Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal最新文献

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Sticky Deposit Rates and Allocative Effects of Monetary Policy 粘性存款利率与货币政策的配置效应
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3771345
Anne Duquerroy, Adrien Matray, Farzad Saidi
{"title":"Sticky Deposit Rates and Allocative Effects of Monetary Policy","authors":"Anne Duquerroy, Adrien Matray, Farzad Saidi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3771345","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3771345","url":null,"abstract":"This paper documents that monetary policy affects credit supply through banks’ cost of funding. Using administrative credit-registry and regulatory bank data, we find that banks can incur an increase in their funding costs of at least 30 basis points before they adjust their lending. For identification, we exploit the existence of regulated-deposit accounts in France whose interest rates are set by the government and are, thus, not directly affected by the monetary-policy rate. When banks’ funding cost increases and they contract their lending, we observe portfolio reallocations consistent with risk shifting: banks that depend on regulated deposits lend less to large firms, and relatively more to small firms and entrepreneurs.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130100586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Complementarities: Evidence from European Credit Registers 货币和宏观审慎政策的互补性:来自欧洲信用记录的证据
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3750006
Carlo Altavilla, L. Laeven, J. Peydró
{"title":"Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Complementarities: Evidence from European Credit Registers","authors":"Carlo Altavilla, L. Laeven, J. Peydró","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3750006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3750006","url":null,"abstract":"We document that there are strong complementarities between monetary policy and macroprudential policy in shaping the evolution of bank credit. We use a unique loan-level dataset comprising multiple credit registers from several European countries and different types of loans, including corporate loans, mortgages and consumer credit. We merge this rich information with borrower and bank-level characteristics and with indicators summarising macroprudential and monetary policy actions. We find that monetary policy easing increases both bank lending and lending to riskier borrowers, especially when there is a more accommodative macroprudential environment. These effects are stronger for less capitalised banks. Results apply to both household and firm lending, but they are stronger for consumer and corporate loans than for mortgages. Finally, for firms, the overall increase in bank lending induced by an accommodative policy mix is stronger for more (ex ante) productive firms than firms with high ex ante credit risk, except for banks with low capital.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127382028","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
An Overview of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act 2020 《2020年银行和其他金融机构法》概述
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-11-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3752297
A. Folarin
{"title":"An Overview of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act 2020","authors":"A. Folarin","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3752297","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3752297","url":null,"abstract":"The amendment and replacement of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) 2004 had long been touted to be the next major milestone in the country’s ambitious drive towards creating an enabling business environment in the country and improving the Nigerian investment climate. The now-repealed Act had been in operation for about 16 years without amendment, despite progressive innovations in the banking and finance sector globally and the increasing complexities as a result of disruptive technologies and their associated risks. Also, lax corporate governance under the old Act had given room for insider abuse and corruption, culminating in the humongous increase in non-performing loans (NPLs) in the country’s banking system. Additionally, the erosion of faith in the Nigerian banking system as a result of the 2004 and 2008 financial crises which can be traced to the excessive risk-taking, reckless credit facilities, and other unethical practices in the system had resulted in the long and growing public clamour by stakeholders for the review of the regulatory framework for banking and finance in Nigeria. The enactment of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA) 2020 is, therefore, intended to update the existing Act to tackle some of these debilitating challenges in the Nigerian banking and financial services industry occasioned by an Act which has proved to be grossly inadequate in the present ecosystem and to bring it in line with global best practices. In view of the above, this paper gives an overview of the provisions of the Act as they affect and/or update the regulatory framework for banking and the business of other financial institutions in Nigeria.<br>","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129551061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social Learning and Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound 有效下限下的社会学习与货币政策
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-11-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3728108
Jasmina Arifovic, A. Grimaud, I. Salle, Gauthier Vermandel
{"title":"Social Learning and Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound","authors":"Jasmina Arifovic, A. Grimaud, I. Salle, Gauthier Vermandel","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3728108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3728108","url":null,"abstract":"The first contribution of this paper is to develop a model that jointly accounts for the missing disinflation in the wake of the Great Recession and the subsequently observed inflation-less recovery. The key mechanism works through heterogeneous expectations that may durably lose their anchorage to the central bank (CB)’s target and coordinate on particularly persistent below-target paths. We jointly estimate the structural and the learning parameters of the model by matching moments from both macroeconomic and Survey of Professional Forecasters data. The welfare cost associated with those dynamics may be reduced if the CB communicates to the agents its target or its own inflation forecasts, as communication helps anchor expectations at the target. However, the CB may lose its credibility whenever its announcements become decoupled from actual inflation, for instance in the face of large and unexpected shocks.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"27 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134055056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The 100% Reserve Reform: Calamity or Opportunity? 100%准备金改革:灾难还是机遇?
