{"title":"A new evolving clustering algorithm for online data streams","authors":"C. G. Bezerra, B. Costa, L. A. Guedes, P. Angelov","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502508","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502508","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we propose a new approach to fuzzy data clustering. We present a new algorithm, called TEDA-Cloud, based on the recently introduced TEDA approach to outlier detection. TEDA-Cloud is a statistical method based on the concepts of typicality and eccentricity able to group similar data observations. Instead of the traditional concept of clusters, the data is grouped in the form of granular unities called data clouds, which are structures with no pre-defined shape or set boundaries. TEDA-Cloud is a fully autonomous and self-evolving algorithm that can be used for data clustering of online data streams and applications that require real-time response. Since it is fully autonomous, TEDA-Cloud is able to “start from scratch” (from an empty knowledge basis), create, update and merge data clouds, in a fully autonomous manner, without requiring any user-defined parameters (e.g. number of clusters, size, radius) or previous training. Moreover, TEDA-Cloud, unlike most of the traditional statistical approaches, does not rely on a specific data distribution or on the assumption of independence of data samples. The results, obtained from multiple data sets that are very well known in literature, are very encouraging.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"48 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126261408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Joyce M. F. Fonseca, Bruno M. Sousa, Webber E. Aguiar, A. R. Braga, A. Lemos, Hugo C. C. Michel, C. Braga
{"title":"Monitoring of a thermoelectric power plant based on multivariate statistical process control","authors":"Joyce M. F. Fonseca, Bruno M. Sousa, Webber E. Aguiar, A. R. Braga, A. Lemos, Hugo C. C. Michel, C. Braga","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502371","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502371","url":null,"abstract":"Thermoelectric power plants have critical units, such as the boiler and the turbine-generator, which are complex multivariate systems. These units exhibit non-stationary behavior and multiple operational modes that imply constant changes of set points of key performance variables. A methodology based on MSPC (Multivariate Statistical Process Control) techniques and PCA (Principal Component Analysis) is presented with an adaptive mean estimator that deals with frequent changes of set points, both for design and just in time monitoring. The proposed methodology is implemented in a thermoelectric power plant using a commercial PIMS (Process Information Management System) software suite. Experimental results illustrate and validate the proposition, its just-in-time implementation and usage.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"246 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122253271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Model-based optimization of in-silico fed-batch ethanol production process using genetic algorithm","authors":"H. F. S. Freitas, C. Andrade","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502506","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502506","url":null,"abstract":"In the present work a Non-Linear Model Predictive Control (NLMPC) procedure for in-silico ethanol production maximization will be presented for a fed-batch process, configuration which is widespread found in the industrial scope, using an Genetic Algorithm (GA) routine. The dynamic optimization problem was subdivided in a series of sequential intervals for optimization, and the influence of the number of intervals was also studied in terms of the final yield and productivity obtained in the NLMPC. In order to ensure for smooth feed profiles, a exponential bioreactor feeding profile was evaluated. The results obtained in this work are coherent to the other presented in the literature, and superior to some published values. The utilization of the in-house GA routine for the NLMPC control has proven to be efficient in terms of maximization of the final process productivity.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130799101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
João P. F. Guimarães, A. I. R. Fontes, Joilson B. A. Rego, L. Silveira, A. Martins
{"title":"Performance evaluation of the maximum correntropy criterion in identification systems","authors":"João P. F. Guimarães, A. I. R. Fontes, Joilson B. A. Rego, L. Silveira, A. Martins","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502500","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502500","url":null,"abstract":"The System identification explores ways to obtain mathematical models of an unknown system. However, as a result from the intrinsic random nature of system or from the environment noise, it is very hard to find a perfect mathematical representation of a real system. This paper aims to evaluate the Maximum Correntropy Criterion (MCC) performance using the gradient descent and the Fixed-Point. Both methods were compared in different noise scenarios and their behavior with different system models. The importance of the free parameters was also studied on both methods. The results show that the fixed-point has a better performance and are less noise sensitive.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128655385","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evolving fuzzy model for short-term prediction of energy consumption profiles","authors":"D. Dovžan, I. Škrjanc","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502498","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502498","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper an idea of using Evolving Fuzzy Model method for electrical energy consumption prediction is presented. The prediction of energy consumption is an important task for energy trading companies. The prediction should be as accurate as possible since the accuracy of the prediction translates directly into company's profit. In this paper we compare an adaptive linear model with evolving fuzzy model on an energy consumption prediction.