{"title":"Mapping coastal resilience: a Gis-based Bayesian network approach to coastal hazard identification for Queensland’s dynamic shorelines","authors":"Ahmet Durap","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00060-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00060-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Coastal regions worldwide face increasing threats from climate change-induced hazards, necessitating more accurate and comprehensive vulnerability assessment tools. This study introduces an innovative approach to coastal vulnerability assessment by integrating Bayesian Networks (BN) with the modern coastal vulnerability (CV) framework. The resulting BN-CV model was applied to Queensland's coastal regions, with a particular focus on tide-modified and tide-dominated beaches, which constitute over 85% of the studied area. The research methodology involved beach classification based on morphodynamic characteristics, spatial subdivision of Queensland's coast into 78 sections, and the application of the BN-CV model to analyze interactions between geomorphological features and oceanic dynamics. This approach achieved over 90% accuracy in correlating beach types with vulnerability factors, significantly outperforming traditional CVI applications. Key findings include the identification of vulnerability hotspots and the creation of detailed exposure and sensitivity maps for Gold Coast City, Redland City, Brisbane City, and the Sunshine Coast Regional area. The study revealed spatial variability in coastal vulnerability, providing crucial insights for targeted management strategies. The BN-CV model demonstrates superior precision and customization capabilities, offering a more nuanced understanding of coastal vulnerability in regions with diverse beach typologies. This research advocates for the adoption of the BN-CV approach to inform tailored coastal planning and management strategies, emphasizing the need for regular reassessments and sustained stakeholder engagement to build resilience against climate change impacts.</p><p>Recommendations include prioritizing adaptive infrastructure in high-exposure areas like the Gold Coast, enhancing flood management in Brisbane, improving socio-economic adaptive capacity in Redland, and maintaining natural defences in Moreton Bay. This study contributes significantly to the field of coastal risk management, providing a robust tool for policymakers and coastal managers to develop more effective strategies for building coastal resilience in the face of climate change.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00060-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142410922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jun Cheng, Ping Wang, Elizabeth Royer, Dallas Ragusa, Shalini Katwal, Cecilia Limon Nocelo
{"title":"Effects of nourished beach morphology on storm response","authors":"Jun Cheng, Ping Wang, Elizabeth Royer, Dallas Ragusa, Shalini Katwal, Cecilia Limon Nocelo","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00058-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00058-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Field observations on storm induced beach changes are important to improve our effort on beach management. This study compared storm induced beach changes caused by hurricane Hermine in 2016 (4 years after a beach nourishment) and Tropical Storm Eta in 2020 (2 years after a beach renourishment) along the barrier-island coast of west-central Florida. Pre-Eta beach were 1 to 2 times wider than that of pre-Hermine. Since Hurricane Hermine and TS Eta generated a similar hydrodynamic condition for the study site, comparing beach changes induced by these two storms provides a unique opportunity to investigate the response of different antecedent beach conditions to energetic events. The shore protection effect of beach nourishment is apparently evidenced by the fact that post-Eta shoreline was located seaward of those post-Hermine at half of the beach-profile locations in the study area. The shore protection effect in the subaerial portion of the beach, however, is not obvious for the other half of beach profiles where shoreline positions were retreated to similar locations after these two storms. Instead, their shore protection effect occurred in the sub-aqueous portion of the beach and was indicated by higher sandbar crests located closer to the shoreline, which can dissipate and reduce incoming wave energy. The shoreline elevation needs to be properly defined (Mean High Water vs Mean Low Water line) as it is used as a proxy to represent beach volume loss. For Hermine induced beach change, no significant correlation exists between MHW line change and beach volume loss. While a significant correlation exists between MHW line change and beach volume loss induced by TS Eta. This correlation pattern switched if the shoreline here is defined as mean low water line. For efficient beach/shoreline management, multiple proxies (e.g., sandbar height and location of its crest and trough) in addition to shoreline change should be used to assess the performance of beach nourishment project.\u0000</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00058-6.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142415256","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yi You Wong, Choon Weng Lee, Chui Wei Bong, Joon Hai Lim, Ching Ching Ng, Kumaran Narayanan, Edmund Ui Hang Sim, Ai-jun Wang
