Mohamed M. Fathi , Zihan Liu , Anjali M. Fernandes , Michael T. Hren , Dennis O. Terry , C. Nataraj , Virginia Smith
{"title":"Spatiotemporal flood depth and velocity dynamics using a convolutional neural network within a sequential Deep-Learning framework","authors":"Mohamed M. Fathi , Zihan Liu , Anjali M. Fernandes , Michael T. Hren , Dennis O. Terry , C. Nataraj , Virginia Smith","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106307","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106307","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Computational hydrodynamic models support river science and management. However, current physics-based models face computational challenges; they require extensive processing time for large-scale two-dimensional flood simulations. Despite the success of Deep Learning (DL) applications in generating inundation maps, accurate prediction of unsteady flood hydrodynamic maps remains challenging. This paper compares traditional approaches to a novel DL approach, which integrates convolutional neural networks with long short-term memory, to deliver precise, rapid, and continuous simulation of the spatiotemporal dynamics of river floods. This is the first DL framework able to generate essential hydrodynamic variables: water depth, velocity magnitude, and flow direction maps. Water depth and velocity magnitude predictions across the testing dataset are robust, with average RMSE of 0.14 m and 0.02 m/s, respectively. The DL predictions are 415 times faster compared to traditional computational approaches, representing a paradigm shift in hydrodynamics modeling that advances long-term flood simulations and resilient river management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106307"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lei Yao , Jiangjiang Zhang , Chenglong Cao , Feifei Zheng
{"title":"Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification of rainfall-runoff models using data assimilation methods based on deep learning and local ensemble updates","authors":"Lei Yao , Jiangjiang Zhang , Chenglong Cao , Feifei Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106332","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rainfall-runoff (RR) modeling is crucial for flood preparedness and water resource management. Accurate RR model predictions depend on effective parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification using observed data through data assimilation (DA). Traditional DA methods often struggle with challenges such as non-Gaussianity and equifinality. To address these challenges, this study introduces two ensemble smoother methods, i.e., ES<sub>DL</sub> with a deep learning-based update, and ES<sub>LU</sub> with a local ensemble update, aiming to enhance the calibration of RR models. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed methods, we conduct a comprehensive analysis involving various DA techniques applied to parameter estimation of RR models. We compare these methods with traditional approaches, evaluating deep neural network architectures, iteration numbers, and measurement errors. The results unequivocally showcase the consistent reliability of ES<sub>DL</sub> and ES<sub>LU</sub>, especially the latter one, across diverse scenarios, establishing them as promising approaches for the effective calibration and uncertainty quantification of RR models.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106332"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143020245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Daniel Luna , Ranran Chen , Ahmed Sheba , Ryan Young , Yao Liang , Xu Liang
{"title":"Facilitating open data and open model integration with generic parameter input file generators in the CyberWater framework","authors":"Daniel Luna , Ranran Chen , Ahmed Sheba , Ryan Young , Yao Liang , Xu Liang","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106266","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106266","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Effective data and model integration is crucial for exploring scientific questions in hydrology and other geosciences. The increasing heterogeneity and complexity of data and models pose integration challenges. CyberWater addresses these with an open-data and open-modeling framework. Featuring GUI-based workflows, it includes Data Agents for accessing diverse online data sources and a Generic Model Agent Toolkit for seamless, code-free model integration. This study introduces the Static Parameter Agent suite, a novel toolkit designed to streamline the creation and organization of parameter files required for various models. The toolkit enables users to efficiently and automatically generate files on demand, minimizing the time-consuming and error-prone manual preparation of complex parameter files. It further logs all changes to parameter values across each model simulation, ensuring a reproducible end-to-end process. It connects seamlessly with Geographic Information System (GIS) engines like GRASS GIS and has been tested on models including VIC, DHSVM, and CASA-CNP.