Global TransitionsPub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2024-11-29DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.11.002
Aswathy Sreedevi , Ahmad Mohammad , Mini Satheesh , Anuja Ushakumari , Anil Kumar , Raveendran Geetha , Saritha Narayankutty , Neethu Valsala Mohan , Ajay Aparna , Neeraj Mohandas , Brilly Rose , Gopakumar Soumya , Sachin David , Vishnu Menon , Jaideep C Menon
{"title":"SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics in household case-contact study: Biological sample analysis from India","authors":"Aswathy Sreedevi , Ahmad Mohammad , Mini Satheesh , Anuja Ushakumari , Anil Kumar , Raveendran Geetha , Saritha Narayankutty , Neethu Valsala Mohan , Ajay Aparna , Neeraj Mohandas , Brilly Rose , Gopakumar Soumya , Sachin David , Vishnu Menon , Jaideep C Menon","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.11.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.11.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>This study aimed to determine RNA positivity in nasopharyngeal samples, urine and stool, period to seropositivity, viral clearance and associated factors.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A cohort study was conducted multicentrically in Kerala, India, among 147 SARS-CoV-2 patients and 347 household contacts. Serial nasopharyngeal swabs, feces, urine, and serum samples were collected on days 1, 7, 14, and 28. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine factors associated with RNA positivity, viral clearance and seropositivity.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among the index cases, median duration for respiratory samples to test negative was 10.5, 7 days in <18 and > 18 years respectively. The median period of RNA detection in feces was longer at 14 days (IQR 7, 28). The independent determinants of RT-PCR negativity of nasopharyngeal samples at >7 days was fever a OR 3.3 (95 % CI 1.1, 10.5). In the multivariable analysis for antibody response, those with less than or equal to 12 years of schooling had five times higher risk of being seronegative [aOR 5.2 (95 % CI 1.6, 16.7)]. Shedding of the virus in stool was more common among those aged <40 years (a OR 2.8, 95 % CI 1.2, 6.4) and among those who had fever (a OR 3.4, 95 % CI 1.1, 10.8). Among the contacts the seropositivity was determined by being illiterate 1.8 (95 % CI 1.1, 3.2), and reporting any symptom from day 1–14 aOR 3.2 (95 % CI 1.9, 5.2).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The shorter duration of RNA positivity in respiratory samples and viral shedding in stool has implications for managing infection control and monitoring in diverse populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 21-28"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143130067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2025-03-14DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.003
Thang Nam Do
{"title":"Reimagining carbon border adjustment mechanisms: A path to climate and development synergy","authors":"Thang Nam Do","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The European Union (EU)'s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) imposes import charges tied to carbon intensity and is set for full enforcement by 2026. Although it aims to reduce global emissions, its one-size-fits-all structure risks penalizing developing nations that often lack financial and technical resources for rapid decarbonization. This article presents “CBAM-Plus,” a framework that reinvests CBAM revenues in clean energy infrastructure, facilitates technology transfer, and recognizes non-pricing mitigation strategies. By bridging capacity gaps and channeling funds toward local development, CBAM-Plus seeks to promote decarbonization without reinforcing global inequities. As additional countries consider carbon border policies, measures that align climate objectives with development priorities are vital to preventing a new global carbon divide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 144-147"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143684673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2025-04-14DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.004
Abeer Omira , Soumaya Grira , Abdel-Hamid I. Mourad , Mohammad Alkhedher
{"title":"The new generation of cosmetics packaging: A paradigm shift","authors":"Abeer Omira , Soumaya Grira , Abdel-Hamid I. Mourad , Mohammad Alkhedher","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The growing environmental and health concerns surrounding conventional cosmetic packaging demand urgent attention. This work proposes a paradigm shift in cosmetic packaging by introducing the concept of “The New Generation of Cosmetics Packaging,” which focuses on sustainable and biodegradable alternatives. The review outlines a structured approach, presenting a framework that explores promising materials such as wood plastic composites (WPC), polylactic acid (PLA), polyhydroxyalkanoates (PHA), and cellulose-based materials. It further investigates processing and testing methods, along with innovative solutions like nanotechnology, 3D printing, and edible packaging. Additionally, it highlights the challenges that must be addressed for successful transition, and the policies that should be taken into consideration. The outcomes of this work confirm the importance of adopting a New Generation of Cosmetic Packaging to overcome the drawbacks of conventional packaging. The proposed paradigm shift provides a forward-looking pathway and proposes a coordinated approach from industry, policy-makers, and consumers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 223-246"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143854482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2023-11-28DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2023.11.001
Jiaruo Sun , Qingyu Li , Yuhang Zhang , Jiayin Zheng , Zi Xi , Xinyu Tan , Ashish Kumar Gupta , Nandita Murukutla , Melina Samar Magsumbol , Tom Carroll , Rebecca Perl , Wenzhuo Liang , Sufang Yang , Fuchang Ma , Lin Xiao , Sitong Luo
