Marianne Hagman, Lars Wilhelmsen, Hans Wedel, Kjell Pennert
{"title":"Risk factors for angina pectoris in a population study of Swedish men","authors":"Marianne Hagman, Lars Wilhelmsen, Hans Wedel, Kjell Pennert","doi":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90163-9","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90163-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Primary Preventive Trial in Göteborg, Sweden, a study of a random population sample of middle-aged men, made it possible to analyse the risk factor pattern cross-sectionally in 166 men with uncomplicated angina pectoris (AP) and compare with 5735 men without angina pectoris or myocardial infarction (MI). A prospective analysis was also performed concerning the risk factor pattern in 128 cases with uncomplicated AP and 34 cases with complicated AP (following an MI) respectively, appearing during a follow-up time of 4 years.</p><p>At cross-sectional analysis, uncomplicated AP was related to elevated serum cholesterol, elevated systolic and diastolic blood pressure, increased relative body weight, smoking, diabetes mellitus, low physical activity during leisure time, dyspnea and mental stress.</p><p>However at multivariate, prospective analysis only dyspnea, stress, diabetes mellitus and increased relative body weight were predictors for uncomplicated AP. In contrast, elevated serum cholesterol, high blood pressure, smoking, and high physical activity at work were predictors for complicated AP.</p><p>Possible reasons for the apparent risk factor differences and different mechanisms in AP and MI are discussed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 3","pages":"Pages 265-275"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0021-9681(87)90163-9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14617353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Toward an “unconfounded” classification of epidemiologic research design","authors":"Michael S. Kramer , Jean-François Boivin","doi":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90104-4","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90104-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Existing classifications of research designs for epidemiologic studies are inconsistent and confusing because of the conceptual “confounding” of three distinct concepts: (1) <em>directionality</em> in which exposure and outcome are investigated, (2) <em>sample selection</em> criteria, and (3) <em>timing</em> of the study proper with respect to the calendar times of exposure and outcome. The authors have attempted to construct a classification in which these three concepts comprise distinct (if not totally independent) axes. Closer attention to the distinctions described may help the planning and interpretation of epidemiologic studies, as well as facilitate future teaching and communication.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 7","pages":"Pages 683-688"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0021-9681(87)90104-4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14619929","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Estimation of myocardial infarction mortality from routinely collected data in Western Australia","authors":"C.A. Martin, M.S.T. Hobbs, B.K. Armstrong","doi":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90102-0","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90102-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The accuracy of routinely collected mortality data for ischemic heart disease (IHD) as indicators of death from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was assessed in ages 25–64 years, according to the WHO criteria defined in 1983. Cases were identified from computer records (linked for individuals) of all death certificates and hospital discharges in Western Australia between 1971 and 1982. Where the official cause was IHD about 90% of deaths fulfilled the WHO criteria for definite or possible AMI. Up to 10% of fatal cases of definite or possible AMI were coded to other causes in the official death statistics, however it appeared that variations in this figure with changes in coding practices could cause appreciable bias in the estimation of secular trends in IHD mortality. This problem could largely be overcome by reviewing fatal events where the death certificate was coded to one of a limited number of other ICD rubrics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 7","pages":"Pages 661-669"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0021-9681(87)90102-0","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14718833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Betsy Foxman , R.Burciaga Valdez , Kathleen N. Lohr , George A. Goldberg , Joseph P. Newhouse , Robert H. Brook
{"title":"The effect of cost sharing on the use of antibiotics in ambulatory care: Results from a population-based randomized controlled trial","authors":"Betsy Foxman , R.Burciaga Valdez , Kathleen N. Lohr , George A. Goldberg , Joseph P. Newhouse , Robert H. Brook","doi":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90176-7","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90176-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Little is known about how generosity of insurance and population characteristics affect quantity or appropriateness of antibiotic use. Using insurance claims for antibiotics from 5765 non-elderly people who lived in six sites in the United States and were randomly assigned to insurance plans varying by level of cost-sharing, we describe how antibiotic use varies by insurance plan, diagnosis and health status, geographic area, and demographic characteristics. People with free medical care used 85% more antibiotics than those required to pay some portion of their medical bills (controlling for all other variables). Antibiotic use was significantly more common among women, the very young, patients with poorer health, and persons with higher income. Use of antibiotics for viral, viral-bacterial, and bacterial conditions did not differ between free and cost-sharing insurance plans, given antibiotics were the treatment of choice. Cost sharing reduced inappropriate and appropriate antibiotic use to a similar degree.