Socio-economic Planning Sciences最新文献_第3页

Linear and nonlinear effects explaining the risk of Covid-19 infection: an empirical analysis on real data from the USA 解释新冠肺炎感染风险的线性和非线性效应——基于美国真实数据的实证分析

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101732

Francesco Giordano, Sara Milito, Maria Lucia Parrella

引用次数: 0

Evaluating the household-level climate-electricity nexus across three cities through statistical learning techniques 通过统计学习技术评估三个城市的家庭层面气候-电力关系

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101664

Simon Pezalla , Renee Obringer

{"title":"Evaluating the household-level climate-electricity nexus across three cities through statistical learning techniques","authors":"Simon Pezalla , Renee Obringer","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101664","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101664","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As the climate crisis intensifies, rising temperatures and increased frequency of extreme events are likely to strain the electricity system. This will be particularly disastrous if the grid is unprepared for the climate-induced shifts in electricity demand that will result from increased temperatures. Recently, the use of data-driven modeling has emerged as a way to predict these climate-induced changes in electricity demand, however, much of the work has focused on entire sectors or regions. Here, we focus on the impact of climatic variables on hourly household electricity use for air conditioning. Our goal was to determine the best model for predicting the air conditioning use based on climate variables, as well as use that model to extract insights related to the household-level climate-electricity nexus. Using smart meter data from three US cities (Austin, Texas, Ithaca, New York, and San Diego, California), we tested seven different models of varying complexity. Ultimately, Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) was selected as the best model across all three cities (NRMSE ranged between 0.085 and 0.250). Additionally, we found that while the majority of the climate variables were important, relative humidity was the most important variable in each city. Given that air conditioning tends to drive non-base electricity demand in the summer, understanding these nuances in the climate-electricity nexus as it applies to air conditioning is critical for building a resilient grid.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101664"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44943795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Sustainability performance assessment of Tunisian public transport companies: AHP and ANP approaches 突尼斯公共交通公司可持续性绩效评估：AHP和ANP方法

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101680

Sarra Daimi , Sonia Rebai

引用次数: 3

Quantifying transport safety success at the regional level: A guide to policy and practice on investment for G20 量化区域层面的运输安全成功：二十国集团投资政策和实践指南

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101715

Jingshun Zhang , Jiayi Hu , Xitong Wang , Lien Fang , Yi Jin , Muyang Li , Yangqing Liu , Anna Wu , Libin Wang , Ruining Liu , Yi Zhang , Faan Chen

{"title":"Quantifying transport safety success at the regional level: A guide to policy and practice on investment for G20","authors":"Jingshun Zhang , Jiayi Hu , Xitong Wang , Lien Fang , Yi Jin , Muyang Li , Yangqing Liu , Anna Wu , Libin Wang , Ruining Liu , Yi Zhang , Faan Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101715","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101715","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Dramatic numbers of road traffic casualties and resulting economic losses have posed significant obstacles to implementing sustainable development and are bound to disrupt economic stability and social well-being. Given these circumstances, it is vital for the government to evaluate the country's current road safety development in comparison with, and to learn from, the situations of better-performing countries. This study develops an efficient and comprehensive gauging system, which combines criteria importance through the intercriteria correlation (CRITIC), preference ranking organization method for enrichment evaluation (PROMETHEE II), and principal component analysis (PCA), namely CRITIC–PROMETHEE II–PCA, to provide the G20 countries with a tool for quantifying transport safety success. Comparisons of the results with those derived from other classical approaches confirm the robustness and feasibility of the proposed methodology across different socioeconomic and demographic backgrounds. This will allow policymakers to formulate corresponding reform measures and allocate investments rationally. This tool will notably enable the G20 to monitor road safety progress, set short- and long-term reform goals, introduce relevant regulations, and distribute investment and resources in a quick and timely manner. The proposed methodology could be used as a model for similar studies conducted in other parts of the world.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101715"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49445539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Humanitarian logistics optimization models: An investigation of decision-maker involvement and directions to promote implementation 人道主义物流优化模型:决策者参与的调查及促进实施的方向

