Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal最新文献

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Supply and Demand for Cereals in Pakistan, 2010-2030 2010-2030年巴基斯坦谷物供需情况
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2185441
H. Nazli, H. Haider, A. Tariq
{"title":"Supply and Demand for Cereals in Pakistan, 2010-2030","authors":"H. Nazli, H. Haider, A. Tariq","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2185441","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2185441","url":null,"abstract":"Since the year 2000, Pakistan’s population has been growing at a rate that is higher than domestic food grain production. In view of the importance of wheat and rice in the human diet in Pakistan, it is extremely important to estimate the future demand and supply of both cereals. This paper presents the projections of future demand and supply for these two main cereals for 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025, and 2030.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127078030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 22
The Influence of Financial Performance on Payout Policy: A Study of Estonian Firms 财务绩效对股利政策的影响:爱沙尼亚公司的研究
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-06-15 DOI: 10.15157/TPEP.V20I1.784
Argo Teral, O. Lukason, P. Sander
{"title":"The Influence of Financial Performance on Payout Policy: A Study of Estonian Firms","authors":"Argo Teral, O. Lukason, P. Sander","doi":"10.15157/TPEP.V20I1.784","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15157/TPEP.V20I1.784","url":null,"abstract":"Payout (dividend) policy has been a controversial topic for decades. Theoretical and empirical literature has listed dozens of factors that could affect firm’s payout decisions. Current paper analyses the influence of financial performance on firms’ payout decisions based on a large sample of Estonian companies and covers the financial and economic crises period of 2008-2009. The results indicate that past financial performance indicators are poor predictors of future dividends (measured both by payout ratio and the value of dividends). The connection between the dividends paid and future earnings of the firm turned out to be remarkably stronger, i.e. dividends seem to possess some predictive power.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"69 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127404641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Export Decisions of Services Firms between Agglomeration Effects and Market-Entry Costs 集聚效应与市场进入成本之间的服务企业出口决策
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-05-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2870428
H. Kox
{"title":"Export Decisions of Services Firms between Agglomeration Effects and Market-Entry Costs","authors":"H. Kox","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2870428","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2870428","url":null,"abstract":"The paper tests the role of agglomeration effects on the export decision of services firms. Recent theories on trade with heterogeneous firms predict that export participation goes along with sunk market-entry costs. Only the more productive firms will be able to overcome these sunk costs. This leads to a process of - ex ante - self selection. These predictions are tested for the services industry, with due account for the possible role of agglomeration effects in large-city areas. Standard empirical tests of the new trade models consistently find productivity-based ex ante self selection by exporters, and this effect is mostly explained by unobserved sunk entry costs that exporters have to absorb in new foreign markets. Recent research by urban economists (e.g. Combes et al., 2012) suggests, however, that operating in large-city areas also goes along with positive productivity sorting. Ignoring this leads to upwardly biased estimates of the effect of foreign market entry costs. A large set of micro-data for establishments in Dutch services is used to investigate this hypothesis. I find evidence that positive productivity self-selection is based on the combined effects of agglomeration and anticipated market-entry cost for export starters. This effect is strongest in markets with more or less homogeneous products. I also find evidence that the productivity self-selection effect (of exporters compared to non-traders) is stronger in non-urban areas and smaller agglomerations.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127822953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Does Corporate Governance Reform Necessarily Boost Firm Performance? Recent Evidence from Russia 公司治理改革是否一定能提高公司绩效?来自俄罗斯的最新证据
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-05-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2051362
M. Kuznecovs, S. Pal
