Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal最新文献

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Responses of International Central Banks to the Covid-19 Crisis 国际央行对新冠肺炎危机的反应
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.20955/r.102.339-84
J. Haas, Christopher J. Neely, William. R. Emmons
{"title":"Responses of International Central Banks to the Covid-19 Crisis","authors":"J. Haas, Christopher J. Neely, William. R. Emmons","doi":"10.20955/r.102.339-84","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20955/r.102.339-84","url":null,"abstract":"This article reviews and explains the recent policy reactions of the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan to the financial and macroeconomic turmoil caused by the COVID-19 pandemic The financial and monetary policy actions of major central banks in the most recent crisis have, by some metrics, surpassed their responses to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-09 in both swiftness and scope","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"85 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121923218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 12
Central Banks Are not Strangers to Unpopularity 央行对不受欢迎并不陌生
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-09-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3692960
Nishadi Thennakoon
{"title":"Central Banks Are not Strangers to Unpopularity","authors":"Nishadi Thennakoon","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3692960","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3692960","url":null,"abstract":"The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) celebrates its 70th Anniversary on 28 August 2020. The establishment of the CBSL was a proud moment in the post-independence history of Sri Lanka. The Bank, as the apex financial authority in the country, is entrusted with the mandates of maintaining economicand price stability and financial system stability. These two objectives are complementary to each other and they affect all sectors of the economy. Central banks worldwide were called upon to be risk managers during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007-09, followed by the Great Recession. Quantitative Easing, which fast-tracked implementation of lender of last resort policies and overhauling financial regulatory regimes were some of the key measures executed by central banks in response to the said crisis. While financial systems and economies werestruggling to restore stability, and wipe off the scars of GFC, there came COVID-19 pandemic with devastating impacts on almost all sectors. Central banks have been required again to find solutions to COVID-19 induced instabilities. At this very special moment of CBSL’s 70th Anniversary, this article is dedicated to discussing challenges faced by central banks during this unprecedented crisis.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129269327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimal Credit, Monetary, and Fiscal Policy Under Occasional Financial Frictions and the Zero Lower Bound 偶尔金融摩擦和零利率下限下的最优信贷、货币和财政政策
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3711147
Shi-jie Jiang
{"title":"Optimal Credit, Monetary, and Fiscal Policy Under Occasional Financial Frictions and the Zero Lower Bound","authors":"Shi-jie Jiang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3711147","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3711147","url":null,"abstract":"I study optimal credit, monetary, and fiscal policy under commitment in a model where financial intermediaries face an occasionally binding financial constraint; the monetary authority faces a zero lower bound (ZLB); and the fiscal authority faces a budget constraint. Despite being inactive in the deterministic steady state, the credit policy is permanent in the risky steady state. Financial and productivity shocks can generate a tradeoff between inflation stability and financial stability, which is resolved in favour of the latter with the credit spread being virtually equal to zero under a reasonable calibration. As the ZLB prevents full-scale monetary easing when financial distress weighs on aggregate demand, monetary policy should be relatively tighter in normal times for a precautionary reason. Moreover, the optimal nominal interest rate is a bell-shaped function of productivity around the stochastic steady state, although it is sensitive to how much the central bank is constrained by its past commitments. Notwithstanding the mentioned policy tradeoff, the optimal Taylor type rule is strictly inflation targeting. However, the rule-based policy features too aggressive a credit intervention but insufficient monetary easing.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"65 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115367159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantitative Easing: New Normal or Emergency Measure? 量化宽松:新常态还是应急措施?
