Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament最新文献_第6页

Understanding the Nuclear Landscape in Southern Asia: Complexities and Possibilities 了解南亚核形势：复杂性和可能性

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Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2156253

M. Sethi

引用次数: 0

Iran’s Drone Supply to Russia and Changing Dynamics of the Ukraine War 伊朗向俄罗斯提供无人机与乌克兰战争的动态变化

IF 0.7

Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2149077

Mohammad Eslami

引用次数: 7

External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan 南亚核三难困境的国内外驱动因素:中国、印度和巴基斯坦

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Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2158700

Jingdong Yuan

引用次数: 0

Geopolitical “Entanglements” and the China-India-Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma 地缘政治“纠缠”与中印巴核三重困境

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Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2156252

Chunhao Lou

{"title":"Geopolitical “Entanglements” and the China-India-Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma","authors":"Chunhao Lou","doi":"10.1080/25751654.2022.2156252","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2022.2156252","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The geopolitical situation in South Asia is witnessing entangled trends, which are reflected as chronic India-Pakistan confrontation, the frigid China-India relationship and the increasing US-China competition. China doesn’t want to be involved in the India-Pakistan confrontation, but it’s an undeniable fact that the China factor is shaping India-Pakistan interaction to some extent. Though the United States is an extra-regional power, it has a long history of being involved in regional affairs. Considering China, India and Pakistan all possess nuclear weapons, it’s extremely important to analyze the geopolitical trends and implications for the nuclear chain. This paper argues that the United States has been focusing on strategic competition against China, and the bilateral relationship will face fierce challenges before reaching new balance. The China-India relationship is becoming competitive and volatile, and the old framework of stabilizing bilateral relations is disintegrating. The conflicting ideology of nation-building, the extremely contradicted security perception, and the battle for geostrategic advantage in the region all contribute to India-Pakistan confrontation. Though nuclear weapons, functioning as a strategic deterrence tool, will curtail concerning parties from large-scale war, and China strongly advocates for a common and cooperative security concept, the geopolitical entanglement will have serious impact on the regional nuclear situation. This paper also gives recommendations for managing this interaction. All concerned parties should strive to overcome the security dilemma and maintain peace and stability in this region by strengthening confidence-building measures, conducting nuclear issue dialogues and improving crisis management mechanisms.","PeriodicalId":32607,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament","volume":"5 1","pages":"281 - 295"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49617607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Managing the China, India and Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma: Ensuring Nuclear Stability in the New Nuclear Age 应对中国、印度和巴基斯坦核三难困境:确保新核时代的核稳定

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Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2152953

R. Sood

{"title":"Managing the China, India and Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma: Ensuring Nuclear Stability in the New Nuclear Age","authors":"R. Sood","doi":"10.1080/25751654.2022.2152953","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2022.2152953","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The beginning of the nuclear age coincided with the beginning of the Cold War. The politics of the bipolar world, with two nuclear hegemons enjoying nuclear superpower status, shaped the nuclear order. At one level, it would appear to be a success because it helped create and sustain a nuclear taboo that has lasted for 75 years. However, the world has changed. The notions of “nuclear parity” and “mutual vulnerability” that made it possible to reduce strategic stability to nuclear stability and created the enabling conditions for bilateral nuclear arms control have given way to asymmetry with nuclear multipolarity. This has led to the unravelling of the old arms control mechanisms and a concern that the nuclear taboo may be eroding. The United States and the USSR had no territorial disputes; instead, their rivalry played out in the form of proxy wars. Today, nuclear rivals are often neighbours. Their disputes relate to issues of national sovereignty. Further, nuclear dyads have given way to trilemmas and nuclear chains. Technological developments generate further challenges for arms control. More usable nuclear weapons, dual use systems, a renewed offence-defence spiral with missile defences and hypersonics, and growing offensive cyber and space capabilities that make for nuclear entanglement demand a fresh look at arms control and nuclear stability. In the China-India-Pakistan trilemma, proposals have to take cognisance of the new political realities to break out of the cycle of mistrust and reduce risks of both misperceptions and miscalculation that could lead to inadvertent escalation.","PeriodicalId":32607,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament","volume":"5 1","pages":"262 - 280"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43484899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Revisiting Societal Verification for Nuclear Non-proliferation and Arms Control: The Search for Transparency 重新审视核不扩散和军备控制的社会核查:寻求透明度

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Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2133336

