{"title":"Model-based scenarios of EU27 electricity supply are not aligned with the perspectives of French, German, and Polish citizens","authors":"Georgios Xexakis, Evelina Trutnevyte","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With the European Green Deal, the European Union (EU27) aims to achieve an ambitious decarbonization of its electricity supply, while actively involving its citizens. Scenarios from energy and electricity sector models seek to inform this transition, although it is unclear to what extent these scenarios are aligned with the views of the citizens. In this study, four multi-organization, multi-model ensembles of existing electricity supply scenarios have been compiled for France, Germany, Poland, and the whole EU27 in 2035, leading to 612 scenarios in total. These scenarios were then compared with 601 preferred scenarios elicited from French, German, and Polish citizens in a survey with an interactive scenario tool. Results show that model-based and citizens’ preferred scenarios converged only on having moderate shares of onshore and offshore wind power and low shares of biomass and waste incineration. In contrast to the majority of model-based scenarios, most Polish and German citizens preferred a deeper decarbonization for their national electricity supply, while French citizens preferred a deeper denuclearization. Additionally, most citizens of all three countries used significant shares of solar photovoltaics and low shares of fossil fuels with carbon capture and storage, hence diverging from model-based scenarios. Similar patterns were found for the EU27 scenarios: many model-based scenarios included large shares of nuclear power, natural gas, and coal, while surveyed citizens preferred scenarios dominated by diverse renewable sources. European modelers should now quantify these missing scenarios so that the EU27 energy transition can be informed by modeling that is in line with citizens’ perspectives.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100031"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000150/pdfft?md5=7cfc7b635b5cce9c4dcbe25234a1249a&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000150-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91633972","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jethro Ssengonzi, Jeremiah X. Johnson, Joseph F. DeCarolis
{"title":"An efficient method to estimate renewable energy capacity credit at increasing regional grid penetration levels","authors":"Jethro Ssengonzi, Jeremiah X. Johnson, Joseph F. DeCarolis","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100033","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100033","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The wide scale deployment of variable renewable energy technologies (VREs) offers a pathway to decarbonize the electric grid. One challenge to reliably operating the grid is ensuring that sufficient generating capacity is available to meet demand at all hours. By determining an individual generator's contribution to resource adequacy based on its expected availability when power is needed, the capacity credit for these resources is estimated. The objective of this study is to quantify the contribution of VRE to resource adequacy as a function of VRE penetration, across several regions, technologies, and resources. A computational model was built using the effective load carrying capability (ELCC) method to calculate capacity credit values for regions spanning the contiguous United States. As the deployment of VRE increases, we show its marginal contribution to meeting peak load decreases, which in turn requires additional generating capacity to maintain reliability. In addition, a rapid approximation method is demonstrated to estimate solar and wind capacity credit, relying on the capacity factors during hours of peak net demand. We find that estimates with the lowest error relative to capacity credits calculated using the ELCC method occur using the average renewable resource capacity factors of the top net 10 demand hours, regardless of resource type. Using context-specific values for capacity credit can improve long-term decision making in generation capacity expansion, cultivating more economical long-term resource planning for deep decarbonization.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100033"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000174/pdfft?md5=102c07ce1d39ceb5181fff20e563a191&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000174-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90478400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An experimentation on the limits and potential of Renewable Energy Communities in the built city: buildings and proximity open spaces for energy decentralization","authors":"P. Marrone, I. Montella","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76697523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling electric vehicles’ uptake on the Greek islands","authors":"Eleni Zafeiratou, C. Spataru","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100029","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"210 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74055665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Model-based scenarios of EU27 electricity supply are not aligned with the perspectives of French, German, and Polish citizens","authors":"G. Xexakis, E. Trutnevyte","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89919505","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The reduction of CO2e emissions in the transportation sector: plug-in electric vehicles and biofuels","authors":"J. Moreira, S. Pacca, J. Goldemberg","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100032","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"137 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73494854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cleaner the better: Macro-economic assessment of ambitious decarbonisation pathways across Indian states","authors":"S. Joshi, Kakali Mukhopadhyay","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100027","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80766256","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
E. Jones, Sean Yaw, Jeffrey A. Bennett, Jonathan D. Ogland-Hand, Cooper Strahan, R. Middleton
{"title":"Designing Multi-Phased CO2 Capture and Storage Infrastructure Deployments","authors":"E. Jones, Sean Yaw, Jeffrey A. Bennett, Jonathan D. Ogland-Hand, Cooper Strahan, R. Middleton","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100023","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78585103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Sustainability of Decarbonizing the Grid: A Multi-Model Decision Analysis Applied to Mexico","authors":"Rodrigo Mercado Fernandez, E. Baker","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100020","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84277769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Comparative Study of AC and DC Public Electric Vehicle Charging Station Usage in Western Australia","authors":"Kai Li Lim, Stuart Speidel, T. Bräunl","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100021","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84052706","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}