CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology最新文献

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A fully automatic tool for development of population pharmacokinetic models 开发群体药代动力学模型的全自动工具。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13222
Xiaomei Chen, Rikard Nordgren, Stella Belin, Alzahra Hamdan, Shijun Wang, Tianwu Yang, Zhe Huang, Simon J. Carter, Simon Buatois, João A. Abrantes, Andrew C. Hooker, Mats O. Karlsson
{"title":"A fully automatic tool for development of population pharmacokinetic models","authors":"Xiaomei Chen,&nbsp;Rikard Nordgren,&nbsp;Stella Belin,&nbsp;Alzahra Hamdan,&nbsp;Shijun Wang,&nbsp;Tianwu Yang,&nbsp;Zhe Huang,&nbsp;Simon J. Carter,&nbsp;Simon Buatois,&nbsp;João A. Abrantes,&nbsp;Andrew C. Hooker,&nbsp;Mats O. Karlsson","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13222","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13222","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Population pharmacokinetic (PK) models are widely used to inform drug development by pharmaceutical companies and facilitate drug evaluation by regulatory agencies. Developing a population PK model is a multi-step, challenging, and time-consuming process involving iterative manual model fitting and evaluation. A tool for fully automatic model development (AMD) of common population PK models is presented here. The AMD tool is implemented in Pharmpy, a versatile open-source library for pharmacometrics. It consists of different modules responsible for developing the different components of population PK models, including the structural model, the inter-individual variability (IIV) model, the inter-occasional variability (IOV) model, the residual unexplained variability (RUV) model, the covariate model, and the allometry model. The AMD tool was evaluated using 10 real PK datasets involving the structural, IIV, and RUV modules in three sequences. The different sequences yielded generally consistent structural models; however, there were variations in the results of the IIV and RUV models. The final models of the AMD tool showed lower Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) values and similar visual predictive check plots compared with the available published models, indicating reasonable quality, in addition to reasonable run time. A similar conclusion was also drawn in a simulation study. The developed AMD tool serves as a promising tool for fast and fully automatic population PK model building with the potential to facilitate the use of modeling and simulation in drug development.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1784-1797"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494844/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142072240","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A stacking ensemble machine learning model for evaluating cardiac toxicity of drugs based on in silico biomarkers. 基于硅学生物标志物评估药物心脏毒性的堆叠集合机器学习模型。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13229
Yunendah Nur Fuadah, Ali Ikhsanul Qauli, Muhammad Adnan Pramudito, Aroli Marcellinus, Ulfa Latifa Hanum, Ki Moo Lim
{"title":"A stacking ensemble machine learning model for evaluating cardiac toxicity of drugs based on in silico biomarkers.","authors":"Yunendah Nur Fuadah, Ali Ikhsanul Qauli, Muhammad Adnan Pramudito, Aroli Marcellinus, Ulfa Latifa Hanum, Ki Moo Lim","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13229","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.13229","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study addresses the critical issue of drug-induced torsades de pointes (TdP) risk assessment, a vital aspect of new drug development due to its association with arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death. Existing methodologies, particularly those reliant on a single biomarker derived from CiPA O'Hara-Rudy (CiPAORdv1.0) ventricular cell model without the hERG dynamic as input to the individual machine learning model, have limitations in capturing the complexity inherent in the comprehensive range of factors influencing drug-induced TdP risk. This study aims to overcome these limitations by proposing a stacking ensemble machine learning approach by integrating multiple in silico biomarkers derived from the CiPAORdv1.0 with hERG dynamic characteristics. The ensemble machine learning model consisted of three artificial neural network (ANN) models as baseline model and support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models as meta-classifier. The highest AUC score of 1.00 (0.90-1.00) for high risk, 0.97 (0.84-1.00) for intermediate risk, and 1.00 (0.87-1.00) for low risk were obtained using seven biomarkers derived from the CiPAORdv1.0 with hERG dynamic characteristics. Furthering our investigation, we explored the model's robustness by incorporating interindividual variability into the generation of in silico biomarkers from a population of human ventricular cell models. This study also enabled an analysis of TdP risk classification under high clinical exposure and therapeutic scenarios for several drugs. Additionally, from a sensitivity analysis, we revealed four important ion channels, namely, CaL, NaL, Na, and Kr channels that affect significantly the important biomarkers for TdP risk prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142055164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development and comparison of model-integrated evidence approaches for bioequivalence studies with pharmacokinetic end points 开发和比较用于药代动力学终点生物等效性研究的模型整合证据方法。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13216
