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Continuous synchronization of the Greenland ice-core and U–Th timescales using probabilistic inversion 利用概率反演实现格陵兰冰芯和 U-Th 时间尺度的连续同步化
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1415-2024
Francesco Muschitiello, Marco Antonio Aquino-Lopez
{"title":"Continuous synchronization of the Greenland ice-core and U–Th timescales using probabilistic inversion","authors":"Francesco Muschitiello, Marco Antonio Aquino-Lopez","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1415-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1415-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. This study presents the first continuously measured transfer functions that quantify the age difference between the Greenland ice-core chronology 2005 (GICC05) and the U–Th timescale during the last glacial period. The transfer functions were estimated using an automated algorithm for Bayesian inversion that allows inferring a continuous and objective synchronization between Greenland ice-core and East Asian summer monsoon speleothem data, and a total of three transfer functions were inferred using independent ice-core records. The algorithm is based on an alignment model that considers prior knowledge of the GICC05 counting error but also samples synchronization scenarios that exceed the differential dating uncertainty of the annual-layer count in ice cores, which are currently hard to detect using conventional alignment techniques. The transfer functions are on average 48 % more precise than previous estimates and significantly reduce the absolute dating uncertainty of the GICC05 back to 48 kyr ago. The results reveal that GICCC05 is, on average, systematically younger than the U–Th timescale by 0.86 %. However, they also highlight that the annual-layer counting error is not strictly correlated over extended periods of time and that within the coldest Greenland Stadials the differential dating uncertainty is likely underestimated by up to ∼13 %. Importantly, the analysis implies for the first time that during the Last Glacial Maximum GICC05 may overcount ice layers by ∼10 % – a bias possibly attributable to a higher frequency of sub-annual layers due to changes in the seasonal cycle of precipitation and mode of dust deposition to the Greenland Ice Sheet. The new timescale transfer functions provide important constraints on the uncertainty surrounding the stratigraphic dating of the Greenland age scale and enable an improved chronological integration of ice cores as well as U–Th-dated and radiocarbon-dated paleoclimate records on a common timeline. The transfer functions are available as a Supplement to this study.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141508143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
600 years of wine must quality and April to August temperatures in western Europe 1420–2019 1420-2019 年西欧 600 年葡萄汁质量和四月至八月的气温
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1387-2024
Christian Pfister, Stefan Brönnimann, Andres Altwegg, Rudolf Brázdil, Laurent Litzenburger, Daniele Lorusso, Thomas Pliemon
{"title":"600 years of wine must quality and April to August temperatures in western Europe 1420–2019","authors":"Christian Pfister, Stefan Brönnimann, Andres Altwegg, Rudolf Brázdil, Laurent Litzenburger, Daniele Lorusso, Thomas Pliemon","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1387-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1387-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. This study investigates the validity of wine must quality as an April-to-August temperature proxy between 1420 and 2019 based on expert ratings and quality measurements from Germany, Luxembourg, eastern France, and the Swiss Plateau. This is highly relevant as uncertainties remain on past climate variations during this period. The evidence was reviewed according to the best practice of historical climatology. Expert ratings tended to agree with Oechsle density measurements that gradually replaced them from the 1840s. A statistical model calibrated to predict wine must quality from climate data explains 75 % of the variance, underlining the potential value of wine must quality as a climate proxy. Premium crops were collected in years of early harvest involving high insolation during maturation, while poor crops resulted from very late harvests in cold and wet summers. An analysis of daily weather types for high- and low-quality years after 1763 shows marked differences. On a decadal timescale, the average quality was highest from 1470 to 1479, from 1536 to 1545, and from 1945 to 1954. Poor crops were collected in periods with prevailing cold and wet summers such as 1453 to 1466, 1485 to 1494, 1585 to 1614, 1685 to 1703, 1812 to 1821, and 1876 to 1936. In the period of enhanced warming after 1990, high quality became the rule.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141508142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A series of climate oscillations around 8.2 ka revealed through multi-proxy speleothem records from North China 通过华北多代岩浆记录揭示 8.2 ka 前后的一系列气候振荡
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1401-2024
Pengzhen Duan, Hanying Li, Zhibang Ma, Jingyao Zhao, Xiyu Dong, Ashish Sinha, Peng Hu, Haiwei Zhang, Youfeng Ning, Guangyou Zhu, Hai Cheng