{"title":"A mix-methods concept testing study of short videos for the national anti-cigarette gift giving campaign in China","authors":"Jiaruo Sun , Qingyu Li , Yuhang Zhang , Jiayin Zheng , Zi Xi , Xinyu Tan , Ashish Kumar Gupta , Nandita Murukutla , Melina Samar Magsumbol , Tom Carroll , Rebecca Perl , Wenzhuo Liang , Sufang Yang , Fuchang Ma , Lin Xiao , Sitong Luo","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2023.11.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2023.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><p>The study aimed to evaluate the potential effect of creative concepts and scripts of different short videos for the “National Anti-Cigarette Gift Giving Campaign” during the Chinese Lunar New Year.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>The concept testing study used a mix-method design combining quantitative survey and qualitative group discussion. Online focus group discussions (FGD) were conducted among general population in Beijing, the capital city, and Xining City, Qinghai Province in China in December 2021. A total of 192 participants were recruited and divided into 16 FGD groups by age, sex, smoking history, and socio-economic level.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>A total of five short videos were tested. Both quantitative and qualitative findings showed that the concepts and scripts of all the alternative short videos were easy to understand, but differences were observed in their potential to change participants’ behavioral intentions of cigarette gift-giving and culture appropriateness. “Gamified couple at home” was considered as the most suitable short video for wide dissemination during the Chinese Lunar New Year because of its innovative style and potential effectiveness in changing behavioral intentions. Although the short video themed “Gifting harm” showed a pronounced impact on personal motivation to not give cigarettes as gifts, it was not recommended due to the cultural inappropriateness.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Future development of public service advertisements such as short videos targeting tobacco control is suggested to use evidence-based research to identify the most effective and appropriate concepts. Due consideration should be extended to the cultural appropriateness of communication content and its alignment with the relevant occasion.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 1-9"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791823000270/pdfft?md5=fd2eb66edae4c54d6c732c5a6f724d94&pid=1-s2.0-S2589791823000270-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138465916","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2023-12-25DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2023.12.003
Jianqi Chen , Yingting Zhu , Zhidong Li , Xuhao Chen , Xiaohong Chen , Shaofen Huang , Rui Xie , Yuan Zhang , Guitong Ye , Ruiyu Luo , Xinyue Shen , Lifeng Lin , Yehong Zhuo
{"title":"Global impact of population aging on vision loss prevalence: A population-based study","authors":"Jianqi Chen , Yingting Zhu , Zhidong Li , Xuhao Chen , Xiaohong Chen , Shaofen Huang , Rui Xie , Yuan Zhang , Guitong Ye , Ruiyu Luo , Xinyue Shen , Lifeng Lin , Yehong Zhuo","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2023.12.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2023.12.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Vision loss is a leading cause of healthy life loss in late adulthood. We aimed to comprehensively examine the impact of population aging on vision loss prevalence worldwide.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>This population-based study used repeated cross-sectional data on vision loss and its related causes from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. We investigated the impact of population aging by decomposing changes in vision loss prevalence into contributions of population growth, population aging, and epidemiological rate changes using the latest decomposition method and comparing the net effect of population aging and epidemiological rate changes.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The global vision loss prevalence attributed to population aging increased from 1991 to 2019, reaching 183.37 million in 2019. In relation to the 19 vision loss causes, the greatest increase in population aging-attributed vision loss prevalence was observed for near vision loss, refraction disorders, and cataract, whereas the contributions of glaucoma, diabetic retinopathy, and age-related macular degeneration were not substantial. The impact of population aging on vision loss prevalence varied greatly worldwide based on development levels. However, in most countries, the increase in vision loss prevalence caused by population aging exceeded far and could not be offset by epidemiological rate variations.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>With the aging of the population, vision loss has become one of the most serious public health concerns. It is imperative that policy makers invest more in vision health preventive medicine and implement proven, cost-effective interventions to combat the epidemic of vision loss as the population ages.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 28-36"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791823000403/pdfft?md5=b4100b7fd04def055d043f9074335ad9&pid=1-s2.0-S2589791823000403-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139050460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2024-06-13DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.001
Supa Pengpid , Karl Peltzer , Dararatt Anantanasuwong , Wasin Kaewchankha
