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Refined crop modelling reveals intensifying impacts of droughts and heatwaves on global wheat productivity. 精细的作物模型显示,干旱和热浪对全球小麦产量的影响正在加剧。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-10-08 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01432-y
Yuchuan Luo, Zhao Zhang, Juan Cao, Jichong Han, Qiang Tang, Jonas Jägermeyr, Fulu Tao
{"title":"Refined crop modelling reveals intensifying impacts of droughts and heatwaves on global wheat productivity.","authors":"Yuchuan Luo, Zhao Zhang, Juan Cao, Jichong Han, Qiang Tang, Jonas Jägermeyr, Fulu Tao","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01432-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-026-01432-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Extreme weather events, including heatwaves and droughts, are becoming more frequent and intense, yet their impact on crop productivity remain highly uncertain. Here we jointly improve the structure and parameterization of a crop model to enhance its ability to reproduce climate impacts on global wheat productivity at 10-km resolution. Compared with a multimodel ensemble, the improved parameterization increases model skill by 30%, 20% and 7% in simulating global wheat yield losses from droughts, heatwaves and their compound events, respectively, during 1981-2015. Over the same period, the improved modelling reveals global average wheat yield losses of 9.7%, 5.8% and 13.3% caused by droughts, heatwaves and their compounds, respectively. Further analysis underscores that irrigation represents an effective adaptation option to offset these adverse impacts; however, such countervailing effects has markedly weakened over time with disaster intensifying. Our framework enhances crop models' ability to assess the impacts of extreme weather on global crop productivity, supporting climate-risk assessment and the development of effective adaptation strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149139958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Zero hunger is not achievable without peace. 没有和平就无法实现零饥饿。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-29 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01439-5
Halvard Buhaug, Paola Vesco
{"title":"Zero hunger is not achievable without peace.","authors":"Halvard Buhaug, Paola Vesco","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01439-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-026-01439-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149083582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Armed conflict accelerates cropland loss and food insecurity worldwide. 武装冲突加剧了全世界的耕地损失和粮食不安全。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-24 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01436-8
Guangdong Li, Wei Qi, Siao Sun, Xiaoping Liu, Zhenbo Wang
{"title":"Armed conflict accelerates cropland loss and food insecurity worldwide.","authors":"Guangdong Li, Wei Qi, Siao Sun, Xiaoping Liu, Zhenbo Wang","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01436-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43016-026-01436-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Armed conflict is an escalating threat to global food security yet its impact on cropland dynamics is poorly understood at global scale. Here we combine annual high-resolution cropland maps (2000-2020) with more than 460,000 conflict events across 155 countries to assess how armed conflicts affect cropland loss and food security. By 2020, conflict-exposed areas within 5 km of conflict events covered only 3% of global land but contained 6% of global cropland, indicating disproportionate exposure of agricultural land to conflict. Difference-in-differences estimates show that conflict exposure caused an average annual cropland loss of 14.46 ha per buffer-year and a 3% decline in cropland area. Losses were greatest in West Africa, Eastern Africa and Southeast Asia. Spatial matching analyses further indicate 23.7% greater cropland loss in conflict-affected areas than in comparable non-conflict areas. Preventing these losses could have supplied dietary energy sufficient for 255.54 million people annually.</p>","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149043074","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On-package claims are imperfect signals of overall nutritional quality. 包装上的声明是整体营养质量的不完美信号。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-24 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01435-9
Pei Zhou, Yuqing Zheng, Harry M Kaiser, Miguel I Gómez
{"title":"On-package claims are imperfect signals of overall nutritional quality.","authors":"Pei Zhou, Yuqing Zheng, Harry M Kaiser, Miguel I Gómez","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01435-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43016-026-01435-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>On-package claims, including Minus, Plus, Natural and Functional claims, are widely used to communicate nutritional or health-related benefits. Using data on newly launched US food and beverage products from the Mintel Global New Products Database and the UK nutrient profiling model (NPM), we assessed how well these claims signal overall nutritional quality. While products with claims are often associated with more favourable nutrient profiles at the market level, this pattern is inconsistent across claim types and product categories. In particular, food products carrying trans fat claims and beverages carrying sodium claims often exhibit poorer overall nutritional quality than those without the claims. Component analyses suggest potential reformulation trade-offs and selective signalling. Moreover, even when products carrying claims have more favourable nutrient profile scores, many remain classified as 'less healthy' under the NPM. These findings indicate that attribute-based claims are imperfect signals of overall nutritional quality, with important implications for food labelling policy and consumer decision-making.</p>","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149043045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Food packaging claims need to be earned. 食品包装声明需要获得。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-24 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01442-w
Belen Beltramo
