2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)最新文献_第9页

Electricity price forecasting — ARIMA model approach 电价预测- ARIMA模型方法

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953012

T. Jakaša, I. Androcec, P. Sprčić

引用次数: 62

Impact of German wind generation forecasts on net transfer capacities 德国风力发电预测对净输送能力的影响

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953089

Goulven Salic, Y. Rebours

{"title":"Impact of German wind generation forecasts on net transfer capacities","authors":"Goulven Salic, Y. Rebours","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2011.5953089","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2011.5953089","url":null,"abstract":"Because of its localization and its variability, wind generation can rapidly change the pattern of physical electrical flows between AC interconnected countries and adds more uncertainty in power system operation. Therefore, the increasing installed wind generation capacities may hamper the commercial net transfer capacities made available between countries. Through a statistical analysis using generalized additive models (GAM) on data from March 2008 to June 2010, this paper looks at the impact of the day-ahead hourly forecasts of German wind generation on the day-ahead net transfer capacities (NTCs) from Germany to France. Results are five-fold. First, the analysis shows that wind generation forecasts have a significant impact on the NTC, by explaining around 14% of the deviance. Second, this effect is negative: more the wind blows, less NTC are available. Third, German wind generation areas have different impacts. The paper shows that 50Hz and Amprion have the greatest influence. Fourth, the German consumption forecast impacts the NTC, but to a lower extent than wind generation forecasts, while the French consumption exhibits no significant effect. Last, the modeling is still incomplete and several improvements are proposed.","PeriodicalId":143375,"journal":{"name":"2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"196 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2011-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114954153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 7

The new generation investment and electricity market development in Kosovo 科索沃新一代发电投资与电力市场发展

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953142

N. Avdiu, A. Hamiti

引用次数: 1

Integrated energy microgrids for community-scale systems: Case study research in the Azores islands 社区规模系统的集成能源微电网:亚速尔群岛的案例研究

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953041

G. Mendes, J. von Appen, C. Ioakimidis

{"title":"Integrated energy microgrids for community-scale systems: Case study research in the Azores islands","authors":"G. Mendes, J. von Appen, C. Ioakimidis","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2011.5953041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2011.5953041","url":null,"abstract":"Highly Integrated Community Energy Systems (ICES) greatly, but not solely, reliant on combined heat and power sources are a viable approach for dealing effectively with the new set of global problems which mankind is facing, such as Climate Change, Global Warming and Extreme Poverty. Current key technology for ICES are microgrids, capable of delivering sustainable electricity, heat and cold to small communities and of working in grid-connected or islanded mode, thus adding technical, economic, environmental and social benefits to the applied population environment. Due to the abovementioned reasons, one of the current leading topics on microgrid studies is the appropriate optimization modeling for the vital purposes of designing and analyzing these systems. Additionally the consideration of full broad spectrum of Sustainability is one of the challenges in microgrid planning. An overview of the current work in Portugal and in the USA on the sustainability-sound technology choice and operation planning of integrated community-scale microgrids is done in this paper. Case-study in the Azores Archipelago is on the extent of a research project of the MIT Portugal Program, within the Green Islands flagship Project framework. Topics explored comprise objective function algorithm description, structure of the economic-environmental optimization model, case-study inputs description namely, technology database, data collection and analysis and economic environment, model general functioning explanation, scenario evaluation, interactions with battery storage and results analysis for assessment of economic and environmental cost considerations of microgrid introduction in the case-study project.","PeriodicalId":143375,"journal":{"name":"2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"97 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2011-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124747591","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

Bilateral electricity market theory based on conjectural variations equilibria 基于猜想变量均衡的双边电力市场理论

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5952989

A. Alikhanzadeh, M. Irving

引用次数: 5

The influence of wind park krš-pađene on reliability indices of 110 kV transmission network 风力发电场krš-pađene对110 kV输电网可靠性指标的影响

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953132

S. Nikolovski, D. Topić, K. Fekete, G. Slipac

{"title":"The influence of wind park krš-pađene on reliability indices of 110 kV transmission network","authors":"S. Nikolovski, D. Topić, K. Fekete, G. Slipac","doi":"10.1109/EEM.2011.5953132","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EEM.2011.5953132","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents the reliability assessment of the southern part of Croatian transmission network and the influence of the wind farm on reliability indices. Croatian Electric Utility (HEP) Renewable Energy Sources with partner C.E.M.P. is developing wind farm in the region near town Knin. Wind farm will have installed capacity of 100 MW in the first phase. In the second phase additional 40 MW is planned to be installed. For the purpose of this paper, it was assumed that wind farm consist of the 50 turbine units, 2 MW each. Reliability assessment was performed, and reliability indices were computed for the case before and after construction of the wind farm. The reliability is analyzed using state enumeration method and NEPLAN software. Input data were obtained from annual reports of HEP TSO (Transmission System Operator) and statistic analysis of data was performed first. Since there are no statistical data for new cables and transformer stations that are constructed, input data for them were taken from the relevant literature. Probability of wind farm production level is taken from measured wind statistics. In reliability assessment Markov state space model of the wind generator, busbars, transformers, breakers and disconectors was used. Load is modeled at the output substation busbars with maximum active and reactive power. The simulations are performed in order to calculate reliability indices before and after the construction of wind farm. Conclusions and comments on the results are presented at the end of the paper.","PeriodicalId":143375,"journal":{"name":"2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2011-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122284356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 7

Development of a model for short-term load forecasting with neural networks and its application to the electrical Spanish market 神经网络短期负荷预测模型的建立及其在西班牙电力市场的应用

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953031

M. López, S. Valero, C. Senabre, J. Aparicio, A. Gabaldón

引用次数: 6

A Fuzzy — Probabilistic hybrid approach to evaluate the impact of component outages, demand and generation cost uncertainties in the operation of power systems 用模糊-概率混合方法评估电力系统运行中组件故障、需求和发电成本不确定性的影响

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953000

Bruno AndreGomes, J. Saraiva

引用次数: 0

SEE regional wholesale market design: Recommendations, available options and implementation SEE区域批发市场设计:建议，可用选项和实施

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953087

Kostis Sakellaris

引用次数: 2

Implementing DLMS/COSEM in smart meters 在智能电表中实现DLMS/COSEM

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) Pub Date : 2011-05-25 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2011.5953109

Gordan Štruklec, Josko Marsic

引用次数: 12