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101669

Oscar Rodríguez-Espíndola , Hossein Ahmadi , Diego Gastélum-Chavira , Omar Ahumada-Valenzuela , Soumyadeb Chowdhury , Prasanta Kumar Dey , Pavel Albores

{"title":"Humanitarian logistics optimization models: An investigation of decision-maker involvement and directions to promote implementation","authors":"Oscar Rodríguez-Espíndola , Hossein Ahmadi , Diego Gastélum-Chavira , Omar Ahumada-Valenzuela , Soumyadeb Chowdhury , Prasanta Kumar Dey , Pavel Albores","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101669","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101669","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Reports of successful implementation of humanitarian optimization models in the field are scarce. Incorporating real conditions and the perspective of decision-makers in the analysis is crucial to enhance the practical value and managerial implications. Although it is known that implementation can be hindered by the lack of practitioner input in the structure of the model, its priorities, and the practicality of solution times, the way these aspects have been introduced in humanitarian optimization models has not been investigated. This study looks at the way research has involved practitioners in different aspects of the design of optimization models to promote implementation. It investigates the aspects affecting the implementation of the models and opportunities to guide future optimization contributions. The article introduces a systematic literature review of 105 articles to answer the research questions. The results are contrasted with a multi-criteria decision analysis using responses from Mexican practitioners. The study found that only 10% of the articles involved practitioners for modelling decisions, which was confirmed by a major gap between the objectives used in the literature and the priorities of Mexican practitioners. In terms of swift decision-making, fewer than 22% of the articles surveyed introduced new solution methods to deliver results in a sensible time. The study also identified very limited inclusion of environmental concerns in the objective functions even though these are a priority in the global agenda. These findings are discussed to propose research directions and suggest best practices for future contributions to promote the implementation of humanitarian logistics models.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101669"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46927830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Organised crime and educational outcomes in Southern Italy: An empirical investigation 意大利南部有组织犯罪与教育成果:一项实证调查

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101705

Marina Cavalieri , Massimo Finocchiaro Castro , Calogero Guccio

{"title":"Organised crime and educational outcomes in Southern Italy: An empirical investigation","authors":"Marina Cavalieri , Massimo Finocchiaro Castro , Calogero Guccio","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101705","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101705","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper explores the relationship between the presence of organised crime into the local socio-economic fabric and educational outcomes in Southern Italy. For this purpose, we rely on different indices of organized crime, the main of which is the well-established <em>Mafia</em> Presence Index (IPM), a composite indicator capturing manifold dimensions (activities, violence, political, and economic infiltration) of the presence of <em>Mafia</em>-type organizations on the national soil. These indices proxy the (scale of) negative <em>Mafia</em>-type values that permeate a local society and that are likely to hinder educational achievements, distorting the incentives of both the youngsters (and/or their parents) to invest in human capital and the local firms to employ those who decide to make this investment. Furthermore, combining contemporary individual-level educational outcomes with historical data on <em>Mafia</em> infiltration, we control for endogeneity concerns through an IV strategy. We provide evidence that the presence of organised crime at local level significantly decreases the scores achieved by primary school students, undertaking the INVALSI test for literacy in Southern Italy. Our results are robust to the use of different measures of organised crime, to the inclusion of different sets of controls, different subsamples and to relaxing the exclusion restriction in the IV strategy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101705"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42004654","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Rural revitalization of China: A new framework, measurement and forecast 中国乡村振兴:新框架、测度与预测