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 5","pages":"Pages 429-437"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0021-9681(87)90176-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14235393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A nonmathematical view of mathematical models for cancer","authors":"Kenneth C. Chu","doi":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80019-X","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80019-X","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A qualitative view of mathematical models for cancer is presented. The Armitage and Doll multistage and Moolgavkar two-stage models of cancer are discussed in terms of their physical models. Time-related factors for these models as well as some of their characteristics are presented. The effect of age at first exposure, duration of exposure, time since last exposure and stage of carcinogenic effect on risk are detailed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 ","pages":"Pages 163S-170S"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80019-X","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14787758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Use of multistage models to infer stage affected by carcinogenic exposure: Example of lung cancer and cigarette smoking","authors":"Charles C. Brown, Kenneth C. Chu","doi":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80020-6","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80020-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Statistical methods based on the Armitage-Doll mathematical model of the carcinogenic process are presented for analyzing epidemiologic case-control studies of cancer. These methods are proposed to provide inferences regarding the stage(s) in the cancer process at which the exposure of interest acts. An example of these methods is given which shows evidence that carcinogens in cigarette smoke appear to affect the transition rates for two separate stages in the development of lung cancer, and the relative magnitudes of these effects are estimated. The data for this analysis came from a European multi-center case-control study of lung cancer.</p><p>The results of the analysis show that: (1) the relative risk of lung cancer among continuing smokers compared to nonsmokers of the same age decreases as the age started smoking increases, while the rate of smoking stays fixed, a result which indicates a carcinogenic effect on an early stage in the process; and (2) the relative risk among ex-smokers compared to continuing smokers having the same duration and rate of smoking decreases with time since smoking stopped, a result which indicates a carcinogenic effect on a late stage in the process. Both results are shown to be best described by the hypothesis that cigarette smoking affects two stages. The estimated relative magnitudes of cigarettes' carcinogenic effects on the two stages indicate that the largest proportion of the total lifetime lung cancer risk among continuing smokers is due to its late stage effect, and that the proportion of risk due to causes other than smoking varies from 23% among men smoking 1–10 cigarettes per day to 6% among those smoking greater than 30 cigarettes per day. These findings imply that preventive measures directed toward inducing smokers to stop would have a potentially substantial payoff in reducing future lung cancer mortality.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 ","pages":"Pages 171S-179S"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80020-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14787760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Metabolic modeling of organ-specific doses to carcinogens as illustrated with alpha-radiation emitting radionuclides","authors":"Harvey Checkoway , Douglas Crawford-Brown","doi":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80022-X","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80022-X","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Qunatitative estimation of doses of carcinogens delivered to physiologic targets facilities specification of organ-specific dose-response functions. Typically, exposure measurements, such as air or water concentrations of carcinogens, are used as dose surrogates in epidemiologic studies. An illustrative exception to this usual situation is the case of airborne alpha radiation-emitting radionuclides, for which organ-specific doses can be derived. A metabolic modeling approach for estimating doses delivered to the lung, gastrointestinal tract and bone is described for three classes of radionuclides: soluble uranium, insoluble uranium and plutonium. The dose models are defined in terms of biological retention patterns and organ-specific depositions affinities. Application of the metabolic modeling approach is illustrated with a hypothetical example of excess lung cancer risk projection in a cohort of persons exposed to plutonium. Also, a simple example is presented to demostrate how adherence to the metabolic model structure can avoid gross overestimation of doses in the case of multiple <em>in vivo</em> lung counting measurements taken in close temporal proximity following a large exposure intake.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 ","pages":"Pages 191S-200S"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80022-X","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14787762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advances in health assessment: Organization of the conference and of this monograph","authors":"Kathleen N. Lohr , John E. Ware Jr","doi":"10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80026-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80026-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S0021-9681(87)80026-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72220307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Quality of life variables in surgical trials","authors":"Judy O'Young, Bucknam McPeek","doi":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90008-7","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0021-9681(87)90008-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Clinical trials are commonly performed in surgery to assess the efficacy of one or more treatments. Many therapies result in only partial or temporary improvement, rather than cure. Others sharply affect the quality of patients' lives or of their deaths. For most interventions, it is important to document effects on quality of life as well as morbidity and mortality rates. Yet, a review of the literature reveals that very few surgical trials consider quality of life variables as outcome measures. Surgical investigators in areas like cancer, inflammatory bowel disease, end stage renal disease, and cardiac disease have examined quality of life issues extensively using a variety of scales and indices. However, most studies on quality of life are hampered by poor design and inadequate methods of assessment. Failure to evaluate quality of life variables prevents the recognition and full use of potentially beneficial therapies and the rejection of potentially harmful ones.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15427,"journal":{"name":"Journal of chronic diseases","volume":"40 6","pages":"Pages 513-522"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1987-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0021-9681(87)90008-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"14426764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}