migration anyway, environmental stress particularly raises intraregional migration intentions. Overall, the effects on migration intentions to the different destinations are strongest in low- and middle-income countries in Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean, while in high-income countries, and in Europe particularly, environmental stress appears to spur only domestic migration intentions.","PeriodicalId":43286,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Demographic Economics","volume":"87 1","pages":"383 - 436"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1017/dem.2020.28","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45077378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 12