Latin American Transport Studies最新文献

{"title":"A multivariate approach to assess the factors influencing the use frequency of sustainable urban transport modes","authors":"Gabriel Pereira Caldeira,&nbsp;Isabela Maciel Macedo,&nbsp;Cassiano Augusto Isler","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100047","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100047","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban travel behavior evolves over time in response to events that disrupt daily life, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, research on the factors influencing the use frequency of sustainable transport modes over time remains limited. This paper investigates the factors influencing the frequency of walking, cycling, and public transport use and their correlation between periods before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (2018–2022) in São Paulo, Brazil. A multivariate ordered Logit model is estimated, accounting for interdependencies between the frequencies of transport use. Walking and cycling have positive correlations with public transport use. Women and non-white people with lower education and income are less likely to cycle, while older people are more likely to never use active modes and public transport. Private car owners working or studying at home are less prone to use public transport and walking. The probability of public transport use and cycling decreased during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. In the opposite, the probability of walking frequently increased after the pandemic. Such evidence allows for developing policies to promote sustainable transport while managing disruptions at the urban level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100047"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145465265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Evaluation of the applicability of the predictive HSM method in signalized urban intersections in Colombia","authors":"Basilio Restrepo-Betancur,&nbsp;Víctor G. Valencia-Alaix","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100026","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100026","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rising number of traffic collisions in developing countries has sparked concern due to a lack of understanding and mitigating measures. To grasp their behavior and contribute to the quantitative assessment of road safety, the adaptation of predictive procedures for estimating the frequency and type of crashes, created in the United States and contained in the Highway Safety Manual (HSM), has been chosen. The applicability of these procedures in developing countries with different conditions depends on their adaptation to the environment, which is the objective of this work—to assess the applicability of the predictive method of the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) for urban intersections under conditions unique to Colombia. Signalized intersections in Medellín were selected, collecting data on crash occurrences, vehicular volumes, and geometric characteristics to create simulation scenarios to evaluate the applicability of the predictive method. Calibration Coefficients for the HSM's predictive method at three- and four-way intersections were calculated using the Crash Prediction Module (CPM) of the IHSDM software, concluding shortcomings in the application and transferability for Colombia and likely for other developing countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100026"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143224579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Spatial analysis of land use and land cover change and irregular settlements along BR-104, in Northeast Brazil","authors":"Erison Rosa de Oliveira Barros ,&nbsp;Mauricio Oliveira de Andrade ,&nbsp;Carlos Fabricio Assunção da Silva","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100041","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100041","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The study's objective is to conduct a spatial analysis of the relationship between changes in land use and land cover (LULC) in areas susceptible to irregular settlements along the right-of-way of the federal highway, BR-104 PE, located in the Northeast region of Brazil. By integrating MapBiomas data and the Social Vulnerability Index by IPEA from 2000 to 2010 and 2010–2018, the analysis predicts changes in high-risk zones for irregular occupations. The study examines spatial landscape modifications across different LULC classes using a tool to identify how land categories shift over time within QGIS’s Molusce module. Despite the topic’s urgency, academic assessments of such processes remain limited, reinforcing the need for further methodological innovation. Findings indicate that densely populated areas associated with housing deficits are more likely to experience an increase in informal settlements. Specifically, transforming urban and rural areas into irregular occupations along BR-104 right-of-way correlates with intensified human activity, elevated Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) scores, and the associated socioeconomic factors. Over ten years (2000–2010), the region lost about 35.64 km² of agricultural land while experiencing nearly 16.60 km² of irregular urban expansion. These shifts underscore the urgency of integrated land-use planning and targeted social policies to prevent the expansion of informal settlements in this context.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100041"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144711949","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Traffic education with a focus on experiences in basic education: A global literature review","authors":"Alex Mota dos Santos ,&nbsp;João Vitor Lima ,&nbsp;Lorena Furtado ,&nbsp;Letícia Gonçalves ,&nbsp;Carlos Fabricio Assunção da Silva","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100035","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100035","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The article aims to synthesize scientific production on traffic education worldwide, focusing on basic education. The methodology included a literature review from a bibliometric perspective, using R Software and the Biblioshiny website for document tracking, quantitative analyses, and a systematic perspective through qualitative document analysis. The results revealed a mapping of 347 documents from the Scopus database and 80 papers from the Web of Science database. After removing 54 duplicate documents, 373 papers produced between 1970 and 2024 were analyzed. From 2011 onwards, the growth consolidated, maintaining fluctuations at higher levels than those observed before this period. From a methodological perspective, 30.56 % of the articles present traffic education experiences with children in school environments. These articles analyze gamification, training, and behavioral patterns in safe crossings and circuits. They also explore children's risk perception and review materials such as manuals and textbooks used in traffic education. The remaining articles (69.44 % of the total analyzed) present analyses of driver and driving school student perceptions (risk behavior and attitudes) through questionnaires, accident data analysis, simulators for behavior analysis, and literature reviews. Traffic education is increasingly viewed not as an isolated initiative but as an ongoing and essential component of building a safe systems approach. However, evidence assessing its direct impact on crash reduction