{"title":"Does Corporate Governance Reform Necessarily Boost Firm Performance? Recent Evidence from Russia","authors":"M. Kuznecovs, S. Pal","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2051362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2051362","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines whether the introduction of corporate governance (CG) reforms in general and that of transparency and disclosure (T&D) rules in particular can necessarily boost firm performance. Existing literature suggests that CG reforms can boost performance because it can resolve the conflict of interest between the controlling and the minority owners, especially in societies with highly skewed distribution of ownership. We however argue that the success of CG reform would, in addition, depend on whether the reforms may initiate further conflict, e.g., that between the state and the controlling owners. Using recent data from Russia for 2000-2008, we find that the introduction of corporate governance codes in Russia had limited success to improve indices of firm performance in our sample. We argue that this arises from the predatory behavior of the central and local governments: greater transparency make businesses easy targets for aggressive tax enforcement policy by the central government while the decentralized local governments may increase the bribe price to protect businesses from high central taxes, which may also induce some businesses to go underground, thus harming firm performance.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128164625","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
The Dividend Policy of the Merged Firm, Method of Payment, and Takeover Premium 被合并企业的股利政策、支付方式与收购溢价
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-04-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2084892
Sébastien Dereeper, Aymen Turki
{"title":"The Dividend Policy of the Merged Firm, Method of Payment, and Takeover Premium","authors":"Sébastien Dereeper, Aymen Turki","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2084892","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2084892","url":null,"abstract":"Dividends, particularly of acquiring firms are influenced by several structural adjustments especially after mergers. Using the dividend clientele hypothesis, we hypothesize that acquirer dividend policy is more likely to change after the merger if dividend policies of firms involved in a stock-based merger are quite different, while it remains unaffected in cash deals. Initially, we analyze the relationship between the acquirer dividends after the announcement and the pre-merger dividend policy of the target. In a second step, a multivariate analysis will be conducted to detect dynamics of takeover premium with the differences in dividend policy between merged firms. From the observation of 663 M&As, we find that acquiring firms are more disposed to adjust their dividend policies to those of targets in case of stock mergers than for mergers in cash. Additional analyses show some evidence that higher acquirer dividend is associated with higher takeover premium in cash deals, but there’s no significant association between difference in dividend policies and takeover premium in stock deals. These results highlight the role of the premium to offset the opportunity cost of target shareholders to receive more dividends in the merged entity when they agree a cash merger, and justify the triviality of the premium in stock deals by the disposal of the acquirer to adjust its dividend policy.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"58 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126085762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Platform, Meet Apps: Pricing and Quality Under Cross-Sided Externalities 平台与应用:横向外部性下的定价与质量
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-03-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2044551
Raymond G. Sin, Jia Jia
{"title":"Platform, Meet Apps: Pricing and Quality Under Cross-Sided Externalities","authors":"Raymond G. Sin, Jia Jia","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2044551","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2044551","url":null,"abstract":"Our study is motivated by the observation that two-sided platforms often exercise control on access to and transactions on at least one side of the market. For example, Apple's rigorous approval process and recent policies that prohibit cross-platform app-building tools is an indication of imposing control on both access and quality of its app market. Extant literature on two-sided markets fails to accommodate platform’s interventions on participation by either side (i.e. consumers and sellers of complementary products) of the market because it typically focuses on a homogeneous population. Our work aims to bridge this gap and provides the underlying rationale for the platform firm’s governance structure and optimal pricing decisions.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114648160","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Adverse Selection in the Credit Life Insurance Market 信用寿险市场中的逆向选择
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2024740
L. Colquitt, Stephen G. Fier, R. Hoyt, Andre P. Liebenberg
{"title":"Adverse Selection in the Credit Life Insurance Market","authors":"L. Colquitt, Stephen G. Fier, R. Hoyt, Andre P. Liebenberg","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2024740","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2024740","url":null,"abstract":"Adverse selection plays a prominent role in the insurance literature due to its negative implications for insurer financial performance and stability. However, there is a paucity of empirical evidence consistent with the existence of adverse selection in the U.S. insurance market. Potential reasons for the lack of evidence include: (1) that insurers effectively use underwriting and pricing to counteract adverse selection; or (2) that consumers either do not have, or fail to take advantage of, private information. We test for the existence of adverse selection in the credit life insurance market where opportunities to exploit asymmetric information are pronounced due to the lack of underwriting and highly regulated prices. Our analysis provides evidence consistent with adverse selection in the credit life market and suggests that the lack of empirical evidence regarding adverse selection may be due to effective underwriting rather than consumers failing to use informational advantages to their benefit.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"12 4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126139168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Modelling Default Correlations in a Two-Firm Model with Dynamic Leverage Ratios 动态杠杆率下两企业模型的违约相关性建模
