Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-04DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108704
Wei Zhou , Yan Chen , Cesheng Zhang
{"title":"How does FinTech promote the low-carbon transformation of energy consumption in China?","authors":"Wei Zhou , Yan Chen , Cesheng Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108704","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108704","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>FinTech significantly influences consumer behaviors and the demand and supply of energy consumption, making it meaningful to explore its relationship with the low-carbon transformation (LCT) of energy consumption in China, which are two emerging and interconnected issues. In this study, we conduct a multidimensional analysis of how FinTech promotes the LCT of energy consumption in China, encompassing empirical studies, pathway identification, and mechanism analysis. The results show that: (1) FinTech can significantly promote the LCT of energy consumption in China. (2) Mechanism analysis reveals that FinTech facilitates this transition through three pathways, namely household income growth, corporate innovation promotion, and industrial upgrading propulsion. (3) Heterogeneity tests indicate that the impact of FinTech on LCT is more pronounced in northern provinces and central-western regions. (4) From the supply perspective, FinTech significantly promotes LCT following the implementation of the new Environmental Protection Law. (5) From the demand perspective, FinTech also advances this transformation even before the enactment of the law. Based on these findings, we offer policy recommendations to further promote the LCT of energy consumption in China and support the continued development of FinTech.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"149 ","pages":"Article 108704"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144605046","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108707
Alfusainey Touray , Yu Hao
{"title":"Bridging the energy gap: Macro-drivers of access-based energy poverty in West Africa","authors":"Alfusainey Touray , Yu Hao","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108707","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108707","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In 2022, approximately 694 million people worldwide lacked access to electricity, with 29 % living in West Africa. This elevated level of access-based energy poverty (<strong>AB-EP</strong>) highlights the need to understand its driving factors in the region. While micro-level studies on AB-EP are abundant, macro-level assessments are limited, particularly for West Africa. Furthermore, existing studies often lack robust methods for constructing AB-EP indices and handling panel data. This study addresses these gaps by exploring the impact of macroeconomic factors on AB-EP in West Africa. We utilized a new AB-EP index containing clean energy and technology and a panel-corrected standard error estimator to address data issues. The findings demonstrate that domestic macroeconomic factors such as energy intensity, urbanization, and income are the primary causes of AB-EP in West Africa. In contrast, external macroeconomic factors (official development assistance, external debt, trade, remittances, and foreign direct investment) have a negligible influence. This result underscores the need for local solutions. Policymakers should focus on sustainable urban development, improving energy efficiency, and enhancing per capita income, as these factors contribute significantly to reducing AB-EP. Furthermore, trade and financial inflow policies should strategically be directed to enhance West Africa's energy access.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108707"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144587867","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108627
Byunggeor Moon
{"title":"Fiercer competition for greater savings: Policy mix, competition, and spatial analysis of fuel tax reduction effects","authors":"Byunggeor Moon","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108627","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108627","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid fluctuations in oil prices compel governments to implement various policies. Particularly, when oil prices experience sharp increases and decreases due to uncontrollable external factors, a primary policy tool chosen by governments to stabilize fuel prices for consumers is fuel tax cuts. This study examines the impact of fuel tax cuts on fuel prices during significant oil price surges, focusing on the role of governance structures among gas stations and the competitive dynamics of pricing strategies. Specifically, it is observed that publicly operated gas stations more promptly reflect tax cuts in retail prices, and private gas stations located near these public stations maintain lower prices compared to those that are not adjacent. These findings highlight the importance of competitive market conditions in the administration of tax policies and confirm that achieving policy objectives requires not only tax policy adjustments but also the establishment of competitive market structures from a policy standpoint.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"149 ","pages":"Article 108627"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144613165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108712
Shuai Yue, Hamish D. Anderson, Jing Liao