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106266"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143128006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A novel sample-enhancement framework for machine learning-based urban flood susceptibility assessment","authors":"Huabing Huang, Changpeng Wang, Zhiwen Tao, Jiayin Zhan","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106314","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106314","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The commonly used random sampling method in machine learning-based flood susceptibility studies has two major issues: a default invalid assumption of spatial homogeneity and an inadequate number of non-flood samples. To address these issues, this study proposed a novel sample-enhancement framework to improve the quality of training samples on both flood and non-flood sides. Three one-way enhancements (two flood and one non-flood) and two joint enhancements were designed. The enhancements were evaluated against random sampling using four mainstream machine learning algorithms (ANN, RF, SVM, and XGBoost) across two heterogeneous urban regions in Guangzhou, China. The highest performances are achieved by the joint enhancements, which are followed by one-way enhancements and random sampling (no enhancement). Another important conclusion is that one-way enhancements exhibit divergent yet complementary effects. Flood enhancements primarily affect susceptibility distribution (mean value and standard deviation), while non-flood enhancements mainly influence binary classification performance (AUC).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106314"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905678","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Prince Agyemang , Ebenezer M. Kwofie , Jamie I. Baum , Dongyi Wang , Emmanuel A. Kwofie
{"title":"Environmental-Health Convergence: A deep learning-oriented decision support system for catalyzing sustainable healthy food systems","authors":"Prince Agyemang , Ebenezer M. Kwofie , Jamie I. Baum , Dongyi Wang , Emmanuel A. Kwofie","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106309","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106309","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To generate evidence to address food system challenges, we developed an adaptable framework for multimodel assessment of the convergence effect of health and environmental drivers in food systems. We achieved this goal by developing a modeling framework that facilitates testing and applying four deep-learning algorithms using a case study of the United States's food system. Among the models tested, the bidirectional and single-layer long short-term memory models outperformed the others with α<sub><em>E</em></sub>(2.75) and α<sub><em>H</em></sub>(3.51) when predicting environmental drivers and health drivers, respectively. All the models tested performed better at predicting environmental than health drivers. The best-performing model for each dimension was deployed into the Food System Rapid Overview Assessment through Scenarios (FS-ROAS) tool. As we approach the endpoint of the transformative 2030 agenda, FS-ROAS can be a timely toolkit that enables stakeholders to explore diverse intervention scenarios in the context of short-medium and long-term goals for future food systems and generate evidence to guide future actions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106309"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905650","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Application of artificial intelligence in air pollution monitoring and forecasting: A systematic review","authors":"Sreeni Chadalavada , Oliver Faust , Massimo Salvi , Silvia Seoni , Nawin Raj , U. Raghavendra , Anjan Gudigar , Prabal Datta Barua , Filippo Molinari , Rajendra Acharya","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106312","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106312","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Air pollution poses a significant global health hazard. Effective monitoring and predicting air pollutant concentrations are crucial for managing associated health risks. Recent advancements in Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL), offer the potential for more precise air pollution monitoring and forecasting models. This comprehensive review, conducted according to PRISMA guidelines, analyzed 65 high-quality Q1 journal articles to uncover current trends, challenges, and future AI applications in this field. The review revealed a significant increase in research papers utilizing ML and DL approaches from 2021 onwards. ML techniques currently dominate, with Random Forest being the most frequent method, achieving up to 98.2% accuracy. DL techniques show promise in capturing complex spatiotemporal relationships in air quality data. The study highlighted the importance of integrating diverse data sources to improve model accuracy. Future research should focus on addressing challenges in model interpretability and uncertainty quantification.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106312"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905652","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling wildfire spread and spotfire merger using conformal mapping and AAA-least squares methods","authors":"Samuel J. Harris, N.R. McDonald","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106303","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106303","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A two-dimensional model of wildfire spread and merger is presented. Three features affect the wildfire propagation: (i) a constant basic rate of spread term accounting for radiative and convective heat transfer, (ii) the unidirectional, constant ambient wind, and (iii) a fire-induced pyrogenic wind. Two numerical methods are proposed to solve for the pyrogenic potential. The first utilises the conformal invariance of Laplace’s equation, reducing the wildfire system to a single Polubarinova–Galin type equation. The second method uses a AAA-least squares method to find a rational approximation of the pyrogenic potential. Various wildfire scenarios are presented and the effects of the pyrogenic wind and the radiative/convective basic rate of spread terms investigated. Firebreaks such as roads and lakes are also included and solutions are found to match well with existing numerical and experimental results. The methods proposed in this work are suitably fast and new to the field of wildfire modelling.