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3749135
C. Pfister
{"title":"The 100% Reserve Reform: Calamity or Opportunity?","authors":"C. Pfister","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3749135","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3749135","url":null,"abstract":"This paper considers the various 100% Reserve plans that have appeared since the interwar period and have since then been adapted. In all formulations of those schemes, Government liabilities (cash, central bank reserves and short-term Treasuries) back banks’ sight deposits. This organization contrasts with current so-called “fractional reserve banking”, in which, as a result of reserve requirements imposed by the central bank (Drumetz et al., 2015), reserves back only a small fraction of sight deposits. The paper briefly presents the six categories of plans. It then highlights their common features as well as their differences, showing that the differences are more numerous than the common features. The criticisms voiced against the different formulations of 100% Reserves are exposed, adding those of the author and distinguishing between the doubts expressed on the validity of the analysis on one hand, and some undesirable consequences of the reform on the other. In spite of these criticisms, it then shown that the 100% Reserve reform is becoming topical, with recent private sector, central banks and political initiatives that relate to it. Overall, the 100% Reserve reform does not appear as a meaningful opportunity to improve the functioning of banking systems. Furthermore, at least one of its variants could easily turn into a calamity. Fortunately, it is not that variant that is getting more topical.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117064955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The European Monetary Union after COVID-19: Towards Fiscal Integration Aligned with Monetary Policy 新冠肺炎后的欧洲货币联盟:实现与货币政策相一致的财政一体化
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3756258
Ad van Riet
{"title":"The European Monetary Union after COVID-19: Towards Fiscal Integration Aligned with Monetary Policy","authors":"Ad van Riet","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3756258","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3756258","url":null,"abstract":"Within the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of Europe the responsibility for the single monetary policy lies with the European Central Bank (ECB). By contrast, economic policies remained national and must therefore be coordinated to ensure the proper functioning of EMU. A central government that could have taken measures to reduce the burden on monetary policy to stabilise the eurozone in the more challenging economic and financial circumstances since 2008 was and still is missing.<br><br>This paper argues that euro area governments could build on the cooperative model of Europe’s economic response to the COVID-19 pandemic to establish a permanent fiscal framework alongside monetary policy that is more similar to those found in other currency areas. First, they could create a central fiscal capacity to ensure a euro area economic policy stance that is consistent with the orientation of monetary policy. Second, member countries could introduce a safe sovereign asset for the eurozone in order to anchor financial integration and facilitate the implementation of monetary policy. Third, euro area governments could commit when necessary to recapitalise their NCB and (indirectly) the ECB to underpin the credibility of large central bank balance-sheet operations.<br><br>Taking these three steps towards fiscal integration aligned with monetary policy and in full respect of the ECB’s political independence would reduce systemic risks and strengthen confidence in the euro.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"69 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128584424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Monetary-fiscal interactions under price level targeting 价格水平目标制下的货币-财政相互作用
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3720529
G. Ascari, Anna Florio, Alessandro Gobbi
{"title":"Monetary-fiscal interactions under price level targeting","authors":"G. Ascari, Anna Florio, Alessandro Gobbi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3720529","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3720529","url":null,"abstract":"The adoption of a \"makeup\" strategy is one of the proposals in the ongoing review of the Fed's monetary policy framework. Another suggestion, to avoid the zero lower bound, is a more active role for fiscal policy. We put together these ideas to study monetary-fiscal interactions under price level targeting. Under price level targeting and a fiscally-led regime, we find that following a deflationary demand shock: (i) the central bank increases (rather than decreases) the policy rate; (ii) the central bank, thus, avoids the zero lower bound; (iii) price level targeting is generally welfare improving if compared to inflation targeting.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"120 10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122692861","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Effects of Monetary Policy in a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime: Tranquil and Turbulent States 固定汇率制下的货币政策效应:平静与动荡状态
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-10-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3492967
Jonathan R. K. Stroud, Hang Zhou
{"title":"Effects of Monetary Policy in a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime: Tranquil and Turbulent States","authors":"Jonathan R. K. Stroud, Hang Zhou","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3492967","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3492967","url":null,"abstract":"This paper evaluates monetary policy effects in a fixed exchange rate regime. A fixed exchange rate regime sometimes suffers from turbulence, owing to speculative attacks or other factors that significantly change the expectations of maintaining such a regime. We, therefore, develop a vector autoregression model with a jump processes to evaluate monetary policy in both tranquil and turbulent states. We find that a contractionary monetary policy shock in the tranquil period only affects the exchange rate in the very short run. Nonetheless, the shock significantly reduces the price level and industrial production, especially for a credible peg with a wider band. During the turbulent period, the exchange rate is kept stable for one quarter when facing the same shock—while industrial production drops significantly. The findings, also shed light on the cost of successful defense of speculative attacks.<br>","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114884734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking 银行动态模型中的资本重组、救助和长期福利
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-10-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3764512
Andrea Modena
{"title":"Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking","authors":"Andrea Modena","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3764512","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3764512","url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies the dynamic trade-off between the short-run costs and the long-run benefits of bank bailouts. In the model, banks leverage thanks to their cost advantage at monitoring firms, but hold precautionary capital buffers to avoid costly equity issuance after negative shocks. Banks' recapitalization is sub-optimal because they do not internalize the positive externalities of the banking sector's relative size on their individual leverage capacity and firms' investments. Systematic bailouts can help improving the allocation efficiency in bad states, in which banks' leverage is persistently constrained and investments are low. In the long run, bailouts accelerate the economy recovery path by fostering growth, thereby reducing endogenous risk.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"49 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123960579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Identifying Target 2 Determinants in the Long Run: Strength and Limits of Balance of Payments Accounting Identities 确定目标2的长期决定因素:国际收支会计身份的优势和局限性
Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal Pub Date : 2020-10-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3709944
M. Minenna
{"title":"Identifying Target 2 Determinants in the Long Run: Strength and Limits of Balance of Payments Accounting Identities","authors":"M. Minenna","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3709944","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3709944","url":null,"abstract":"Target2 (T2) balances in the Eurozone are again in a divergent trend after the pandemic shock. The recent financial literature seems to have reached a consensus about the need to characterize such phenomena under specific monetary policy configurations variable in time. T2 balances can be decomposed by using the balance of payments (BoP) identities. Indeed, proving a strong causality link from data that have to fulfill an accounting identity can be challenging, since the closer the data are to an accounting identity, the less information on causal relation can be inferred from econometric techniques. Nevertheless we believe that useful information can be extracted from the analysis of accounting correspondences. In this perspective, both long-term and short-term BoP decompositions are performed for Italy and Germany under different regimes of monetary policies in the Euro Area.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124599589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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