CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology最新文献

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Elucidating Contributions of Drug Transporters/Enzyme to Nonlinear Pharmacokinetics of Grazoprevir by PBPK Modeling With a Cluster Gauss–Newton Method 基于聚类高斯-牛顿方法的PBPK模型研究药物转运体/酶对Grazoprevir非线性药代动力学的贡献
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13314
Takashi Yoshikado, Yasunori Aoki, Ryo Nakamura, Saeko Shida, Yuichi Sugiyama, Koji Chiba
{"title":"Elucidating Contributions of Drug Transporters/Enzyme to Nonlinear Pharmacokinetics of Grazoprevir by PBPK Modeling With a Cluster Gauss–Newton Method","authors":"Takashi Yoshikado,&nbsp;Yasunori Aoki,&nbsp;Ryo Nakamura,&nbsp;Saeko Shida,&nbsp;Yuichi Sugiyama,&nbsp;Koji Chiba","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13314","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13314","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Grazoprevir (GZR), a direct-acting agent for hepatitis C virus, is recognized as a substrate for organic anion transporting polypeptide 1B (OATP1B), cytochrome P450 3A (CYP3A), and P-glycoprotein (P-gp). The objective of the present study was to elucidate the contribution of these molecules to the nonlinear pharmacokinetics of GZR using a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model. Utilizing plasma concentration–time profiles of GZR derived from reported dose-escalation (50–800 mg) clinical studies and cumulative excretion data, around 10 parameters, including Michaelis constants (K<sub>m</sub>) for OATP1B, CYP3A, and P-gp, were estimated via a cluster Gauss–Newton method (CGNM). Parameter combinations that could reproduce the clinical data of GZR were obtained; however, discrepancies were noted between the in vivo estimated K<sub>m</sub> and the corresponding in vitro K<sub>m</sub>. Next, by incorporating the in vitro K<sub>m</sub> values into our PBPK–CGNM analyses utilizing a penalized parameter method, newly obtained parameter combinations appropriately reflected both the in vivo and in vitro observations. Particularly regarding OATP1B, while saturation of uptake was not clearly observed in the in vitro experiments without human serum albumin (HSA), K<sub>m</sub> values capable of explaining in vivo saturation were obtained under physiological HSA concentrations. By estimating the extent of saturation for each molecule in the liver and intestine and conducting sensitivity analyses of the K<sub>m</sub> values, it was inferred that OATP1B3 contributed the most to the nonlinearity of plasma GZR concentrations, followed by P-gp. In conclusion, the PBPK–CGNM, supplemented by penalized in vitro parameters, was shown to be effective for analyzing complex pharmacokinetics involving drug transporters and enzymes.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"770-780"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13314","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143370692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response of Subcutaneous Atezolizumab in Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer 非小细胞肺癌患者皮下Atezolizumab的人群药代动力学和暴露反应。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-02-05 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13310
Phyllis Chan, Stephanie N. Liu, Nathalie Gosselin, Zacharie Sauve, Mathilde Marchand, Alyse Lin, Luis Herraez-Baranda, James Zanghi, Esther Shearer-Kang, Xiaoyan Liu, Benjamin Wu, Pascal Chanu
{"title":"Population Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response of Subcutaneous Atezolizumab in Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer","authors":"Phyllis Chan,&nbsp;Stephanie N. Liu,&nbsp;Nathalie Gosselin,&nbsp;Zacharie Sauve,&nbsp;Mathilde Marchand,&nbsp;Alyse Lin,&nbsp;Luis Herraez-Baranda,&nbsp;James Zanghi,&nbsp;Esther Shearer-Kang,&nbsp;Xiaoyan Liu,&nbsp;Benjamin Wu,&nbsp;Pascal Chanu","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13310","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13310","url":null,"abstract":"<p>IMscin001 is a two-part dose-finding (Phase Ib) and -confirmation (Phase III) study to evaluate atezolizumab pharmacokinetics of subcutaneous (SC) compared with intravenous (IV) administration in patients with locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The objectives of the current analyses were to characterize the population pharmacokinetics (popPK) of atezolizumab and to determine the relationship between atezolizumab exposure and safety and efficacy endpoints in IMscin001. A previously validated IV popPK model was extended to add SC absorption parameters using SC and IV data from Phase Ib and Phase III of IMscin001 (<i>N</i> = 435), and covariate effects were investigated on the SC absorption parameters. The exposure-response (ER) investigation was performed using SC data following 1875 mg every three weeks (q3w) administration in the Phase III portion of IMscin001 (<i>N</i> = 246). The clinical endpoints were objective response rate, progression-free survival, or overall survival for efficacy, serious adverse events, special interest adverse events, Grades 3–5 adverse events, infusion-related reaction, or injection site reactions for safety. Atezolizumab SC absorption was characterized by a first-order absorption with a bioavailability of 71.8% and an absorption rate constant of 0.304 day<sup>−1</sup>. The extended popPK model was adequate to predict atezolizumab PK after IV and SC administrations and to predict individual exposure metrics. For all efficacy and safety endpoints, atezolizumab exposure was not statistically significant (<i>p</i>-value &gt; 0.05) in the ER models. The non-inferior popPK exposure and flat ER results supported atezolizumab SC dose at 1875 mg q3w.