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101696

Yuqing Geng, Liwen Liu, Lingyan Chen

{"title":"Rural revitalization of China: A new framework, measurement and forecast","authors":"Yuqing Geng, Liwen Liu, Lingyan Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101696","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101696","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recent years have witnessed an increasing focus on rural revitalization (RR). In order to explore the current status and the coordinated growth of different aspects of RR, this paper first constructs a new 5E framework with a comprehensive index system; then analyzes the overall development status (ODS) and the coordinated development status of 5 dimensions (CDS) of 30 regions in China from 2006 to 2020 temporally and spatially with entropy weight and the technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution method; thirdly forecasts the CDS in the next four years and proposed targeted and differentiated development suggestions. Some key results are: (1) ODS was relatively stable with significant spatial variations. (2) CDS of the five dimensions fluctuated relatively mildly, and villages of the coastal areas were higher than those in the inland areas. (3) CDS will be generally similar to the past temporally and spatially in the future. (4) Different regions should take targeted and feasible measures to achieve benign coordinated growth among dimensions of RR, and the national authority should take supportive actions comprehensively.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101696"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42850775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

Incentives for local government expenditures on people’s livelihood: the role of high-speed rail 地方政府民生支出的激励措施：高铁的作用

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101700

Xia Meng , Tao Ding , Haisen Wang

引用次数: 0

A review on hypercube queuing model's extensions for practical applications 超立方体排队模型在实际应用中的扩展综述

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101677

Ana P. Iannoni, Reinaldo Morabito

{"title":"A review on hypercube queuing model's extensions for practical applications","authors":"Ana P. Iannoni, Reinaldo Morabito","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101677","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101677","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, we review some extensions of the well-known hypercube queuing model for applications to real life emergency services in server-to-customer systems. Given that many of these systems usually have their own distinct characteristics and dispatching policies, the classic hypercube model can be modified to incorporate these particularities allowing a more effective system analysis. In general, the hypercube model is extended by relaxing one or more of its limiting assumptions. We present different extended hypercube models of the literature, also motivated by our own experience with practical applications, pointing out the basic characteristics of these models. These extensions incorporate unique dispatching policies such as multiple dispatch hypercube models with identical and differentiated servers, dispatching policies using server reservation (cut-off model) to increase the availability of servers to high priority calls, hypercube models considering distinct priority policies to queued users, and hypercube models considering cross-trained servers that can provide two different kinds of emergency services (e.g., medical and fire control). To illustrate this review, describe how the equilibrium equations and the main performance statistics are evaluated, and provide useful insights into problems of interest, we use the smallest and non-trivial structures as systems’ examples, referred to as “toy-models”.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101677"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45059568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A probabilistic hesitant fuzzy MCDM approach to evaluate India’s intervention strategies against the COVID-19 pandemic 基于概率犹豫模糊MCDM方法评价印度COVID-19大流行干预策略

IF 6.1 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101711

Jeonghwan Jeon , Krishnan Suvitha , Noreen Izza Arshad , Samayan Kalaiselvan , Samayan Narayanamoorthy , Massimiliano Ferrara , Ali Ahmadian

{"title":"A probabilistic hesitant fuzzy MCDM approach to evaluate India’s intervention strategies against the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"Jeonghwan Jeon , Krishnan Suvitha , Noreen Izza Arshad , Samayan Kalaiselvan , Samayan Narayanamoorthy , Massimiliano Ferrara , Ali Ahmadian","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101711","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2023.101711","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The unprecedented coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has wreaked havoc across the globe. The Covid-19 pandemic has affected all countries, including government intervention programs, thus becoming a significant threat. This study aims to develop a hybrid fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (F-MCDM) model in a constrained ecosystem in response to specific government strategies and the effectiveness of interventions used in different countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. An empirical case study is conducted in India with five prospective criteria: “high acceptance among the populace”, “effectiveness in halting the COVID-19 epidemic”, “compatibility by any other standard”, “estimated total cost”, and “simple to implement”. Regarding the ranking of strategies, “vaccinations”, “social isolation”, and “development of an emergence” are the top three strategies. As a result, SARS-CoV-2 vaccines have reduced COVID-19-related hospitalizations in the elderly, which has reduced post-CoVID morbidity and mortality. Many countries have different recommendations for selecting possible government initiatives and implementing those decisions. India’s strategies for developing public health policies, preventing misinformation, and managing behavior and response were ranked as the top three priorities among the listed strategies. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the validity of these results. In this work, the implications of these findings are discussed in terms of a developing nation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101711"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43497471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3