{"title":"Fault Prediction for Rotating Bearing United Genetic Algorithm Optimize Variational Mode Decomposition and Support Vector Machine","authors":"Zijian Guo, X. Ye, Jun Tan, G. Zhai","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00015","url":null,"abstract":"The vibration signal of rotating bearing is continuous and non-stationary. The fault information contained in the signal can not be reflected directly due to the excessive noise background of the operating environment. Based on the above characteristic and shortcomings, a new fault prediction method is proposed in this paper. Firstly, aiming at the disadvantage of modal aliasing caused by improper parameter selection of variational mode decomposition(VMD) algorithm, a parameter optimization model based on genetic algorithm(GA) is established to search the best combination of parameters globally. Due to the small dataset of early rotating bearing failures, the support vector machine (SVM) method based on parameter optimization is used for fault prediction, and its prediction accuracy is as high as 90%, which provides a new idea for rotating bearing fault prediction.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"20 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125971806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on the Evaluation and Prediction Method of Solar-powered UAV Energy and Electrical System Health State Based on DBN","authors":"Zhengming Sun, Lizhi Wang, Xiaohong Wang","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00059","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00059","url":null,"abstract":"This paper focused on solar-powered UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) as the research object, carries out the application research of its energy and electrical system health state monitoring and redundancy design. As a new kind of long-endurance UAV, the solar-powered UAV has the advantages of ultra-long flight time and can conduct continuous aerial reconnaissance and surveillance in the high-altitude field day and night. It is currently the key type of UAV development in the world. The UAV system is a typical multi-level system composed of various subsystems, equipment, components, etc. distributed in the air and on the ground. The main function of the energy and electrical subsystem is to collect solar energy and convert it into electrical energy to provide other subsystems. At the same time, it is the electrical integration part of UAV system. Solar-powered UAV keep an ultra-long time in the air, and at the same time they have to face the rapidly changing climate at high altitudes. Therefore, real-time monitoring of the health state of solar-powered UAV is extremely important. In this paper, the health status of energy and electrical system of solar UAV is monitored in real time, and carries out a redundant design to compare with the health status of the original system.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127067945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Qisen Sun, X. Ye, Haoxiang Li, Wenwen Li, Ruiming Yuan, G. Zhai
{"title":"Life Prediction of Lithium Thionyl Chloride Battery Based on Pulse Load Test and Accelerated Degradation Test","authors":"Qisen Sun, X. Ye, Haoxiang Li, Wenwen Li, Ruiming Yuan, G. Zhai","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00037","url":null,"abstract":"Lithium thionyl chloride batteries are widely used in equipment that requires a long-life backup power source, and their life determines the reliability of the equipment. This paper proposes a new method for life prediction of Lithium thionyl chloride battery based on pulse load test and accelerated degradation test. Through the pulse load test, the capacity features are extracted from the voltage response of the battery, and the capacity estimator is constructed by back propagation neural network. The pulse load test method can estimate the capacity quickly and non-destructively, so the capacity degradation of the primary battery can be accurately described. On this basis, an accelerated degradation test is carried out, and the discharge angle and electrolyte fluidity are analyzed to avoid the measurement error of degradation. According to the exponential influence of time and temperature on capacity degradation, a life prediction model with satisfactory ability to approximate measured data is established.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130677573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Data-Driven Pricing Model for Extended Warranty Under Different Product Failures and Customer Characteristics","authors":"Jiaxiang Cai, Xin Wang, Z. Ye","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00046","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00046","url":null,"abstract":"Most commercial products are sold with warranties. The prevailing uniform pricing strategy of the product's base warranty and extended warranty often lead to higher-than-expected warranty cost. Information on variations in product field reliability resulting from different customer characteristic such as heterogeneous operating environment and uncertain customer behaviors is not available upon sale and thus overlooked in base warranty cost estimation and pricing. The extended warranty should then be properly priced with the availability of information from failure claims and warranty cost generated during the base warranty period. In this work, we propose a data-driven method that explicitly captures a customer's random effect and his report probability of different failure types and prices the extended warranty according to different degrees of knowledge on customers and products. The proposed method is applied to a real case warranty dataset, and the results reveal that the method can well describe the failure process and the customer characteristics and helps to obtain the optimal price that achieves the maximum profit.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"79 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134496157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chengwei Zhang, Wenyuan Liao, Shaohua Yang, Hongran Wang, Zhipeng Wei, G. Lu
{"title":"Reliability Research of GaN-Based blue Semiconductor Lasers","authors":"Chengwei Zhang, Wenyuan Liao, Shaohua Yang, Hongran Wang, Zhipeng Wei, G. Lu","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00018","url":null,"abstract":"With the development of GaN material epitaxy technology, GaN-based blue semiconductor lasers have gradually entered people's vision, and their power has been increased from 5mW to several hundred watts now, which meets the needs of people's dailylife. However, the defects produced in the process of the epitaxial growth of the material and the increase of the temperature can affect its operating performance. Although the reliability of GaN-based semiconductor lasers has been analysed and discussed by many foreign scholars, there are few reports in China. In this paper, based on previous research combined with the thermal generation mechanism of blue semiconductor lasers, the reliability research work and failure mechanism of GaN-based semiconductor lasers are summarised. The thermal characteristics are invested with simulated results by ANSYS, and corresponding improvement schemes are proposed. This helps to enhance the lifetime of GaN-based blue semiconductor lasers and further promote the application of blue lasers in industrial production and daily life.