Maritime Transport Research最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
Predicting vessel speed in the Arctic without knowing ice conditions using AIS data and decision trees 使用AIS数据和决策树在不了解冰况的情况下预测北极的船只速度
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100024
Prithvi S Rao , Ekaterina Kim , Bjørnar Brende Smestad , Bjørn Egil Asbjørnslett , Anirban Bhattacharyya
{"title":"Predicting vessel speed in the Arctic without knowing ice conditions using AIS data and decision trees","authors":"Prithvi S Rao ,&nbsp;Ekaterina Kim ,&nbsp;Bjørnar Brende Smestad ,&nbsp;Bjørn Egil Asbjørnslett ,&nbsp;Anirban Bhattacharyya","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100024","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The vessel speed is one of the important parameters that govern safety, emergency, and transport planning in the Arctic. While previous studies have traditionally relied on physics-based simulations to predict vessel's speed in ice-covered waters, most have not fully explored data-driven approaches and powerful supervised machine learning tools to aid speed prediction. This study offers a perspective of applying supervised machine learning models to predict MV SOG using historical Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and <em>without</em> explicit knowledge of local ice conditions. This paper presents a case-study from the region of the Eastern Barents Sea and the Southern Kara Sea. We first analyzed the vessel traffic situation for the years 2017 and 2018, and then used this knowledge to build statistical models to predict vessel speeds. Finally, we evaluated the models’ performance on a test dataset from January 2019. Performance of three models (Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM) have been tested with a variety of date-time handling techniques, and data input mode being permuted to arrive at the most optimal model. The results demonstrate the ability of the models to predict the vessel's speed based on its geographical location, time of the year and other engineered features such as daylight information and route. With the proposed approach we were able to achieve mean absolute error 3.5 knots in average on a test dataset without explicit knowledge of local ice conditions around the vessel, with the majority of the errors being in the Kara Strait region and the Sabetta Channel.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100024"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100024","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72122408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Support of the speed decision in liner operation by evaluating the trade-off between bunker fuel consumption and reliability 通过评估舱内燃料消耗和可靠性之间的权衡来支持班轮运行中的速度决策
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100009
A. Graf von Westarp, C. Brabänder
{"title":"Support of the speed decision in liner operation by evaluating the trade-off between bunker fuel consumption and reliability","authors":"A. Graf von Westarp,&nbsp;C. Brabänder","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In liner container shipping, the optimization of bunker fuel costs and reliability can theoretically be achieved by steaming the distance in the available time at average, constant speed. However, in reality bunker fuel costs and reliability are mutually contradictory objectives. Due to incidents (e.g. technical problems on board of vessels, bad weather conditions, piracy) speed ups are necessary to arrive on schedule or at least to mitigate the delay. In this paper, a new approach to liner speed management is proposed. In order to manage the trade-off between bunker fuel consumption and reliability of services, a preventive buffer structure is built up to secure the schedule against delays. However, any analytical calculation of the structure and its effects can only be achieved with disproportionate effort. Therefore, a “discrete event simulation” is applied. Although a heuristic attempt does not provide the exact solution, reasonable and wide-ranged solutions are offered. Different decision alternatives are outlined, structured and tested to find appropriate speed profiles. For the evaluation of speed profiles three measures of reliability and deviation (<span><math><mi>α</mi></math></span>-reliability: ratio of punctual vessels [in%], <span><math><mi>β</mi></math></span>-deviation: average positive deviation from the schedule [in hours], <span><math><mi>γ</mi></math></span>-deviation: average negative deviation [in hours]) and costs are illuminated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100009"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100009","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72122410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Economic and environmental impacts of alternative routing scenarios in the context of China's belt and road initiative 中国“一带一路”倡议倡议背景下替代路线方案的经济和环境影响
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100030
Haider J , Sanchez Rodrigues V , Pettit SJ , Harris I , Beresford AKC , Shi Y
{"title":"Economic and environmental impacts of alternative routing scenarios in the context of China's belt and road initiative","authors":"Haider J ,&nbsp;Sanchez Rodrigues V ,&nbsp;Pettit SJ ,&nbsp;Harris I ,&nbsp;Beresford AKC ,&nbsp;Shi Y","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100030","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper provides an empirical study of combined land - ocean transport within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The analysis is based on primary data in each transport activity taking place between Yiwu and Madrid. Five scenarios are modelled using alternative transport routes. Optimal choices for multi-modal transport combinations with regards to both economic and environmental perspectives are identified. By investigating freight transport from Yiwu to Madrid using the Yixinou line, the results suggest that the BRI has significant potential to reduce the cost of freight transport from China to Europe.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100030"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100030","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72123971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Reflecting economic activity through ports: The case of Australia 通过港口反映经济活动:以澳大利亚为例
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100021
Jason Angelopoulos , Thomas Vitsounis , Persa Paflioti , Constantinos Chlomoudis , Ioannis Tsmourgelis
{"title":"Reflecting economic activity through ports: The case of Australia","authors":"Jason Angelopoulos ,&nbsp;Thomas Vitsounis ,&nbsp;Persa Paflioti ,&nbsp;Constantinos Chlomoudis ,&nbsp;Ioannis Tsmourgelis","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100021","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With approximately 85% of global trade moved by sea, the relationship between ports and the economy has become symbiotic. Identifying and tracking this relationship is sought by both port economics and port forecasting literature. Tackling both challenges -i.e., the ports-economy relationship and forecasting- at once, can only be pursued by data-driven factor models, through their ability to reduce the dimensionality of large cross sections of time series. We find fertile ground in applying, for the first time, a factor modeling approach to the Australian port sector by utilizing a disaggregate dataset of 2765 series representing national and regional port activity for 20 years. Through our model, we establish a quantifiable connection between ports and the economy and demonstrate their capacity in reflecting economic activity. We assess a rich lead-lag structure in our dataset and trace its cyclical properties. Using the same method, we compare the Australian and U.S port sectors, revealing insights on their structural differences. Finally, utilizing our model as a forecasting device, we report favorable short and mid-term forecasting performance against benchmarks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100021"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100021","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72122399","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Did the Panama Canal expansion benefit small U.S. ports? 巴拿马运河的扩建对美国的小型港口有利吗?