{"title":"A series of climate oscillations around 8.2 ka revealed through multi-proxy speleothem records from North China","authors":"Pengzhen Duan, Hanying Li, Zhibang Ma, Jingyao Zhao, Xiyu Dong, Ashish Sinha, Peng Hu, Haiwei Zhang, Youfeng Ning, Guangyou Zhu, Hai Cheng","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1401-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1401-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The 8.2 ka event has been extensively investigated as a remarkable single event but rarely considered as a part of multi-centennial climatic evolution. Here, we present absolutely dated speleothem multi-proxy records spanning 9.0–7.9 ka from Beijing in North China, near the northern limit of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and thus sensitive to climate change, to provide evidence of the intensified multi-decadal climatic oscillations since 8.52 ka. Three extreme excursions characterized by inter-decadal consecutive δ18O excursions exceeding ±1σ are identified from 8.52 ka in our speleothem record. The earlier two are characterized by enriched 18O at ∼8.50 and 8.20 ka, respectively, suggesting a prolonged arid event, which is supported by the positive trend in δ13C values, increased trace element ratios, and lower growth rate. Following the 8.2 ka event, an excessive rebound immediately emerges in our δ18O and trace element records but moderate in the δ13C, probably suggesting pluvial conditions and nonlinear response of the local ecosystem. Following two similar severe droughts at 8.50 and 8.20 ka, the different behavior of δ13C suggests the recovering degree of resilient ecosystem responding to different rebounded rainfall intensity. A comparison with other high-resolution records suggests that the two droughts–one pluvial pattern between 8.52 and 8.0 ka is of global significance instead of being a regional phenomenon, and is causally linked to the slowdown and acceleration of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation that was further dominated by the freshwater injections in the North Atlantic.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sediment fluxes dominate glacial-interglacial changes in ocean carbon inventory: results from factorial simulations over the past 780,000 years 沉积通量主导冰川-间冰期海洋碳库存变化:过去 78 万年因子模拟的结果
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1754
Markus Adloff, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Frerk Pöppelmeier, Thomas F. Stocker, Fortunat Joos
{"title":"Sediment fluxes dominate glacial-interglacial changes in ocean carbon inventory: results from factorial simulations over the past 780,000 years","authors":"Markus Adloff, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Frerk Pöppelmeier, Thomas F. Stocker, Fortunat Joos","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1754","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1754","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations changed over ice age cycles due to net exchange fluxes between land, ocean, ocean sediments, atmosphere, and the lithosphere. Marine sediment and ice cores preserved biogeochemical evidence of these carbon transfers, which resulted from sensitivities of the various carbon reservoirs to climate forcing, many of which remain poorly understood. Numerical studies proved the potential of several physical and biogeochemical processes to impact atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> under steady-state glacial conditions. Yet, it is unclear how much they affected carbon cycling during transient changes of repeated glacial cycles, and what role burial and release of sedimentary organic and inorganic carbon and nutrients played. Addressing this uncertainty, we produced a simulation ensemble of various physical and biogeochemical carbon cycle forcings over the repeated glacial inceptions and terminations of the last 780 kyr with the Bern3D Earth system model of intermediate complexity including dynamic marine sediments. This ensemble allows for assessing transient carbon cycle changes due to these different forcings and gaining a process-based understanding of the associated carbon fluxes and isotopic shifts in a continuously perturbed Earth system. We present results of the simulated Earth system dynamics in the non-equilibrium glacial cycles and a comparison with multiple proxy time series. In our simulations the ocean inventory changed by 200–1400 GtC and the atmospheric inventory by 1–150 GtC over the last deglaciation. DIC changes differ by a factor of up to 28 between simulations with and without interactive sediments, while CO<sub>2</sub> changes in the atmosphere are at most four times larger when interactive sediments are simulated. Simulations with interactive sediments show no clear correlations between DIC or nutrient concentrations and atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> change, highlighting the likely need for multi-proxy analyses to understand global carbon cycle changes during glacial cycles in practice. Starting transient simulations with an interglacial geologic carbon cycle balance causes isotopic drifts that require several 100 kyr to overcome, and needs to be considered when designing spin-up strategies.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513627","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investigating similarities and differences of the penultimate and last glacial terminations with a coupled ice sheet–climate model 用冰盖-气候耦合模型研究倒数第二和最后一次冰川终结的异同