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.5709/ce.1897-9254.406
P. Bartkiewicz
{"title":"Quantitative Easing: New Normal or Emergency Measure?","authors":"P. Bartkiewicz","doi":"10.5709/ce.1897-9254.406","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5709/ce.1897-9254.406","url":null,"abstract":"This article explores the economic justification of the use of unconventional monetary policy instruments such as asset purchase programmes (known as quantitative easing, QE) with the aim of assessing the nature of QE in the context of future monetary policy in Poland. Since 2008, numerous asset purchase programmes have been launched by central banks in major developed economies to raise economic growth and inflation in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. These programmes can be seen either as part of broader, longer trends (demographic, socioeconomic) or as an emergency measure (i.e. a response to unique circumstances). The former hypothesis calls on central banks to treat unconventional monetary policy instruments as a necessary part of their toolbox, while the latter implies that QE is unlikely to be used again in the future. Drawing from a wide set of macroeconomic data and a proprietary literature review, I describe the macroeconomic context for unconventional monetary policy, present arguments for both paradigms and their implications. I conclude that recent developments favor the former hypothesis and that this debate will most likely be settled within several years and can be informed by business cycle developments in major developed economies.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"183 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133344553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Forward Guidance and Corporate Lending 前瞻指引和企业贷款
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-08-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3520170
M. Delis, Silvio Hong, Nikos Paltalidis, Dennis Philip
{"title":"Forward Guidance and Corporate Lending","authors":"M. Delis, Silvio Hong, Nikos Paltalidis, Dennis Philip","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3520170","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3520170","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 We suggest that forward guidance, via publicly committing the central bank to future actions and creating associated expectations, fundamentally affects bank lending decisions independently of other forms of monetary policy. To test this hypothesis, we build a forward guidance measure based on the language used in the Federal Open Market Committee meetings and match this measure with syndicated loans. Our results show that expansionary forward guidance decreases corporate loan spreads and that this effect is stronger for well-capitalized banks lending to riskier firms. Forward guidance also affects nonprice lending terms, such as covenants, performance pricing provisions, and the loan syndicate structure. Additionally, banks tend to initiate new lending relationships with lower spreads after forward guidance issuance.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129001406","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, and the Great Recession 住房政策、货币政策和大衰退
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3667309
Scott Sumner, Kevin Erdmann
{"title":"Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, and the Great Recession","authors":"Scott Sumner, Kevin Erdmann","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3667309","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3667309","url":null,"abstract":"Most research on the run-up in home prices before the Great Recession has focused on types of excessive demand—loose lending, foreign savings, loose monetary policy, speculation, bank deregulation, federal housing subsidies, etc. The focus on excess demand led to fatalism about the collapse in homebuilding that began in 2006 and the eventual recession and financial crisis that followed. Regardless of the sources of excess demand, a consensus developed that American spending had become unsustainably high because of a housing bubble and that demand needed to be reduced. Using a broad array of evidence, we find that constrained supply of new housing in key urban centers was the primary trigger for high home prices before the crisis. The recession and the financial crisis were the result of deliberate contractions of demand—both generally and specifically in residential investment—that were neither useful nor necessary. First, tightening monetary policy reduced aggregate spending and encouraged negative sentiment about real estate. Then, policy changes tightened lending standards and depressed housing markets for years after the 2008 financial crisis. A monetary policy regime targeting stable nominal income growth would have dramatically improved the economy during and after 2008.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"11 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114032761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Uncertainty Shocks and Monetary Policy Rules in a Small Open Economy 小型开放经济中的不确定性冲击与货币政策规则
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-07-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3662982
Sargam Gupta