Xiaomei Chen, Henrik B. Nyberg, Mark Donnelly, Liang Zhao, Lanyan Fang, Mats O. Karlsson, Andrew C. Hooker
{"title":"Development and comparison of model-integrated evidence approaches for bioequivalence studies with pharmacokinetic end points","authors":"Xiaomei Chen,&nbsp;Henrik B. Nyberg,&nbsp;Mark Donnelly,&nbsp;Liang Zhao,&nbsp;Lanyan Fang,&nbsp;Mats O. Karlsson,&nbsp;Andrew C. Hooker","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13216","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13216","url":null,"abstract":"<p>By applying nonlinear mixed-effect (NLME) models, model-integrated evidence (MIE) approaches are able to analyze bioequivalence (BE) data with pharmacokinetic end points that have sparse sampling, which is problematic for non-compartmental analysis (NCA). However, MIE approaches may suffer from inflation of type I error due to underestimation of parameter uncertainty and to the assumption of asymptotic normality. In this study, we developed a MIE BE analysis method that is based on a pre-defined model and consists of several steps including model fitting, uncertainty assessment, simulation, and BE determination. The presented MIE approach has several improvements compared with the previously reported model-integrated methods: (1) treatment, sequence, and period effects are only added to absorption parameters (such as relative bioavailability and rate of absorption) instead of all PK parameters; (2) a simulation step is performed to generate confidence intervals of the pharmacokinetic metrics for BE assessment; and (3) in an effort to maintain type I error, two more advanced parameter uncertainty evaluation approaches are explored, a nonparametric (case resampling) bootstrap, and sampling importance resampling (SIR). To evaluate the developed method and compare the uncertainty assessment methods, simulation experiments were performed for BE studies using a two-way crossover design with different amounts of information (sparse to rich designs) and levels of variability. Based on the simulation results, the method using SIR for parameter uncertainty quantification controls type I error at the nominal level of 0.05 (i.e., the significance level set for BE evaluation) even for studies with small sample size and/or sparse sampling. As expected, our MIE approach for BE assessment exhibited higher power than the NCA-based method, especially as the data becomes sparser and/or more variable.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1734-1747"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494825/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142035388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantitative systems pharmacology model of α-synuclein pathology in Parkinson's disease-like mouse for investigation of passive immunotherapy mechanisms 帕金森病样小鼠α-突触核蛋白病理学定量系统药理学模型,用于研究被动免疫疗法机制。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13223
Olga Ivanova, Tatiana Karelina
{"title":"Quantitative systems pharmacology model of α-synuclein pathology in Parkinson's disease-like mouse for investigation of passive immunotherapy mechanisms","authors":"Olga Ivanova,&nbsp;Tatiana Karelina","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13223","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13223","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The main pathophysiological hallmark of Parkinson's disease (PD) is the accumulation of aggregated alpha-synuclein (αSyn). Microglial activation is an early event in PD and may play a key role in pathological αSyn aggregation and transmission, as well as in clearance of αSyn and immunotherapy efficacy. Our aim was to investigate how different proposed mechanisms of anti-αSyn immunotherapy may contribute to pathology reduction in various PD-like mouse models. Our mechanistic model of PD pathology in mouse includes αSyn production, aggregation, degradation and distribution in neurons, secretion into interstitial fluid, internalization, and subsequent clearance by neurons and microglia. It describes the influence of neuroinflammation on PD pathogenesis and dopaminergic neurodegeneration. Multiple data from mouse PD models were used for calibration and validation. Simulations of anti-αSyn passive immunotherapy adequately reproduce preclinical data and suggest that (1) immunotherapy is efficient in the reduction of aggregated αSyn in various models of PD-like pathology; (2) prevention of aSyn spread only does not reduce the pathology; (3) a decrease in microglial inflammatory activation and aSyn aggregation may be alternative therapy approaches in PD-like pathology.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1798-1809"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494828/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142035389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling of HIV-1 prophylactic efficacy and toxicity with islatravir shows non-superiority for oral dosing, but promise as a subcutaneous implant 对伊斯拉曲韦预防 HIV-1 的疗效和毒性进行建模后发现,口服药物的疗效并不理想,但皮下植入药物的疗效却很好。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13212
