Global Transitions最新文献_第4页

Exposure to surface ozone and its associated health effects and economic burden in India 印度地表臭氧暴露及其相关的健康影响和经济负担

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.002

G.S. Gopikrishnan , T.S. Ardra , J. Kuttippurath

{"title":"Exposure to surface ozone and its associated health effects and economic burden in India","authors":"G.S. Gopikrishnan , T.S. Ardra , J. Kuttippurath","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Surface ozone is a secondary air pollutant and when its exposure exceeds the threshold of 70 μg/m<sup>3</sup> for 8 h, it can make adverse health effects. This study assesses surface ozone pollution in India using satellite and ground-based measurements. The exposure to surface ozone varies between seasons, from a pre-monsoon (March, April, and May) maximum (30–50 μg/m<sup>3</sup>) to a monsoon (June, July, August, and September) minimum (<25 μg/m<sup>3</sup>). However, there are many regions with ozone exceeding an exposure threshold of 70 μg/m<sup>3</sup>. This results in about 29000 mortalities in 45 out of 220 Indian cities based on the ground-based measurements considered. Estimates of mortality related to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and Ischemic Heart Disease (IHD) show a total of about 51154 deaths for the year 2022 as deduced from the satellite measurements. Also, the economic burden of premature mortality from ozone exposure is 16.83 billion USD, which is about 1.5 times the health budget of India in 2022. Therefore, it is imperative to address surface ozone pollution to ensure economic stability, protect public health and mitigate climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 148-158"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143706128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Interplay between poverty, poverty eradication and sustainable development: A semi-systematic literature review 贫困、消除贫困与可持续发展之间的相互作用：半系统的文献综述

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.11.001

Affandi , Yunastiti Purwaningsih , Lukman Hakim , Tri Mulyaningsih

{"title":"Interplay between poverty, poverty eradication and sustainable development: A semi-systematic literature review","authors":"Affandi , Yunastiti Purwaningsih , Lukman Hakim , Tri Mulyaningsih","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.11.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purposes</h3><div>This research aims to identify the most appropriate analytical tools for future poverty and sustainable development analysis, whether quantitative, qualitative, or mixed methods. It also aims to determine the factors influencing poverty, which can be categorized into several groups.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This study used Semi-Literature Review (SLR) to review articles published in online scientific databases from Google Scholar and Sciendirect.com from 2008 to 2024. It selected 149 papers that passed the identification, screening, eligibility, and inclusion process. The selected articles were discussed using two approaches: quantitative with the help of the VOSviewer application and qualitative analysis.</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>The analytic tools recommended for further research are qualitative methods, mainly in-depth interviews with focus group discussions with relevant parties; quantitative methods, including multilevel logistic analysis models and spatial analysis; and a mixed methods approach using a grounded theory approach. The causes of poverty are not only related to the economy or income. The findings show that a multidimensional approach to poverty is essential to address it and promote sustainable development effectively. Seven dimensions affect poverty.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>To assess poverty alleviation and achieve sustainable development, a holistic, multidimensional approach combines capabilities, institutions, and sustainability. Some multidimensional factors that need to be studied to see their influence on poverty and sustainable development are energy accessibility, the type of human capital needed, care among fellow social beings, the role of government in providing infrastructure for the community, and the role of financial institutions in empowering low-income communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 1-20"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142742938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Effective COVID-19 preventive measures for Thai residents in environmental risk areas and significant determinants of self-preventive behaviors 环境风险地区泰国居民有效的COVID-19预防措施和自我预防行为的重要决定因素

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.02.002

Weerawat Ounsaneha , Orapin Laosee , Piyapong Janmaimool , Thunwadee Tachapattaworakul Suksaroj , Cheerawit Rattanapan

