一个街角级别的方法来分析兴趣点对城市犯罪的影响

IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Débora Barbosa Leite Silva , Thales Vieira , Evandro de Barros Costa , Afonso Paiva , Luis Gustavo Nonato
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市的发展,犯罪也在发展,变得越来越复杂、暴力和激烈。这种演变将安全模型推向了临界点,使许多传统策略在面对这些新挑战时变得过时。因此,社会,特别是执法机构,需要更先进的工具来协助他们作出决策。在过去十年中,数据的日益数字化使大规模和高度敏捷的城市数据收集成为可能,这些数据可用于进行犯罪分析任务,特别是识别相关的犯罪模式。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种计算方法来调查城市中犯罪事件与兴趣点(poi)的接近程度之间的关系。特别是,该方法可以根据不同城市区域的社会经济模式,使用聚类算法进行分段分析。通过对巴西城市Maceió和Arapiraca的案例研究,我们验证了所提出的方法,并证明了两个城市的poi与犯罪事件之间的全球相关性。此外,在分析按社会经济模式和两个城市划分的街角时,这种相关性差异很大。这些发现证实了所建议的方法,并表明这种方法为战略决策提供了一个强有力的框架,使执法机构能够更有效地分配资源,并加强整体公共安全。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A street corner-level methodology to analyze the influence of points of interest on urban crime
As cities have evolved, so too have crimes, becoming increasingly sophisticated, violent, and intense. This evolution has pushed security models to their breaking point, rendering many traditional strategies obsolete in the face of these new challenges. Consequently, society, especially law enforcement agencies, needs more sophisticated tools to assist them in decision-making. The growing digitization of data over the last decade has enabled the large-scale and highly agile collection of urban data which can be exploited to conduct crime analysis tasks and in particular to identify relevant crime patterns. In this study, we present a computational methodology to investigate the relationship between crime occurrences and the proximity to points of interest (POIs) within a city. In particular, this methodology can perform a segmented analysis, according to socioeconomic patterns of different city regions, using clustering algorithms. Through case studies in the Brazilian cities of Maceió and Arapiraca, we validate the proposed methodology and demonstrate a global correlation between POIs and crime occurrences in both cities. Furthermore, this correlation varies significantly when analyzing street corners segmented by socioeconomic patterns and across both cities. These findings validate the proposed methodology and demonstrate that this approach provides a robust framework for strategic decision-making, enabling law enforcement agencies to allocate resources more effectively and enhance overall public safety.
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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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