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2162752
C. Chiarella, C. Lo, M. Huang
{"title":"Modelling Default Correlations in a Two-Firm Model with Dynamic Leverage Ratios","authors":"C. Chiarella, C. Lo, M. Huang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2162752","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2162752","url":null,"abstract":"This article provides a generalized two-firm model of default correlation, based on the structural approach that incorporates interest rate risk. In most structural models default is driven by the firms' asset dynamics. In this article, a two-firm model of default is instead driven by the dynamic leverage ratios, which combines the measure of risks of the firms' total liabilities and assets. This article investigates analytical methods and numerical tools to solve the two-dimensional first passage time problem with time-dependent parameters. We carry out a comparative analysis of the impact of model parameters and provide some insights of their effects on joint survival probabilities and default correlations.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"23 1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133874093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Are Order Imbalances Indicative of Private Information? 订单不平衡是否代表了私人信息?
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2022642
Sukwon Thomas Kim, H. Stoll
{"title":"Are Order Imbalances Indicative of Private Information?","authors":"Sukwon Thomas Kim, H. Stoll","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2022642","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2022642","url":null,"abstract":"Trading imbalances are often interpreted to be the result of informed trading. Yet imbalances may simply reflect random shocks or the results of liquidity trading. If trading imbalances reflect informed trading, they should anticipate major news events. Using announcements of earnings, acquisition targets, and seasoned equity offerings as our information events, we examine whether prior trading imbalances are related to the subsequent news. We conclude that imbalances do not well reflect the information held by informed traders. Trading imbalances do have price effects, but they are contemporaneous and are not significantly correlated with the forthcoming announcements.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122760039","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Rule-Based LTV and Penalty Function for Concentration Risk 基于规则的LTV和集中风险的惩罚函数
Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal Pub Date : 2012-02-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2007563
Yongwoong Lee, Yiran Zhang, S. Poon
{"title":"Rule-Based LTV and Penalty Function for Concentration Risk","authors":"Yongwoong Lee, Yiran Zhang, S. Poon","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2007563","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2007563","url":null,"abstract":"This paper implements a simple and transparent procedure for setting loan-to-value (LTV) ratio based on the market risk of the underlying collateralized portfolio. The loan hair cut (i.e. 1-LTV) is closely related to value-at-risk (VaR) which is very sensitive to model assumptions and complicated to estimate in the non-Gaussian multi-variate case. Our calculation first employs a Rule-Based LTV based on the sum of the individuals VaRs, which in turns is individually calibrated to historical volatility-VaR relationship. Next, in order to correct for the concentration-diversi\u001ccation effect of the portfolio, we propose a variance adjusted concentration measure which generalizes the Her\u001cndahl-Hirschman index by weights reflecting the variance of the individual assets. Furthermore, to adjust for the correlation relationship, we adopt a multi-factor framework where the correlations are driven by the regional and industry sectors. The combined adjustment factor is derived in closed form. In the empirical tests, we collect 10-day returns of the most frequently pledged stocks from 1998 and 2010 and group them into 10 regions and 10 industries sectors. The MSCI country and industry indices are used to construct region and industry risk factors. Our empirical tests show the accuracy of the Rule-Base value-at-risk is greatly improved by our adjustment factor in both in-sample and out-of-sample periods.","PeriodicalId":201359,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Microeconometric Models of Firm Behavior eJournal","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-02-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131978596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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