{"title":"Environmental factors that regulate Vibrio spp. abundance and community structure in tropical waters","authors":"Yi You Wong, Choon Weng Lee, Chui Wei Bong, Joon Hai Lim, Ching Ching Ng, Kumaran Narayanan, Edmund Ui Hang Sim, Ai-jun Wang","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00054-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00054-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><i>Vibrio</i> spp. is a group of heterotrophic bacteria that are ubiquitous in marine habitats, with various ecological and clinical importance. This study investigated the environmental factors that regulate <i>Vibrio</i> spp. dynamics in various tropical marine habitats, including nearshore (an estuary and a coastal beach) and offshore transects located northwest and southeast of Peninsular Malaysia, while focusing on the distribution of attached and free-living <i>Vibrio</i> spp., population growth, and community composition. The results showed that > 85% of the <i>Vibrio</i> spp. in nearshore waters occurred in attached form and correlated positively to total suspended solids (TSS) and Chlorophyll <i>a</i> (Chl <i>a</i>) concentrations. On the other hand, <i>Vibrio</i> spp. growth rates were positively correlated to dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations, but negatively correlated to total bacterial counts, likely due to resource competition. In addition, high-throughput sequencing of 16S rRNA V3-V4 region showed that <i>Vibrio</i> spp. in these tropical waters contributed < 1 − 18% of the whole bacterioplankton community, and the six major <i>Vibrio</i> spp. taxa were <i>V. alginolyticus</i> group, V<i>. brasiliensis, V. caribbeanicus, V. hepatarius</i> group, <i>V. splendidus</i> group and <i>V. thalassae</i>. db-RDA (cumulative variance explicated = 93.53%) further revealed the influence of TSS, DOC, and dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) to the <i>Vibrio</i> spp. community profiles. The study highlighted the importance of suspended solids (TSS and Chl <i>a</i>) and dissolved organic nutrients (DOC and DON) towards <i>Vibrio</i> spp. dynamics in tropical marine waters.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00054-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142412323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Arkar Myo, Oluwafemi Ajayi, Fei Huang, Yongxu Cheng, Jiayao Li
{"title":"Valuation of ecosystem service of rice-fish coculture in Maubin District, Myanmar","authors":"Arkar Myo, Oluwafemi Ajayi, Fei Huang, Yongxu Cheng, Jiayao Li","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00053-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00053-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In Myanmar, the advancement of the integrated rice-fish farming system legs behind rice monoculture farming, and there exists limited awareness of its advantages. Ecosystem services (ES) valuation plays a crucial role in integrated environmental decision-making, promoting sustainable agriculture practices, facilitating land-use planning, and ensuring food security in rural areas. Assessing the ES value in Delta region of Myanmar where rice-fish coculture is extensively practiced is essential for understanding the level of ES benefits derived from this farming system. The objective of this study is to promote the development of the rice-fish coculture system in delta region by estimating its ES value. We conducted a comprehensive examination of the Direct, Indirect, Option and Existence ES value of the rice-fish and rice monoculture in Maubin District, an area where rice-fish development research is being actively carried out within the delta region. The results revealed that the ES value of rice-fish coculture ecosystems in the study area was amounted to 28,588 US$/hm<sup>2</sup>/year. This value was 2.82% higher than rice monoculture system. Additionally, the rice-fish coculture system yielded product provisional values averaging 1,275 US$/hm<sup>2</sup>/year, representing a significant increase of 40.3% compared to rice monoculture farming. Our study shows that the adoption of rice-fish coculture farming system not only improves the ES value of the delta region, but also supports food security and socio-economic well-being. Furthermore, it provides valuable insights for policymakers on effective management policies for future development of the rice-fish coculture ecosystem.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00053-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142415034","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Scientific basis, engineering feasibility and system optimization of green sea dykes for temperate mud coasts: a brief overview","authors":"Qian Yu, Jianjun Jia, Shu Gao","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00052-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00052-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Green sea dykes, also known as ecosystem-based sea dykes, represent a novel type of coastal defense consisting of both traditional structural engineering and coastal ecosystems, designed to cope with the future trends of sea level rise and intensified storms. Here we focus on the mid-latitude mud coasts (eastern China in particular), which face the most prominent risks of storm surge, storm-induced giant waves, and shoreline erosion, and summarizes the scientific basis of green sea dykes and the current status of engineering practices. We show that the basic mechanisms of nearshore wave energy dissipation include bottom friction, sediment transport, and form drag. These explain the wave damping capacity of oyster reefs and salt marshes on mud coasts. In tidal flat environments, oyster growth increases frictional resistance and even causes wave breaking; the resuspension and transport of fine-grained sediments on salt marsh beds and the movement or resistance to hydrodynamic forcing of salt marsh vegetation stems effectively dissipate wave kinetic energy, and their efficiency increases with the elevation of the bed surface. Based on the wave damping capacity of oyster reefs and salt marshes on mud coasts, ecosystem-based sea dykes are being built in combination with traditional structured sea dykes. By utilizing natural tidal flats outside the dykes or implementing artificial modification projects, a certain scale of salt marshes and/or oyster reefs can be maintained, which serve to protect the sea dykes and enhance their wave resistance functions. From the perspective of system optimization, it is necessary to further improve the efficiency and sustainability of green sea dykes under constraints such as regional environment characteristics, ecosystem health, investment capacity, and ecological resilience. Related scientific issues include the theorization of the wave damping process of salt marshes, the niche and scale control of oyster reef and salt marsh ecosystems, the establishment of engineering standards and the design of the optimal form of sea