Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy最新文献

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Inter Vivos Transfers and Bequests in Three OECD Countries 三个经合组织国家的生前转让和遗赠
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00145.X
Ernesto Villanueva
{"title":"Inter Vivos Transfers and Bequests in Three OECD Countries","authors":"Ernesto Villanueva","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00145.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00145.X","url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\" xml:lang=\"en\"> Reforms reducing the generosity of pensions have distributional effects on future generations if individuals care about their descendants’ welfare, but only affect elderly individuals if bequests are the unintentional result of precautionary savings. And safety-net programmes such as unemployment insurance may displace sources of private help, such as that provided by living parents to their children in need. This paper provides comparable measures of how expected bequests and transfers vary with cumulated parental earnings in the United States, West Germany and the United Kingdom. The strength of bequest motives is empirically very weak in the available data. Private inter vivos transfers, which appear to depend on the recipients’ economic situation, are partly crowded out by public unemployment insurance programmes. Together, involuntary bequests and intentional inter vivos transfers appear to be an important channel of intergenerational inequality transmission, and strengthen substantially the relationship between an individual's and his parents’ economic status. — Ernesto Villanueva","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2005-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129771483","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 43
Securitization of Taxes Implicit in PAYG Pensions 现收现付养老金隐含的税收证券化
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2005-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00138.X
Salvador Valdés-Prieto
{"title":"Securitization of Taxes Implicit in PAYG Pensions","authors":"Salvador Valdés-Prieto","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00138.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00138.X","url":null,"abstract":"To preserve solvency, a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension system needs to adjust contribution rates and pension promises over time. Currently, it is not possible to hedge in the financial market against politically determined uncertainty as regards these parameters. I consider a policy reform whereby property rights are established on the implicit lifetime tax levied by PAYG finance, and are assigned to the pension institution. These property rights are well defined if the reform also features rule-based allocation of aggregate risk, in the form of defined-contribution or defined-benefit schemes. I show that a PAYG pension system may indeed be instantly restructured so as to minimize political risk and allow financial-market diversification of risk. A side benefit is securitization of human-capital flows, which are not traded in existing financial markets. The new securities, if traded in appropriately competitive financial markets, are complementary to the Notional Account reforms of the 1990s. However, fiscal instability can increase if securitization is implemented in the absence of initial solvency and credible adoption of rule-based methods to allocate aggregate risk.","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2005-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130768676","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 35
Capital Quality Improvement and the Sources of Economic Growth in the Euro Area 欧元区资本质量提升与经济增长之源
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2005-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00139.X
Plutarchos Sakellaris, F. Vijselaar
{"title":"Capital Quality Improvement and the Sources of Economic Growth in the Euro Area","authors":"Plutarchos Sakellaris, F. Vijselaar","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00139.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00139.X","url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\" xml:lang=\"en\"> Europe's growth slowed in the 1990s, reinforcing the overall impression of a need to catch up with the US regarding standards of living. In reaction, EU leaders adopted the famous Lisbon Agenda in 2000. The Agenda is now under review, the aim being to determine why progress on its pro-growth goals has been unsatisfactory and what can be done about it. The first crucial step in this process is to understand the true sources of the European growth slowdown. Sources-of-growth calculations have always been imprecise, but evidence from the US suggests that ‘quality upgrading’– especially in capital goods – has substantially worsened the precision problem since the 1990s. Unfortunately, quality adjusted sources-of-growth calculations, however, have not performed satisfactorily for Europe, so Europe's leaders are working with potentially misleading accounts of Europe's growth slowdown. Redressing this omission is the goal of this paper. Failure to account properly for capital quality improvements leads to two mistakes. First, overall GDP is underestimated. Our calculations, for example, show that euro area GDP growth was underestimated on average by 0.7 percentage points annually in the late 1990s. However, similar quality-adjustment figures raise US growth figures in the same period by even more, so quality-adjusting suggests that the US–EU growth gap was even more pronounced than previously believed. Secondly, the sources-of-growth calculations used to prioritize Europe's pro-growth policies are skewed. Our calculations show that the contribution of the slowdown in disembodied technical progress to the overall slowdown is more pronounced after quality adjustment. Our findings point to the need for adoption of microeconomic measures aimed at enhancing overall efficiency and boosting innovation activity. Such measures would aim at a better business environment, e.g. by easing regulatory and administrative burden and liberalizing energy and telecommunications markets. — Plutarchos Sakellaris and Focco Vijselaar","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2005-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128285363","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 14
