Zhiyong Chen, Ran Cui, Shiow-Ing Wang, Hua Zhang, Miao Chen, Qian Wang, Qiang Tong, James Cheng-Chung Wei, Sheng-Ming Dai
{"title":"Increased risk of subsequent antiphospholipid syndrome in patients with endometriosis.","authors":"Zhiyong Chen, Ran Cui, Shiow-Ing Wang, Hua Zhang, Miao Chen, Qian Wang, Qiang Tong, James Cheng-Chung Wei, Sheng-Ming Dai","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae167","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Although autoimmune abnormalities are common in patients with endometriosis, it is unknown whether patients with endometriosis have a higher risk of developing antiphospholipid syndrome (APS).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a retrospective cohort study by using the multi-institutional research network TriNetX from 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2021. A total of 13 131 782 women aged 20-60 years from networks within the USA were included. The risks of APS were compared between an endometriosis cohort and a non-endometriosis cohort in subgroup analyses by age, obesity and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and the sensitivity analysis was stratified by the presence or absence of a history of surgery of the uterus.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>After 1:1 propensity score matching, the endometriosis and non-endometriosis cohorts each included 50 078 participants. Compared to individuals without endometriosis, patients with endometriosis had a higher risk of incident APS (log-rank test, P < 0.001). The hazard ratios (HRs) ranged from 1.82 [APS within 30 days to 1 year after the index date, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 1.40-2.53] to 2.44 (APS within 30 days to any time after the index date, 95% CI 1.65-3.61). In the subgroup analyses, an increased risk of APS was observed in all ages, White race, and subgroups without smoking, obesity, asthma, inflammatory bowel disease and SLE (HR range 1.85-2.84). Sensitivity analyses revealed that the risk of APS increased in patients without surgery history of the uterus.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Patients with endometriosis had a higher risk (2.84-fold) of developing APS. Future large-scale prospective studies are warranted to confirm our results.</p>","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142846428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alexander Kagan, Donna R Zwas, Ziona Haklai, Hagai Levine
{"title":"Acute coronary syndrome rates by age and sex before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel: nationwide study","authors":"Alexander Kagan, Donna R Zwas, Ziona Haklai, Hagai Levine","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae164","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae164","url":null,"abstract":"Background There have been reports of sharp declines in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study aims to assess nationwide ACS emergency department (ED) visit rates across age and sex subgroups and the general population, with a comparison before and throughout the pandemic’s various phases. Methods A multiple interrupted time series analysis was used to assess 61 349 ACS nationwide hospital visits from January 2018 to December 2021 at monthly intervals. The study period was divided into three periods: January 2018–February 2020 (pre-pandemic period); March 2020–January 2021 (early-pandemic period); February 2021–December 2021 (late-pandemic period). Segmented regression with a seasonally adjusted autoregressive moving average structure was used to build predictive models with an estimated reference trendline (counterfactual). Results Over 11 months of the early-pandemic period (lockdowns), the largest decrease in visits was seen in women aged 65 and above, of 18.4% [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77–0.86]. The lowest decrease was observed in men aged 25–64, of 7.2% (IRR 0.93; 0.91–0.94). During the late-pandemic period, which included high vaccination coverage and no lockdowns, the largest further decrease was in women aged 25–64 of 20.1% (IRR 0.80; 0.75–0.84) on average. Conclusions The pandemic influenced ACS ED visits variably, with substantial declines during phases of high COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. Older individuals, particularly women, demonstrated the largest decrease in ACS ED visits, highlighting the need for tailored public health strategies to maintain public confidence in access to critical care during future health emergencies.","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142832266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Longitudinal association between disability and suicide mortality in Republic of Korea","authors":"Hwa-Young Lee, Dong Wook Shin, Kyung-Do Han, Ichiro Kawachi","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae163","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae163","url":null,"abstract":"Background The Republic of Korea has reported the highest suicide rate globally since 2018. Previous studies have highlighted disability as a significant risk factor for suicide. However, comprehensive examination on the association between suicide mortality and severities and types of disabilities, and on how these associations vary according to sociodemographic characteristics, health behaviours and comorbidity profiles has never been performed. