Socio-economic Planning Sciences最新文献_第3页

Wind of change for agent decisions and innovation diffusion: The ASPID predictive model for technology adoption 主体决策与创新扩散的变革之风：技术采用的ASPID预测模型

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102319

Carlos Sáenz-Royo , Ramón Hermoso , Francisco Chiclana

{"title":"Wind of change for agent decisions and innovation diffusion: The ASPID predictive model for technology adoption","authors":"Carlos Sáenz-Royo , Ramón Hermoso , Francisco Chiclana","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102319","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102319","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Innovations are part of human evolution and are essential for survival. However, traditional innovation diffusion models do not contemplate the possibility of innovation failure and focus on imitation social processes that require historical data for their estimation, providing only ex-post information, which limits their usefulness for risk management operations. This paper proposes a more general new model (ASPID: AbS-based Predictive Innovation Diffusion model) focusing on the decisions of agents who exhibit intentional limited rationality (IBR). ASPID provides: i) a greater depth of ex-post analysis than the classical models; ii) ex-ante information on the innovation diffusion process based on the characteristics of the target agents, the quality of the innovation, and the network topology of their relationships; iii) the success probability since innovations can fail. The model's versatility allows it to adapt to any information level, from the most aggregated to the most detailed. Some ex-ante and ex-post examples are presented to support the contribution.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102319"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144895774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

On the coherence of composite indexes of well-being: Multiverse analysis for formative models of measurement 幸福感综合指数的一致性：测量形成模型的多元宇宙分析

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102314

Giulio Giacomo Cantone, Venera Tomaselli

引用次数: 0

Efficiency evaluation of the forest sector in China: A meta-frontier DEA approach 中国森林部门效率评价：一种元前沿DEA方法

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102317

Dawei Wang , Feng Yang , Xiaoqi Zhang , Yu Sun

{"title":"Efficiency evaluation of the forest sector in China: A meta-frontier DEA approach","authors":"Dawei Wang , Feng Yang , Xiaoqi Zhang , Yu Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102317","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102317","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Evaluating forest resource performance supports sustainable development goals. Considering regional heterogeneity, this study develops an improved meta-frontier SBM model to assess forest performance. The improved meta-frontier SBM model effectively handles regional heterogeneity caused by differences in forest resource endowments and overcomes both the issue of infeasible targets and the problem of unreasonable technology gap ratio (TGR) values in non-radial meta-frontier approach, thus providing meaningful information (such as meta-efficiency, group efficiency, and TGR) to guide the development of effective policies to improve performance. This study's empirical results indicate that forest performance was not equalized among the provinces over the study period. Specifically, with some provinces, such as Chongqing consistently achieved the maximum group efficiency score of 1.000 and some consistently performing worse. In the two areas analyzed, non-forest rich areas demonstrated rapid technological improvement, with the TGR increasing from 0.639 in 2016 to 0.883 in 2020. Additionally, we found that the traditional TGR model underestimates the value of the technology gap in provinces compared to the proposed model. Finally, improvement strategies are proposed for inefficient provinces to enhance management efficiency and reduce regional technology gaps.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102317"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144860216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An Innovative Approach to Efficiency Measurement: Combining Convexified Efficiency Analysis Trees and Data Envelopment Analysis to Benchmark U.S. Museums 效率测量的创新方法：结合凸化效率分析树和数据包络分析以基准美国博物馆

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102316

Juan Aparicio , José L. Zofío , Doug Noonan , Dylan Thompson , Joanna Woronkowicz

{"title":"An Innovative Approach to Efficiency Measurement: Combining Convexified Efficiency Analysis Trees and Data Envelopment Analysis to Benchmark U.S. Museums","authors":"Juan Aparicio , José L. Zofío , Doug Noonan , Dylan Thompson , Joanna Woronkowicz","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102316","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102316","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates for the first time the efficiency of U.S. museums using a novel combination of Convexified Efficiency Analysis Trees (CEAT) and Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). While DEA is widely used for efficiency measurement, it suffers from overfitting and limited discriminatory power in high-dimensional datasets. CEAT addresses these issues by integrating machine-learning techniques with production theory, providing interpretable and robust benchmarks. By categorizing museums into clusters based on input-output profiles, the analysis reveals distinct efficiency patterns across museums of varying sizes and operational foci. The results highlight CEAT's superior ability to differentiate efficiency levels, offering actionable insights into input reductions and output increases for underperforming museums. Specifically, the analysis classifies museums into four clusters according to their size. The first three comprise the largest, medium-large and medium sized museums, while the last cluster constitutes a subtree including smaller museums. It is further divided into several branches according to specific inputs like limited or extensive program expenses (budgets), and short and long opening hours, respectively correlating with non-commercial versus market-oriented business models. Peer benchmarks identified within clusters further guide managerial strategies for improvement. The largest museums can improve efficiency by reducing opening hours or program expenses, while medium-size museums would benefit from reducing staff size and gallery space. As for relatively smaller museums in terms of visitors, besides opening hours, reducing total compensation would also result in greater efficiency. This shows that one-size-fits-all recommendations for museums’ efficiency improvement do not apply, adding diversity to the results obtained in previous literature.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102316"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144996445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Improving scholarship assignment using approximate dynamic programming: A Chilean case study 利用近似动态规划改进奖学金分配：智利个案研究

