{"title":"Metamodeling uncertainty quantification in multi-level engineering system design","authors":"Renqiang Xiu, Xiaohu Zhang, Yu Liu, Hongzhong Huang","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625621","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625621","url":null,"abstract":"Design of complex system often involves a multitude of decision variables and parameters. In order to relieve the computational burden, manage the complexity in design processes, and achieve concurrent analysis and design, a complex system can oftentimes be decomposed into several subsystems with hierarchical relation according to their functional attributes, physical structures, or scale magnitudes etc., and each subsystem can be analyzed and designed independently. In addition, metamodeling techniques are widely used in hierarchical system design and analysis to replace the original time-consuming simulation models, like finite element simulation, molecular dynamics simulation etc., so as to future reduce computational burden. However, due to the limited sample points, metamodeling may contain predictive uncertainty at sites with no sample point. In order to investigate the impact of the metamodeling uncertainty on system performance in multi-level engineering system design, this paper proposes a metamodeling uncertainty quantification method for multi-level engineering system, and derives uncertainty of system performance as a function of metamodel uncertainties of subsystem models. Two numerical examples are used to examine the contribution of the uncertainty of subsystem metamodels to the uncertainty of top-level performance of studied systems.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114177885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Current progress on weak signal detection","authors":"Jie Wang, Lu Yang, Long Gao, Q. Miao","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625929","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625929","url":null,"abstract":"In machinery condition monitoring, weak signal is a type of signal that has very low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). Therefore, it is necessary to develop effective methods so as to enhance or extract useful information from the noisy signal. These methods aim to solve the problem of de-noising and separation of mixed-signal. This paper investigated the current progress on weak signal detection methods, including traditional and emerging, linear and non-linear methods. The combination of various methods is presented according to their advantages and disadvantages of these methods. In the end, the future development of weak signal detection technology is summarized.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114788435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Application of the set pair analysis based on entropy and weight to efficiency evaluation of the BDAR for amphibious equipment","authors":"Long-Yang Xu, Zhao-lei Wei, Chun-liang Chen, Yuan-Sheng Dong","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625827","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625827","url":null,"abstract":"Aiming at the particularity of the BDAR, the method which employs the set pair analysis based on entropy and weight to rational efficiency evaluation of the BDAR had been discussed by taking certain five amphibian equipments as example. Firstly, the evaluating index system was established by analyzing the characteristic of the BDAR and the factors which affect the efficiency evaluation of the BDAR. Secondly, an evaluation model of the efficiency of the BDAR was built based on the set pair analysis and entropy weight, and its weight of evaluation indexes was gained by calculating the entropy in order to form the optimization matrix. Then the equipment which has the optimal efficiency of BDAR was chosen after the five candidates being ranked by comparing their degrees of identities. At last, the theory of the set pair analysis was validated, and scientific basis of the optimum and elevation of the equipment was proved.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"302 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123396060","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Notice of RetractionEvaluation of guided ammunition storage life based on reliability statistics","authors":"Meng Gao, Jinzhu Wang, Ping Cui","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625874","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625874","url":null,"abstract":"As the price of Guided Ammunition is very expensive, it is unpractical to adopt function test and live shell in a large scale Mathematical model, which is established to estimate storage life of guided ammunition based on reliability statistics, and the mathematical model is used to analyze the data of reliability test for storage life of Ready-to-fire. The data of reliability test was corrected using Bayes' theorem. Its storage life was given under a certain confidence level.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"70 3-4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124445338","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Notice of RetractionImproved ant colony algorithm for system efficiency optimization of supply facilities","authors":"Guozhuzhai Han, Ningjun Fan, Kai Lv","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625811","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625811","url":null,"abstract":"It depends on proper plan of supply routes to improve system efficiency of supply facilities, when a few battle vehicles in different locations appear different failures. The time optimization of the process is a NP-hard problem. Since the runtime of algorithm is a part of the time for the supply process, the algorithm is required to construct a good enough solution in a limited time. Ant Colony System (ACS) is used to solve this problem, and a strategy is proposed to avoid it falling into local minimum. When the best-so-far solution is re-constructed, the pheromone value associated with each edge is updated to zero. Experiment results demonstrate that, compared with standard ACS, ACS with this strategy can construct a better solution in a shorter time and less iterations. In a word, its overall performance is better in solving the optimization problem of system efficiency.