B. Sridharan , Vikram Pratap Singh , Paul D. Bates , Soumendra Nath Kuiry
{"title":"一种计算效率高的模拟风暴潮和海岸淹没的局部惯性模式","authors":"B. Sridharan , Vikram Pratap Singh , Paul D. Bates , Soumendra Nath Kuiry","doi":"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106680","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Tropical cyclones pose significant risks to low-lying coastal regions through storm surges and inundation, making numerical modelling crucial for disaster planning and evacuation. This study introduces IROMS-iS2D (Integrated River Ocean Modelling System-Inertial Surge 2D), a novel local-inertial 2D model that simulates storm surge and inundation within a single framework on unstructured grids. Unlike existing local-inertial models that rely on external surge inputs or constrained by structured grids, IROMS-iS2D dynamically simulates storm surges and subsequent inundation. It achieves a 10–15 times speedup over 2D shallow water models while supporting high-resolution grids (30–200 m). Cyclone forcing is derived from JTWC/IMD best-tracks using the Holland model, ensuring realistic surge inputs. IROMS-iS2D was validated for Bay of Bengal cyclones using INCOIS data, showing good agreement (R<sup>2</sup> > 0.9, RMSE ≈ 0.2 m, NSE >0.9). For Cyclone Mocha, Sentinel-1 validation showed 4359 km<sup>2</sup> inundation with 79.6 % accuracy and an F1-score of 61.7 %, demonstrating potential for real-time flood forecasting.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":310,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Modelling & Software","volume":"194 ","pages":"Article 106680"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A computationally efficient local-inertial model for simulating storm surges and coastal inundation\",\"authors\":\"B. Sridharan , Vikram Pratap Singh , Paul D. Bates , Soumendra Nath Kuiry\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.envsoft.2025.106680\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Tropical cyclones pose significant risks to low-lying coastal regions through storm surges and inundation, making numerical modelling crucial for disaster planning and evacuation. This study introduces IROMS-iS2D (Integrated River Ocean Modelling System-Inertial Surge 2D), a novel local-inertial 2D model that simulates storm surge and inundation within a single framework on unstructured grids. Unlike existing local-inertial models that rely on external surge inputs or constrained by structured grids, IROMS-iS2D dynamically simulates storm surges and subsequent inundation. It achieves a 10–15 times speedup over 2D shallow water models while supporting high-resolution grids (30–200 m). Cyclone forcing is derived from JTWC/IMD best-tracks using the Holland model, ensuring realistic surge inputs. IROMS-iS2D was validated for Bay of Bengal cyclones using INCOIS data, showing good agreement (R<sup>2</sup> > 0.9, RMSE ≈ 0.2 m, NSE >0.9). For Cyclone Mocha, Sentinel-1 validation showed 4359 km<sup>2</sup> inundation with 79.6 % accuracy and an F1-score of 61.7 %, demonstrating potential for real-time flood forecasting.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":310,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Environmental Modelling & Software\",\"volume\":\"194 \",\"pages\":\"Article 106680\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Environmental Modelling & Software\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815225003640\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Environmental Modelling & Software","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815225003640","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
热带气旋通过风暴潮和淹没给低洼沿海地区带来重大风险,因此数值模拟对灾害规划和疏散至关重要。本研究介绍了IROMS-iS2D(综合河海建模系统-惯性风暴潮2D),这是一种新颖的局部惯性2D模型,可以在非结构化网格的单一框架内模拟风暴潮和淹没。与现有依赖外部浪涌输入或受结构化网格约束的局部惯性模型不同,IROMS-iS2D动态模拟风暴潮和随后的淹没。与2D浅水模型相比,它实现了10-15倍的加速,同时支持高分辨率网格(30-200米)。气旋强迫来自JTWC/IMD使用荷兰模式的最佳跟踪,确保实际的浪涌输入。利用INCOIS数据验证了IROMS-iS2D对孟加拉湾气旋的预测,结果吻合良好(R2 >0.9, RMSE≈0.2 m, NSE >0.9)。在气旋Mocha中,Sentinel-1验证显示4359 km2的淹没面积,准确率为79.6%,f1得分为61.7%,显示了实时洪水预报的潜力。
A computationally efficient local-inertial model for simulating storm surges and coastal inundation
Tropical cyclones pose significant risks to low-lying coastal regions through storm surges and inundation, making numerical modelling crucial for disaster planning and evacuation. This study introduces IROMS-iS2D (Integrated River Ocean Modelling System-Inertial Surge 2D), a novel local-inertial 2D model that simulates storm surge and inundation within a single framework on unstructured grids. Unlike existing local-inertial models that rely on external surge inputs or constrained by structured grids, IROMS-iS2D dynamically simulates storm surges and subsequent inundation. It achieves a 10–15 times speedup over 2D shallow water models while supporting high-resolution grids (30–200 m). Cyclone forcing is derived from JTWC/IMD best-tracks using the Holland model, ensuring realistic surge inputs. IROMS-iS2D was validated for Bay of Bengal cyclones using INCOIS data, showing good agreement (R2 > 0.9, RMSE ≈ 0.2 m, NSE >0.9). For Cyclone Mocha, Sentinel-1 validation showed 4359 km2 inundation with 79.6 % accuracy and an F1-score of 61.7 %, demonstrating potential for real-time flood forecasting.
期刊介绍:
Environmental Modelling & Software publishes contributions, in the form of research articles, reviews and short communications, on recent advances in environmental modelling and/or software. The aim is to improve our capacity to represent, understand, predict or manage the behaviour of environmental systems at all practical scales, and to communicate those improvements to a wide scientific and professional audience.