{"title":"Gain Ratio as Attribute Selection Measure in Elegant Decision Tree to Predict Precipitation","authors":"N. Prasad, M. M. Naidu","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.35","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.35","url":null,"abstract":"Prediction of precipitation is a necessary tool in meteorology. To date, it is technologically and scientifically a challenging task for scientists and researchers around the globe. Rainfall is a liquid form of precipitation that depends primarily on humidity, temperature, pressure, wind speed, dew point, and so on. Because rainfall depends on several parameters, its prediction becomes very complex. Approaches such as the back propagation, linear regression, support vector machine, Bayesian networks, and fuzzy logic can be applied, but their rate of prediction is very low, which leads to unpredictable results. This paper aims at improving the prediction of precipitation compared to Supervised Learning in Quest (SLIQ) decision trees, especially when datasets are large. Because SLIQ decision trees take more computational steps to find split points, they consume more time and thus cannot be applied to huge datasets. An elegant decision tree using gain ratio as an attribute selection measure is adopted, which increases the accuracy rate and decreases the computation time. This approach provides an average accuracy of 76.93% with a reduction of 63% in computational time over SLIQ decision trees.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128078796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Simulating Container Terminal Performances: Microscopic vs. Macroscopic Modelling Approaches","authors":"S. de Luca, R. Di Pace, A. Cartenì","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.86","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.86","url":null,"abstract":"Most of the existing contributions for container terminal analysis follow approaches based on optimization models, that are mainly useful to support strategic decisions about terminal container configuration. Many others contributions follow the simulation approach, which allows a detailed analysis but may lead to computational problems and is rather computer demanding, especially when resulting models are used to support optimization. This paper investigated the prediction reliability of two different approaches to container terminal simulation: microscopic and macroscopic. The former simulating single container movement, the latter simulating container flows movement. The microscopic model was a discrete event simulation model, the macroscopic model was a dynamic discrete time based (space-time) network assignment model. Both modelling approaches were implemented and compared taking advantage of some significant investment made by the Salerno Container Terminal (Italy) between 2005 and 2011. In particular, disaggregate (microscopic) and an aggregate (macroscopic) simulation models implemented in 2005 were validated with a large set of data acquired in 2011 after some structural and functional terminal modifications. Through this analysis it was possible to analyze the prediction reliability of both simulation approaches and to draw some operational guidelines.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"33 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122082425","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Application of CUDA Computing Principles in Automatic Flight Control Simulation","authors":"P. Kvasnica, I. Kvasnica","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.120","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.120","url":null,"abstract":"The paper deals with aspects of mathematical modelling that is necessary for successful development of modelling and simulation technology. Several ongoing research efforts aim at improving automation of parallelisation for performance optimization of the Compute Unified Device Architecture (CUDA) software. An Application Processing Interface (API) allows the user to send commands to a graphics processing unit to draw objects on a display. The power of graphics processing unit is used by the simulation. Graphic Processing Unit (GPU) hardware designers have been developing unified processors which are increasingly resembling high-performance parallel computers. CUDA programming is an example of the well known single-programmultiple-data (SIMD) parallel programming method. This kind of programming is a popular method for massively parallel computing systems. When the mathematical models of aircraft control are appropriately designed, the simulation maybe implemented on the GPU. Mathematical models of the automated aircraft control are the systems, in which the regulation can simulate the program on the GPU. The design of mathematical model is analysed at the end of the paper.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"500 1-2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131870371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
J. Ferreiro-Cabello, E. Fraile-García, E. Martínez-Cámara, E. Jiménez-Macías
{"title":"Modelling and Simulation of Slabs Combining Performance, Costs, and Life Cycle Assessment","authors":"J. Ferreiro-Cabello, E. Fraile-García, E. Martínez-Cámara, E. Jiménez-Macías","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.51","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.51","url":null,"abstract":"The useful lifetime of a residential building is at least 50 years according to Spanish law; the decisions to be made in year zero (in construction terms) must be conditioned by the defined phase of use for the building on the one hand, and on the other hand by cautious estimates about the availability of resources for such use. The Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is a tool that models the impact of any product, process or service from the very beginning up to the end. This paper presents an optimization of the selection of slab alternatives in residential buildings, based on modelling and simulation of the costs and environmental impact (using the LCA with Ecoindicator'99 methodology) of all the alternatives with valid behaviour (according with the national laws).","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115073052","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Barbara Glock, G. Wurzer, F. Breitenecker, N. Popper
{"title":"Reverse Engineering Hospital Processes Out of Visited Nodes","authors":"Barbara Glock, G. Wurzer, F. Breitenecker, N. Popper","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.63","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.63","url":null,"abstract":"During hospital planning, \"flow-chart\"-like depictions of processes (nodes and edges) are often overlaid over the floor plan of a clinic, in order to model patient pathways. However, such static definitions may not be accurate, as patients freely cross from one node into another, depending on individual treatment. Modelling each possible sequence of nodes is neither practical nor intelligible. This means graphical complexity due to overlapping edges. In our work, we thus present an edgeless process model in which each node acts as \"dispatcher\": It carries the logic for choosing a next node, thus enabling us to omit edges and introduce dynamic distribution of simulated patients. \"Processes\" (i.e. often-perceived sequences of activities) can nevertheless be inferred in an a posteriori step with an algorithm that will be presented, utilizing the actual patient pathways as indicator. Furthermore, the visualization of how processes are generated out of activity chains by reverse engineering will be discussed too.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"88 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132609972","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alberto de la Calle, F. Cellier, L. Yebra, S. Dormido