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-1365-2024
Aurélien Quiquet, Didier M. Roche
{"title":"Investigating similarities and differences of the penultimate and last glacial terminations with a coupled ice sheet–climate model","authors":"Aurélien Quiquet, Didier M. Roche","doi":"10.5194/cp-20-1365-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1365-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Glacial terminations are marked by a re-organisation of the different components of the climate system. In particular, rapid ice sheet disintegration leads to multiple complex feedback loops that are still poorly understood. To further investigate this aspect, we use here a fully coupled Northern Hemisphere ice sheet–climate model to perform numerical experiments of the last two glacial terminations. We show that even if the first-order climate trajectory is similar for the two terminations, the difference in terms of solar insolation leads to important changes for the ice sheet–climate system. Warmer temperatures during the penultimate termination are compatible with higher sea level during the last interglacial period with respect to the Holocene. We simulate a last interglacial Greenland contribution to sea level rise of about 2 m of sea level equivalent. We also simulate warmer subsurface Southern Ocean, compatible with an additional contribution from the Antarctic ice sheet. In addition, even without considering freshwater flux to the ocean resulting from ice sheet melting, the two terminations display different Atlantic overturning circulation sensitivity, this circulation being more prone to collapses during the penultimate termination. Finally, with additional sensitivity experiments we show that, for the two terminations, the Northern Hemisphere insolation is the main driver for the ice sheet retreat even if vegetation changes have also to be taken into account to simulate the full deglaciation. Conversely, even though it impacts the temperature, greenhouse gas concentration change alone does not explain the amplitude of ice sheet retreat and only modulates its timing.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"114 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141508144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sea Surface Temperature over the Bay of Bengal: A key driver for South Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall during past 31 kiloyears 孟加拉湾海面温度:过去 31 千年南亚夏季季风降雨的关键驱动因素
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1566
Thamizharasan Sakthivel, Prosenjit Ghosh, Ravi Bhushan, Harsh Raj, Ankur J. Dabhi, Ajay Shivam, Senthilnathan D
{"title":"Sea Surface Temperature over the Bay of Bengal: A key driver for South Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall during past 31 kiloyears","authors":"Thamizharasan Sakthivel, Prosenjit Ghosh, Ravi Bhushan, Harsh Raj, Ankur J. Dabhi, Ajay Shivam, Senthilnathan D","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1566","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1566","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Warmer Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Bay of Bengal (BoB) is crucial for driving deep atmospheric convection, facilitating low-level south-westerly winds, and enhancing moisture transport, thereby intensifying South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM) rainfall over South Asia. However, the specific impact of BoB SST on SASM rainfall during the Glacial-Interglacial periods remains poorly understood. In this study, we reconstructed SST and evaporation versus rainfall variability over the past 31 kiloyears by simultaneously analyzing the carbonate clumped isotopes and stable oxygen isotopic composition of surface-dwelling planktic foraminifera <em>Globigerinoides ruber</em> from the Central West BoB (CWBoB), a key moisture source region. Additionally, cloud cover index was inferred from the abundance ratio of planktic foraminifera <em>Globigerina bulloides</em> to <em>Neogloboquadrina dutertrei</em>. Our SST reconstruction reveals an 8 °C variability over the past 31 kyr, coinciding with shifts in the <em>G. bulloides to N. dutertrei</em> ratio during the Last Glacial period and deglaciation, suggesting SST regulation by variable cloud cover. The increase in SST from the Early Holocene is attributed to CO<sub>2</sub> radiative forcing. The stable oxygen isotope of seawater δ<sup>18</sup>O<sub>sw</sub> strongly aligns with a proxy record of SASM wind intensity, indicating that changes in wind patterns drive the variable evaporation versus rainfall dynamics over CWBoB. Furthermore, we examined the temporal variation in SASM continental runoff and rainfall to the Northern BoB (NBoB) by assessing changes in δ<sup>18</sup>O<sub>sw</sub> (∆<sup>18</sup>O<sub>sw</sub>), a proxy for Sea Surface Salinity (ΔSSS), between the NBoB and CWBoB. Our analysis revealed a significant relationship between SASM rainfall and SST in the CWBoB, indicating a sensitivity of 0.9±0.1 psu drop in ΔSSS across the NBoB per 1 °C rise in SST. These findings enhance our understanding of the relationship between CWBoB SST and SASM rainfall, highlighting the intricate dynamics of monsoon variability and paving the way for improved predictability of SASM rainfall patterns.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"34 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513626","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Orbital-scale climate dynamics impacts on Gzhelian peatland wildfire activity in the Ordos Basin 轨道尺度气候动力学对鄂尔多斯盆地格孜尔泥炭地野火活动的影响