Sara Al-Sayed

{"title":"Revisiting Societal Verification for Nuclear Non-proliferation and Arms Control: The Search for Transparency","authors":"Sara Al-Sayed","doi":"10.1080/25751654.2022.2133336","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2022.2133336","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The last couple of decades have seen a surge in non-state actors wielding increasingly accessible information and communication technologies to provide intelligence to relevant publics and governments on a range of issues, including on nuclear activities of concern. This has prompted the impression that more transparency would translate almost surely to a world secure from nuclear danger arising from treaty-violating nuclear proliferation or nuclear arsenal expansion. As a matter of fact, the idea of involving civil society in treaty verification – or “societal verification” – hails from the post-WWII scientists’ peace movement. In this commentary, it is argued that some of today’s prominent instances of societal verification deviate significantly in spirit from initiatives suggested by the original conception. Today’s efforts have lent themselves to co-optation by states in the service of US and Western hegemonic interests and do little to curb nuclear danger. Indeed, they conform to a depoliticized conception of societal verification. This commentary sketches the evolution of the theory and practice of societal verification and calls for the launch of a community conversation to rethink societal verification in such a way as to avoid the further entrenchment of the status quo.","PeriodicalId":32607,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament","volume":"5 1","pages":"496 - 506"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47096394","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Seeking the Bomb: Strategies of Nuclear Proliferation 寻求核弹:核扩散战略

IF 0.7

Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2133338

P. Ganeshpandian

引用次数: 3

Internal Drivers – The Nexus between Domestic Politics and Bilateral Relations: Exploring India-Pakistan, Pakistan-China, and China-India Dynamics 内部驱动——国内政治与双边关系之间的联系:探讨印巴、巴中、中印动态

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Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2158705

Sadia Tasleem

{"title":"Internal Drivers – The Nexus between Domestic Politics and Bilateral Relations: Exploring India-Pakistan, Pakistan-China, and China-India Dynamics","authors":"Sadia Tasleem","doi":"10.1080/25751654.2022.2158705","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2022.2158705","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Foreign policy is an extension of domestic politics in myriad ways. However, no meta-theory offers a framework of analysis that could explain the nexus between domestic politics and foreign policy within the bilateral relations of three politically and culturally distinct states i.e. India, Pakistan, and China. In this paper, I explore the nexus between domestic politics and foreign policy to explain what do the contemporary domestic political trends in each state indicate about the future of bilateral relations. For this purpose, I first identify what in my view is the most relevant and important domestic political driver of bilateral relations in each case. I then discuss how it affects the bilateral relations in the respective dyads and what that means for the future of bilateral relations between India – Pakistan, Pakistan – China and China – India. I argue that the situations in which a small elite dominates both the discursive trends and policy making may result in malleable notions of national identity. This provides the elite, flexibility in shaping and reorienting foreign policy (when they want). On the other hand, the situations in which foreign policy is contingent upon national identity conception as articulated by the mainstream political parties with a strong support base among the masses are highly susceptible to the electoral pressures, shrinking the space for major shifts.","PeriodicalId":32607,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament","volume":"5 1","pages":"315 - 335"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44480120","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The China–India–Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma and Accidental War 中印巴核三难困境与意外战争

IF 0.7

Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2134726

P. Menon

{"title":"The China–India–Pakistan Nuclear Trilemma and Accidental War","authors":"P. Menon","doi":"10.1080/25751654.2022.2134726","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2022.2134726","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The perspective of the paper is the geopolitical contestation between China–India–Pakistan, which frames the contours of the nuclear trilemma that is nested in the broader global nuclear weapons framework. Territorial disputes harbor the potential for conflict under the nuclear overhang between China–India and India–Pakistan. The two dyads are structurally separate but are also connected. Beliefs systems that shape nuclear doctrine have commonality in the China–India dyad. But such is not the case in the India-Pakistan dyad. There is, however, political recognition of the dangers that inhabit the unexplored space of conventional war under the nuclear over hang. The greater danger of nuclear war in both dyads is concealed in the inability to control escalation of conflicts that may have small beginnings but can potentially spin out of control. The paper uses Clausewitz escalation model to highlight this crucial issue. The policy prescriptions are therefore directed on never testing the boundaries of the nuclear threshold and relate to reduction of alert levels. A Global No First Use Treaty is proposed and one that is possible only if the dangers of nuclear war are publicized at the global level thus forcing the hand of political leaders. This is an imperative step to free the leadership from the shackles of varied impractical nuclear strategies that are unable to answer the question – what happens after the first nuclear weapon is fired.","PeriodicalId":32607,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament","volume":"5 1","pages":"350 - 368"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7,"publicationDate":"2022-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44593962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

DPRK and the CTBT: What Could Come Next after the Moratorium? 朝鲜和《全面禁试条约》：暂停后接下来会发生什么？

IF 0.7

Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/25751654.2022.2133335

Qiyang Niu, Haeyoon Kim, Zhaniya Mukatay

引用次数: 0