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102296

Sofía Redondo , Alejandro Cataldo , José Tomás Marquinez , Pablo A. Rey , Antoine Sauré

{"title":"Improving scholarship assignment using approximate dynamic programming: A Chilean case study","authors":"Sofía Redondo , Alejandro Cataldo , José Tomás Marquinez , Pablo A. Rey , Antoine Sauré","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102296","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102296","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A solution approach is proposed for a problem of assigning scholarships under budget constraints and uncertainty regarding the duration of previously awarded scholarships as determined by future renewals. The problem objective is to maximize the sum of the scores of accepted applicants subject to two conditions: (1) no applicant can be assigned a scholarship until assignments have been made to all applicants with higher scores; and (2) the annual budget allocation must first cover all renewals of previous awards. The approach is built around the formulation and approximate solution of a Markov decision process that provides a systematic method for identifying scholarship assignment policies which make efficient use of the annual scholarship budget. The benefits of the approach are analysed in a case study involving a scholarship offered annually in Chile that compares via simulation the solutions generated by various alternative assignment procedures with those of the proposed model. The results suggest that under the latter, 7% to 9% more students would be awarded scholarships each year without increasing the yearly budget.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102296"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144860215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Performance evaluation of emerging grid infrastructure Operations: Evidence from ultra-high-voltage transmission lines in China 新兴电网基础设施运营的绩效评估：来自中国超高压输电线路的证据

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102313

Bai-Chen Xie , Qian-Xu Wu , Yu-Yan Qin , Can Zhang

{"title":"Performance evaluation of emerging grid infrastructure Operations: Evidence from ultra-high-voltage transmission lines in China","authors":"Bai-Chen Xie , Qian-Xu Wu , Yu-Yan Qin , Can Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102313","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102313","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Emerging electrical infrastructure, especially network infrastructure, is increasingly important for the electricity sector to respond to extreme shocks and transition to clean energy. However, limited research has included system stability indicators into the evaluation framework of this new infrastructure. This study takes the example of ultra-high-voltage (UHV) lines in China, a key new infrastructure, to explore whether the substantial investment in labor and capital of UHV lines will lead to satisfactory service reliability and other returns. Using province-level balanced panel data from 2005 to 2022 in China, we apply the non-radial directional distance function (NDDF) model combined with a difference-in-differences (DID) approach to assess how UHV projects influence the total factor productivity (TFP) of grid firms. The findings reveal that UHV projects lead to a notable improvement in utility performance, as measured by TFP, with an average increase of 1.07 %. Mechanism analysis shows that the resource allocation and energy substitution effects are both significant for facilitating TFP, although the contribution of UHV projects to energy transition cannot manifest in the short term. The benefits of UHV are particularly significant in regions with high demand for electricity and at firms on the electricity input end. These findings suggest that planners should adopt a long-term, context-specific approach to the development of electrical infrastructure. Given that the energy transition is a gradual process, grid utilities, as key enablers, must effectively address the challenges of the transitional phase to ensure a future with sustainable energy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102313"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144864532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The required link for actions on green macroprudential implementations to improve circularity performance in Europe: Fresh insights from PVAR 绿色宏观审慎实施行动的必要环节，以提高欧洲的循环绩效：来自PVAR的新见解

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102312

Le Thanh Ha

{"title":"The required link for actions on green macroprudential implementations to improve circularity performance in Europe: Fresh insights from PVAR","authors":"Le Thanh Ha","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102312","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102312","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green macroprudential policies are expected to be essential tools for maintaining sustainable development by striking a balance between economic growth and environmental sustainability. Our study used a Panel Vector Autoregressive (PVAR) model to examine the relationship between green macroprudential policies and circularity performance from 28 countries between 2005 and 2022. Our findings reveal that green macroprudential policies do not affect circularity in the short term but enhance its efficiency in the long term. Furthermore, while the immediate response to economic growth shocks might be challenging, the long-term benefits of these policies become evident over time. Additionally, circularity received adverse shocks from green macro-prudential volatility during the period, while the reverse relationship was strongly positive. These results underscore the complex interplay between circularity policies and economic factorsThis highlights the need for stronger, well-designed policies that make green macroprudential measures robust enough to support long-term environmental and economic objectives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102312"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144828213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Testing facility location with constrained queue time problem: A case study on Brazilian capital cities 考虑排队时间约束的测试设施选址：以巴西首都城市为例