dykes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00052-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142411566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Investigating the drivers of urban cover-collapse sinkholes in shanghai: analyzing dominant factors and proposing mitigation strategies","authors":"Bing Li, Hanmei Wang, Hang Tang","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00051-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00051-z","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Urban cover-collapse sinkholes pose a significant global challenge due to their destructive impacts. Previous studies have identified groundwater fluctuations, subsurface soil conditions, pipeline leakage, precipitation, and subterranean construction activities as key contributors to these phenomena. However, unique geological settings across different urban environments lead to variations in the primary factors influencing sinkhole formation. This study focuses on Shanghai, a city notable for its extensive urbanization and rich historical context, to explore the dynamics of sinkholes within urbanized areas worldwide. We employ spatial analysis and statistical methods to examine data on sinkholes recorded in the past two decades in Shanghai, correlating these events with the city’s shallow sand layer, ground elevation, and proximity to surface water. Our goal is to identify the dominant factors governing sinkhole occurrence in Shanghai and to lay the groundwork for their effective scientific management and prevention. Key findings indicate that most sinkholes in the area are associated with a thin shallow sand layer, low to moderate ground elevations, and the absence of nearby rivers. Additionally, many sinkholes correlate with subterranean voids within the confined aquifer beneath the cohesive soil layer. The lack of historical river channels, obscured by urban development, also indirectly contributes to sinkhole formation. We recommend enhancing urban river management and drainage systems to mitigate potential damage from water accumulation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00051-z.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141927688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Tidal dynamic response to riverbed evolution in the Yangtze River Estuary","authors":"Yufang Han, Bingke Dai, Hongwei Ding","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00050-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00050-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Since 1958, there have been significant changes in the Yangtze River estuary. Due to extensive reclamation and construction of ports and channels, the water area has drastically decreased, resulting in corresponding changes in hydrodynamics and riverbeds at the mouth of the river. According to the analysis of measured topographic data and Delft3D-FLOW model for seven typical historical periods since 1958 at the Yangtze River Estuary, this study investigates the characteristics of riverbed evolution and tidal flow dynamics. From 1958 to 2019, driven by strong human activities, the total area of the Yangtze River Estuary decreased from 2084 km<sup>2</sup> to 1403 km<sup>2</sup>, with a decrease of 32.7%, while the total volume of the corresponding river channel changed slightly and remained stable. Compared with 1958, the volume of the Yangtze River Estuary in 2019 only increased by 345 million m<sup>3</sup>, with an increase of about 4.1%. The tidal dynamic change of the Yangtze Estuary is closely related to the riverbed evolution of each reach, which not only shapes the estuary landform, but also is affected by the riverbed evolution. Tidal level, tidal range and water area change are closely related. With the decrease of water area in the Yangtze River Estuary, tidal range tends to increase. Tidal prism change is closely related to channel volume. In the past 60 years, the tidal volume at the mouth of the Yangtze River has decreased by 8%. The research findings will provide technical support for enhancing flood control and tide resistance measures at the Yangtze River Estuary, as well as formulating comprehensive management plans for estuaries, contributing to the protection and sustainable development of the Yangtze River Estuary.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00050-0.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141829987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Umakanta Pradhan, Subrat Naik, Pravakar Mishra, Uma Sankar Panda, M. V. Ramana Murthy
{"title":"Sediment distribution and transport pattern in the nearshore region, southeast coast of India","authors":"Umakanta Pradhan, Subrat Naik, Pravakar Mishra, Uma Sankar Panda, M. V. Ramana Murthy","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00049-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00049-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The present paper aimed to assess the sediment distribution pattern, mode of transport, and its interaction with hydrodynamic and topographic conditions at different depths and regions along the east coast of India. About 900 surficial sediment samples were collected and analysed on a monthly basis for the Chennai coastal region at 32 stations from 2013 to 2015. The study region is classified into four types, such as beach, inlet, 5 m, and 10 m depth. Sediment textural and grain size trend analyses were conducted to achieve the objectives. Sediment characteristics for the region were recorded as sandy, equally dominated by unimodal and bimodal at the beach, while unimodal at shallow depths (5 and 15 m). The sediments were medium sand to coarse sand at the beach, mostly fine followed by medium at 5 and 15 m depths. The sediment sorting is dominated by moderately well-sorted sediments; the skewness of beach sediments was negative, while nearshore sediments were found positive; average kurtosis values of sediments were noticed to be mesokurtic. The CM plot depicts that the sediments were mostly derived by tractive current, and the modes of transport are “bottom suspension and rolling” and “graded suspension no rolling” at beach locations and shallow water depths, respectively. The GSTA analysis reveals the annual average sediment transport pattern is northerly. The numerical hydrodynamic study confirms the GSTA and CM plot analysis. The study reveals a stable sedimentary environment south of the Chennai port and instability in the northern part. The study includes large spatiotemporal nearshore sediment data with hydrodynamic conditions, immensely helpful to coastal stakeholders and researchers.\u0000</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00049-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141644533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