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100013
Jorge Medina , Jong-Ho Kim , EunSu Lee
{"title":"Did the Panama Canal expansion benefit small U.S. ports?","authors":"Jorge Medina ,&nbsp;Jong-Ho Kim ,&nbsp;EunSu Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study uses public data on U.S. container ports from 2000 to 2017 and a fixed effect model to investigate the indirect effect that the expansion of the Panama Canal may have had on the import volumes of relatively small ports in the Gulf and Atlantic coasts. The larger number of megaships going through the canal after its expansion increases the number of incoming containers for relatively large ports that are able to service these ships. This increase in traffic for large ports could indirectly affect the number of incoming containers for smaller ports depending on their proximity to these larger ports. Our results indicate that small ports close to a large port benefitted from the canal expansion, but only when they are very close. Examining broader definitions of proximity revealed that small ports that are much farther from a large port also benefitted from the expansion.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100013"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100013","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72107868","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Concentration analysis of container terminals in India 印度集装箱码头浓度分析
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100037
K. Chandrasekhar Iyer , V.P.S. Nihar Nanyam
{"title":"Concentration analysis of container terminals in India","authors":"K. Chandrasekhar Iyer ,&nbsp;V.P.S. Nihar Nanyam","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100037","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100037","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72122402","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
A comparative evaluation of market based measures for shipping decarbonization 基于市场的航运脱碳措施的比较评价
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100019
Harilaos N. Psaraftis, Thalis Zis, Sotiria Lagouvardou
{"title":"A comparative evaluation of market based measures for shipping decarbonization","authors":"Harilaos N. Psaraftis,&nbsp;Thalis Zis,&nbsp;Sotiria Lagouvardou","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100019","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview and discussion of potential Market Based Measures (MBMs) under the Initial IMO Strategy for the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships. In this context, some related developments are also seen as directly relevant, mainly in the context of the possible inclusion of shipping into the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). A comparative evaluation of maritime MBMs is made using the following criteria: GHG reduction effectiveness, compatibility with existing legal framework, potential implementation timeline, potential impacts on States, administrative burden, practical feasibility, avoidance of split incentives between ship-owner and charterer, and commercial impacts. The paper breaks down potential MBMs into the following classes: Bunker levy/carbon levy MBMs, ETS (global and/or EU ETS) MBMs and other MBM proposals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":"Article 100019"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100019","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72123976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 44
An updatable and comprehensive global cargo maritime network and strategic seaborne cargo routing model for global containerized and bulk vessel flow estimation 用于全球集装箱和散货船流量估计的可更新和全面的全球货运海运网络和战略海运货物路线模型
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100038
Wenjie Li , Ralph Pundt , Elise Miller-Hooks
{"title":"An updatable and comprehensive global cargo maritime network and strategic seaborne cargo routing model for global containerized and bulk vessel flow estimation","authors":"Wenjie Li ,&nbsp;Ralph Pundt ,&nbsp;Elise Miller-Hooks","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100038","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666822X21000290/pdfft?md5=2a6f880f183307880bfdc4a9960d9d54&pid=1-s2.0-S2666822X21000290-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72123977","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Empirical analysis of brain drain of Chinese seafarers: Reasons and countermeasures 中国海员人才流失的实证分析:原因及对策
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100035
Jia-qi Liu , Ying-en Ge , Yan Zhang
{"title":"Empirical analysis of brain drain of Chinese seafarers: Reasons and countermeasures","authors":"Jia-qi Liu ,&nbsp;Ying-en Ge ,&nbsp;Yan Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100035","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100035","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72107872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Step-wise stowage planning of roll-on roll-off ships transporting dangerous goods 危险货物滚装船分段配载规划
Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.martra.2021.100029
Beizhen Jia , Kjetil Fagerholt
{"title":"Step-wise stowage planning of roll-on roll-off ships transporting dangerous goods","authors":"Beizhen Jia ,&nbsp;Kjetil Fagerholt","doi":"10.1016/j.martra.2021.100029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100029","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100885,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Transport Research","volume":"2 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.martra.2021.100029","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72122407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信