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2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management最新文献

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Integrated Risk Management of Typhoon Disaster to Light Steel Building 轻钢建筑台风灾害综合风险管理
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.67
Y. Jin, Qingshan Yang, Qi Li
{"title":"Integrated Risk Management of Typhoon Disaster to Light Steel Building","authors":"Y. Jin, Qingshan Yang, Qi Li","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.67","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.67","url":null,"abstract":"China, located in the northwestern Pacific, is severely affected by typhoon, and typhoon damage to light steel buildings cause substantial economic losses in China. Field surveys of typhoon damage in Dalian had revealed that light steel building has the high risk of typhoon disasters. The goal of this study is to describe the framework of risk management of typhoon disaster to light steel building, including risk identification, risk analysis, and risk assessment and risk control. This paper reviewed the previous study of risk management, and identified three components of a typhoon hazard to light steel buildings. Then summarized and analyzed several vulnerability models as a reference for developing typhoon disaster vulnerability curves. Finally, the author puts forward some proposals for risk control. The research will be valuable to disaster mitigation effectively and will be useful to property owners, construction units, decision maker and insurance companies to manage typhoon disasters.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"60 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134224426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Application of Multi-agent Evolutionary Algorithm for Load Optimal Dispatching among Power Plant Units 多智能体进化算法在电厂机组负荷优化调度中的应用
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.89
G. Hou, Jianhua Zhang, Xin Yang, B. Zhou
{"title":"Application of Multi-agent Evolutionary Algorithm for Load Optimal Dispatching among Power Plant Units","authors":"G. Hou, Jianhua Zhang, Xin Yang, B. Zhou","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.89","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.89","url":null,"abstract":"This paper deals with load optimal dispatching among power plant units in the context of electric power market competition environment. The multi-agent evolutionary algorithm (MAEA) is specially useful in load optimal dispatching, the model of which is set up based on characteristic curve of the generator coal consumption approached by quadratic function. In particular, the following restraints are considered: power balance, spinning reserve, upper and lower limit, unitpsilas suspending times, minimum continuous suspending time and the minimum continuous running time, and power response speed. The proposed MAEA used in the load optimal dispatching among power plant units for the first time is proved to be feasible and efficient in the simulation result of the example.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"359 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134501006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Transmission Capacity Expansion Investment Decision in Electricity Market 电力市场下输电扩容投资决策
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.75
Zeng Ming, T. Kuo
{"title":"Transmission Capacity Expansion Investment Decision in Electricity Market","authors":"Zeng Ming, T. Kuo","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.75","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.75","url":null,"abstract":"The building of transmission networks in electricity market may always be faced with many uncertain factors, therefore the traditional routines for transmission investment decisions could not meet the new demands of the market. This paper aims at analyzing the behaviors, characters of transmission investment and its scale economy, meanwhile, it will focus on studying the uncertainty of the transmission investment in the electricity market. Options views is adopted for the dilatation of transmission lines to dominate the opportunity costs of the dilatation investment and accordingly , the optimal decision discriminant model is built in the light of the stochastic theory , providing a new assistant decision method for the transmission dilatation investment. Analysis of examples show that the previous model could discriminate reasonably the scale capacity of different transmission lines and their scale economy after dilatation, providing reliable basis for decision-makers.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122842672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Study on Cost and Schedule Control in Warship Planned Maintenance 舰船计划维修成本与进度控制研究
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.29
Xie Li, W. Xiang, Chen Chuan
{"title":"Study on Cost and Schedule Control in Warship Planned Maintenance","authors":"Xie Li, W. Xiang, Chen Chuan","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.29","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.29","url":null,"abstract":"The earned value measure is introduced into the cost and schedule control of warship planned maintenance for the over budget and schedule delays problem. The flowchart and application range of earned value measure is summarized. The application procedure of the earned value measure in the cost and schedule control of warship planned maintenance is given. Then the over budget and schedule delays are analyzed quantitatively in repair of some type warship. For different instance, the concrete forecast methods of cost at completion are put forward in the date of examine, which finally proved that the application of the earned value measure in the cost and schedule control of warship maintenance is feasible and valid.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122856477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Generalized Operator Model in VMI and TPL Integrated Mode VMI与TPL集成模式中的广义算子模型
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.11
Wu Jianbo, Liu Zhixue, Yang Touping
{"title":"Generalized Operator Model in VMI and TPL Integrated Mode","authors":"Wu Jianbo, Liu Zhixue, Yang Touping","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.11","url":null,"abstract":"With the logistics outsourcing more widely used, a growing number of third-party logistics (TPL) were introduced to the VMI (Vendor-managed Inventory) implementation strategy, in this mode, how to effectively integrate the logistics and information flow in the supply chain has become an important research topic. Due to the complexity and a certain randomness of this mode, this paper uses the generalized operator model (GOM) method combined the large-scale system and intelligent control and analyses the information transmission flow in this mode. In accordance with the decomposition and synthesis approach to first establish the coarse-grained GOM and further decompose level by level, according to each decision-making point or the control link to further establish the finer-grained GOM, finally combining the inventory information sharing to construct multi-granularity GOM.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"68 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125546683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of Fuzzy Cluster in the Analysis of Prosperity of Power Consumption Market 模糊聚类在电力消费市场景气度分析中的应用