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106303"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142884322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yifan Gao, Changqing Song, Zhifeng Liu, Sijing Ye, Peichao Gao
{"title":"Land-N2N: An effective and efficient model for simulating the demand-driven changes in multifunctional lands","authors":"Yifan Gao, Changqing Song, Zhifeng Liu, Sijing Ye, Peichao Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106318","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106318","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land is multifunctional. Among all land change models, the only model capable of modeling multifunctional land changes is the CLUMondo model. However, the CLUMondo model is ineffective and inefficient. In the study, we addressed the problems by improving the CLUMondo model through four strategies, resulting in the improved version named “Land-N2N”. To evaluate the Land-N2N model, we designed six comparative experiments. In these experiments, we established the land systems using an upscaling approach based on Globeland30 data. Our finding shows that the effectiveness and efficiency of the Land-N2N model are better than the CLUMondo model. Specifically, the effectiveness of the Land-N2N model improved by 36% when measured with Kappa and by 377% when measured with Figure of Merit (FoM). Additionally, the efficiency of the Land-N2N model increased by 80%. The utility of the Land-N2N model lies in its ability to offer scientific solutions for land management by forecasting land changes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106318"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ehsan Foroumandi , Hamid Moradkhani , Witold F. Krajewski , Fred L. Ogden
{"title":"Ensemble data assimilation for operational streamflow predictions in the next generation (NextGen) framework","authors":"Ehsan Foroumandi , Hamid Moradkhani , Witold F. Krajewski , Fred L. Ogden","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106306","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106306","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The National Weather Service (NWS) operates the National Water Model (NWM) to provide continental-scale streamflow forecasting across the United States. Despite the broad scope of NWM, it faces limitations in delivering operational-level predictions. To overcome these limitations, the NWS embarked on development of the Next Generation Water Resources Modeling Framework (NextGen). However, a key shortcoming of the NextGen and NWM is the lack of robust data assimilation (DA) step. This study provides a DA module that incorporates the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), and the Particle Filter (PF) for use within the NextGen framework. The effectiveness of the developed module is evaluated by assimilating the in-situ observations to the Conceptual Functional Equivalent model, a simplified version of the current NWM, demonstrating the first advanced DA application on this model. The results show that both DA methods effectively enhance the performance of the model prediction, while the PF outperforms the EnKF.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106306"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142884320","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Simple analysis of biodiversity response functions and multipliers for biodiversity offsetting and other applications","authors":"Atte Moilanen , Pauli Lehtinen","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106322","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106322","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Biodiversity offsets mean compensation for ecological losses caused by construction, development, land use or other human activities. They are commonly implemented via protection, restoration, or maintenance of habitats. The goal of offsetting is usually no net loss (NNL), which means that all net losses to biodiversity are fully compensated by commensurate net gains achieved via said offset actions. Here we collate and develop simple calculations for the determination of offset size (area) in the context of so-called multiplier approaches to offsets. We focus on the analysis of the response of habitat condition to action, which is a critical component of multiplier calculations, because the effectiveness and speed of different conservation actions and interventions can vary significantly. An excel application and R-code are included that implement calculations on offset response functions. The proposed methods are also relevant for other applications, including the generation of biodiversity credits for biodiversity credit markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"185 ","pages":"Article 106322"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143020242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}