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"46 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122233808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal Periodic Switching Strategy For a Two-unit Warm Standby Degradation System","authors":"Senyang Bai, X. Jia, Z. Cheng, B. Guo, Qian Zhao","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00048","url":null,"abstract":"At present, most warm standby systems only switch the standby unit to the normal operation state after the active unit fails. However, a periodic active switching strategy is adopted for the gyro standby system on the satellite. Due to the performance degradation of the gyroscope in the long-term operation and standby process. For this problem, an optimal periodic switching strategy is proposed for the two-unit warm standby degradation system. First, the degradation process of the unit is described by a multi-phase Wiener process. Second, the reliability function and mean time to failure (MTTF) of the degradation subsystem is derived based on the first-hitting time theory. Third, the optimal periodic switching interval is determined to maximize the system MTTF. Finally, a numerical example of a gyroscope warm standby subsystem is used to illustrate the applicability and superiority of the proposed model.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117169808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Uncertain Statistics of Uncertain Accelerated Degradation Model Based on the Method of Moments","authors":"Zhao Tao, Xiao-Yang Li, Wenbin Chen","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00040","url":null,"abstract":"The uncertain accelerated degradation model describing the degradation process and quantifying the epistemic uncertainties in the time dimension has been constructed, and the uncertain statistics based on the principle of least squares (US-LS) to estimate unknown parameters has been proposed. However, US-LS only considers the fit of the uncertainty distribution, rather than describing the deterministic degradation trend and analyzing the uncertainties. In this paper, an uncertain statistics based on the method of moments (US-M) is proposed, in which the unknown parameters related to the deterministic degradation trend and those related to the uncertainties are estimated separately. A stress relaxation case study is conducted to illustrate the proposed US-M, and discussions are given to compare US-M with US-LS in predicting the deterministic degradation trend and quantifying the uncertainties. The results show that the proposed US-M is more accurate than US-LS in predicting the deterministic degradation trend, and the confidence intervals of the degradation process predicted by US-M are closer to the boundaries of the actual data in quantifying the uncertainties, which verifies the validity of the proposed uncertain statistics.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"54 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114695664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"[Title page iii]","authors":"","doi":"10.1109/srse54209.2021.00002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/srse54209.2021.00002","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"106 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124711118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Contact Bounce Model Considering Arc Ignition for Relay Contact Reliability Evaluation","authors":"Lanxiang Liu, Wenying Yang, Li Chen, G. Zhai","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00023","url":null,"abstract":"Effective and comprehensive information of the bounce behavior for the relay will greatly affect the contact reliability evaluation. Due to the coexistence of the vibration problem and the correlations evaporation in the physical behaviors of the components, the contact process is difficult to simulate especially for relay with arc ignition. In view of the importance of the contact bounce model for obtaining accurate contact information, a new contact bounce model considering arc phenomena is established in this study, which can provide a quantitative explanation for the experimental behavior. The advantages of proposed bounce model are: 1) it involves the impact, bounce, electrical fields, magnetic force, repulsion force, and electrical arc during the closing operation for a real relay; and 2) it is computationally efficient and capable in simulating dynamic process and collecting bounce parameters. The application on a typical commercial relay demonstrates the performance of the proposed model. It is found that the bouncing tendency of the contact reed is determined by the plasma pressure and the impact effect in the contact area.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125115252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research on Fatigue Crack Growth Model of Aircraft Structural Parts under Salt Spray","authors":"C. Song, Z. Bian, Zhe Zhang, S. Ding","doi":"10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SRSE54209.2021.00013","url":null,"abstract":"Firstly, the stress analysis of landing gear is carried out to determine the stress of landing gear struts in the retracting and retracting stages, and the mechanical model of landing gear struts is established. By using finite element method, the landing gear struts and kinematic hinges are considered as rigid bodies, and it is ignored that the influence of their deformation during extension and extension. The external load of the pole is calculated in the working process. Secondly, through the component-level performance degradation test, the same structural size as the hinge of the landing gear moving mechanism was taken as the sample, and the samples were cycled in groups according to different corrosion time. The main items of functional degradation test include three parts: wet heat test, temperature cycle test, salt spray test and tensile fatigue test. The test load is the same as the calculation and analysis results of the landing gear moving mechanism struts, and the crack propagation is recorded. Finally, BP neural network was used to analyze the data, and the relationship between crack growth and load and corrosion time at different time points was obtained, and the residual life of corrosion fatigue and its reliability calculation model were obtained. After several times of training, the required error can be achieved. The training network was used to predict that the hinge was fixed in three of the four factors, and the expression of crack propagation was determined. Then the curve fitting tool (MATLAB) was used to fit the relationship between the crack of the pole and the applied load, pendulum frequency, pendulum Angle and corrosion period, and the degradation model of 30CrMnSiA steel struts under the coupling of corrosion and fatigue failure modes was determined.","PeriodicalId":168429,"journal":{"name":"2021 3rd International Conference on System Reliability and Safety Engineering (SRSE)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129527235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}