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.42
Su-fang Zhang, Ben Jiang
{"title":"Application of Fuzzy Cluster in the Analysis of Prosperity of Power Consumption Market","authors":"Su-fang Zhang, Ben Jiang","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.42","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.42","url":null,"abstract":"By making use of the method of fuzzy cluster analysis and various data like GDP, fixed assets investment and electricity consumption of the three major industries, this paper classifies the 9 large cities of Fujian province of China similar in development into the same groups. Based on the result of fuzzy cluster analysis, the paper concludes that the general situation of power consumption affects the macro-economy indexes of the cities, and reveals the different situation of development of the 9 cities. This could provide the relevant departments with reference for making decisions in electricity planning, construction and production.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129240337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Branch and Bound Algorithm for the Order Optimization of Parallel Activities in Project Scheduling 项目调度中并行活动排序优化的分支定界算法
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.106
Xing-mei Li, Su-fang Zhang
{"title":"Branch and Bound Algorithm for the Order Optimization of Parallel Activities in Project Scheduling","authors":"Xing-mei Li, Su-fang Zhang","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.106","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.106","url":null,"abstract":"In order to solve the problem of four parallel activities being adjusted to an order chain of three activities and a parallel activity in deterministic activity-on-arc networks of the CPM type, a new theorem and the comparative method of special order chains of three activities are proposed. Based on the theorem and method, a branch and bound algorithm of the decision tree is described. Through the example, the algorithm minimizes the computational effort in enumerating alternative modes.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128549529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Policy Support and Effectiveness Analysis of Wind Power Concession in China 中国风电特许权的政策支持与有效性分析
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.69
Zhao Erdong, L. Liwei
{"title":"Policy Support and Effectiveness Analysis of Wind Power Concession in China","authors":"Zhao Erdong, L. Liwei","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.69","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.69","url":null,"abstract":"Wind power concession refers to the way of selection of the owner of concession - the concessionaire by bidding, which is mainly carried out by local government with wind resources or its authorized company to delimit a wind resource district with commercial development value. In this paper, strong supporting degree and low effectiveness of the concrete terms of current Chinese policies, laws and regulation directly related to the wind power concession will be discussed and analyzed. By describing and evaluating the situation of policies related to wind power development, it is found that the absence of special wind power law and supplemented laws have become the main obstacles hindering the development of wind power in China. The suggestions to enhance the feasibility of wind power project will be put forward.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"51 6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121204908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Changes in Consumers Behavior at Fitness Clubs among Chinese Urban Residents - Dalian as an Example 中国城市居民健身俱乐部消费行为的变化——以大连市为例
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.50
Bin Wang, Chunyou Wu
{"title":"Changes in Consumers Behavior at Fitness Clubs among Chinese Urban Residents - Dalian as an Example","authors":"Bin Wang, Chunyou Wu","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.50","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.50","url":null,"abstract":"Consumer behavior at fitness clubs has always been a focus of research in the area of leisure and sports, but few attention has been given to behavior changes over time. Since their first appearance in China in 1990s, health and fitness clubs have been playing important roles in urban residentspsila sports and recreation. The behaviors of the exercisers have undergone great changes. A good understanding of the changes and trends of their behavior is very important both for the management of clubs and for the organization of the national fitness movement. Based on two surveys spanning eight years, the paper identifies dramatic changes experienced in the consumerspsila behavior at fitness clubs, from which the trends of consumers demands are predicted. The results could be helpful for the operation of clubs and organization of sports and recreation for urban residents.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"63 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122299816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Structure Database Strategy for Importance Sampling and Application to Pricing Options 重要性抽样结构数据库策略及其在定价期权中的应用
2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management Pub Date : 2008-11-04 DOI: 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.55
Gao Quan-sheng
{"title":"Structure Database Strategy for Importance Sampling and Application to Pricing Options","authors":"Gao Quan-sheng","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.55","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.55","url":null,"abstract":"A framework of combining importance sampling with Structured Database Monte Carlo strategy is developed. The proposed method attempts to devise a generic method for designing importance sampling method. Firstly, evaluation function and objective function are expressed in a way that there is a linear relation between response estimator and majorized function. Order structure is imposed not only on sample paths but also on parameters of candidate density. Then the parameters are estimated by surrogate maximization algorithm. Secondly, cut-off point at which response function can maintain the same sample paths structure is obtained. Based on the low quadratic bound principle and the convexity of the second moment of the estimator, a quadratic surrogate function for objective function is derived. Finally, empirical results show that our approach is straightforward to implement and flexible to be applied in a generic Monte Carlo setting.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"75 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127225662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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