Xinhui Li, Nathalia Bianchini Esper, Lei Ai, Steve Giavasis, Hecheng Jin, Eric Feczko, Ting Xu, Jon Clucas, Alexandre Franco, Anibal Sólon Heinsfeld, Azeez Adebimpe, Joshua T. Vogelstein, Chao-Gan Yan, Oscar Esteban, Russell A. Poldrack, Cameron Craddock, Damien Fair, Theodore Satterthwaite, Gregory Kiar, Michael P. Milham
{"title":"Moving beyond processing- and analysis-related variation in resting-state functional brain imaging","authors":"Xinhui Li, Nathalia Bianchini Esper, Lei Ai, Steve Giavasis, Hecheng Jin, Eric Feczko, Ting Xu, Jon Clucas, Alexandre Franco, Anibal Sólon Heinsfeld, Azeez Adebimpe, Joshua T. Vogelstein, Chao-Gan Yan, Oscar Esteban, Russell A. Poldrack, Cameron Craddock, Damien Fair, Theodore Satterthwaite, Gregory Kiar, Michael P. Milham","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01942-4","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01942-4","url":null,"abstract":"When fields lack consensus standard methods and accessible ground truths, reproducibility can be more of an ideal than a reality. Such has been the case for functional neuroimaging, where there exists a sprawling space of tools and processing pipelines. We provide a critical evaluation of the impact of differences across five independently developed minimal preprocessing pipelines for functional magnetic resonance imaging. We show that, even when handling identical data, interpipeline agreement was only moderate, critically shedding light on a factor that limits cross-study reproducibility. We show that low interpipeline agreement can go unrecognized until the reliability of the underlying data is high, which is increasingly the case as the field progresses. Crucially we show that, when interpipeline agreement is compromised, so too is the consistency of insights from brain-wide association studies. We highlight the importance of comparing analytic configurations, because both widely discussed and commonly overlooked decisions can lead to marked variation. Functional connectivity estimates vary significantly across different functional magnetic resonance imaging preprocessing pipelines. Due to these variations, using seemingly similar minimal preprocessing does not ensure consistency.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141893897","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sicong Liu, Marta R. Durantini, Christopher Calabrese, Flor Sanchez, Dolores Albarracin
{"title":"A systematic review and meta-analysis of strategies to promote vaccination uptake","authors":"Sicong Liu, Marta R. Durantini, Christopher Calabrese, Flor Sanchez, Dolores Albarracin","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01940-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01940-6","url":null,"abstract":"Although immunization can dramatically curb the mortality and morbidity associated with vaccine-preventable diseases, vaccination uptake remains suboptimal in many areas of the world. Here, in this meta-analysis, we analysed the results from 88 eligible randomized controlled trials testing interventions to increase vaccination uptake with 1,628,768 participants from 17 countries with variable development levels (for example, Human Development Index ranging from 0.485 to 0.955). We estimated the efficacy of seven intervention strategies including increasing access to vaccination, sending vaccination reminders, providing incentives, supplying information, correcting misinformation, promoting both active and passive motivation and teaching behavioural skills. We showed that the odds of vaccination were 1.5 (95% confidence interval, 1.27 to 1.77) times higher for intervention than control conditions. Among the intervention strategies, using incentives and increasing access were most promising in improving vaccination uptake, with the access strategy being particularly effective in countries with lower incomes and less access to healthcare. Liu et al. present a systematic review and meta-analysis of 88 randomized controlled trials testing the effectiveness of seven intervention strategies for increasing vaccination uptake.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141875449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jessica Brough, Lasana T. Harris, Shi Hui Wu, Holly P. Branigan, Hugh Rabagliati
{"title":"Cognitive causes of ‘like me’ race and gender biases in human language production","authors":"Jessica Brough, Lasana T. Harris, Shi Hui Wu, Holly P. Branigan, Hugh Rabagliati","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01943-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01943-3","url":null,"abstract":"Natural language contains and communicates social biases, often reflecting attitudes, prejudices and stereotypes. Here we provide evidence for a novel psychological pathway for the expression of such biases, in which they arise as a consequence of the automatized mechanisms by which humans retrieve words to produce sentences. Four experiments show that, when describing events, speakers tend to mention people who are more like them first and, thus, tend to highlight the perspectives of their own social groups. This ‘like me’ effect was seen in speakers from multiple demographic groups, in both English and Chinese speakers and in both first- and second-language English speakers. Psycholinguistic manipulations pinpoint that the bias is caused by greater accessibility in memory of words that refer to in-group than out-group members. These data provide a new cognitive explanation for why people produce biased language and highlight how detailed cognitive theories can have social implications. Brough et al. find that speakers exhibit a ‘like me’ bias, mentioning people who are more like them first and thus highlighting the perspectives of their own social groups.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-024-01943-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141857607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Matthew Rosenblatt, Link Tejavibulya, Huili Sun, Chris C. Camp, Milana Khaitova, Brendan D. Adkinson, Rongtao Jiang, Margaret L. Westwater, Stephanie Noble, Dustin Scheinost