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study of a nationally representative sample of 3 591 398 individuals subject to the health check-up provided by the Korean National Health Insurance in 2009, including individuals with (n = 126 508) and without (n = 3 734 890) disabilities, and followed-up until December 2021 Results Overall, the presence of disability was associated with an increased risk of suicide mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 1.38; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.30–1.47] compared to the absence of disability. This risk was more pronounced in individuals with Grade 1–3 disabilities (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.52–1.85) than those with Grade 4–6 disabilities (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.20–1.47). Among various types of disabilities, individuals with a disability associated with a mental disorder had the highest HR (HR, 4.49; 95% CI, 3.38–5.97), followed by those with visual impairment (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.26–1.73), brain damage (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.18–1.79), hearing impairment (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.15–1.58) and extremity disability (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.21–1.40). Stratified analyses revealed that the suicide risk associated with disabilities was more pronounced in individuals with specific sociodemographic characteristics and health behaviours. Conclusion Our findings highlight the need to prioritize policy efforts to address suicide mortality among people with disabilities, considering the distinct risks associated with disability types and severity.","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.7,"publicationDate":"2024-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142805446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anna A Sordo, Anna A Do, Melissa J Irwin, David J Muscatello
{"title":"Development of a registration interval correction model for enhancing excess all-cause mortality surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic","authors":"Anna A Sordo, Anna A Do, Melissa J Irwin, David J Muscatello","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae145","url":null,"abstract":"Background Estimates of excess deaths provide critical intelligence on the impact of population health threats including seasonal respiratory infections, pandemics and environmental hazards. Timely estimates of excess deaths can inform the response to COVID-19. However, access to timely mortality data is challenging due to the time interval between the death occurring and the date the death is registered and available for analysis (‘registration interval’). Development Using data from the New South Wales, Australia, Births Deaths and Marriages Registry, we developed a Poisson regression model that estimated near-complete weekly counts, for a given week of death, from partially-complete death registration counts. A 10-weeks lag was considered, and a 2-year baseline of historical registration intervals was used to correct lag weeks. Application Validation of estimated counts found that the root-mean-square error (as a percentage of mean observed near-complete registrations) was less than 7% for lag week 3, and &lt;5% for lag weeks 4–9. We incorporated this method utilizing an existing rapid weekly mortality surveillance system. Counts corrected for registration interval replaced observed values for the most recent weeks. Excess death estimates, based on corrected counts, were within 1.2% of near-complete counts available 9 weeks from the end of the analysis period. Conclusions This study demonstrates a method for estimating recent death counts to correct for registration intervals. Estimates obtained at a 3-week lag were acceptable, while those at greater than 3 weeks were optimal.","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"62 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.7,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142596756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nora A Escher, Rodrigo M Carrillo-Larco, Jennie C Parnham, Katherine Curi-Quinto, Suparna Ghosh-Jerath, Christopher Millett, Paraskevi Seferidi
{"title":"Longitudinal transitions of the double burden of overweight and stunting from childhood to early adulthood in India, Peru, and Vietnam.","authors":"Nora A Escher, Rodrigo M Carrillo-Larco, Jennie C Parnham, Katherine Curi-Quinto, Suparna Ghosh-Jerath, Christopher Millett, Paraskevi Seferidi","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae151","DOIUrl":"10.1093/ije/dyae151","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Examining trajectories of undernutrition and overnutrition separately limits understanding of the double burden of malnutrition. We investigated transitions between normal, stunting, overweight and concurrent stunting and overweight (CSO) and associations with sociodemographic factors in children and adolescents.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used data from the Young Lives cohort in India, Peru and Vietnam, which follow children 1-15 (N = 5413) and 8-22 years (N = 2225) over five rounds between 2002 and 2016. We estimated transitions between nutritional states using a Markov chain model and estimated sociodemographic associations employing a logit parametrization.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Transitions into stunting peaked in ages 1-5 years (India: 22.9%, Peru: 17.6%, Vietnam: 14.8%), while stunting reversal was highest during adolescence across all countries. Transitions into overweight peaked in ages 19-22, while overweight reversal increased in ages 1-5 and 12-15 years. Transitions away from stunting to overweight were rare; more commonly, stunted individuals developed overweight while remaining stunted, leading to a CSO state. In Peru, 20.2% of 19-year-olds who were stunted reached CSO by age 22, with 4% shifting from stunted to overweight. Reversion to a normal state is least likely for those in a CSO state. Household wealth gradually reduced the likelihood of transitioning into stunting [odds ratios (ORs) for wealthiest quartile in Peru: 0.29, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.20-0.41; India: 0.43, 95% CI 0.32-0.57; Vietnam: 0.36, 95% CI 0.26-0.50), with stunting reversal only being more likely in the two wealthiest quartiles across all countries (ORs for wealthiest quartile in Peru: 2.39, 95% CI 1.57-3.65; India: 1.28, 95% CI 1.05-1.54; Vietnam: 1.89, 95% CI 1.23-2.91). In Vietnam, only the richest quartile was at higher risk of transitioning into overweight (OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.28-2.72), while in Peru and India, the risk gradually rose across all wealth quartiles (ORs for wealthiest quartile in Peru: 2.84, 95% CI 2.14-3.77; India: 2.99, 95% CI 1.61-5.54).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Childhood and adolescence represent critical periods for prevention and reversal of stunting and overweight, thereby averting the development of CSO later in life. Context-specific interventions are crucial for preventing disparate transitions towards the double burden of malnutrition across socioeconomic groups.