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-20 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2024-42
Wenxu Du, Dawei Lv, Zhihui Zhang, Munira Raji, Cuiyu Song, Luojing Wang, Zekuan Li, Kai Cao, Ruoxiang Yuan, Yuzhuang Sun
{"title":"Orbital-scale climate dynamics impacts on Gzhelian peatland wildfire activity in the Ordos Basin","authors":"Wenxu Du, Dawei Lv, Zhihui Zhang, Munira Raji, Cuiyu Song, Luojing Wang, Zekuan Li, Kai Cao, Ruoxiang Yuan, Yuzhuang Sun","doi":"10.5194/cp-2024-42","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-42","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> The Carboniferous, an important coal-forming period in geological history, was characterized by extensive vegetation and high oxygen levels. Numerous wildfire evidence suggests that high frequency of wildfire occurred at that time, specifically in peatlands. However, the control mechanisms for changes in wildfire activity in peatlands during this period are still not clearly understood. In this study, evidence from the Gzhelian in the Ordos Basin, such as the inertinite/vitrinite (I/V) ratio, indicated the existence of different frequencies of wildfire activity at that time. The CaO/MgO and CaO/MgO • Al<sub>2</sub>O<sub>3</sub> climate indicators revealed that high-frequency wildfires mainly occur in warm and humid climates. Based on former age constraints, we deduced that orbital cycles (long eccentricity) controlled the climate influence on peatland wildfires during the Gzhelian. When eccentricity was high, abundant sunshine and frequent rainfall led to warmer and more humid peatlands. The latter environments were more favourable for vegetation development, leading to increased fuel loads, which in turn led to more frequent wildfires. Moreover, the Gzhelian global wildfire records, showed that evidence of wildfire during this period was mainly located in areas with abundant tropical vegetation, supporting the view that wildfire activity during this period was mainly controlled by the fuel loads. Although Hg could be produced by peatland wildfires, but our results show that Hg was mainly from frequent volcanic activity during this period.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"410 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141508145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Indo-Pacific Pollen Database – a Neotoma constituent database 印度洋-太平洋花粉数据库--Neotoma 成分数据库
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2024-44
Annika V. Herbert, Simon G. Haberle, Suzette G. A. Flantua, Ondrej Mottl, Jessica L. Blois, John W. Williams, Adrian George, Geoff S. Hope
{"title":"The Indo-Pacific Pollen Database – a Neotoma constituent database","authors":"Annika V. Herbert, Simon G. Haberle, Suzette G. A. Flantua, Ondrej Mottl, Jessica L. Blois, John W. Williams, Adrian George, Geoff S. Hope","doi":"10.5194/cp-2024-44","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-44","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> The Indo-Pacific Pollen Database (IPPD) is the brainchild of the late Professor Geoffrey Hope, who gathered pollen records from across the region to ensure their preservation for future generations of palaeoecologists. This noble aim is now being fulfilled by integrating the IPPD into the online Neotoma Palaeoecology Database, making this compilation available for public use. Here we explore the database in depth and suggest directions for future research. The IPPD comprises 226 fossil pollen records, most postdating 20 ka, but some extending as far back as 50 ka or further. Over 80 % of the records are Australian, with a fairly even distribution between the different Australian geographical regions, the notable exception being Western Australia, which is only represented by 3 records. The records are also well distributed in modern climate space, the largest gap being in drier regions due to preservation issues. However, many of the records contain few samples or have fewer than 5 chronology control points, such as radiocarbon, luminescence or Pb-210 for the younger sequences. Average sedimentation rate for the whole database, counted as years per cm, is 64.8 yr/cm, with 61 % of the records having a rate of less than 50 yr/cm. The highest sedimentation rate by geographical region occurs on Australia’s east coast, while the lowest rates are from the Western Pacific. Overall, Australia has a higher sedimentation rate than the rest of the Indo-Pacific region. The IPPD offers many exciting research opportunities, such as examination of human impact on regional vegetation, contrasting first human arrival and colonisation, and assessment of rates of vegetation change during the Holocene. Merging the IPPD into Neotoma also facilitates inclusion of data from the Indo-Pacific region into global syntheses.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Speleothem evidence for late Miocene extreme Arctic amplification – an analogue for near future anthropogenic climate change? 中新世晚期北极极端气候放大的岩浆证据--近未来人为气候变化的类比?