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"726-737"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13310","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143188531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling and Simulation of Acetaminophen Pharmacokinetics and Hepatic Biomarkers After Overdoses of Extended-Release and Immediate-Release Formulations in Healthy Adults Using the Quantitative Systems Toxicology Software Platform DILIsym 基于定量系统毒理学软件平台DILIsym的健康成人对乙酰氨基酚缓释和速释制剂过量后药代动力学和肝脏生物标志物的建模与模拟
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13304
James J. Beaudoin, Kyunghee Yang, Brett A. Howell, Zackary Kenz, Vinal V. Lakhani, Jeffrey L. Woodhead, John C. K. Lai, Cathy K. Gelotte, Sury Sista, Evren Atillasoy
{"title":"Modeling and Simulation of Acetaminophen Pharmacokinetics and Hepatic Biomarkers After Overdoses of Extended-Release and Immediate-Release Formulations in Healthy Adults Using the Quantitative Systems Toxicology Software Platform DILIsym","authors":"James J. Beaudoin,&nbsp;Kyunghee Yang,&nbsp;Brett A. Howell,&nbsp;Zackary Kenz,&nbsp;Vinal V. Lakhani,&nbsp;Jeffrey L. Woodhead,&nbsp;John C. K. Lai,&nbsp;Cathy K. Gelotte,&nbsp;Sury Sista,&nbsp;Evren Atillasoy","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13304","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13304","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Acetaminophen (APAP) has been formulated as immediate-, modified-, and extended-release tablets (APAP-IR, -MR, and -ER, respectively). However, there was concern that APAP-MR previously available in Europe could form a bezoar after a large overdose, leading to delayed absorption and atypical pharmacokinetics (PK) compared to APAP-IR, and that current treatment guidelines developed for APAP overdose to prevent severe hepatotoxicity are inappropriate for APAP-MR. In contrast, APAP-ER caplets available in the United States are designed with an IR layer and an erodible ER layer. Using modeling and simulation, predicted PK and hepatotoxicity biomarkers following various acute overdose and repeated supratherapeutic ingestion (RSTI) scenarios with APAP-IR and APAP-ER were compared to investigate the differences between these two formulations. The existing APAP-IR representation within DILIsym v8A, a quantitative systems toxicology model of drug-induced liver injury, was updated, and an APAP-ER model was developed, using newly acquired in vitro (e.g., tiny-TIM<i>sg</i>) and clinical data. The model and simulated populations (SimPops) representing healthy adults were extensively validated, before simulating PK and three clinically useful hepatic biomarkers after various overdose scenarios. On average, APAP exposure after acute overdose and RSTI in healthy adults was predicted to be slightly lower for APAP-ER compared to APAP-IR, partially due to lower APAP absorption for APAP-ER, while not markedly impacting the expected time course of APAP plasma concentrations. Similar hepatic biomarker profiles were predicted for both APAP formulations. Based on these results, the APAP overdose consensus treatment guidelines updated in 2023 are not further impacted by this report.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"681-694"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13304","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143122388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population Pharmacokinetics and Transfer of Gabapentin When Used as a Pain Adjunct for Cesarean Deliveries 加巴喷丁作为剖宫产镇痛药物的人群药代动力学和转移。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-31 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13295
Rebecca Silvola, Aislinn O'Kane, Michael Heathman, Hannah Marotta, Hayley Trussel, Bobbie Ray, Shelley Dowden, Andrea R. Masters, David M. Haas, Sara K. Quinney