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"111 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124742991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Notice of RetractionEffectiveness analysis for tanker aircraft in the aerial refueling stage","authors":"Yuanda Wang, Zhe Li","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625807","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625807","url":null,"abstract":"Aerial refueling is the key enabling technology to greatly increase the operation radius and loiter time for combat aircraft. Tanker aircraft becomes the important support power in the modern warfare and changes the traditional combat concept. Effectiveness analysis plays a significant part in aircraft design and operation application. Effectiveness of tanker aircraft in the aerial refueling stage is analyzed based on its RMS. Effectiveness analysis model is established and a concrete example shows that the model is valuable. Based on this model and method, the effectiveness of tanker aircraft with one or more refueling devices can be analyzed and calculated, and the number of tanker aircrafts required in order to reach the certain effectiveness can also be estimated.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"606 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122942364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A software reliability prediction method based on software development process","authors":"Kun Han, Junhai Cao, Shou-Hua Chen, Weiwei Liu","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625584","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625584","url":null,"abstract":"A large number of software reliability prediction models has been developed, and they provide useful results. However, most of these models are not applicable until after system integration testing begins, which is too late for fundamental design changes. In this paper, a software reliability prediction method based on software development process is proposed. Keene's development process prediction model(DPPM), Rayleigh model and computer aided software reliability estimation(CASRE) tool are used to progressively improve the prediction. The continuing software reliability prediction throughout the development process is beneficial to promote the development capability of software and guarantee a more reliable software product.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123535539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Woo-Gon Kim, H. Lee, Jae-Young Park, Seon-Jin Kim, Yong-Wan Kim
{"title":"Notice of RetractionImproved methodology for calculating initial loading strains in high-temperature creep deformation","authors":"Woo-Gon Kim, H. Lee, Jae-Young Park, Seon-Jin Kim, Yong-Wan Kim","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625685","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625685","url":null,"abstract":"For a design application of Alloy 617, the isochronous stress-strain curves (ISSC) should be constructed at a specified temperature. The ISSCs can be constructed using Young's modulus, average tensile hardening rule, and creep strain laws. To develop the ISSCs, it is necessary to determine the total strain composed of the elastic, plastic, and creep strains. To determine the total strain, the RCC-MR code and Blackburn's methods are described in detail. In addition, to practically determine the tensile elastic and plastic strain components of Alloy 617, a new method is proposed and applied in addition to these two methods. Results show that in the elastic regime, these three methods were identical in the tensile curves, and in the plastic regime, the Blackburn's equation was higher in the stress-strain curves than the RCC-MR code. Two methods revealed some differences in the analyzed curves, but a new method seemed to be better because it lay midway between the two methods. However, in spite of this difference in the plastic regime, it is suggested that these three methods can be utilized to calculate the elastic and plastic strain of Alloy 617. The reason for this is that the creep stress conditions, which are generally tested at 800°C, 850°C, 900°C, and 950°C of Alloy 617, correspond to a lower elastic regime rather than the plastic regime.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123697872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Notice of RetractionMaintainability metrics of software architecture based on symbol connector","authors":"Li Liu, Xiaodong Zhu, Xueliang Hao","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625873","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625873","url":null,"abstract":"Software maintainability largely depends on architecture design. The maintainability metrics in architecture phase can offer a basis for the choice of many architecture design projects, and can identify the best architecture design. In order to measure software architecture maintainability, firstly, six kind symbol connectors and their connection semantics are defined according to the relationship between components, and software architecture is described based on symbol connector; Then the ripple-effect of architecture change based on symbol connectors are analyzed, and software architecture maintainability is obtained through computing propagated numbers of connectors; Lastly, by applying this method to a case, the feasibility and effectiveness of the method is fully validated.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"80 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121603512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Notice of RetractionMaintenance tools category integration method based on grey situation decision-making","authors":"Yabin Wang, Hongbo Liu, Zhen Li, Wensheng Li","doi":"10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625816","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/QR2MSE.2013.6625816","url":null,"abstract":"Maintenance tools present a difficult problem in the complex support system, for the considerable varieties to be integrated and optimized. In this paper, a maintenance tools category integration method was developed, which minimizes the support burden and costs. In order to obtain the solution, a maintenance tools category integration analysis method and an integrated decision-making method were employed based on grey situation decision-making method. In this method, the integration flow and implement steps were presented, which can improve the solving efficiency for the integration method. Finally, a numerical example was given, which verified the feasibility and validity of this method.","PeriodicalId":140736,"journal":{"name":"2013 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2013-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121772112","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}