Online evolving fuzzy rule-based prediction model for high frequency trading financial data stream

Abstract

Analyzing and predicting the high frequency trading (HFT) financial data stream is very challenging due to the fast arrival times and large amount of the data samples. Aiming at solving this problem, an online evolving fuzzy rule-based prediction model is proposed in this paper. Because this prediction model is based on evolving fuzzy rule-based systems and a novel, simpler form of data density, it can autonomously learn from the live data stream, automatically build/remove its rules and recursively update the parameters. This model responds quickly to all unpredictable sudden changes of financial data and re-adjusts itself to follow the new data pattern. Experimental results show the excellent prediction performance of the proposed approach with real financial data stream regardless of quick shifts of data patterns and frequent appearances of abnormal data samples.