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"96 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133254668","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evolving possibilistic fuzzy modeling for equity options pricing","authors":"Leandro Maciel, R. Ballini, F. Gomide","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502372","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502372","url":null,"abstract":"The correct pricing of financial derivatives plays a key role in risk management and in hedge operations. Besides the Black and Scholes closed-form formula simplicity and good results for pricing European options, several of the assumptions used in the method may be unrealistic and influence the results significantly. In order to overcome this limitation, this paper suggests an evolving possibilistic fuzzy modeling (ePFM) approach for European equity options pricing. The approach is based on an extension of the possibilistic fuzzy c-means clustering and functional fuzzy rule-based modeling. ePFM employs memberships and typicalities to recursively cluster data, and uses participatory learning to adapt the model structure as a stream data is input. The model does not require any assumptions about data distribution, it is an effective robust method to handle noisy data and outliers in option price dynamics modeling, and it is also capable to access volatility clustering due to its clustering-based nature. Computational experiments consider the pricing of European equity options (calls and puts) on preference shares of Petrobras (PETR4), one of the most liquidity options traded in the Brazilian derivatives market. The results show that ePFM is a potential candidate for equity options pricing, with comparable or better performance than the Black and Scholes method and alternative evolving fuzzy approaches.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"66 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125338324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sender Rocha dos Santos, Jorge Luís Machado do Amaral, Jose F. M. Amaral
{"title":"Adaptive intelligent systems applied to two-wheeled robot","authors":"Sender Rocha dos Santos, Jorge Luís Machado do Amaral, Jose F. M. Amaral","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502505","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502505","url":null,"abstract":"This work discuss two different intelligent controllers: Online Neuro Fuzzy Controller (ONFC) and Proportional-Integral-Derivative Neural Network (PID-NN). They were applied to maintain the equilibrium and to control the position of a two-wheeled robot prototype. Experiments were carried out to investigate the equilibrium control of the two-wheeled robot on a flat terrain and to observe the intrinsic performance in the lack of external disturbances. The effectiveness of each controller was verified by experimental results, and the performance was compared with conventional PID control scheme applied for the prototype.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"54 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129987628","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An evolving algorithm based on unobservable components neuro-fuzzy model for time series forecasting","authors":"Selmo Eduardo Rodrigues, G. Serra","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502502","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502502","url":null,"abstract":"The forecasting and characterization of time series are very useful for experts to take appropriate decisions, to plan actions and to understand the time series patterns. However, there are a small number of methods that consider both objectives at the same time. In this paper, an algorithm for nonstationary and seasonal time series forecasting, with an evolving neuro-fuzzy Takagi-Sugeno (NF-TS) structure, is proposed. For this algorithm, the NF-TS inputs are unobservable patterns extracted from the time series by a decomposition technique. As experiment, a real seasonal time series was used to compare the forecasting performance of these proposed algorithm with an other similar NF-TS, whose inputs were formed by autoregressive data from the same time series. When there is available observations from time series, the NF-TS evolves its structure and adapt its parameters. If the data is not available, the proposed methodology needs to forecast the next value. In order to extract the unobservable components from time series, the Holt-Winters method optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) approach was considered in this experiment.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126234265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Egidio Carvalho, O. Cortes, João Pedro Augusto Costa, A. Rau-Chaplin
{"title":"A stochastic adaptive genetic algorithm for solving unconstrained multimodal numerical problems","authors":"Egidio Carvalho, O. Cortes, João Pedro Augusto Costa, A. Rau-Chaplin","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502503","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502503","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we investigate an adaptive genetic algorithm which will be able to identify the best combination of crossover and mutation operators in execution time. The adaptation involves four crossover methods (simple, arithmetical, non-uniform arithmetical and linear) and three mutation mechanism (uniform, non-uniform and creep). We validate the algorithm using some multimodal benchmarks function well known in the literature. Furthermore, using the ANOVA method and the Tukey test we proved that, in general, the adaptive algorithm works better than the static choice of the operators. Results show that even though some operators dominate the other ones, the use of other operators in the earlier stages of the algorithm can affect the quality of the solutions positively. Moreover, the use of an adaptive algorithm tends to evolve solutions faster than the other ones.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125506228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiaowei Gu, P. Angelov, A. Ali, W. Gruver, G. Gaydadjiev
{"title":"Online evolving fuzzy rule-based prediction model for high frequency trading financial data stream","authors":"Xiaowei Gu, P. Angelov, A. Ali, W. Gruver, G. Gaydadjiev","doi":"10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502509","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EAIS.2016.7502509","url":null,"abstract":"Analyzing and predicting the high frequency trading (HFT) financial data stream is very challenging due to the fast arrival times and large amount of the data samples. Aiming at solving this problem, an online evolving fuzzy rule-based prediction model is proposed in this paper. Because this prediction model is based on evolving fuzzy rule-based systems and a novel, simpler form of data density, it can autonomously learn from the live data stream, automatically build/remove its rules and recursively update the parameters. This model responds quickly to all unpredictable sudden changes of financial data and re-adjusts itself to follow the new data pattern. Experimental results show the excellent prediction performance of the proposed approach with real financial data stream regardless of quick shifts of data patterns and frequent appearances of abnormal data samples.","PeriodicalId":303392,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Conference on Evolving and Adaptive Intelligent Systems (EAIS)","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132847041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}