</p>","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"53 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11565240/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142638936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Response: Rheumatoid arthritis and cancer risk in the Million Women Study.","authors":"TienYu Owen Yang, Sarah Floud, Gillian K Reeves","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae144","DOIUrl":"10.1093/ije/dyae144","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"53 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11534085/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142575834","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality: a national health insurance cohort study.","authors":"Jeongmin Moon,Ejin Kim,Hyemin Jang,Insung Song,Dohoon Kwon,Cinoo Kang,Jieun Oh,Jinah Park,Ayoung Kim,Moonjung Choi,Yaerin Cha,Ho Kim,Whanhee Lee","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae140","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae140","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUNDPrevious studies with large data have been widely reported that exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is associated with all-cause mortality; however, most of these studies adopted ecological time-series designs or have included limited study areas or individuals residing in well-monitored urban areas. However, nationwide cohort studies including cause-specific mortalities with different age groups were sparse. Therefore, this study examined the association between PM2.5 and cause-specific mortality in South Korea using the nationwide cohort.METHODSA longitudinal cohort with 187 917 National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort participants aged 50-79 years in enrolment between 2002 and 2019 was used. Annual average PM2.5 was collected from a machine learning-based ensemble model (a test R2 = 0.87) as an exposure. We performed a time-varying Cox regression model to examine the association between long-term PM2.5 exposure and mortality. To reduce the potential estimation bias, we adopted generalized propensity score weighting method.RESULTSThe association with long-term PM2.5 (2-year moving average) was prominent in mortalities related to diabetes mellitus [hazard ratio (HR): 1.03 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.06)], circulatory diseases [HR: 1.02 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.03)] and cancer [HR: 1.01 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.02)]. Meanwhile, circulatory-related mortalities were associated with a longer PM2.5 exposure period (1 or 2-year lags), whereas respiratory-related mortalities were associated with current-year PM2.5 exposure. In addition, the association with PM2.5 was more evident in people aged 50-64 years than in people aged 65-79 years, especially in heart failure-related deaths.CONCLUSIONSThis study identified the hypothesis that long-term exposure to PM2.5 is associated with mortality, and the association might be different by causes of death. Our result highlights a novel vulnerable population: the middle-aged population with risk factors related to heart failure.","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.7,"publicationDate":"2024-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142448066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lidiane Toledo, Rodrigo Rodrigues, Flávia Alves, Fillipe Guedes, Jacyra Azevedo Paiva de Araújo, John A Naslund, Maurício L Barreto, Vikram Patel, Daiane Borges Machado
{"title":"Risk of psychiatric hospitalization in low-income youth: longitudinal findings from the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort.","authors":"Lidiane Toledo, Rodrigo Rodrigues, Flávia Alves, Fillipe Guedes, Jacyra Azevedo Paiva de Araújo, John A Naslund, Maurício L Barreto, Vikram Patel, Daiane Borges Machado","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyae153","DOIUrl":"10.1093/ije/dyae153","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Youth psychiatric hospitalizations have been associated with negative outcomes, including premature death and post-discharge self-harm. Identifying risk factors for youth psychiatric hospitalization is crucial for informing prevention strategies. We aimed to evaluate the risk factors for psychiatric hospitalizations among low-income youth in Brazil.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This cohort study used interpersonal violence and psychiatric hospitalization data linked to the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort baseline. We considered 9 985 917 youths aged 5-24 years who enrolled at the baseline, between 2011 and 2018. We estimated the incidence rate (IR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for psychiatric hospitalization by calculating the number of hospitalizations per person-year in 100 000 individuals at risk. The multilevel, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression estimated the hazard risks (HR) with 95% CI for psychiatric hospitalization.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The IR of psychiatric hospitalization was 12.28 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 11.96-12.6). Interpersonal violence victimization was the main risk factor for youth psychiatric hospitalization (HR, 5.24; 95% CI, 4.61-5.96). Other risk factors for psychiatric hospitalization included living with the oldest family member who had low education (HR, 2.51; 95% CI, 2.16-2.91) or was unemployed (HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.36-1.62), living with seven or more family members (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.49-2.26) and being male (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.21-1.36).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Urgent action is needed to prevent youth from suffering violence. Addressing this may alleviate the mental health burden in developmental ages, benefiting youth, families and the government through reduced costs in preventable psychiatric hospitalizations.</p>","PeriodicalId":14147,"journal":{"name":"International journal of epidemiology","volume":"53 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11578595/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142681623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}