Hee-yeong Kim, Lanxin Zhang, Craig W. Hendrix, Jessica E. Haberer, Max von Kleist
{"title":"Modeling of HIV-1 prophylactic efficacy and toxicity with islatravir shows non-superiority for oral dosing, but promise as a subcutaneous implant","authors":"Hee-yeong Kim,&nbsp;Lanxin Zhang,&nbsp;Craig W. Hendrix,&nbsp;Jessica E. Haberer,&nbsp;Max von Kleist","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13212","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13212","url":null,"abstract":"<p>HIV prevention with pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) constitutes a major pillar in fighting the ongoing epidemic. While daily oral PrEP adherence may be challenging, long-acting (LA-)PrEP in oral or implant formulations could overcome frequent dosing with convenient administration. The novel drug islatravir (ISL) may be suitable for LA-PrEP, but dose-dependent reductions in <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mi>CD</mi>\u0000 <msup>\u0000 <mn>4</mn>\u0000 <mo>+</mo>\u0000 </msup>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 </semantics></math> T cell and lymphocyte counts were observed at high doses. We developed a mathematical model to predict ISL pro-drug levels in plasma and active intracellular ISL-triphosphate concentrations after oral vs. subcutaneous implant dosing. Using phase II trial data, we simulated antiviral effects and estimated HIV risk reduction for multiple dosages and dosing frequencies. We then established exposure thresholds where no adverse effects on immune cells were observed. Our findings suggest that implants with 56–62 mg ISL offer effective HIV risk reduction without reducing lymphocyte counts. Oral 0.1 mg daily, 3–5 mg weekly, and 10 mg biweekly ISL provide comparable efficacy, but weekly and biweekly doses may affect lymphocyte counts, while daily dosing regimen offered no advantage over existing oral PrEP. Oral 0.5–1 mg on demand provided <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>&gt;</mo>\u0000 <mn>90</mn>\u0000 <mo>%</mo>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 </semantics></math> protection, while not being suitable for post-exposure prophylaxis. These findings suggest ISL could be considered for further development as a promising and safe agent for implantable PrEP.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1693-1706"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494919/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142008458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bayesian sparse regression for exposure–response analyses of efficacy and safety endpoints to justify the clinical dose of valemetostat for adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma 贝叶斯稀疏回归用于疗效和安全性终点的暴露-反应分析,以证明伐麦司他治疗成人T细胞白血病/淋巴瘤的临床剂量是合理的。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13203
Masato Fukae, James Rogers, Ramon Garcia, Masaya Tachibana, Takako Shimizu
{"title":"Bayesian sparse regression for exposure–response analyses of efficacy and safety endpoints to justify the clinical dose of valemetostat for adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma","authors":"Masato Fukae,&nbsp;James Rogers,&nbsp;Ramon Garcia,&nbsp;Masaya Tachibana,&nbsp;Takako Shimizu","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13203","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13203","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Valemetostat is an oral inhibitor of enhancer of zeste homolog (EZH) 2 and EZH1 approved in Japan for the treatment of adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATLL). To support the approved daily dose of 200 mg and inform dose adjustments in patients with ATLL, Bayesian exposure–response analyses were conducted using data from two clinical trials. The analyses included two efficacy endpoints, overall response by central and investigator assessments in patients with ATLL (<i>n</i> = 38, 150–200 mg), and six safety endpoints in patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (<i>n</i> = 102, 150–300 mg), which included grade ≥3 laboratory values for anemia, absolute neutrophil count decreased, and platelet count decreased; any grade ≥3 treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE); and dose reductions and dose interruptions due to TEAEs. A slightly positive relationship was observed between unbound exposure and efficacy endpoints. A steeper relationship was observed in safety endpoints, compared with efficacy. Candidate covariate effects, except intercepts of the baseline laboratory values, were regularized via spike and slab priors in a Bayesian framework; only the laboratory values for corresponding hematologic TEAEs were shown to be of substantial impact. The target exposure range was established by defining a modified region of practical equivalence (184–887 ng·h/mL), which was expected to provide satisfactory efficacy and acceptable safety within the range of available exposure data. The simulated exposure range considering inter-individual variability showed that 200 mg could reach target exposure in the overall population and across subpopulations of interest, supporting the use of valemetostat 200 mg in patients with ATLL.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1655-1669"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494914/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141999563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhancing inclusivity in clinical trials: Model-informed drug development for pregnant individuals in the era of personalized medicine 增强临床试验的包容性:在个性化医疗时代,针对孕妇的模型化药物开发。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13218
