Abel Meza, Ibrahim Ari, Mohammed Al Sada, Muammer Koç
{"title":"Disruption of maritime trade chokepoints and the global LNG trade: An agent-based modeling approach","authors":"Abel Meza, Ibrahim Ari, Mohammed Al Sada, Muammer Koç","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100071","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Maritime chokepoints are key corridors in the global supply chain because they connect waterbodies, countries, and regions worldwide with few alternative routes. In case of closure (as the blockade of the Suez Canal in March 2021), the energy supply is substantially affected. Therefore, clear and safe passage through these chokepoints plays a critical role in energy transportation, global economy, and sustainable development. This study uses Agent-Based Modeling to develop an LNG market model and simulate the disruption of three main chokepoints: Panama Canal, Suez Canal / Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and Malacca Strait. After validating the computational model with the actual historical data, the model shows the chokepoints blockade effects on changing the LNG trade and exports from suppliers. The implications are immediate. In general, countries should work together to secure maritime trade routes, retain clear and safe maritime corridors, establish potential passages as alternatives to these chokepoints where possible, and decentralize LNG plants to have access from or to different maritime routes. Each importer should integrate their gas markets with pipelines networks, search for domestic gas resources, and diversify energy sources to decline energy dependency and gas imports from remote producing areas.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100071"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000211/pdfft?md5=f6cf0e29f3437c7c33de8d9e89fd4961&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000211-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72079993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"State-space TBATS model for container freight rate forecasting with improved accuracy","authors":"Ziaul Haque Munim","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100057","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100057","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000089/pdfft?md5=c4fa87a585614f08ae3789f59b30017f&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000089-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72080000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Langenus , M. Dooms , E. Haezendonck , T. Notteboom , A. Verbeke
{"title":"Modal shift ambitions of large North European ports: A contract-theory perspective on the role of port managing bodies","authors":"M. Langenus , M. Dooms , E. Haezendonck , T. Notteboom , A. Verbeke","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100049","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100049","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X21000368/pdfft?md5=26a803640e53ba1c438dbf21a69cad66&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X21000368-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72080133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"On the Feasibility of Speed Limits in Ocean Container Shipping","authors":"ManWo Ng","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100067","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X2200017X/pdfft?md5=05af1dfca7bb251217d3faa50b616200&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X2200017X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72113665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Asbjørn Lein Aalberg , Rolf Johan Bye , Peter Risberg Ellevseth
{"title":"Risk factors and navigation accidents: A historical analysis comparing accident-free and accident-prone vessels using indicators from AIS data and vessel databases","authors":"Asbjørn Lein Aalberg , Rolf Johan Bye , Peter Risberg Ellevseth","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100062","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000120/pdfft?md5=d427a62608d5fb801361ff84f989e812&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000120-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72079998","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
George Kapnissis , George K. Vaggelas , Helen C. Leligou , Apostolis Panos , Maria Doumi
{"title":"Blockchain adoption from the Shipping industry: An empirical study","authors":"George Kapnissis , George K. Vaggelas , Helen C. Leligou , Apostolis Panos , Maria Doumi","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100058","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100058","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000090/pdfft?md5=91a3effaf9f398f88d27f3bad7e18a33&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000090-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72079999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Revenue management in liner shipping: Addressing the vessel capacity challenge","authors":"Rune Møller Jensen, Mai Lise Ajspur","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100069","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000193/pdfft?md5=5a9e5242ad542e36597ff7562f7a5d8c&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000193-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72080005","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A novel approach to risk analysis of automooring operations on autonomous vessels","authors":"Junzhong Bao , Zixuan Yu , Yan Li , Xizhao Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100050","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100050","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000016/pdfft?md5=abc1e112b00d192c5d898644b06c96fc&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000016-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72080132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Marine insurance claims analysis using the Weibull and log-normal models: Compensation for oil spill pollution due to tanker accidents","authors":"Ringo Ho Fai Ching , Tsz Leung Yip","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100056","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100056","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000077/pdfft?md5=765aa7b67cfb89ce52161ceb1a179e1a&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000077-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72113662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Transport modelling of the ferry network in the aegean archipelagos and its airline alternatives: Analytics, visualisation, and insights","authors":"Fani Hatziioannidu , Amalia Polydoropoulou","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2022.100076","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2022.100076","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"3 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X22000260/pdfft?md5=8f7f461e3816aee3ab461844a5899fb2&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X22000260-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72113664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}