André Pardal, Ronaldo Adriano Christofoletti, Aline Sbizera Martinez
{"title":"Urbanisation on the coastline of the most populous and developed state of Brazil: the extent of coastal hardening and occupations in low-elevation zones","authors":"André Pardal, Ronaldo Adriano Christofoletti, Aline Sbizera Martinez","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00048-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00048-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Worldwide, coastlines have been replaced and altered by hard infrastructures to protect cities and accommodate human activities. In addition, human settlements are common and increasing in lowland areas threatened by coastal risk hazards. These urbanisation processes cause severe socioeconomic and ecological losses which demand policy reforms towards better coastal management and climate resilience. A first step in that direction is to comprehend the status of coastal hardening and occupation of vulnerable areas. Here, we mapped the coastline of the most populous and developed state of Brazil: São Paulo (SP). Our goal was to quantify the linear extent of natural habitats, artificial structures (AS), and occupations in low-elevation coastal zones (≤ 5 m) within 100 m from marine environments (LECZ<sub>100m</sub>) along the coastline and within estuaries. SP coast has a total extent of 244 km of AS, of which 125 and 119 km correspond to AS running along the coastline (e.g., seawalls, breakwaters) and extending from the shoreline into adjacent waters (e.g., jetties, pontoons, groynes), respectively. 63% of the total extent of AS is located in the most urbanised region. Breakwalls were the most common infrastructure (108 km), followed by jetties and wharves (~40 km each), and aquaculture and fishing apparatus (~24 km). Over 300 km of the SP coastline has inland occupations in LECZ<sub>100m</sub>: 235 and 67 km are adjacent to sandy beaches and estuarine/river margins, respectively. Coastal hardening is advanced in the central region of SP resulting from intense port activities and armoured shorelines. In other regions, much of coastal urbanisation seems to be driven by secondary usage of the cities, such as real estate development for beach houses and tourism. Our findings suggest that coastal urbanisation poses a major but often neglected source of environmental impact and risk hazards in SP and Brazil.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00048-8.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142413907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Regina Asariotis, Isavela N. Monioudi, Viktoria Mohos Naray, Adonis F. Velegrakis, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Luc Feyen
{"title":"Climate change and seaports: hazards, impacts and policies and legislation for adaptation","authors":"Regina Asariotis, Isavela N. Monioudi, Viktoria Mohos Naray, Adonis F. Velegrakis, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Luc Feyen","doi":"10.1007/s44218-024-00047-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44218-024-00047-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Seaports are critical for global trade and development but are at risk of climate change-driven damages, operational disruptions and delays with extensive related economic losses. The aim of the present contribution is to (a) provide an overview of the main impacts of climate variability and change (CV&C) on ports; (b) present recent research on trends and projections involving the main climatic factors/hazards affecting global ports; (c) provide an analytical overview of emerging international and regional policies and legislation relevant to port risk assessment and resilience-building under climate change; and (d) consider issues and areas for further action. As shown by projections under different climatic scenarios and timelines, many global ports will increasingly be exposed to significantly growing hazards under increasing CV&C, including extreme sea levels (ESLs), waves, and extreme heat events. Depending on scenario (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) by 2050, 55% to 59% of the 3630 global ports considered could face ESLs in excess of 2 m above the baseline mean sea levels (mean of the 1980–2014 period); by 2100, between 71% and 83% of ports could face ESLs of this magnitude. Ports in most tropical/sub-tropical settings will face the baseline (mean of the 1976 – 2005 period) 1-in-100 year extreme heat every 1 – 5 years, whereas with 3 <sup>o</sup>C global warming, most global ports (except some in higher latitudes) could experience the baseline 1-in-100 years extreme heat event every 1 – 2 years. A range of policy and legal instruments to support climate change adaptation, resilience-building and disaster risk reduction have been agreed internationally as well as at regional levels. At the EU level, relevant legal obligations and related normative technical guidance aimed at ensuring the climate proofing of new infrastructure are already in place as a matter of supra-national law for 27 EU Member States. These could significantly enhance levels of climate-resilience and preparedness for ports within the EU, as well as for EU funded port projects in other countries, and may serve as useful examples of good practices for other countries. However, further action is needed to advance and accelerate the implementation of effective adaptation measures for ports across regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100098,"journal":{"name":"Anthropocene Coasts","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44218-024-00047-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142412282","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}