{"title":"Longitudinal associations between living alone, childlessness and mental health and mortality in ageing adults in Thailand","authors":"Supa Pengpid , Karl Peltzer , Dararatt Anantanasuwong , Wasin Kaewchankha","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>This study aimed to evaluate the longitudinal relationships between living alone, being childless, and six mental health indicators and mortality in older adults in Thailand between 2015 and 2020.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We examined prospective cohort data from the Health, Aging and Retirement in Thailand (HART) study, which included participants 45 years of age and older (N = 2863) from three successive waves in 2015, 2017, and 2020. Mental health indicators were assessed by self-report. We used Generalized Estimating Equations analysis (GEE) to evaluate the longitudinal relationships between measures of living alone, childlessness and six mental health indicators and mortality.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The proportion of living alone was 6.3 % and childlessness 9.9 % in 2015, while living alone only was 3.9 %, childlessness only 7.5 % and both living alone and childlessness 2.4 % in 2015. In the adjusted model, living alone only was among men positively associated with depressive symptoms, loneliness, poor quality of life and mortality, and among women only positively associated with poor quality of life. Childlessness only was among women positively associated with depressive symptoms, insomnia symptoms, loneliness, poor quality of life, poor self-rated mental health, and mortality, and among men with depressive symptoms, loneliness, poor quality of life and poor self-rated mental health. Both living alone and childlessness was among men associated with four mental health indicators (depressive symptoms, insomnia symptoms, loneliness, and poor quality of life), and among women two mental health indicators (loneliness and poor quality of life), all with higher odds ratios than in living alone only and childlessness only.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Living alone only, childlessness only and/or both living alone and childlessness were associated with several poor mental health indicators and/or mortality. Enhanced screening and management of living alone and being childless may improve mental health in Thailand.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 145-151"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791824000082/pdfft?md5=88e32601337a7427a55a5ced090951d9&pid=1-s2.0-S2589791824000082-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141323022","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2024-06-27DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.003
Amritha S , Patel VK , Kuttippurath J , Varikoden Hamza
{"title":"The COVID-19 lockdown induced changes of SO2 pollution in its Human-made global hotspots","authors":"Amritha S , Patel VK , Kuttippurath J , Varikoden Hamza","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Sulphur dioxide (SO<sub>2</sub>) is a hazardous air pollutant, which is mostly emitted from burning of fossil fuels, and has an adverse impact on the human health and ecosystem functioning. The COVID-19 natural anthropause (lockdown) provides a great opportunity to understand the changes in SO<sub>2</sub> pollution across the globe, as there was a temporary standstill for most human activities. Therefore, we analyse the changes in global SO₂ pollution during lockdown compared to pre-lockdown and identify its hotspots driven by human activities using satellite measurements, reanalysis data and emission inventory. We observe a decline in SO₂ pollution of about 2.21 % in its global average, −21.05 % in Indo-Gangatic Plain, −16 % in East China, −7.67 % in East United States of America, −3.99 % in Western Europe and −3.85 % in Middle East owing to the halt in human activities such as industrial and transport operations, as found from the emissions inventory. There are point and aerial hotspots of SO₂ pollution across the globe (e.g. cities or industrial units), which also show a decrease (20–30 %) in SO₂ pollution during the anthropause. Fossil fuel burning in thermal power plants is a major source of SO<sub>2</sub> pollution, and it has declined notably (1–12 %) during the lockdown in the major coal consuming countries such as the United States, China, Japan, Canada, Brazil, Australia, France, Germany, Spain, Italy and the United Kingdom. Therefore, lockdown provides a clear understanding of global human-driven hotspots of SO₂ pollution and their changes, which would help us to make better and effective air pollution mitigation strategies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 152-163"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791824000100/pdfft?md5=dfe5f245a54accc6cd970ea6767adce2&pid=1-s2.0-S2589791824000100-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141485059","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2024-06-07DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.05.002
Mariam A. Mostafa , Joy Oluwaseun Ogunmuyiwa , Kathryne Appleby Tenney , Sai Lone Tip , CarlosO. Zegarra Zamalloa , Jeffery C. Blossom , Tlebere Mpo
{"title":"Health for all: Primary care facility localization in Lesotho using qualitative research and GIS","authors":"Mariam A. Mostafa , Joy Oluwaseun Ogunmuyiwa , Kathryne Appleby Tenney , Sai Lone Tip , CarlosO. Zegarra Zamalloa , Jeffery C. Blossom , Tlebere Mpo","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.05.002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2024.05.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Lesotho has made significant strides towards universal health coverage and yet a significant proportion of the population has difficulty accessing health care services due to mountainous terrain and long travel times to nearest health facility. There have been previous studies that utilized Geographical Information Systems (GIS) to assess access to healthcare and to identify optimal locations for placement of new health facilities, though never in Lesotho.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>The authors employed a mixed-methods design. Qualitative research consisting of semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions was used to gain a deep understanding of the problem with access to healthcare and to allow for the perspectives of the people of Lesotho to guide decision-making about placement of new healthcare facilities. GIS analysis was done using ArcGIS Pro v. 2.3 software and modern satellite imagery to map current access to healthcare facilities and create site recommendations for new healthcare facilities.