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102298

Almir Monteiro , Rafael Schneider , Laura Bahiense , Vanessa de Almeida Guimarães , Pedro Henrique González

{"title":"Testing facility location with constrained queue time problem: A case study on Brazilian capital cities","authors":"Almir Monteiro , Rafael Schneider , Laura Bahiense , Vanessa de Almeida Guimarães , Pedro Henrique González","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102298","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102298","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper addresses the Testing Facility Location with Constrained Queue Time Problem. This optimization problem was designed to determine the best places to deploy testing facilities for contagious diseases and the number of testers in each facility, while constraining the maximum waiting time in the queue, with a given probability. An integer programming model was formulated, presented and applied to the 27 capital cities of Brazil. In addition, the results achieved by the model were validated using a Monte Carlo simulation, to verify if the constrained queue time was being satisfied. Through several experiments, testing plans can be determined for various scenarios, comprising different parameters. When evaluating its similarities and differences, this provides interesting insights to the decision-maker. The results indicate that the model successfully produces valuable information to support the creation of testing plans, as every outcome respected the constrained maximum waiting time in the queue in all executions. In addition to pointing out the minimum investment necessary to execute a testing plan in all the capital cities, they also show that a small increase (less than 4%) in the total costs could allow both a decrease in waiting time and an increase in service level, allowing the decision-maker to apply the best combination of parameters, based on the current situation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102298"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144851936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Balancing fairness and efficiency in policing: A mean-variance utility and data envelopment analysis approach to arrest practices in U.S. cities 警务公平与效率的平衡：美国城市逮捕实践的均值方差效用和数据包络分析方法

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102311

Soumyatanu Mukherjee , Sayan Mukherjee

{"title":"Balancing fairness and efficiency in policing: A mean-variance utility and data envelopment analysis approach to arrest practices in U.S. cities","authors":"Soumyatanu Mukherjee , Sayan Mukherjee","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102311","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102311","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research pioneers a novel integration of the <strong>mean-variance utility model</strong> with a <strong>two-stage Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)</strong> framework to unravel the intricate fairness-efficiency trade-offs in law enforcement arrests. Leveraging data from 157 U S. cities, it explores how police departments navigate the dual imperatives of equity and operational efficiency amidst contextual risks such as crime rates, socioeconomic disparities, and diversity dynamics. The mean-variance utility model provides a rigorous theoretical lens to decode these complexities, while DEA quantifies the relative efficiency of departments in achieving equitable outcomes with constrained resources. The findings reveal an <strong>inverted U-shaped relationship</strong> between police department diversity and fairness-efficiency, suggesting that diversity enhances outcomes up to an optimal point, beyond which operational challenges begin to erode its benefits. Community diversity positively influences fairness-efficiency, highlighting the critical need for culturally attuned policing strategies. By bridging robust theoretical models with empirical insights, this study offers actionable strategies to optimize diversity, resource allocation, and operational frameworks for equitable policing. Groundbreaking in its approach, this research delivers practical implications for policymakers and law enforcement leaders while advancing the discourse on fairness and efficiency in public sector decision-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102311"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144810085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A street corner-level methodology to analyze the influence of points of interest on urban crime 一个街角级别的方法来分析兴趣点对城市犯罪的影响

IF 5.4 2区经济学

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102297

Débora Barbosa Leite Silva , Thales Vieira , Evandro de Barros Costa , Afonso Paiva , Luis Gustavo Nonato

{"title":"A street corner-level methodology to analyze the influence of points of interest on urban crime","authors":"Débora Barbosa Leite Silva , Thales Vieira , Evandro de Barros Costa , Afonso Paiva , Luis Gustavo Nonato","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102297","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2025.102297","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As cities have evolved, so too have crimes, becoming increasingly sophisticated, violent, and intense. This evolution has pushed security models to their breaking point, rendering many traditional strategies obsolete in the face of these new challenges. Consequently, society, especially law enforcement agencies, needs more sophisticated tools to assist them in decision-making. The growing digitization of data over the last decade has enabled the large-scale and highly agile collection of urban data which can be exploited to conduct crime analysis tasks and in particular to identify relevant crime patterns. In this study, we present a computational methodology to investigate the relationship between crime occurrences and the proximity to points of interest (POIs) within a city. In particular, this methodology can perform a segmented analysis, according to socioeconomic patterns of different city regions, using clustering algorithms. Through case studies in the Brazilian cities of Maceió and Arapiraca, we validate the proposed methodology and demonstrate a global correlation between POIs and crime occurrences in both cities. Furthermore, this correlation varies significantly when analyzing street corners segmented by socioeconomic patterns and across both cities. These findings validate the proposed methodology and demonstrate that this approach provides a robust framework for strategic decision-making, enabling law enforcement agencies to allocate resources more effectively and enhance overall public safety.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102297"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144831041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0