{"title":"Effective COVID-19 preventive measures for Thai residents in environmental risk areas and significant determinants of self-preventive behaviors","authors":"Weerawat Ounsaneha , Orapin Laosee , Piyapong Janmaimool , Thunwadee Tachapattaworakul Suksaroj , Cheerawit Rattanapan","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.02.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.02.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aimed to identify effective COVID-19 preventive measures and significant determinants of self-preventive behaviors (SPBs) among Thais residing in environmental risk area. The populations comprised 1130 residents from five province located in the highest level of environmental risk exposure area in Thailand. A structured questionnaire was employed to indicate the COVID-19 preventive behaviors. The difference of preventive behaviors between COVID-19 positive and negative residents was analyzed using the <em>t</em>-test and then significant determinants of SPBs were examined using path analysis. The results showed that of 9 SPBs, 5 types including wearing facial masks, keeping social distancing, practicing hand washing, avoiding contacting people with COVID symptoms and using alcohol or hand sanitizer spray among noninfected participants were higher than among COVID-19 positive participants. For the result of path analysis, trust and attitude toward adherence to preventive behaviors was indicated as the greatest direct effect on SPBs. In addition, trust in the government's recommendations for self-prevention and knowledge about self-prevention had the most and second most total effects on SPBs, respectively. This finding suggested that effective COVID-19 measures of SPBs among residents were recommended by the Thai government with daily broadcasts on public television and social media. The combined concepts of infectious control and environmental management could be implemented to effectively control cases in highly polluted cities to improve resilience related to COVID-19 prevention.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 118-127"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143563716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Mindscapes and landscapes: Framing planetary health education and pedagogy for sustainable development in Africa 思维景观和景观：为非洲可持续发展构建全球卫生教育和教学法

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.02.004

Bob O. Manteaw , Kirk B. Enu

{"title":"Mindscapes and landscapes: Framing planetary health education and pedagogy for sustainable development in Africa","authors":"Bob O. Manteaw , Kirk B. Enu","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.02.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.02.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores the urgent need for reconceptualization of education and learning in Africa within the framework of planetary health as a critical response to the escalating environmental and health crises. It argues that the current planetary crisis, marked by harmful climate change impacts, ecological degradation and the disruption of natural systems, is not only an environmental or health issue but also a crisis of the mind—knowledge, education and cognition. The paper critiques the dominant educational paradigms in Africa, which are heavily influenced by human-centered colonial educational legacies that often ignore the interconnectedness of human and non-human systems. In mindscapes and landscapes, therefore, the paper foregrounds the disconnect between human actions on nature and the integrity of natural systems. The paper advocates for a transformational educational paradigm that integrates Indigenous knowledge Systems while highlighting the value of non-human systems beyond their economic utility. It proposes the adoption of a planetary health education approach that promotes systems thinking, ecological mindfulness and the mutuality between humans and the natural environment as determinants of health and wellbeing. This approach, the paper argues, is essential for fostering sustainable development practices that emphasize the integrity of natural systems, as well as equipping learners with the knowledge, skills and competencies needed to address the complex challenges of the Anthropocene. The paper calls on higher education institutions in Africa to show leadership through intentional educational and pedagogical transformations that embed Planetary Health concepts and concerns in cross-curricular and transdisciplinary learning processes to challenge dominant narratives of human-centered development obsessions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 136-143"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143610748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Benefits and impact of technology-enhanced learning applications in higher education in Middle East and North Africa: A systematic review 中东和北非高等教育中技术增强学习应用的效益和影响：系统综述

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.06.004

Nada Eltaiba , Samira Hosseini , Kingsley Okoye

{"title":"Benefits and impact of technology-enhanced learning applications in higher education in Middle East and North Africa: A systematic review","authors":"Nada Eltaiba , Samira Hosseini , Kingsley Okoye","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.06.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.06.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Technology-enhanced learning (TEL) uses digital tools and technologies to improve learning experiences by addressing educational challenges such as accessibility, equity, and quality. There is evidence that it comes with issues like digital divide, limited infrastructure, socio-technical and cultural challenges, particularly in low-and-middle income or low-tech regions like Middle East and North Africa (MENA). This study explores the benefits and impact of TEL, and extent to its application in higher education in the MENA region. A systematic review using PRISMA methodology identified and analyzed 85 peer-reviewed studies from 2015 to 2024. Scholarly search for articles was done using Scopus and Web of Science (WoS) databases. Data analysis used trend analysis, geographical distribution, and thematic synthesis of TEL benefits, challenges, and implementation in MENA through methods such as Concept mapping and Text mining in VOSviewer, Tableau, and R statistics software. The results emphasize the transformative potential of TEL in MENA, but identifies critical research gaps, such as limited longitudinal studies, underexplored MENA contexts, limited training for educators, which hinders equitable adoption, and need for comprehensive strategies to address systemic barriers. TEL adoption varied across the MENA region, with resource-rich and high-tech countries leading the TEL integration process driven by national policies and strategic investment, while underrepresented nations face significant barriers, which require targeted interventions. The paper empirically sheds light on the theoretical and practical implications of the study toward effective application and adoption of TEL-based learning in MENA, expanding geographic or sectoral coverage, prioritizing of stakeholder perspectives, and exploring advanced TEL technologies to ensure inclusive and sustainable educational practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 350-374"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144330693","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Impact of CO2 emissions, income, and urbanization on health status in GCC countries: A moderating role of energy consumption 二氧化碳排放、收入和城市化对海湾合作委员会国家健康状况的影响：能源消耗的调节作用

