集装箱码头性能模拟:微观与宏观建模方法

S. de Luca, R. Di Pace, A. Cartenì
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引用次数: 2

摘要

现有的集装箱码头分析大多采用基于优化模型的方法,主要用于支持码头集装箱配置的战略决策。许多其他贡献遵循模拟方法,这种方法允许进行详细的分析,但可能导致计算问题,并且对计算机的要求很高,特别是在使用所得模型来支持优化时。本文研究了两种不同的集装箱码头仿真方法的预测可靠性:微观和宏观。前者模拟单个集装箱的运动,后者模拟集装箱的流动运动。微观模型为离散事件模拟模型,宏观模型为动态离散时间(时空)网络分配模型。这两种建模方法都得到了实施,并利用萨勒诺集装箱码头(意大利)在2005年至2011年间的一些重大投资进行了比较。特别是,2005年实施的分解(微观)和聚合(宏观)模拟模型在进行了一些结构和功能终端修改后,使用2011年获得的大量数据进行了验证。通过这种分析,可以分析两种模拟方法的预测可靠性,并得出一些操作指南。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulating Container Terminal Performances: Microscopic vs. Macroscopic Modelling Approaches
Most of the existing contributions for container terminal analysis follow approaches based on optimization models, that are mainly useful to support strategic decisions about terminal container configuration. Many others contributions follow the simulation approach, which allows a detailed analysis but may lead to computational problems and is rather computer demanding, especially when resulting models are used to support optimization. This paper investigated the prediction reliability of two different approaches to container terminal simulation: microscopic and macroscopic. The former simulating single container movement, the latter simulating container flows movement. The microscopic model was a discrete event simulation model, the macroscopic model was a dynamic discrete time based (space-time) network assignment model. Both modelling approaches were implemented and compared taking advantage of some significant investment made by the Salerno Container Terminal (Italy) between 2005 and 2011. In particular, disaggregate (microscopic) and an aggregate (macroscopic) simulation models implemented in 2005 were validated with a large set of data acquired in 2011 after some structural and functional terminal modifications. Through this analysis it was possible to analyze the prediction reliability of both simulation approaches and to draw some operational guidelines.
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