{"title":"Uncertainty Shocks and Monetary Policy Rules in a Small Open Economy","authors":"Sargam Gupta","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3662982","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3662982","url":null,"abstract":"Post great financial crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009, there has been a surge in the macroeconomics literature on aggregate uncertainty. Although the recent literature has recognized adverse real effects of global uncertainty shocks in EMEs, the role of monetary policy in mitigating these effects is not studied. This paper explores the role of exchange rates (both nominal and real) and monetary policy in amplifying/ stabilizing the real effects of global uncertainty shocks in a small open economy. We reproduce stylized facts showing significant movements in exchange rates when EMEs are hit with a global uncertainty shock. We find that flexible inflation targeting regime using interest rate rules (IRRs) with floating exchange rates is ineffective in stabilizing the domestic economy during periods of high global uncertainty. Using a small open economy NK-DSGE model, we show that inflation targeting regime using exchange rate rules (ERRs) reduces welfare losses significantly compared to IRRs. This result contradicts the conventional wisdom which states that monetary policy following an IRR under floating exchange rate is welfare-maximizing in a small open economy.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133068150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Political Economy of Central Bank Effectiveness: The Case of National Bank of Rwanda 中央银行有效性的政治经济学:以卢旺达国家银行为例
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-07-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3661614
Pritish Behuria
{"title":"The Political Economy of Central Bank Effectiveness: The Case of National Bank of Rwanda","authors":"Pritish Behuria","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3661614","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3661614","url":null,"abstract":"In a survey conducted in Rwanda by the Pockets of Effectiveness project, the Central Bank was listed as among the top-performing government organisations in the country. This paper examines the political determinants of the portrayal of the National Bank of Rwanda’s (BNR) achievement of its mandate: promoting price and financial stability. The paper uses the political settlements framework to highlight the political determinants of financial sector reforms in the country. Rwanda’s underlying political economy – and particularly the government’s evolving relationships with domestic capital vis-à-vis foreign capital – has contributing to shaping the Rwandan financial sector’s trajectory. In particular, the Rwandan government has prioritised a strategy of being a financial sector hub, which is based on increased global financial integration and portraying the achievement of ‘best practice’ reforms. These goals have come at the cost of traditional developmentalists goals for central banks, including direct lending for structural transformation. BNR has achieved success in its mandate. However, achieving success in its market-led mandate reduces the policy tools at its disposal to promote structural transformation. The paper argues that reforming BNR along neoliberal lines has mirrored the broader macro-strategy of the country, with the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) choosing to rely increasingly on legitimacy with external actors, rather than supporting the growth of strengthening domestic state– business relationships to support economic transformation.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131482332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Negative Interest Rates, Capital Flows and Exchange Rates 负利率、资本流动和汇率
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-06-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3639325
Romina Ruprecht
{"title":"Negative Interest Rates, Capital Flows and Exchange Rates","authors":"Romina Ruprecht","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3639325","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3639325","url":null,"abstract":"This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model with two currencies to study the effect of negative interest rates on domestic money demand and exchange rates. Money demand for a currency depends on the relative ratio of the money market rate and the deposit rate of the central bank. If agents choose to hold only domestic currency, a decrease in the deposit rate of the central bank will not affect the exchange rate. If agents choose to hold both currencies, a decrease in the deposit rate will cause an appreciation (depreciation) if the money market rate decreases to a larger (smaller) extent. If agents are subject to bank deposit rates that are sticky below zero, then a decrease of the central bank deposit rate leads to a depreciation of the currency regardless of the size of the effect on the money market rate.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132794521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Reallocation Effects of Monetary Policy 货币政策的再分配效应
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-06-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3624690
Daisuke Miyakawa, Koki Oikawa, Kōzō Ueda
{"title":"Reallocation Effects of Monetary Policy","authors":"Daisuke Miyakawa, Koki Oikawa, Kōzō Ueda","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3624690","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3624690","url":null,"abstract":"Central banks across the globe are paying increasing attention to the distributional aspects of monetary policy. In this study, we focus on reallocation among heterogeneous firms triggered by nominal growth. Japanese firm-level data show that large firms tend to grow faster than small firms under higher inflation. We then construct a model that introduces nominal rigidity into endogenous growth with heterogeneous firms. The model shows that, under a high nominal growth rate, firms of inferior quality bear a heavier burden of menu cost payments than do firms of superior quality. This outcome increases the market share of superior firms, while some inferior firms exit the market. This reallocation effect, if strong, yields a positive effect of monetary expansion on both real growth and welfare. The optimal nominal growth can be strictly positive even under nominal rigidity, whereas standard New Keynesian models often conclude that zero nominal growth is optimal. Moreover, the presence of menu costs can improve welfare.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129574780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
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