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.005

Hatem Hatef Abdulkadhim Altaee , Fakher Rahim , Kenesh Dzhusupov , Karlygash Toguzbaeva

{"title":"Impact of CO2 emissions, income, and urbanization on health status in GCC countries: A moderating role of energy consumption","authors":"Hatem Hatef Abdulkadhim Altaee , Fakher Rahim , Kenesh Dzhusupov , Karlygash Toguzbaeva","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Life expectancy is often considered the most effective measure for evaluating a nation's health status. In light of this, the study investigates the impact of carbon dioxide emissions on life expectancy in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, controlling for economic growth (GDPpc), energy consumption, and urbanization between 1990 and 2020. To ensure the validity and reliability of the findings, the study employs a robust methodology, including Unit Root, cross-sectional dependence tests, and the novel method of moments quantile regression. The findings were further validated through additional models such as Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square, Panel-Corrected Standard Error, and Feasible Generalized Least Square, which ensure the robustness of the results. The estimation results consistently reveal an inverse relationship between CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and life expectancy, underscoring the negative health impacts of environmental degradation. In contrast, GDP per capita, urbanization, and energy consumption contribute positively to life expectancy. The study also identifies energy consumption as a mediator that exacerbates the negative effects of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions on health outcomes in the GCC. Overall, the study's conclusions are sound and based on comprehensive statistical tests, indicating high validity and reliability. However, the study's completeness is somewhat limited as it excludes potential health determinants such as healthcare quality and lifestyle factors, which could introduce omitted variable bias. Nonetheless, the results offer compelling insights for GCC policymakers, recommending immediate actions to reduce CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and prioritize clean energy to improve health outcomes in alignment with Sustainable Development Goal 3.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 211-222"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143854483","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Model for assessing environmental sustainability performance in the agricultural sector: A case study on plantain cultivation 农业部门环境可持续性绩效评估模型：以大蕉种植为例

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.001

Alexis Rojas Ospina , Alexander Zúñiga Collazos

{"title":"Model for assessing environmental sustainability performance in the agricultural sector: A case study on plantain cultivation","authors":"Alexis Rojas Ospina , Alexander Zúñiga Collazos","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.04.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study develops and validates a structural model to assess the relationship between agricultural activity (AA) and Environmental Sustainability Performance (ESP). The model was empirically tested in plantain crops in Valle del Cauca, Colombia, using structural equation modeling (SEM) to examine causal relationships among key sustainability factors. Data were collected through a structured 28-item instrument applied to 600 administrators, managers, and owners of Agricultural Production Units (APUs). The analysis, conducted using partial least squares SEM (PLS-SEM) in SmartPLS 4.0, reveals that Business Associativity (BA), Agricultural Management (AM), Citizen Participation (CP), and Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) have a direct and positive effect on ESP. Moreover, significant indirect effects are observed between ICTs and AM, ICTs and CP, and AM and BA, highlighting their interconnected influence on ESP. These findings emphasize the strategic role of associativity, management practices, digital transformation, and civic engagement in enhancing sustainability outcomes. The study provides actionable insights for policymakers and stakeholders, advocating for targeted interventions and data-driven policies to foster sustainable agricultural practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 175-188"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143833703","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring the impact of globalization and economic-energy dynamics on environmental sustainability in the EU 探讨全球化和经济能源动态对欧盟环境可持续性的影响