remains limited and inconclusive. This underscores the need for context-specific strategies to enhance traffic safety and integrate schoolchildren's education, driver awareness, and road infrastructure improvements. These findings highlight a growing but still fragmented body of research, with limited Latin American representation and a need for stronger empirical foundations. Continued efforts are needed to consolidate traffic education as a core pillar in road safety policy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100035"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143935233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Economic growth and the dynamic interplay of transport, ICT, FDI, and urbanization: Global evidence and implications for Latin America","authors":"BENSOLTANE Bassem","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100045","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100045","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;This study examines the interdependent effects of transport infrastructure, ICT, FDI, and urbanization on economic growth, with particular emphasis on Latin American countries. Using a dynamic panel of 63 countries from 2000 to 2021, we estimate a system of simultaneous equations via the GMM to capture direct, indirect, and bidirectional relationships. To contextualize the findings and account for structural heterogeneity, a second econometric analysis is conducted on a subsample of 14 Latin American countries, selected to reflect the region’s specific spatial and developmental characteristics. The empirical results underscore the central role of transport infrastructure in driving growth, especially in the Latin American context, where it exerts robust and statistically significant effects on GDP per capita (0.0385, p &lt; 0.05), FDI (2.7489, p &lt; 0.05), ICT (1.9904, p &lt; 0.01), and urbanization (0.3113, p &lt; 0.01). These findings demonstrate the multidimensional function of multimodal connectivity as a platform for inclusive development and position the study as a novel empirical contribution to the field of transportation economics. Similar dynamics are observed globally, reinforcing the enabling role of transport in fostering capital mobility, digital diffusion, and spatial integration. In parallel, ICT and FDI emerge as key drivers of economic performance. ICT significantly enhances GDP and FDI in Latin America (0.3896, p &lt; 0.01), although it is negatively associated with FDI at the global level (–1.7179, p &lt; 0.01), suggesting distinct regional trajectories. FDI itself has a consistently positive impact on GDP per capita across both samples, with a stronger magnitude observed in Latin American countries (0.0269, p &lt; 0.01) compared to the global average (0.0007, p &lt; 0.01). In contrast, the effects of urbanization diverge sharply from conventional expectations: rather than contributing positively to growth and investment, urbanization in Latin American countries is associated with significant negative effects on GDP per capita (–1.7713, p &lt; 0.01) and FDI (–10.3693, p &lt; 0.01). This counterintuitive outcome is likely explained by persistent structural constraints, including spatial inequality, underdeveloped infrastructure, and high levels of informality, which hinder the realization of agglomeration economies. Nonetheless, urbanization remains positively linked to ICT development (0.8015, p &lt; 0.01) and transport infrastructure (0.0601, p &lt; 0.05), indicating a more complex and context-specific role in shaping connectivity and innovation capacity. Finally, a range of control variables, including trade openness, industrialization, government expenditure, population growth, population density, and informality, also significantly influence outcomes, underscoring the importance of structural conditions in mediating development processes. Taken together, the study provides new region-specific empirical insights ","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100045"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145157269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Influence of slope on pedestrian access to public transportation systems","authors":"Pedro de Souza Coelho ,&nbsp;Leise Kelli de Oliveira ,&nbsp;Rodrigo Affonso de Albuquerque Nobrega","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100029","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100029","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The quality and accessibility to the public transportation system are essential for a sustainable and inclusive city. The location of bus stops, focusing on user walkability, becomes crucial for public transportation planning. The distances users are willing to walk may vary due to several local factors, such as extreme temperatures or steep slopes, and are specific to each city. In this context, this article explores the influence of terrain slopes on pedestrian access to the public transportation system. A proposed procedure considers the maximum distances that users would be willing to walk, with their effort weighted by the gradient of roadways to set the location of bus stops, ensuring equitable access to the public transportation system. The results of this procedure were compared with others previously reported in the literature. The comparison showed improvement in the areas served by public transportation. Furthermore, this methodology is adaptable to external factors and user behavior, making it functional in cities with distinct characteristics. It is a valuable tool for enhancing other indices and studies related to accessibility to public transportation systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100029"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143348323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Systematic analysis of vulnerability and resilience in road networks: A study of critical components and recent trends","authors":"João Evangelista Dantas dos Santos,&nbsp;Bruno Vieira Bertoncini","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100034","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100034","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The systematic literature review conducted addresses vulnerability in road networks, highlighting the relevance of this topic for urban mobility and the economy. The main findings of this review reveal that vulnerability is directly associated with concepts such as resilience, robustness, and reliability of road networks. The analyses indicate that vulnerability is not limited to physical failures in infrastructures but also includes disruptive events that impact the accessibility and recovery capacity of these networks. Through a bibliometric analysis of over 12,000 documents from three databases (SpringerLink, SCOPUS, and TRID), four primary keywords were identified: vulnerability, resilience, robustness, and reliability. For instance, the vulnerability of road networks was predominantly related to reduced accessibility in adverse event situations, underscoring the importance of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Resilience was frequently associated with the ability of networks to maintain functionality following disruptive events, while robustness was linked to the structural resistance of road infrastructure. Reliability, on the other hand, addressed the predictability of the transportation system, focusing on the consistency of travel times and the overall performance of the network. One of the central findings of the review is the increasing importance of considering vulnerability in