André Dallmann, Peter L. Bonate, Janelle Burnham, Blessy George, Lynne Yao, Jane Knöchel
{"title":"Enhancing inclusivity in clinical trials: Model-informed drug development for pregnant individuals in the era of personalized medicine","authors":"André Dallmann,&nbsp;Peter L. Bonate,&nbsp;Janelle Burnham,&nbsp;Blessy George,&nbsp;Lynne Yao,&nbsp;Jane Knöchel","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13218","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13218","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;For decades, the administration of medication to pregnant and lactating individuals has occurred and the majority of pregnant individuals commonly receive medication during pregnancy. However, the inclusion of pregnant individuals is limited or is significantly underrepresented in global clinical trial research. Factors that may contribute to this gap include hesitancy of healthcare providers and patients, complex trial designs, ethical concerns, and the potential risk to the pregnant individual and fetus.&lt;span&gt;&lt;sup&gt;1&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; Consequently, pregnant and lactating individuals are prescribed potentially beneficial medicines with limited safety and efficacy information or guidance on optimal dosing for this patient population. Thus, it is vital to include pregnant individuals in the drug development process and engage early with global regulatory agencies.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Model-informed drug development (MIDD) methods are a selection of various quantitative methods that help to balance the risks and benefits of drug products in development. As such, these techniques are paramount to maximize the number of safe and effective medicines for pregnant individuals. Here, we discuss a roadmap of how each MIDD method (Figure 1) can be used to address the various challenges faced in this vulnerable patient population.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;As stated earlier, pregnant individuals have historically been excluded from clinical therapeutics development trials and continue to be underrepresented in research. Importantly, failure to establish the correct dose/dosing regimen and the safety of treatments used during pregnancy may compromise the health of pregnant individuals and their fetuses. Under certain circumstances, it is ethically justifiable to include pregnant individuals in clinical trials in both the premarketing and postmarketing setting.&lt;span&gt;&lt;sup&gt;7&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; Additionally, it may also be ethically justifiable to obtain information on individuals who become pregnant while enrolled in a clinical trial. For example, if an individual becomes pregnant while on an investigational agent, they may consent to the collection of pharmacokinetic data that can be used to identify any changes in dosing that may be needed during pregnancy. However, at the time of marketing approval, there is generally little to no human data to inform the safety of drugs and biological products when used during pregnancy. Consequently, the FDA has the authority to issue postmarketing required (PMR) studies to collect information on the safety of medicines used during pregnancy. PMR studies are considered during the review of a marketing application and may be issued for treatments that will be used in females of reproductive potential when there is a need for data to inform on the safety of the use of the treatment during pregnancy.&lt;span&gt;&lt;sup&gt;8&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; In a recent review, only 16% of drugs that may be used in females of reproductive potential were issued PMRs for pregnancy (and/or lactation) stu","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 11","pages":"1824-1829"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.13218","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141999564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Simulation-based evaluation of the Pharmpy Automatic Model Development tool for population pharmacokinetic modeling in early clinical drug development 对用于早期临床药物开发中群体药代动力学建模的 Pharmpy 自动模型开发工具进行基于仿真的评估。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13213
Zrinka Duvnjak, Franziska Schaedeli Stark, Valérie Cosson, Sylvie Retout, Emilie Schindler, João A. Abrantes