The Russian 'Flat Tax' Reform 俄罗斯的“单一税”改革
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00143.X
A. Ivanova, M. Keen, Alexander Klemm
{"title":"The Russian 'Flat Tax' Reform","authors":"A. Ivanova, M. Keen, Alexander Klemm","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00143.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00143.X","url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\" xml:lang=\"en\"> In 2001, Russia dramatically reduced its higher rates of personal income tax (PIT), establishing a single marginal rate at the low level of 13%. In the following year, real revenue from the PIT increased by about 26%. This ‘flat tax’ experience has attracted much attention (and emulation), making it perhaps the most important tax reform of recent years. But it has been little studied. This paper asks whether the strong performance of PIT revenue was itself a consequence of this reform, using both macro evidence and, in particular, micro level data on the experiences of individuals and households affected by the reform to varying degrees. It concludes that there is no evidence of a strong supply side effect of the reform. Compliance, however, does appear to have improved quite substantially – by about one third, according to our estimates – though it remains unclear whether this was due to the parametric tax reform or to accompanying changes in enforcement. — Anna Ivanova, Michael Keen and Alexander Klemm","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"94 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2005-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134499014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 178
Marketization of Household Production and the Eu-Us Gap in Work 家庭生产市场化与欧美就业差距
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00132.X
Richard B. Freeman, R. Schettkat
{"title":"Marketization of Household Production and the Eu-Us Gap in Work","authors":"Richard B. Freeman, R. Schettkat","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00132.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00132.X","url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\" xml:lang=\"en\"> Employment rates and hours worked per employee are very different in the EU and the US. This paper relates the greater time worked in the US to greater marketization in the US of traditional household production: food preparation, childcare, elderly care, cleaning houses. Since women do most household work, marketization is particularly relevant to the EU–US difference in hours worked by women. We suggest that to raise employment rates the EU should develop policies that make it easier for women to move from the household to the market and to substitute market goods and services for household production. — Richard B. Freeman and Ronald Schettkat","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"95 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2005-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117320832","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 196
Determinants and Effects of Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from German Firm-Level Data 外国直接投资的决定因素及其影响:来自德国企业层面数据的证据
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00133.X
C. Buch, J. Kleinert, Alexander Lipponer, F. Toubal
{"title":"Determinants and Effects of Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from German Firm-Level Data","authors":"C. Buch, J. Kleinert, Alexander Lipponer, F. Toubal","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00133.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00133.X","url":null,"abstract":"Foreign direct investment is an essential aspect of ‘globalization' yet its empirical determinants are not well understood. What we do know is based either on poor data for a wide range of nations, or good data for the US and Swedish cases. In this paper, we provide evidence on the determinants of the activities of German multinational firms by using a newly available firm-level data set from the Deutsche Bundesbank. The specific goal of this paper is to demonstrate the relative role of country-level and firm-level determinants of foreign direct investment. We focus on three main questions: First, what are the main driving forces of German firms' multinational activities? Second, is there evidence that sector-level and firm-level factors shape internationalization patterns? Third, is there evidence of agglomeration effects in the foreign activities of German firms? We find that the market access motive for internationalization dominates. Firms move abroad mainly to gain better access to large foreign markets. Cost-saving motives, however, are important for some manufacturing sectors. Our results strongly suggest that firm-level heterogeneity has an important influence on internationalization patterns – as stressed by recent models of international trade. We also find positive agglomeration effects for the activities of German firms that stem from the number of other German firms that are active on a given foreign market. In terms of lessons for economic policy, our results show that lowering barriers to the integration of markets and encouraging the formation of human capital can promote the activities of multinational firms. However, our results related to the heterogeneity of firms and agglomeration tendencies show that it might be difficult to fine-tune policies directed at the exploitation of synergies and at the creation of clusters of foreign firms.","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2005-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128669327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 187
Deflation and Monetary Policy in a Historical Perspective: Remembering the Past or Being Condemned to Repeat it? 历史视角下的通货紧缩与货币政策:铭记过去还是注定重蹈覆辙?
