Natural HazardsPub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2024-11-06DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06987-2
Marijn J Ton, Hans de Moel, Jens A de Bruijn, Lena Reimann, Wouter J W Botzen, Jeroen C J H Aerts
{"title":"Economic damage from natural hazards and internal migration in the United States.","authors":"Marijn J Ton, Hans de Moel, Jens A de Bruijn, Lena Reimann, Wouter J W Botzen, Jeroen C J H Aerts","doi":"10.1007/s11069-024-06987-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11069-024-06987-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, we analyze the impact of natural hazards on internal migration in the United States (US). The analysis uses Internal Revenue Service (IRS) tax records and analyzes different versions of a gravity model to assess the impact of economic damage caused by natural hazards on migration flows between counties. We find that natural hazards in the origin county are associated to larger outflows, with hurricanes exhibiting the most substantial impact on migration, followed by floodings and severe storms. These results emphasize the need for migration research that distinguishes between various types of hazards. Furthermore, we extend the gravity model to investigate whether people tend to relocate to relatively nearby areas in response to natural hazards, an established phenomenon in existing literature. For floods and severe storms, the analysis demonstrates that migration flows to nearby counties are comparatively larger than to distant counties. These findings may be concerning, as it implies that individuals could still be at a high risk of experiencing future disasters. Additionally, we provide several robustness checks to investigate to what extent our results are driven by extreme events in the dataset.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11069-024-06987-2.</p>","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"121 4","pages":"4985-5005"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11968479/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143795828","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2024-11-20DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06980-9
Bin Gong, Xiang Yu, Yongjun Zhang, Chunyan Bao, Chun'an Tang
{"title":"Investigation into the rockfall impact process of a quarry landfill slope under highway expansion.","authors":"Bin Gong, Xiang Yu, Yongjun Zhang, Chunyan Bao, Chun'an Tang","doi":"10.1007/s11069-024-06980-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06980-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A quarry landfill slope is commonly partially or entirely filled with quarry waste. On the surface, a substantial amount of rough stone waste accumulates. This study specifically investigated the hazards posed by individual rockfalls and cluster rockfalls induced by landslides in such slopes, using an engineering slope as an illustrative example. The discontinuous deformation and displacement analysis method was employed to analyze the individual and cluster rockfall motion characteristics, as well as the dynamic response of protection structures. The results indicate that: (1) The impact of individual falling rocks on structures results in deformation and damage that far surpasses that caused by a flat plane impact. Interestingly, the stress generated upon rockfall contact with the structure is not initially at its maximum; it gradually increases to a peak as deformation occurs. When the structure is damaged or rebounds, the impact stress significantly diminishes. For wedge-shaped falling rocks impacting the upper part of the structure, bending tilting failure tends to occur. Conversely, irregular blocks with larger volumes impacting the lower part of the structure often lead to direct toppling failure; (2) Clusters falling rocks impede the movement of the sliding body. As the front and rear sliding bodies fracture along the middle, the rear sliding body tilts. Consequently, accumulated blocks are struck by the sliding body, initiating oblique throwing movements. There is a high likelihood of these rocks crossing protective structures; (3) The protection rate of the protective structure against single block stone impact stands at 86.7%. However, when subjected to the impact of a group of rockfalls, the protective structure completely fails. Overall, although the current protective measures are relatively cost-effective, the extremely high probability of casualties makes them unacceptable.</p>","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"121 5","pages":"5669-5695"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12000197/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144003211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2025-01-01Epub Date: 2024-12-16DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06983-6
Himanshu Agrawal, Chenbo Wang, Gemma Cremen, John McCloskey