future studies, given its connection to accessibility and the resilience of networks. This becomes crucial for urban planning and the formulation of public policies that promote sustainable and safe mobility. Furthermore, the study suggests that new approaches, such as the use of intelligent technologies and predictive analysis, may enhance vulnerability management and strengthen the resilience of road networks, contributing to a more robust and efficient infrastructure. Considering vulnerability is essential for developing road networks that are more resilient and capable of withstanding adverse events, ensuring effective mobility and minimizing economic impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100034"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143947678","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Public transport: Status and research priorities for Latin America and the Caribbean","authors":"Ricardo Giesen ,&nbsp;Darío Hidalgo ,&nbsp;Raúl Ramos","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100025","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100025","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Public transport is essential in advancing sustainable, equitable, and safe mobility. It is the primary transportation mode in Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC) cities, but it is facing a fast decline in favor of individual motorized modes, especially motorcycles. Improving public transport in LAC cities requires understanding local conditions, such as demographic changes, increase in older population, higher incomes, urban sprawl, environmental deterioration, and prevalent social exclusion. To identify research priorities, we reviewed selected academic papers published in the last ten years in the region and completed a consultation among transport researchers in LAC. The review indicates that researchers in the LAC region have concentrated on researching public transport reforms, on social aspects, like accessibility, equity, and inclusion, on demand, behavior, and user perceptions of public transport, on emissions, externalities, and new technologies. This review suggests that multiple aspects require further analysis to improve quality of public transport services and reduce social, environmental, and financial impacts. We complemented this review with consultation with academics participating in the regional transport research conference PANAM STR. Participants identified key research topics and their priorities. Topics include, in order of importance: valuation of externalities; operating business models; safety; new methods for collecting information in cities lacking data; governance in public transport systems; last mile connectivity; electro-mobility; modal integration, reallocation of road space for sustainable mobility modes; inclusion of informal services; and improving labor conditions for transportation workers. A subjective valuation of the opportunity for these topics (short, medium, long term) and the impact of de-carbonization was provided.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100025"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143144882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Temporal transferability of a microsimulation activity-based model: An application in Chile","authors":"Víctor Allendes ,&nbsp;Juan Antonio Carrasco ,&nbsp;Eric J. Miller ,&nbsp;James Vaughan","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100043","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100043","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban transport policies in the Global South mostly use traditional trip-based models to replicate and predict individuals' travel in different urban contexts. Given their aggregate nature, they are limited when applied at a more disaggregated scale, contrasting with activity-based models, especially microsimulation-based models, which have been used mainly in the Global North, with few applications in Latin America. In addition, there is a critical need to add empirical evidence to understand the models' temporal transferability, which involves their capability to predict future travel behavior based on estimations with data collected in the present. This paper reports on the replicability and temporal transferability of an activity-based model in Chile. The objective is to understand the challenges of applying these models in these contexts for policy usefulness. The applicability of the model TASHA (Travel Activity Scheduler Household Agent) is studied in two stages: replication and prediction of activities and trips for a base year and temporal transferability of previously estimated parameters to a future year. The model uses trip-based information from conventional travel surveys in a mid-size Chilean city. The exercise provides valuable proof of the principle of several arguments about the advantages of activity-based models such as TASHA. First, the study shows the model's ability to capture current and future behaviour despite data and context limitations. Second, the model supports the analysis of activities in addition to trips, providing a more in-depth assessment of travel behaviour. Finally, and more importantly, the focus on activities, such as end times, brings the opportunity to incorporate a broader range of policies than those traditionally studied in transport.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100043"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144865560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Consumer attitudes towards retailers’ operational response to COVID-19: Empirical analysis of Colombian grocery chains","authors":"Johanna Amaya ,&nbsp;Trilce Encarnación","doi":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100028","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latran.2025.100028","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents analyses of consumers’ experiences and sentiments concerning operational initiatives implemented by grocery retailers during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Drawing from Grounded Theory (GT) and Construal Level Theory (CLT), Instagram posts and comments from grocery chains in Colombia were analyzed to capture the operational initiatives implemented by these retailers and consumer attitudes toward them, during the crisis. The analysis of the unstructured data shows that grocery retailers went beyond government mandates to continue operating, showing their flexibility and ability to adapt to challenging conditions. Consumers had a better attitude towards initiatives that were presented as beneficial instead of restrictive, for which consumers expressed negative sentiment. Moreover, consumers had the best experience and perceptions of Limited Assortment Retailers compared to other retailer types as consumers became more conscious of their expenses during the crisis and responded to appeals related to their culture and concerns. Furthermore, we were able to see consumers’ sentiments change during the analyzed period as a result of retailers’ new initiatives or innovative ways of offering their products and services. The paper closes with recommendations for grocery retailers to ensure the best results when implementing initiatives in times of crisis that would impact consumer experiences.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100868,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Transport Studies","volume":"3 ","pages":"Article 100028"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143145377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}