偶尔金融摩擦和零利率下限下的最优信贷、货币和财政政策

Shi-jie Jiang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在一个金融中介机构偶尔面临约束性金融约束的模型中,我研究了承诺下的最优信贷、货币和财政政策;货币当局面临零下限(ZLB);财政当局面临预算约束。尽管信贷政策在确定性稳态下是不活跃的,但在风险稳态下却是永久的。金融和生产率冲击可以在通胀稳定和金融稳定之间做出权衡,在合理的校准下,信贷息差几乎等于零,从而有利于后者。由于ZLB在金融危机对总需求造成压力时阻止全面货币宽松,因此出于预防原因,货币政策应在正常时期相对收紧。此外,最优名义利率是围绕随机稳定状态的生产率钟形函数,尽管它对央行受其过去承诺约束的程度很敏感。尽管有上述的政策权衡,最优的泰勒规则是严格的通胀目标制。然而,以规则为基础的政策的特点是过于激进的信贷干预,而货币宽松力度不够。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal Credit, Monetary, and Fiscal Policy Under Occasional Financial Frictions and the Zero Lower Bound
I study optimal credit, monetary, and fiscal policy under commitment in a model where financial intermediaries face an occasionally binding financial constraint; the monetary authority faces a zero lower bound (ZLB); and the fiscal authority faces a budget constraint. Despite being inactive in the deterministic steady state, the credit policy is permanent in the risky steady state. Financial and productivity shocks can generate a tradeoff between inflation stability and financial stability, which is resolved in favour of the latter with the credit spread being virtually equal to zero under a reasonable calibration. As the ZLB prevents full-scale monetary easing when financial distress weighs on aggregate demand, monetary policy should be relatively tighter in normal times for a precautionary reason. Moreover, the optimal nominal interest rate is a bell-shaped function of productivity around the stochastic steady state, although it is sensitive to how much the central bank is constrained by its past commitments. Notwithstanding the mentioned policy tradeoff, the optimal Taylor type rule is strictly inflation targeting. However, the rule-based policy features too aggressive a credit intervention but insufficient monetary easing.
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