Alvin Ming Kai See , Kamyar Mehranzamir , Shahabaldin Rezania , Negar Rahimi , Hadi Nabipour Afrouzi , Ateeb Hassan
{"title":"Techno-economic analysis of an off-grid hybrid system for a remote island in Malaysia: Malawali island, Sabah","authors":"Alvin Ming Kai See , Kamyar Mehranzamir , Shahabaldin Rezania , Negar Rahimi , Hadi Nabipour Afrouzi , Ateeb Hassan","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100040","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100040","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As a developing country, Malaysia has always faced the problem of rural electrification in its islands. Rural islands cannot be connected to the grid as it is economically not feasible due to the low number of residents. The high greenhouse gas emission of the diesel generator is unfavorable to the residents. This study aims to assess hybrid system implementation in a remote community on Malawali island in Sabah, Malaysia, to provide the lowest price of electricity. Four scenarios, including diesel generator (DG) (A), PV/WT/Battery/DG (B), PV/Battery/DG (C), and PV/WT/Battery (D), are developed. A Techno-economic analysis is carried out to determine the most competitive system. Emissions are also observed to choose the optimum system. Results show that scenario B, with the net present cost (NPC) of 188,814$ and the cost of energy (COE) of 0.198$/kWh, is reliable in delivering the electricity required while having a reasonable cost relatively low emission. Sensitivity analysis is also carried out with different parameters to examine its effects on the system's sustainability throughout its lifetime.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100040"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000241/pdfft?md5=83bd033aab5fb61c60de87b8888bcadc&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000241-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88297026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Climate uncertainty and technological innovation shape investments in renewable energy for small off-grid islands","authors":"Federico Giudici , Elisabetta Garofalo , Silvia Bozzi , Andrea Castelletti","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100036","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100036","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we propose a methodological framework for assessing the influence of climate uncertainty and technological innovation on renewable investments in small off-grid islands.</p><p>At the core of the framework, an energy system model calculates the system performance in terms of Present Value of Cost. Through reiterate simulation of the model under different system designs, including photovoltaic, wind turbines, and wave energy converters, and future scenarios, the framework allows to identify the key climate drivers and technological parameters of system performance, and the most robust investments. The framework is demonstrated in the case study of Ustica Island, Italy.</p><p>Results highlight wind speed as the key climate driver affecting system performance. The effects of technological innovation are instead strictly dependent on the technology considered and the level of risk aversion of the decision maker.</p><p>With respect to the technology competitiveness, photovoltaic is nowadays the most robust investment irrespective of the future uncertainty on natural resource availability and technological innovation. The competitiveness of wind and wave technologies is instead strictly affected by climate and technological uncertainty. Although wind technology is currently more competitive than wave, except for high-risk averse decision-makers, results show that the wave improvement estimated for 2030 and 2050 could make this technology an effective investment in the short/medium term. This suggests the importance of carefully deciding the timing of the investments reducing current investments in the wind for installing higher wave capacity in the future could in fact lead to more effective investments over the entire planning horizon.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100036"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000204/pdfft?md5=5baf469885e806749c64ed7a4319e0fb&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000204-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87670396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The sustainability of decarbonizing the grid: A multi-model decision analysis applied to Mexico","authors":"Rodrigo Mercado Fernandez , Erin Baker","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100020","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Mexico recognizes its vulnerability to the effects of climate change, including sea level rise, increasing average temperatures, more frequent extreme weather events and changes to the hydrological cycle. Because of these concerns Mexico has a vested interest in developing sustainable strategies for mitigating climate change as it develops its electricity grid. In this study, we use a set of sustainability criteria to evaluate a number of model-derived pathways for the electricity grid aimed at meeting Mexico's climate goals. We use a multi-step approach, combining pathways from multiple large scale global models with a detailed electricity model to leverage geographic information into our multi-criteria sustainability analysis. We summarize the overall ranking of each expansion plan with the use of the weighted sum method. We find that the expansion plans with more than 20% of energy coming from carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies tend to be less sustainable. While CCS technologies have low GHG emissions, they have high air pollution and water-use and require the development of extensive pipeline networks. In particular, these CCS characteristics pose concerns from an environmental justice perspective as high air pollution and water-use can significantly effect local communities: the plan with the most CCS has an extra 14 kg/GWh of weighted air pollution emissions and 199,000 liters/GWh of weighted water use compared to the plan with the most renewables. This analysis provides novel insights on tradeoffs that decisions makers must consider when looking at different sustainable development options to reach long term climate goals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100020"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000046/pdfft?md5=6b41a931f53e58ad3e163a4b7b3fc67c&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000046-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91633724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An experimentation on the limits and potential of Renewable Energy Communities in the built city: buildings and proximity open spaces for energy decentralization","authors":"P. Marrone, I. Montella","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Energy Transition commonly refers to changes during the time of a specific geographical unit, but rarely considers changes in the spatial organization of the energy system and how urban area, place and scale can shape it. Considering the geographies of a low-carbon energy transition means not only understanding and mapping the consequences of the policies implemented in a place, but also assuming some significant implications, such as the spatial differences of places and the interactions that take place within them at different scales, thus activating creative processes of change.</p><p>In this context, the paper explores the potentialities and limitations of decentralized energy production systems in urban environments. With the aim of implementing climate mitigation actions, it analyzes how the structure and the spatial organization of some different built-up urban districts in Rome can affect the configuration and the sizing of a decentralized renewable energy production system.</p><p>The results of the first analysis in the pilot cases of Testaccio, Balduina and Prima Porta show the impact of scale difference on the configuration of Renewable Energy Communities. Investigating how the organization of the built-up urban districts can influence the decentralized energy system, the paper highlights not only the supply of renewable energy but also the balance between demand and supply of energy for different local uses and the reciprocal role between buildings and proximity open spaces could have a key role in the urban energy transition process. Inevitably, this balancing act will depend on the specific characteristics of the urban patterns and, therefore, each urban landscape will condition the organization of the energy system.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100025"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000095/pdfft?md5=fcf72476b5cc28428f334bf9bc1bbd0d&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000095-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91633866","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Erick C. Jones Jr. , Sean Yaw , Jeffrey A. Bennett , Jonathan D. Ogland-Hand , Cooper Strahan , Richard S. Middleton