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Qualitative research revealed that walking was the primary mode of transport to healthcare facilities and that distance was the crucial barrier in limiting access to care. Decentralization in decision-making was identified as an important element in health policy decisions and study participants recommended placing health facilities centrally in large villages. GIS analysis identified that 77.7 % of the population was currently within 3-h walking distance to nearest health facility and that the addition of fifty new healthcare facilities would increase that proportion to 90.0 %.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>This study mapped current access to care in Lesotho in rural and urban areas. It also provided an objective strategy for identifying the location of new healthcare facilities while incorporating the voices of the people of Lesotho in the process. The findings can be used to assist policymakers, and the methodology can be employed in the allocation of other public-service facilities in different countries or regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 123-135"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791824000069/pdfft?md5=bffbf6d9e77522fa78734b32b26ca207&pid=1-s2.0-S2589791824000069-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141290852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.004
Rienne Wilts, Wolfgang Britz
{"title":"Distribution matters: Long-term quantification of the Sustainable Development Goals with household detail for different socio-economic pathways","authors":"Rienne Wilts, Wolfgang Britz","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2024.06.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Knowledge about upcoming sustainability challenges is crucial to tackle them by political incentives, not at least to reach the United Nations’ 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). SDGs are multi-dimensional and require detail beyond an aggregate household approach to assess income inequality and other differences across households in transformative processes. Incorporating these aspects, we develop an SDG indicator framework for dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Models with a total of 68 endogenous indicators related to 15 SDGs. This enables a more differentiated assessment of the SDGs in forward looking analysis compared to existing approaches, by considering additional SDG indicators and household level detail based on micro-simulation. We apply the indicator framework in a global analysis of 3 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) until 2050 with a focus on selected low- and lower-middle income countries from different continents. The analysis finds sustainability gaps by 2030 and 2050 for all focus countries, especially in the environmental domain. In none of the analyzed SSPs, all indicators develop in the desired direction, underlining trade-off among and within SDGs, but also across the SSPs. Based on household detail, we find increasing inequality over time for several indicators regardless of developments at average aggregate household level, pointing at the need for targeted redistribution and compensation policies. These results highlight the importance of including distributional aspects and disaggregated data in policy and socioeconomic development studies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 173-186"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791824000112/pdfft?md5=cb4893678bc80104f0374a176a8c0c21&pid=1-s2.0-S2589791824000112-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141541037","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global TransitionsPub Date : 2024-01-01Epub Date: 2024-10-29DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.10.004
Liangyu Kang , Jian Hu , Kangning Cai , Wenzhan Jing , Min Liu , Wannian Liang
{"title":"The Intelligent Infectious Disease Active Surveillance and early warning system in China: An application of dengue prevention and control","authors":"Liangyu Kang , Jian Hu , Kangning Cai , Wenzhan Jing , Min Liu , Wannian Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.10.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.10.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Utilizing advanced information technologies such as big data and artificial intelligence (AI), China has established and implemented the Intelligent Infectious Disease Active Surveillance and Early Warning System. It provides new tools for the surveillance, early warning, and response to infectious diseases, enhancing the timeliness, scientific basis, and efficiency of epidemic control efforts. The system comprises four functional modules including multi-channel active surveillance, intelligent early warning, data-driven risk assessment, and smart emergency response. This paper provides a detailed overview of the structure and functions of the Intelligent Infectious Disease Active Surveillance and Early Warning System in China, with a specific focus on its application in dengue prevention and control in Hainan Province from February to May 2024. Firstly, the system can proactively capture and integrate heterogeneous surveillance data from multiple sources. Based on these multi-channel data, users can select appropriate warning indicators and AI models to automatically trigger early warnings. Using vast amounts of surveillance data, the system can construct machine learning models to accurately assess the transmission risk of infectious diseases. In terms of emergency response, the system offers powerful tools for early diagnosis, smart epidemiological investigation, digital contact tracing, vaccine and drug development, and evaluation of intervention measures. This system facilitates early detection, reporting, and management of outbreaks, serving as a valuable reference for other countries and regions. Nevertheless, continuous efforts are needed to strengthen scientific research and multidisciplinary collaboration, establish reliable data collection mechanisms, enhance continuous model monitoring and adjustments, and leverage the latest large language models. In the future, the system will be further optimized to help control emerging and major infectious diseases more effectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"6 ","pages":"Pages 249-255"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142650926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}