{"title":"Who does not advance loses ground: Green investment as a strategic response by small and medium-sized enterprises to economic policy uncertainty","authors":"Shuai Yue, Hamish D. Anderson, Jing Liao","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108712","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108712","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how listed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) respond to economic policy uncertainty (EPU exposure) through their environmental decisions. We find that SMEs are associated with increased environmental investment when facing heightened EPU exposure. Notably, SMEs with greater EPU exposure are more likely to invest in clean energy-related initiatives, underscoring the important role of the energy sector in driving corporate sustainable strategies. Additionally, this study reveals that the impact of EPU exposure on environmental investments is more salient when SMEs face fewer financial constraints, are located in more marketized regions, operate in less competitive markets and non-heavily polluting industries, and after the implementation of the 2012 Green Credit Policy. These findings suggest that SMEs are more likely to adopt sustainable practices under heightened policy uncertainty, leveraging environmental initiatives as a strategic response to facilitate firm development and growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108712"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144587866","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108690
Yi Li , Yang Li , Zhaohua Wang
{"title":"Counting the carbon burden: Evidence from municipal bonds in China","authors":"Yi Li , Yang Li , Zhaohua Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108690","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108690","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how carbon emissions affect municipal corporate bond (MCB) pricing in China. Using data from 2008–2022, we find that higher emissions lead to wider credit spreads. To address endogeneity, we use a difference-in-differences strategy and an instrumental variable approach, both confirming the results. Mechanism analysis shows that carbon emissions widen credit spreads by weakening implicit guarantees, reducing repayment capacity, and lowering investor demand. The effect is stronger in developed cities, those with limited refinancing capacity, lower marketization, lower fiscal transparency, and after 2020. These findings highlight the financial implications of environmental risk in municipal bond markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108690"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144572525","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108703
Nicholas Gohdes
{"title":"On spot revenues, capital structure and trade off theory: Analysing investment risk for contracted renewables","authors":"Nicholas Gohdes","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108703","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108703","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In decarbonising power systems, shifting dynamics require that investors lend careful consideration when structuring plant revenues – or risk violating the constraints of private capital markets. In Australia's National Electricity Market, new variable renewable energy (VRE) plant was traditionally ∼100 % revenue contracted via power purchase agreement (PPA) to facilitate bankability and provide stable returns. However, sharply falling VRE costs have enabled the emergence of a new asset class, viz. VRE with ‘semi-merchant’ cashflows, comprising both PPA contracted and spot market (i.e. merchant) exposed revenue streams. This blended revenue mix, which has dominated new entry in Australia, raises questions vis-à-vis capital structure optimisation as both investors and financiers grapple with the re-introduction of spot revenue variability. In this paper, stochastic modelling techniques are applied to stress-test new entrant wind plant cashflows under a full spectrum of PPA cover levels and within capital market (i.e. project finance) constraints. Under ordinary market conditions, a run-of-plant PPA with at least ∼50 % revenue cover is found sufficient to mitigate technical default risk and secure commercial debt levels. However, the relationship between PPA cover and default (i.e. distress cost) risk is also found to be decidedly non-linear, with some semi-merchant structures capable of supporting debt levels equivalent to 100 % PPA plant without introducing material default risk – an unexpected finding. Presented results identify the limits of a PPA to extract equity capital risk from a stand-alone VRE asset and, by implication, the limits of cost of capital optimisation in line with Modigliani and Miller's seminal writings on capital structure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108703"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144595897","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-02DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108701
Imran Yousaf , Obaika M. Ohikhuare , Yong Li , Yanshuang Li
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Interconnectedness between electricity and artificial intelligence-based markets during the crisis periods: Evidence from the TVP-VAR approach” [Energy Economics Volume 139, November 2024, 107885]","authors":"Imran Yousaf , Obaika M. Ohikhuare , Yong Li , Yanshuang Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108701","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108701","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108701"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144523032","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-01DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108709
Kaixia Zhang , Weibing Li