{"title":"Designing multi-phased CO2 capture and storage infrastructure deployments","authors":"Erick C. Jones Jr. , Sean Yaw , Jeffrey A. Bennett , Jonathan D. Ogland-Hand , Cooper Strahan , Richard S. Middleton","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100023","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mn>2</mn></msub></math></span> capture and storage (CCS) is a climate change mitigation strategy aimed at reducing the amount of CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mn>2</mn></msub></math></span> vented into the atmosphere by capturing CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mn>2</mn></msub></math></span> emissions from industrial sources, transporting the CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mn>2</mn></msub></math></span> via a dedicated pipeline network, and injecting it into geologic reservoirs. Designing CCS infrastructure is a complex problem requiring concurrent optimization of source selection, reservoir selection, and pipeline routing decisions. Current CCS infrastructure design methods assume that project parameters including costs, capacities, and availability, remain constant throughout the project’s lifespan. In this research, we introduce a novel, multi-phased, CCS infrastructure design model that allows for analysis of more complex scenarios that allow for variations in project parameters across distinct phases. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach with theoretical analysis and an evaluation using real CCS infrastructure data.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100023"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000071/pdfft?md5=f422e36d599ce0b33dcaf54d0c608bf8&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000071-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91633872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Model-based scenarios of EU27 electricity supply are not aligned with the perspectives of French, German, and Polish citizens","authors":"Georgios Xexakis, Evelina Trutnevyte","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With the European Green Deal, the European Union (EU27) aims to achieve an ambitious decarbonization of its electricity supply, while actively involving its citizens. Scenarios from energy and electricity sector models seek to inform this transition, although it is unclear to what extent these scenarios are aligned with the views of the citizens. In this study, four multi-organization, multi-model ensembles of existing electricity supply scenarios have been compiled for France, Germany, Poland, and the whole EU27 in 2035, leading to 612 scenarios in total. These scenarios were then compared with 601 preferred scenarios elicited from French, German, and Polish citizens in a survey with an interactive scenario tool. Results show that model-based and citizens’ preferred scenarios converged only on having moderate shares of onshore and offshore wind power and low shares of biomass and waste incineration. In contrast to the majority of model-based scenarios, most Polish and German citizens preferred a deeper decarbonization for their national electricity supply, while French citizens preferred a deeper denuclearization. Additionally, most citizens of all three countries used significant shares of solar photovoltaics and low shares of fossil fuels with carbon capture and storage, hence diverging from model-based scenarios. Similar patterns were found for the EU27 scenarios: many model-based scenarios included large shares of nuclear power, natural gas, and coal, while surveyed citizens preferred scenarios dominated by diverse renewable sources. European modelers should now quantify these missing scenarios so that the EU27 energy transition can be informed by modeling that is in line with citizens’ perspectives.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100031"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000150/pdfft?md5=7cfc7b635b5cce9c4dcbe25234a1249a&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000150-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91633972","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jethro Ssengonzi, Jeremiah X. Johnson, Joseph F. DeCarolis
{"title":"An efficient method to estimate renewable energy capacity credit at increasing regional grid penetration levels","authors":"Jethro Ssengonzi, Jeremiah X. Johnson, Joseph F. DeCarolis","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100033","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100033","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The wide scale deployment of variable renewable energy technologies (VREs) offers a pathway to decarbonize the electric grid. One challenge to reliably operating the grid is ensuring that sufficient generating capacity is available to meet demand at all hours. By determining an individual generator's contribution to resource adequacy based on its expected availability when power is needed, the capacity credit for these resources is estimated. The objective of this study is to quantify the contribution of VRE to resource adequacy as a function of VRE penetration, across several regions, technologies, and resources. A computational model was built using the effective load carrying capability (ELCC) method to calculate capacity credit values for regions spanning the contiguous United States. As the deployment of VRE increases, we show its marginal contribution to meeting peak load decreases, which in turn requires additional generating capacity to maintain reliability. In addition, a rapid approximation method is demonstrated to estimate solar and wind capacity credit, relying on the capacity factors during hours of peak net demand. We find that estimates with the lowest error relative to capacity credits calculated using the ELCC method occur using the average renewable resource capacity factors of the top net 10 demand hours, regardless of resource type. Using context-specific values for capacity credit can improve long-term decision making in generation capacity expansion, cultivating more economical long-term resource planning for deep decarbonization.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100033"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667095X22000174/pdfft?md5=102c07ce1d39ceb5181fff20e563a191&pid=1-s2.0-S2667095X22000174-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90478400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An experimentation on the limits and potential of Renewable Energy Communities in the built city: buildings and proximity open spaces for energy decentralization","authors":"P. Marrone, I. Montella","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100025","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76697523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling electric vehicles’ uptake on the Greek islands","authors":"Eleni Zafeiratou, C. Spataru","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100029","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"210 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74055665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Model-based scenarios of EU27 electricity supply are not aligned with the perspectives of French, German, and Polish citizens","authors":"G. Xexakis, E. Trutnevyte","doi":"10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2022.100031","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":101071,"journal":{"name":"Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89919505","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}