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2004-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00151.X
Michael D. Bordo, Andrew J. Filardo
{"title":"Deflation and Monetary Policy in a Historical Perspective: Remembering the Past or Being Condemned to Repeat it?","authors":"Michael D. Bordo, Andrew J. Filardo","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00151.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00151.X","url":null,"abstract":"What does the historical record tell us about how to conduct monetary policy in a deflationary environment? We present a broad cross-country historical study of deflation over the past two centuries in order to shed light on current policy challenges. We first review the theoretical literature on deflation. We then characterize deflation by distinguishing among the \"good, the bad and the ugly\" ones - considering both empirical determinants and historical narratives of each type. Emphasis is put on the linkages between the current inflation environment and that of the gold standard period. Particular attention is also put on what the historical record reveals about policies to escape undesirable deflation. In this regard we develop a policy typology based on the relative merits of interest rate and monetary instruments in combating different types of inflation/deflation behavior.","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"68 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2004-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127887315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 101
Fear of Service Outsourcing: Is it Justified? 对服务外包的恐惧:是否合理?
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2004-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00140.X
M. Amiti, S. Wei
{"title":"Fear of Service Outsourcing: Is it Justified?","authors":"M. Amiti, S. Wei","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00140.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2005.00140.X","url":null,"abstract":"The recent media and political attention on service outsourcing from developed to developing countries gives the impression that outsourcing is exploding. As a result, workers in industrial countries are anxious about job losses. This paper aims to establish what are the hypes and what are the facts. The results show that although service outsourcing has been steadily increasing it is still very low, and that in the United States and many other industrial countries \"insourcing\" is greater than outsourcing. Using the United Kingdom as a case study, we find that job growth at a sectoral level is not negatively related to service outsourcing.","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"156 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2004-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116672937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 607
The Two Pillars of the European Central Bank 欧洲央行的两大支柱
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2004-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2004.00128.X
S. Gerlach
{"title":"The Two Pillars of the European Central Bank","authors":"S. Gerlach","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2004.00128.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2004.00128.X","url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\" xml:lang=\"en\"> I interpret the European Central Bank's two-pillar strategy by proposing an empirical model for inflation that distinguishes between the short- and long-run components of inflation. The latter component depends on an exponentially weighted moving average of past monetary growth and the former on the output gap. Estimates for the 1971–2003 period suggest that money can be combined with other indicators to form the ‘broadly based assessment of the outlook for future price developments’ that constitutes the ECB's second pillar. However, the analysis does not suggest that money should be treated differently from other indicators. While money is a useful policy indicator, all relevant indicators should be assessed in an integrated manner, and a separate pillar focused on monetary aggregates does not appear necessary. —Stefan Gerlach","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2004-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122323861","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 121
Are Contributions to Public Pension Programmes a Tax on Employment? 对公共养老金计划的缴款是一种就业税吗?
Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy Pub Date : 2004-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-0327.2004.00124.X
R. Disney
{"title":"Are Contributions to Public Pension Programmes a Tax on Employment?","authors":"R. Disney","doi":"10.1111/J.1468-0327.2004.00124.X","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1468-0327.2004.00124.X","url":null,"abstract":"type=\"main\" xml:lang=\"en\"> Many studies describe the potentially adverse impact on employment of the payroll costs of financing public pension programmes. Conventionally, empirical studies treat contributions to public pension programmes as a pure tax (in, for example, calculations of the tax wedge by OECD). But this approach ignores any future rights to benefits that are perceived by contributors. In fact, public pension programmes contain both an ‘actuarial’ and a ‘redistributive’ component – the former closer to saving, the latter a tax. The paper constructs indicators of the tax component of pension programmes, both between and within generations, across a range of OECD countries and time periods. It uses these measures in a cross-country panel analysis of the determinants of age and gender-specific economic activity rates. The results reveal robust evidence that when public pension programme contributions are broken down into a tax component and a savings component, the tax component of the payroll contribution reduces economic activity rates among women while a higher retirement saving component has the opposite effect. There is little evidence that average tax rates, however constructed, have any adverse impact on the economic activity rates of men. — Richard Disney","PeriodicalId":236508,"journal":{"name":"Wiley-Blackwell: Economic Policy","volume":" 16","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2004-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120830016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 194
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