{"title":"Population Pharmacokinetics and Transfer of Gabapentin When Used as a Pain Adjunct for Cesarean Deliveries","authors":"Rebecca Silvola,&nbsp;Aislinn O'Kane,&nbsp;Michael Heathman,&nbsp;Hannah Marotta,&nbsp;Hayley Trussel,&nbsp;Bobbie Ray,&nbsp;Shelley Dowden,&nbsp;Andrea R. Masters,&nbsp;David M. Haas,&nbsp;Sara K. Quinney","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13295","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13295","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocols for cesarean deliveries (CDs) utilize multimodal pain management strategies that often include gabapentin. While gabapentin is excreted in breast milk, its pharmacokinetics in immediately postpartum lactating women are not known. This observational pharmacokinetic study (NCT05099484) enrolled 21 healthy singleton pregnant individuals, ≥ 18 years old, undergoing CD and planning to breastfeed. Participants received 300 mg oral gabapentin before CD and every 6 h for 48 h per hospital protocol. Serial maternal plasma and breast milk samples were collected over a single dosing interval. Gabapentin pharmacokinetics were assessed using two structurally distinct population pharmacokinetic (POPPK) models to describe transfer of drug into breast milk utilizing (A) milk-to-plasma ratio and (B) inter-compartmental rate constants. These models were then used to estimate exposure to breastfed infants. Postpartum gabapentin plasma concentrations fit a 1-compartment model that was adapted to include breast milk concentrations. The two POPPK models both estimated relative infant doses (RID<sub>0–48h</sub>) of gabapentin &lt; 0.15% of maternal dose within the first 48 h postpartum. Infant daily dose (IDD) from 24 to 48 h was estimated to be 0.0137 (0.0058–0.0316) mg/kg/day and 0.0139 (0.00041–0.0469) mg/kg/day by models A and B, respectively. These findings indicate limited neonatal exposure to gabapentin administered as part of a postpartum enhanced recovery after surgery protocol.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 3","pages":"551-560"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13295","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143074135","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using Pharmacoepidemiology to Examine the Interplay of Sulfonylureas and Infection Risk in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus 应用药物流行病学研究磺脲类药物与糖尿病患者感染风险的相互作用。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13308
Yu-ying Wu, I-Fan Lin, Kuan-Hua Chen, Hsi-Hao Wang, Chun-Kai Huang
{"title":"Using Pharmacoepidemiology to Examine the Interplay of Sulfonylureas and Infection Risk in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus","authors":"Yu-ying Wu,&nbsp;I-Fan Lin,&nbsp;Kuan-Hua Chen,&nbsp;Hsi-Hao Wang,&nbsp;Chun-Kai Huang","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13308","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13308","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Sulfonylureas (SU) are commonly prescribed as oral hypoglycemic agents for the management of diabetes mellitus (DM). We postulated that SU possess antimicrobial properties due to their structural resemblance to the antimicrobial agent sulfamethoxazole. Using data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we enrolled patients diagnosed with DM between 2000 and 2013 and followed them for a three-year period. Patients who consistently used SU were categorized into the SU cohort, while those who had never used SU formed the non-sulfonylurea (non-SU) cohort. The primary study endpoints were diagnoses of pneumonia and urinary tract infections (UTIs). Within the database, we identified a total of 15,458,554 patients with DM, with 754,601 (4.88%) in the SU cohort and 2,244,436 (14.52%) in the non-SU cohort. After individual matching based on age, gender, index day, and propensity score of comorbidities, we included 663,056 patients in each cohort. The cumulative incidence of pneumonia and UTI was 29,239 (4.41%) and 60,733 (9.16%) in the SU cohort, respectively, and 24,599 (3.71%) and 56,554 (8.53%) in the non-SU cohort, respectively. Our findings indicated that the use of SU increased the risk of pneumonia (1.26–1.60 times) and UTI (1.13–1.22 times), while also potentially offsetting the protective effects of metformin. This pharmacoepidemiological study represents a concerted effort to assess latent drug properties that may have a significant impact on the clinical management of patients with DM.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"718-725"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13308","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143051836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Model-Informed Recommendation of Mavacamten Posology for Chinese Adults With Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy 基于模型的中国成人阻塞性肥厚性心肌病患者马伐卡坦治疗建议。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13312
Xiaojie Wu, Shilpa Puli, Nanye Chen, Zhuang Tian, Peiwen Hsu, Jing Sun, Cheng Lyu, Samira Merali, Jing Zhang