{"title":"A geophysics-informed pro-poor approach to earthquake risk management.","authors":"Himanshu Agrawal, Chenbo Wang, Gemma Cremen, John McCloskey","doi":"10.1007/s11069-024-06983-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06983-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Recent earthquake disasters have highlighted an urgent need for continuous advancements in approaches to reducing seismic risk. Decision-making on such strategies should consider subsurface geophysical information (e.g., seismic site response), given its direct link to seismic hazard. This may be particularly important in regions where the poorest in society often reside in areas with softer soils that lead to higher ground-motion amplifications. In this context, we propose a framework to support decision-making on earthquake risk policies, which explicitly integrates information on the geophysics of an urban system as well as its physical and social environment. The framework is based on the Tomorrow's Cities Decision Support Environment, which was designed to support urban planning with a focus on pro-poor disaster risk reduction in countries of the Global South. It is further underpinned by a cost-benefit analysis, which facilitates the assessment of potential policies in terms of both their ability to reduce earthquake risk as well as their value for (often limited) money. We illustrate the framework using a well-established virtual urban testbed based on Global South cities, which reveals that geophysics-informed policy making can successfully lead to pro-poor earthquake risk reduction.</p>","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"121 6","pages":"6901-6919"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12037665/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144013335","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-11DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06291-5
S. Demir, İbrahim Dursun
{"title":"Assessment of pre- and post-fire erosion using the RUSLE equation in a watershed affected by the forest fire on Google Earth Engine: the study of Manavgat River Basin","authors":"S. Demir, İbrahim Dursun","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06291-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06291-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"9 44","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139437634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-10DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06380-5
N. Matin, Md. Enamul Haq Sakib, G. M. J. Hasan
{"title":"Vulnerability assessment of tropical cyclones and deep depressions: an index-based spatio-temporal assessment along the coastal zones of Bangladesh","authors":"N. Matin, Md. Enamul Haq Sakib, G. M. J. Hasan","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06380-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06380-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"9 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139438786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-09DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06358-3
Rong Hao, Xingle Ning, Yaru Zhou, Ruicheng Ma, Xueshuai Zhang, Guohong Qiu, Ronggui Hu
{"title":"Inputs of terrestrial dissolved organic matter in dam reservoirs during precipitation: impact on water quality and management","authors":"Rong Hao, Xingle Ning, Yaru Zhou, Ruicheng Ma, Xueshuai Zhang, Guohong Qiu, Ronggui Hu","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06358-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06358-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"11 13","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139443454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-08DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06363-6
R. A. Mir, Zahid Habib, Ajay Kumar, N. A. Bhat
{"title":"Landslide susceptibility mapping and risk assessment using total estimated susceptibility values along NH44 in Jammu and Kashmir, Western Himalaya","authors":"R. A. Mir, Zahid Habib, Ajay Kumar, N. A. Bhat","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06363-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06363-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"24 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139445424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-08DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06367-2
Ronald L. Schumann, Christopher T. Emrich, Van Butsic, M. Mockrin, Yao Zhou, Cassandra Johnson Gaither, Owen Price, A. Syphard, Joshua Whittaker, S. Aksha
{"title":"The geography of social vulnerability and wildfire occurrence (1984–2018) in the conterminous USA","authors":"Ronald L. Schumann, Christopher T. Emrich, Van Butsic, M. Mockrin, Yao Zhou, Cassandra Johnson Gaither, Owen Price, A. Syphard, Joshua Whittaker, S. Aksha","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06367-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06367-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"34 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139444982","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-08DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06368-1
Zahra Mohammadi, Dariush Rahimi, Mohammad Reza Najafi, R. Zakerinejad
{"title":"The impact of environmental degradation and climate change on dust in Khuzestan province, Iran","authors":"Zahra Mohammadi, Dariush Rahimi, Mohammad Reza Najafi, R. Zakerinejad","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06368-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06368-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"44 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139447830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Natural HazardsPub Date : 2024-01-08DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06360-9
Honghao Liu, ZhuoWei Hu, Ziqing Yang, Mi Wang
{"title":"Model-data matching method for natural disaster emergency service scenarios: implementation based on a knowledge graph and community discovery algorithm","authors":"Honghao Liu, ZhuoWei Hu, Ziqing Yang, Mi Wang","doi":"10.1007/s11069-023-06360-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-06360-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"45 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139444937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}