{"title":"Improvements in BondLib, the Modelica Bond Graph Library","authors":"Alberto de la Calle, F. Cellier, L. Yebra, S. Dormido","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.58","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.58","url":null,"abstract":"Bond graphs are a natural method for representing power flows in physical systems and they represent the most basic graphical paradigm that is still fully object-oriented. This paper describes a new version of BondLib, the Modelica bond graph library. The library was created for Modelica with graphical Dymola support, and its object-oriented design allows the wrapping of bond graph models offering a user-friendly environment for modeling physical system in multiple energy domains. The new improvements try to reduce the deployment and training cost for end-users by making the error diagnostics easier.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131045059","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Case Branching Backward Simulator for Integer Factorization","authors":"Y. Hiranaka, T. Taketa, S. Miura","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.54","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.54","url":null,"abstract":"To verify the safety of a system, it is desirable to test all the situation, at least, by simulation. However, it is difficult to test the entire situation because the number of situations is almost uncountable. As a promising method, backward simulation which traces back from the undesirable result to causal input(s) is proposed. For such backward simulation, we have to transform the forward model into a backward model. This paper shows an example of transformation in the case of mathematical model of integer factorization, and shows the effectiveness of the backward simulation. Such backward simulation would require case branch processing. And the practicality of the simulation result will be influenced by the efficiency of the case division. We show an effective case branch processing by using stack and threaded actors which are promising schemes applicable to distributed processing.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"46 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134027539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modeling of Hydro-pneumatic Energy Storage System","authors":"J. Petric","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.48","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.48","url":null,"abstract":"Intermittent nature and variable power levels of renewable energy sources requires their integration with energy storage systems. One of the energy storage systems is the hydro-pneumatic system with the hydraulic pump/motor unit and hydro-pneumatic accumulator. The paper deals with the mathematical modeling, design and simulation of such a system. The bond-graph model of the system is given, which leads to the control oriented mathematical model ready for computer simulation. The model includes thermal effects of the system. Simulation analysis of the model shows its functionality.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"49 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131001642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Path Motion Planning for Humanoid Climbing Robot","authors":"Dung Nguyen, A. Shimada","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.41","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.41","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents an algorithm of motion planning of humanoid robot in order to climb vertical surfaces. Robots moving up walls or similarly rampant terrains have been analyzed and developed for a long time, we can see the many robot systems in real world scenarios for window cleaning and inspection applications. Previous researches were usually dedicated to climbing mechanisms with their locomotion and adhesion methods (magnetic, vacuum or suction cups), however, we introduce a more challenging scenario in this paper: A humanoid robot is designed to climb up a climbing wall totally autonomously. Robots are generally expected to assist human lives, and this kind of humanoid climbing robots are expected to be useful to rescue in disaster area. A special algorithm is developed to find the best route to climb up walls at each instant hold coordinate. The presented algorithm is a kind of graph algorithm on clustering, and it can analyze whether target holds are useful or not. The algorithm takes into account the specific abilities of the robot, and it is labeled ``Right Hand Search Algorithm\" (RHSA). Finally, we apply this algorithm to solve a simple practical example and simulate a basic scenario in the real environment for our humanoid climbing robot.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132578503","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Virtual Stochastic Sensors for Reconstructing Job Shop Production Workflows","authors":"C. Krull, G. Horton, B. Denkena, Barbara Dengler","doi":"10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.57","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EUROSIM.2013.57","url":null,"abstract":"Virtual stochastic sensors (VSS) can reconstruct the system behavior of partially observable systems that may contain concurrent non-Markovian activities. These systems can for example occur in industrial production. In this paper, we apply VSS to reconstructing workflows in a job shop. The example application was designed in cooperation with logistics experts to resemble a real job shop. In order to deal with probabilistic decisions in the workflows, we extended Hidden non-Markovian Models to include immediate transitions and modified the corresponding Proxel-based behavior reconstruction algorithm accordingly. Experimental data was acquired using a setup including a printed layout, RFID sensors and a central data collection unit. We were able to reconstruct the actual workflows from the acquired sensor data, which for the first time shows an application of VSS to real measurement data. This first practical application, and the extension of the modeling paradigm takes us forward to our goal of a realistically applicable method for behavior reconstruction based on partial system observations.","PeriodicalId":386945,"journal":{"name":"2013 8th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114077971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}