{"title":"Model-Informed Recommendation of Mavacamten Posology for Chinese Adults With Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy","authors":"Xiaojie Wu,&nbsp;Shilpa Puli,&nbsp;Nanye Chen,&nbsp;Zhuang Tian,&nbsp;Peiwen Hsu,&nbsp;Jing Sun,&nbsp;Cheng Lyu,&nbsp;Samira Merali,&nbsp;Jing Zhang","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13312","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13312","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Mavacamten is a cardiac myosin inhibitor for adults with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Dose optimization is performed 4 weeks after starting mavacamten, guided by periodic echo measurements of Valsalva left ventricular outflow tract gradient (VLVOTg) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Previously, a population pharmacokinetic (PPK) model was developed and exposure-response (E-R) of VLVOTg (efficacy) and LVEF (safety) was used to identify the mavacamten titration regimen with the optimal benefit/risk ratio, now included in the US prescribing information. Mavacamten is metabolized primarily by cytochrome P450 2C19 (CYP2C19) (74%), a highly polymorphic enzyme. China has a higher prevalence of poor CYP2C19 metabolizer phenotype compared with the global population; therefore, a previous model was adapted to include Chinese patients with obstructive HCM to identify the optimal dosing regimen for this population. Data from a phase I (healthy Chinese volunteers) and a phase III (EXPLORER-CN, NCT05174416; Chinese patients with obstructive HCM) trial of mavacamten were added to the previous PPK and E-R models, and the observed VLVOTg and LVEF from EXPLORER-CN were successfully simulated. Next, five echocardiography-guided titration regimens (plus the EXPLORER-CN regimen) using representative or equal CYP2C19 phenotypes were simulated. The final simulated regimen recommended with an optimal benefit/risk profile across CYP2C19 phenotypes included: down-titration at Week 4 (if VLVOTg &lt; 20 mmHg), restart at Week 12, and up-titration at Week 12 (for VLVOTg ≥ 30 mmHg and LVEF ≥ 55%), and every 12 weeks thereafter. This supports the previously recommended regimen for Chinese patients with obstructive HCM, now approved by the National Medicinal Products Administration.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"751-758"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13312","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143051736","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pharmacokinetics-Based Design of Subcutaneous Controlled Release Systems for Biologics 基于药代动力学的生物制剂皮下控释系统设计。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13303
Abigail K. Grosskopf, Antonio A. Ginart, Phillip Spinosa, Vittal Shivva
{"title":"Pharmacokinetics-Based Design of Subcutaneous Controlled Release Systems for Biologics","authors":"Abigail K. Grosskopf,&nbsp;Antonio A. Ginart,&nbsp;Phillip Spinosa,&nbsp;Vittal Shivva","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13303","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13303","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Protein therapeutics have emerged as an exceedingly promising treatment modality in recent times but are predominantly given as intravenous administration. Transitioning to subcutaneous (SC) administration of these therapies could significantly enhance patient convenience by enabling at-home administration, thereby potentially reducing the overall cost of treatment. Approaches that enable sustained delivery of subcutaneously administered biologics offer further advantages in terms of less frequent dosing and better patient compliance. Controlled release technologies, such as hydrogels and subcutaneous implantable technologies, present exciting solutions by enabling the gradual release of biologics from the delivery system. Despite their substantial potential, significant hurdles remain in appropriately applying and integrating these technologies with the ongoing development of complex biologic-based therapies. We evaluate the potential impact of subcutaneously delivered controlled release systems on the downstream pharmacokinetics (PK) of several FDA-approved biologics by employing rigorous mathematical analysis and predictive PK simulations. By leveraging linear time-invariant (LTI) systems theory, we provide a robust framework for understanding and optimizing the release dynamics of these technologies. We demonstrate simple quantitative metrics and approaches that can inform the design and implementation of controlled release technologies. The findings highlight key opportunity areas to reduce dosing frequency, stabilize concentration profiles, and synergize the codelivery of biologics, calling for collaboration between drug delivery and PK scientists to create the most convenient, optimized, and effective precision therapies.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"668-680"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13303","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143037089","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Covariate Model Selection Approaches for Population Pharmacokinetics: A Systematic Review of Existing Methods, From SCM to AI 群体药代动力学的协变量模型选择方法:对现有方法的系统回顾,从SCM到AI。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13306
Mélanie Karlsen, Sonia Khier, David Fabre, David Marchionni, Jérôme Azé, Sandra Bringay, Pascal Poncelet, Elisa Calvier
