How trust shapes individual resilience to natural hazards: a systematic review.

IF 4.5 3区工程技术 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Natural Hazards Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI:10.1007/s11069-025-07816-w

Joshua P Nicholas, Amy Donovan, Clive Oppenheimer, Louie Bell, Maximillian Van Wyk de Vries

{"title":"How trust shapes individual resilience to natural hazards: a systematic review.","authors":"Joshua P Nicholas, Amy Donovan, Clive Oppenheimer, Louie Bell, Maximillian Van Wyk de Vries","doi":"10.1007/s11069-025-07816-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Trust is recognised as a critical element of disaster risk reduction; it shapes how people perceive risks, mobilise resources, and respond to hazards. Here, trust is defined as an individual's confidence in the ability and/ or intention of a system to act in their best interest. Importantly, many studies do not distinguish between ability- and intention-trust or acknowledge that such a distinction exists. Here, we present a systematic review of 100 articles and book chapters published between 2000 and 2025 which reveals that trust can both strengthen and weaken resilience to hazard events, depending on geographical factors, cultural context, hazard type, and the parties in whom trust is placed (e.g., government, community, scientific institutions, or personal beliefs). From the 100 studies, we identified 209 relationships between trust and individuals' resilience to natural hazards. We find that in the majority of case studies, trust is associated with increased resilience (58%), compared with trust being associated with decreased resilience (33%), or no change to resilience (10%). Our findings highlight the need for clarity when defining or theorising trust, and recognise the dynamic and context-dependent nature of trust when seeking to improve resilience to support effective disaster risk reduction.Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11069-025-07816-w.","PeriodicalId":18792,"journal":{"name":"Natural Hazards","volume":"122 2","pages":"48"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12816113/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Natural Hazards","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07816-w","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/1/19 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Trust is recognised as a critical element of disaster risk reduction; it shapes how people perceive risks, mobilise resources, and respond to hazards. Here, trust is defined as an individual's confidence in the ability and/ or intention of a system to act in their best interest. Importantly, many studies do not distinguish between ability- and intention-trust or acknowledge that such a distinction exists. Here, we present a systematic review of 100 articles and book chapters published between 2000 and 2025 which reveals that trust can both strengthen and weaken resilience to hazard events, depending on geographical factors, cultural context, hazard type, and the parties in whom trust is placed (e.g., government, community, scientific institutions, or personal beliefs). From the 100 studies, we identified 209 relationships between trust and individuals' resilience to natural hazards. We find that in the majority of case studies, trust is associated with increased resilience (58%), compared with trust being associated with decreased resilience (33%), or no change to resilience (10%). Our findings highlight the need for clarity when defining or theorising trust, and recognise the dynamic and context-dependent nature of trust when seeking to improve resilience to support effective disaster risk reduction.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11069-025-07816-w.

Abstract Image

查看原文本刊更多论文

信任如何塑造个人抵御自然灾害的能力：系统性回顾。

信任被认为是减少灾害风险的一个关键因素；它塑造了人们感知风险、调动资源和应对危险的方式。在这里，信任被定义为个人对系统以其最佳利益行事的能力和/或意图的信心。重要的是，许多研究没有区分能力信任和意图信任，也没有承认这种区别的存在。在这里，我们对2000年至2025年间发表的100篇文章和书籍章节进行了系统回顾，结果表明，信任既可以增强也可以削弱对灾害事件的恢复力，这取决于地理因素、文化背景、灾害类型和信任的各方（如政府、社区、科学机构或个人信仰）。从这100项研究中，我们确定了信任与个人对自然灾害的恢复力之间的209种关系。我们发现，在大多数案例研究中，信任与弹性增加有关（58%），而信任与弹性下降有关（33%），或者与弹性没有变化有关（10%）。我们的研究结果强调了在定义或理论化信任时需要明确，并在寻求提高恢复力以支持有效减少灾害风险时认识到信任的动态和上下文依赖性质。补充信息：在线版本包含补充资料，提供地址：10.1007/s11069-025-07816-w。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Natural Hazards 环境科学-地球科学综合

CiteScore

6.60

自引率

8.10%

发文量

568

审稿时长

3.5 months

期刊介绍： Natural Hazards is devoted to original research work on all aspects of natural hazards, the forecasting of catastrophic events, their risk management, and the nature of precursors of natural and/or technological hazards. Although the origin of hazards can be different sources and systems (atmospheric, hydrologic, oceanographic, volcanologic, seismic, neotectonic), the environmental impacts are equally catastrophic. This circumstance warrants a tight interaction between the different scientific and operational disciplines, which should enhance the mitigation of hazards. Hazards of interest to the journal are included in the following sections: general, atmospheric, climatological, oceanographic, storm surges, tsunamis, floods, snow, avalanches, landslides, erosion, earthquakes, volcanoes, man-made, technological, and risk assessment. The interactions between these hazards and society are also addressed in the journal and include risk governance, disaster response and preventive actions such as spatial planning and remedial measures.