{"title":"Power and reproducibility in the external validation of brain-phenotype predictions","authors":"Matthew Rosenblatt, Link Tejavibulya, Huili Sun, Chris C. Camp, Milana Khaitova, Brendan D. Adkinson, Rongtao Jiang, Margaret L. Westwater, Stephanie Noble, Dustin Scheinost","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01931-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01931-7","url":null,"abstract":"Brain-phenotype predictive models seek to identify reproducible and generalizable brain-phenotype associations. External validation, or the evaluation of a model in external datasets, is the gold standard in evaluating the generalizability of models in neuroimaging. Unlike typical studies, external validation involves two sample sizes: the training and the external sample sizes. Thus, traditional power calculations may not be appropriate. Here we ran over 900 million resampling-based simulations in functional and structural connectivity data to investigate the relationship between training sample size, external sample size, phenotype effect size, theoretical power and simulated power. Our analysis included a wide range of datasets: the Healthy Brain Network, the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study, the Human Connectome Project (Development and Young Adult), the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort, the Queensland Twin Adolescent Brain Project, and the Chinese Human Connectome Project; and phenotypes: age, body mass index, matrix reasoning, working memory, attention problems, anxiety/depression symptoms and relational processing. High effect size predictions achieved adequate power with training and external sample sizes of a few hundred individuals, whereas low and medium effect size predictions required hundreds to thousands of training and external samples. In addition, most previous external validation studies used sample sizes prone to low power, and theoretical power curves should be adjusted for the training sample size. Furthermore, model performance in internal validation often informed subsequent external validation performance (Pearson’s r difference <0.2), particularly for well-harmonized datasets. These results could help decide how to power future external validation studies. Rosenblatt et al. run over 900 million resampling-based simulations in functional and structural connectivity data to show that low and medium effect size predictions require training and external samples in the hundreds to thousands of participants.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141857713","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Consumption patterns in prehistoric Europe are consistent with modern economic behaviour","authors":"Nicola Ialongo, Giancarlo Lago","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01926-4","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01926-4","url":null,"abstract":"Have humans always sold and purchased things? This seemingly trivial question exposes one of the most conspicuous blind spots in our understanding of cultural evolution: the emergence of what we perceive today as ‘modern’ economic behaviour. Here we test the hypothesis that consumption patterns in prehistoric Europe (around 2300–800 bce) can be explained by standard economic theory, predicting that everyday expenses are log-normally distributed and correlated to supply, demand and income. On the basis of a large database of metal objects spanning northern and southern Europe (n = 23,711), we identify metal fragments as money, address them as proxies of consumption and observe that, starting around 1500 bce, their mass values become log-normally distributed. We simulate two alternative scenarios and show that: (1) random behaviour cannot produce the distributions observed in the archaeological data and (2) modern economic behaviour provides the best-fitting model for prehistoric consumption. Prehistoric economic behaviour in Europe fits well with modern economic theory, based on a large database of metal objects from across Europe.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141792945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Bronze Age Europeans exhibited modern economic behaviour","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01936-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01936-2","url":null,"abstract":"The foundations of modern economic systems are rooted in the economic behaviour of contemporary humans, and ‘primitive’ societies have been assumed not to fit standard economic theory. But an analysis of metal fragments — effectively, money — shows that modern-style economic behaviour can be identified at least as far back as 3,500 years ago.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141790944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"New and re-emerging disease outbreaks can cause social conflict","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01935-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01935-3","url":null,"abstract":"Analysis of a dataset on zoonotic diseases such as Ebola and avian flu reveals that although zoonotic outbreaks can reduce the incidence of civil war, they increase social conflicts that involve civil defence groups, vigilantes and other identity militias.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141760008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Author Correction: Decision uncertainty as a context for motor memory","authors":"Kisho Ogasa, Atsushi Yokoi, Gouki Okazawa, Morimichi Nishigaki, Masaya Hirashima, Nobuhiro Hagura","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01960-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01960-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-024-01960-2.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141752234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Humans adaptively deploy forward and backward prediction","authors":"Paul B. Sharp, Eran Eldar","doi":"10.1038/s41562-024-01930-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41562-024-01930-8","url":null,"abstract":"The formation of predictions is essential to our ability to build models of the world and use them for intelligent decision-making. Here we challenge the dominant assumption that humans form only forward predictions, which specify what future events are likely to follow a given present event. We demonstrate that in some environments, it is more efficient to use backward prediction, which specifies what present events are likely to precede a given future event. This is particularly the case in diverging environments, where possible future events outnumber possible present events. Correspondingly, in six preregistered experiments (n = 1,299) involving both simple decision-making and more challenging planning tasks, we find that humans engage in backward prediction in divergent environments and use forward prediction in convergent environments. We thus establish that humans adaptively deploy forward and backward prediction in the service of efficient decision-making. Models of decision-making assume we predict forward from an action to its potential outcomes. In six studies, Sharp and Eldar show that humans also predict backward from a desired outcome to its preceding actions, particularly in divergent environments.","PeriodicalId":19074,"journal":{"name":"Nature Human Behaviour","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":21.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141624638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}