{"title":"Collaborative regional pollution control and industrial land acquired by polluting firms in border areas–evidence from the air pollution joint prevention and control policy in China","authors":"Kaixia Zhang , Weibing Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108709","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108709","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Unclear environmental jurisdictions and weak enforcement in administrative border areas encourage polluting firms to cluster there by acquiring land to centralize production. Local governments, motivated by fiscal revenue, also sell land to these firms. Reducing such clustering is crucial for lowering border pollution and promoting high-quality development. Using China's air pollution joint prevention and control (AJPC) pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment and a multi-period DID approach, this study finds this collaborative regional pollution control policy significantly curbs industrial land acquisition by air-polluting firms in border areas, with spillover effects on other polluters. Mechanism tests reveal that the policy operates through both supply and demand channels: it alters local governments' land supply incentives by reducing allocations to air-polluting firms, while also increasing production costs, tightening financing constraints, and raising green awareness, thereby lowering polluting firms' land demand in border areas. Further analyses show that the AJPC policy's effectiveness varies with local officials' traits and environmental awareness of governments and firms. The policy mitigates regional pollution by restricting industrial land acquisition by polluting firms in border areas. Our findings enhance understanding of how regional pollution collaboration drives land reallocation in border areas, providing evidence to improve environmental policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108709"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144563561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-07-01DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108711
Xiaoqing Wang , Adnan Safi , Fengning Ge
{"title":"Towards carbon neutrality: Will artificial intelligence and green bond become catalysts?","authors":"Xiaoqing Wang , Adnan Safi , Fengning Ge","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108711","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108711","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The burgeoning domains of artificial intelligence technology and green bonds market are emerging as pivotal forces for the attainment of carbon neutrality objectives. Therefore, this study adopts a dynamic lens to detect the long- and short-term interdependencies among artificial intelligence (AII), green bonds (GBI) and carbon neutrality (CNI). Employing the quantile autoregressive distributed lag model, empirical results denote that artificial intelligence contributes to an uptick in carbon emissions on account of the necessary digital infrastructure, while playing a pivotal role in aiding the realization of carbon neutrality over long term. In contrast, green bonds are instrumental in curbing emissions over the short term, and the long-term impact is characterized by a mixed correlation with emissions levels. Green bonds emerge as a particularly timely policy instrument for emission reduction, while artificial intelligence is perceived as a more durable and consistent facilitator for progress towards carbon neutrality. Besides, both AII and GBI have locational asymmetric impacts on the CNI. The long-term effects of both artificial intelligence and green bonds on carbon dioxide emissions are more substantial than the short-term effects. Finally, targeted policies are provided to promote achieving carbon neutrality goals through reasonable utilization of artificial intelligence and green bonds.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 108711"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144563562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2025-06-30DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108663
Thomas Allen, Mathieu Boullot, Stéphane Dées, Annabelle de Gaye, Noëmie Lisack, Camille Thubin, Oriane Wegner
{"title":"Using short-term scenarios to assess the macroeconomic impacts of climate transition","authors":"Thomas Allen, Mathieu Boullot, Stéphane Dées, Annabelle de Gaye, Noëmie Lisack, Camille Thubin, Oriane Wegner","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108663","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108663","url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a set of short-term scenarios that reflect the diversity of climate transition shocks : increase in carbon and energy prices, increase in public or private investment in the low-carbon transition, increase in the cost of capital due to uncertainty, deterioration of confidence, accelerated obsolescence of part of the installed capital, etc. Using a suite-of-model approach, we assess the implications of these scenarios for the dynamics of activity and inflation. By considering multiple scenarios, we therefore account for the uncertainty around future political decisions regarding climate change mitigation. The results show that the magnitude and duration of the macroeconomic effects of the transition to carbon neutrality will depend on the transition strategy chosen. While a number of short-term scenarios are inflationary or even stagflationary, there are also factors that could curb inflation and boost economic growth.","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"36 1","pages":"108663"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144565780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}