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2024.12.002

Aura Girlovan, Cristiana Tudor, Gabriel Robert Saiu, Daniel Dumitru Guse

{"title":"Exploring the impact of globalization and economic-energy dynamics on environmental sustainability in the EU","authors":"Aura Girlovan, Cristiana Tudor, Gabriel Robert Saiu, Daniel Dumitru Guse","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.12.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2024.12.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the determinants of environmental sustainability by analyzing the impact of various economic, fiscal, and energy-related variables on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and energy intensity (EI) across 27 European Union member states from 2005 to 2022. Using dynamic panel data analysis through the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, we explore how key factors such as GDP per capita growth, foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investments (PI), trade openness (TO), and stock market performance (SMP) influence environmental outcomes. Additionally, the analysis examines the role of fiscal policies, represented by government deficit/surplus (GDT), and energy-related factors, such as renewable energy consumption (REC) and research and development expenditure (ERD), in shaping sustainability. The findings reveal that while GDP growth correlates positively with increased GHG emissions, it negatively impacts energy intensity, suggesting that economic expansion may drive emissions upward while concurrently promoting greater energy efficiency. Trade openness significantly mitigates GHG emissions, indicating that enhanced international trade facilitates access to cleaner technologies. The effects of FDI and PI present a more ambivalent picture, often associated with elevated GHG emissions in the absence of stringent regulatory frameworks. Notably, renewable energy adoption emerges as a critical driver of sustainability, effectively mitigating the environmental impacts of globalization. This study provides valuable insights into the complex interplay between economic globalization and environmental sustainability, offering actionable policy recommendations to align economic growth with the EU's long-term environmental objectives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 41-55"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143130070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Navigating climate change impacts on agricultural productivity, food and human health security in developing countries 应对气候变化对发展中国家农业生产力、粮食和人类健康安全的影响

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.07.002

Fatima Azdagaz , Omar Zirari , Mariem Liouaeddine

{"title":"Navigating climate change impacts on agricultural productivity, food and human health security in developing countries","authors":"Fatima Azdagaz , Omar Zirari , Mariem Liouaeddine","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.07.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.07.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines climate change impacts on agricultural productivity and human health across 20 developing countries (2000–2020) using Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel-ARDL) methodology. Our systems approach models dynamic relationships between climate variables, food production, and nutritional outcomes, addressing multicollinearity through variance inflation tests and alternative specifications. National carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emissions serve as proxies for multiple climate pathways including temperature variations and economic development patterns affecting food systems. Results reveal strong negative long-run relationships between CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and food production, with positive associations with child stunting. The Pooled Mean Group estimator demonstrates homogeneous long-run coefficients while allowing heterogeneous short-term dynamics across countries. The paradoxical positive CO<sub>2</sub>-food insecurity relationship reflects greater climate stresses and inequitable benefit distribution in higher-emission countries. Health impacts exhibit greater persistence than production shocks, emphasizing comprehensive monitoring needs. Findings suggest integrated policies combining climate mitigation, productivity enhancement, and health system strengthening for resilient food systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 430-440"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144634172","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Assessing the impact of sustainability risks on disaster and pandemic vulnerabilities: A global perspective 评估可持续性风险对灾害和大流行病脆弱性的影响：全球视角

Global Transitions Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.001

Abroon Qazi , Linda C. Angell , Mecit Can Emre Simsekler , Abdelkader Daghfous , M.K.S. Al-Mhdawi

{"title":"Assessing the impact of sustainability risks on disaster and pandemic vulnerabilities: A global perspective","authors":"Abroon Qazi , Linda C. Angell , Mecit Can Emre Simsekler , Abdelkader Daghfous , M.K.S. Al-Mhdawi","doi":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.glt.2025.03.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of failing to achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) on disaster and pandemic vulnerabilities, providing a country-level perspective to inform resilience planning. The study introduces the concept of SDG-related risk, defined as the probability of not achieving the desired SDG, and classifies these risks into three categories: high, medium, and low. Using a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) framework, two probabilistic models are developed to evaluate the influence of SDG performance on disaster risk and COVID-19 vulnerability across 165 countries. The results highlight that shortcomings in SDGs such as ‘quality education’, ‘sustainable cities and communities’, ‘no poverty’, and ‘affordable and clean energy’ significantly increase disaster and pandemic risks. Conversely, strong performance in ‘peace, justice and strong institutions’ and ‘life on land’ enhances systemic resilience. Countries with very high disaster risk are particularly exposed to deficiencies in SDGs related to ‘peace, justice and strong institutions’, ‘sustainable cities and communities’, and ‘good health and well-being’. For COVID-19 risk, ‘affordable and clean energy’ emerges as the most critical SDG influencing high-risk exposure, whereas ‘climate action’ is pivotal in predicting low-risk states. These findings demonstrate the cascading risks posed by failing to achieve critical SDGs and emphasize the need for targeted interventions to mitigate vulnerabilities to disasters and pandemics, providing actionable insights for sustainable resilience strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":33615,"journal":{"name":"Global Transitions","volume":"7 ","pages":"Pages 159-174"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143777335","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0