{"title":"Covariate Model Selection Approaches for Population Pharmacokinetics: A Systematic Review of Existing Methods, From SCM to AI","authors":"Mélanie Karlsen,&nbsp;Sonia Khier,&nbsp;David Fabre,&nbsp;David Marchionni,&nbsp;Jérôme Azé,&nbsp;Sandra Bringay,&nbsp;Pascal Poncelet,&nbsp;Elisa Calvier","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13306","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13306","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A growing number of covariate modeling methods have been proposed in the field of popPK modeling, but limited information exists on how they all compare. The objective of this study was to perform a systematic review of all popPK covariate modeling methods, focusing on assessing the existing knowledge on their performances. For each method of each article included in this review, evaluation setting, performance metrics along with their associated values, and relative computational times were reported when available. Evaluation settings report was done for uncertainty assessment of communicated results. Results showed that EBEs-based ML methods stood out as the best covariate selection methods. AALASSO, a hybrid genetic algorithm, FREM with a clinical significance criterion and SCM+ with stagewise filtering were the best covariate model selection techniques—AALASSO being the very best one. Results also showed a lack of consensus on how to benchmark simulated datasets of different scenarios when evaluating method performances, but also on which metrics to use for method evaluation. We propose to systematically report TPR (sensitivity), FPR (Type I error), FNR (Type II error), TNR (specificity), covariate parameter error bias (MPE) and precision (RMSE), clinical relevance, and model fitness by means of BIC, concentration prediction error bias (MPE), and precision (RMSE) of new proposed methods and compare them with SCM. We propose to systematically combine covariate selection techniques to SCM or FFEM to allow for comparison with SCM. We also highlight the need for an open-source benchmark of simulated datasets on a representative set of scenarios.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 4","pages":"621-639"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13306","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143001251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling of Disease Progression of Type 2 Diabetes Using Real-World Data: Quantifying Competing Risks of Morbidity and Mortality 使用真实世界数据的2型糖尿病疾病进展建模:量化发病和死亡的竞争风险。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13301
Hanna Kunina, Stefan Franzén, Maria C. Kjellsson
{"title":"Modeling of Disease Progression of Type 2 Diabetes Using Real-World Data: Quantifying Competing Risks of Morbidity and Mortality","authors":"Hanna Kunina,&nbsp;Stefan Franzén,&nbsp;Maria C. Kjellsson","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13301","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13301","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a progressive metabolic disorder that could be an underlying cause of long-term complications that increase mortality. The assessment of the probability of such events could be essential for mortality risk management. This work aimed to establish a framework for risk predictions of macrovascular complications (MVC) and diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in patients with T2D, using real-world data from the Swedish National Diabetes Registry (NDR), in the presence of mortality as a competing risk. The study consisted of 41,517 patients with T2D registered in NDR between 2005 and 2013. At inclusion, patients were newly diagnosed (T2D &lt; 1 year) and had no prior evidence of DKD or MVC. Using three-quarters of the data, a five-state multistate model was established to describe competing events of MVC, DKD, a combination thereof, and the terminal state, death. Two hypotheses were investigated: (1) the risk of MVC and DKD are mutually independent, and (2) mortality is independent of morbidities. At the end of the study, the majority of individuals remained in uncomplicated T2D; however, the probability of transition to complications and death increased over time. The mortality hazard depended on the presence of morbidities and was quantified as a life expectancy decreased by 5.0, 9.7, and 12.2 years for MVC, DKD, and the combined morbidity, respectively, compared to uncomplicated T2D. An established framework with a five-state model incorporating competing events was shown to be a useful tool for comorbidities risk assessment in newly diagnosed patients with T2D.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 3","pages":"606-615"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13301","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143001260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population exposure–response analysis of the effect of ritlecitinib on eyebrow assessment and eyelash assessment in patients with alopecia areata 利来替尼对斑秃患者眉毛和睫毛评估影响的人群暴露反应分析。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13283
Yuchen Wang, Yeamin Huh, Alexandre Lejeune
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