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1691
Stuart Umbo, Franziska Lechleitner, Thomas Opel, Sevasti Modestou, Tobias Braun, Anton Vaks, Gideon Henderson, Pete Scott, Alexander Osintzev, Alexandr Kononov, Irina Adrian, Yuri Dublyansky, Alena Giesche, Sebastian Breitenbach
{"title":"Speleothem evidence for late Miocene extreme Arctic amplification – an analogue for near future anthropogenic climate change?","authors":"Stuart Umbo, Franziska Lechleitner, Thomas Opel, Sevasti Modestou, Tobias Braun, Anton Vaks, Gideon Henderson, Pete Scott, Alexander Osintzev, Alexandr Kononov, Irina Adrian, Yuri Dublyansky, Alena Giesche, Sebastian Breitenbach","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2024-1691","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1691","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> The Miocene provides an excellent climatic analogue for near future anthropogenic warming, with atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations and global average temperatures similar to those projected for the coming century. However, the magnitude of Miocene Arctic warming remains unclear due to the scarcity of reliable proxy data. Here we use stable oxygen isotope and trace element analyses, alongside clumped isotope and fluid inclusion palaeothermometry of speleothems to reconstruct palaeo-environmental conditions near the Siberian Arctic coast during the late Tortonian (8.68 ± 0.09 Ma). Stable oxygen isotope records suggest warmer than present temperatures. This is supported by temperature estimates based on clumped isotopes and fluid inclusions giving mean annual air temperatures between +6.6 and +11.1 °C, compared with -12.3 °C today. Trace elements records reveal a highly seasonal hydrological environment. Our estimate of &gt;18 °C of Arctic warming supports the wider consensus of a warmer-than-present Miocene and provides a rare paleo-analogue for future Arctic amplification under high emissions scenarios. The reconstructed increase in mean surface temperature far exceeds those projected in fully coupled global climate models, even under extreme emissions scenarios. Given that climate models have consistently underestimated the extent of recent Arctic amplification, our proxy data suggest Arctic warming may exceed current projections. If Arctic warming by 2100 matches our late Miocene estimates, it would have large-scale impacts on global climate, including extensive thawing of Siberian permafrost – a vast fossil carbon store.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"73 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rapid topographic growth of the Diancang Shan, southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau since 5.0–3.5 Ma 青藏高原东南边缘滇苍山自 5.0-3.5 Ma 以来的快速地形增长
IF 4.3 2区 地球科学
Climate of The Past Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.5194/cp-2024-43
Chunxia Zhang, Haibin Wu, Xiuli Zhao, Yunkai Deng, Yunxia Jia, Wenchao Zhang, Shihu Li, Chenglong Deng
{"title":"Rapid topographic growth of the Diancang Shan, southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau since 5.0–3.5 Ma","authors":"Chunxia Zhang, Haibin Wu, Xiuli Zhao, Yunkai Deng, Yunxia Jia, Wenchao Zhang, Shihu Li, Chenglong Deng","doi":"10.5194/cp-2024-43","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2024-43","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> As a crucial geological, climatic, and ecological boundary in the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau (SEMTP), the topographic evolution of the Diancang Shan (DCS) remains unclear due to the lack of direct constraints on its paleoelevation. Here, we quantitatively reconstructed changes in annual mean temperature (<em>ANNT</em>) based on palynological data from the terrestrial Dasongping section (~7.6–1.8 Ma) in the Dali Basin, located at the northeastern margin of the DCS in Yunnan Province, China. Integrating the thermochronological data from the eastern and southern margins of DCS, we have clarified the paleotopographic evolution of DCS during this period: the paleoelevation of DCS likely exceeded 2000 meters above sea level (m a.s.l.) due to initial normal faulting at ~7.6 Ma, possibly comparable to the current average elevation (~2200 m a.s.l.) of surrounding Dali Basin region. Significant growth occurred between ~5.0 Ma and ~3.5 Ma, with at least ~1000 meters uplift gain in the northern segment and up to ~2000 meters in the southern segment of DCS, caused by the intensification of normal faulting activities. Finally, the northern segment of DCS reached the elevation of ~3500 m a.s.l. after ~1.8 Ma. Our findings suggest that the quantitively <em>ANNT</em> reconstruction, combined with thermochronological and sedimentary data, can significantly improve constraint on the paleotopographic evolution of DCS.","PeriodicalId":10332,"journal":{"name":"Climate of The Past","volume":"346 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141508146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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