{"title":"Simulation-based evaluation of the Pharmpy Automatic Model Development tool for population pharmacokinetic modeling in early clinical drug development","authors":"Zrinka Duvnjak,&nbsp;Franziska Schaedeli Stark,&nbsp;Valérie Cosson,&nbsp;Sylvie Retout,&nbsp;Emilie Schindler,&nbsp;João A. Abrantes","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13213","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13213","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Pharmpy Automatic Model Development (AMD) tool automates the building of population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models by utilizing a systematic stepwise process. In this study, the performance of the AMD tool was assessed using simulated datasets. Ten true models mimicking classical popPK models were created. From each true model, dataset replicates were simulated assuming a typical phase I study design—single and multiple ascending doses with/without dichotomous food effect, with rich PK sampling. For every dataset replicate, the AMD tool automatically built an AMD model utilizing NONMEM for parameter estimation. The AMD models were compared to the true and reference models (true model fitted to simulated datasets) based on their model components, predicted population and individual secondary PK parameters (SP) (AUC<sub>0-24</sub>, <i>c</i><sub>max</sub>, <i>c</i><sub>trough</sub>), and model quality metrics (e.g., model convergence, parameter relative standard errors (RSEs), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC)). The models selected by the AMD tool closely resembled the true models, particularly in terms of distribution and elimination, although differences were observed in absorption and inter-individual variability components. Bias associated with the derived SP was low. In general, discrepancies between AMD and true SP were also observed for reference models and therefore were attributed to the inherent stochasticity in simulations. In summary, the AMD tool was found to be a valuable asset in automating repetitive modeling tasks, yielding reliable PK models in the scenarios assessed. This tool has the potential to save time during early clinical drug development that can be invested in more complex modeling activities within model-informed drug development.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1707-1721"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494917/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141999565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Indirect modeling of derived outcomes: Are minor prediction discrepancies a cause for concern? 衍生结果的间接建模:微小的预测差异是否值得关注?
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13219
John P. Prybylski
{"title":"Indirect modeling of derived outcomes: Are minor prediction discrepancies a cause for concern?","authors":"John P. Prybylski","doi":"10.1002/psp4.13219","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.13219","url":null,"abstract":"<p>It is often a goal of model development to predict data from which a variety of outcomes can be derived, such as threshold-based categorization or change from baseline (CFB) transformations. This approach can improve power or support multiple decisions. Because these derivations are indirectly predicted from the model, they are valuable tests for misspecification when used in visual or numeric predictive checks (V/NPCs). However, derived outcome V/NPCs (especially if primary or key secondary) are often overly scrutinized and held to an uncommon standard when comparing model predictions to point estimates, even if by conventional standards both the directly and indirectly modeled data are captured well. Here, simulations of directly modeled data were used to determine where apparent issues in V/NPCs of derived outcomes are expected. Two types of datasets were simulated: (1) a simple pre–post study and (2) pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic data from a dose-ranging study. A psoriasis exposure–response model case study was also assessed. V/NPCs were generated on the raw data, CFB data, and placebo-corrected CFB (dCFB) data, and binned summary statistics of the observed data for each trial were graded as being strongly or weakly supportive of a predictive model (within the interquartile range or the 95% central distribution of all simulated trials, respectively). In all cases, the strength of support in direct data V/NPCs was minimally related to that in derived outcome V/NPCs. There are myriad benefits to modeling the underlying data of a derived measure, and these results support caution in discarding adequate models based on overly strict derived measure predictive checks.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"13 10","pages":"1762-1770"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494822/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141975329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Characterization of mavacamten pharmacokinetics in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy to inform dose titration 确定肥厚型心肌病患者的马伐康坦药代动力学特征,为剂量滴定提供依据。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13197
Peter Chang, Vidya Perera, David H. Salinger, Samira Merali, Neelima Thanneer, Hyunmoon Back, Julie D. Seroogy, Daniel D. Gretler, Amy J. Sehnert, Maria Palmisano, Amit Roy
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