{"title":"Food packaging claims need to be earned.","authors":"Belen Beltramo","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01442-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-026-01442-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149043081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The attainable potential of agricultural solutions 农业解决方案的可实现潜力
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01437-7
{"title":"The attainable potential of agricultural solutions","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01437-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43016-026-01437-7","url":null,"abstract":"As the range of agricultural technological solutions expands, questions emerge about how to assess their technical potential under differing local conditions and what that means for food security.","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":"7 9","pages":"815-816"},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-026-01437-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149011645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Large nutritional and environmental improvements can be achieved across the product portfolios of major UK food and beverage manufacturers 在英国主要食品和饮料制造商的产品组合中,可以实现巨大的营养和环境改善。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-16 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01420-2
Eleanor Hammond, Lauren Bandy, E. J. Milner-Gulland, Rachel Pechey, Mike Rayner, Peter Scarborough, Shruti Jain, Michael Clark
{"title":"Large nutritional and environmental improvements can be achieved across the product portfolios of major UK food and beverage manufacturers","authors":"Eleanor Hammond,&nbsp;Lauren Bandy,&nbsp;E. J. Milner-Gulland,&nbsp;Rachel Pechey,&nbsp;Mike Rayner,&nbsp;Peter Scarborough,&nbsp;Shruti Jain,&nbsp;Michael Clark","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01420-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43016-026-01420-2","url":null,"abstract":"Food and beverage (F&amp;B) manufacturers can support or hinder the transition towards a more sustainable food system. Yet, there is limited evidence about their potential to improve the nutritiousness and reduce the environmental impact of the F&amp;B sector. Here we develop an approach to estimate the nutritional quality and environmental impact of the product lines of 44 major F&amp;B manufacturers in the UK. We find considerable variation in terms of nutritional quality and environmental impacts across manufacturers operating within the same food retail category and within existing F&amp;B product portfolios. We identify how changing the types of product sold by these manufacturers offers potential for nutritional and environmental benefits. For some of the F&amp;B manufacturers assessed, changes to 10% or less of their product line could deliver more than half of the potential gains in nutritional quality or sustainability. Food and beverage manufacturers have the potential to contribute to the transition towards a more nutritious and sustainable food system. By analysing products sold by 44 major food and beverage manufacturers in the UK, this study identifies how, and to what extent, changes to product portfolios could improve the healthiness of food products while reducing their environmental impact.","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":"7 9","pages":"857-868"},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-026-01420-2.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148984414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Remote sensing, fairness and institutional capacity in European agricultural governance 遥感、公平和欧洲农业治理的机构能力。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-10 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01427-9
Yeying Zhou, Andrea Fiorini, Michele Croci, Xiaotong Tang, Davide Cammarano
{"title":"Remote sensing, fairness and institutional capacity in European agricultural governance","authors":"Yeying Zhou,&nbsp;Andrea Fiorini,&nbsp;Michele Croci,&nbsp;Xiaotong Tang,&nbsp;Davide Cammarano","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01427-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43016-026-01427-9","url":null,"abstract":"Institutional and structural barriers limit the effective use of remote sensing in European Union agricultural governance, constraining its potential to enable fair, resilient and environmentally sound farming practices. We outline financial, academic and policy reforms to address these barriers, linking satellite observation with local knowledge systems and institutional accountability.","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":"7 9","pages":"820-822"},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148932237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Author Correction: Governance and resilience as entry points for transforming food systems in the countdown to 2030. 作者更正:治理和复原力是2030年倒计时期间粮食系统转型的切入点。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-10 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01438-6
Kate R Schneider, Roseline Remans, Tesfaye Hailu Bekele, Destan Aytekin, Piero Conforti, Shouro Dasgupta, Fabrice DeClerck, Deviana Dewi, Carola Fabi, Jessica A Gephart, Yuta J Masuda, Rebecca McLaren, Michaela Saisana, Nancy Aburto, Ramya Ambikapathi, Mariana Arellano Rodriguez, Simon Barquera, Jane Battersby, Ty Beal, Christophe Béné, Carlo Cafiero, Christine Campeau, Patrick Caron, Andrea Cattaneo, Jeroen Candel, Namukolo Covic, Inmaculada Del Pino Alvarez, Ana Paula Dominguez Barreto, Ismahane Elouafi, Tyler J Frazier, Alexander Fremier, Pat Foley, Christopher D Golden, Carlos Gonzalez Fischer, Alejandro Guarin, Sheryl Hendriks, Anna Herforth, Maddalena Honorati, Jikun Huang, Yonas Getaneh, Gina Kennedy, Amos Laar, Rattan Lal, Preetmoninder Lidder, Getachew Legese Feye, Brent Loken, Hazel Malapit, Quinn Marshall, Kalkidan A Mulatu, Ana Munguia, Stella Nordhagen, Danielle Resnick, Diana Suhardiman, U Rashid Sumaila, Bangyao Sun, Belay Terefe Mengesha, Maximo Torero Cullen, Francesco N Tubiello, Corné van Dooren, Isabel Valero Morales, Jose-Luis Vivero-Pol, Patrick Webb, Keith Wiebe, Lawrence Haddad, Mario Herrero, Jose Rosero Moncayo, Jessica Fanzo
{"title":"Author Correction: Governance and resilience as entry points for transforming food systems in the countdown to 2030.","authors":"Kate R Schneider, Roseline Remans, Tesfaye Hailu Bekele, Destan Aytekin, Piero Conforti, Shouro Dasgupta, Fabrice DeClerck, Deviana Dewi, Carola Fabi, Jessica A Gephart, Yuta J Masuda, Rebecca McLaren, Michaela Saisana, Nancy Aburto, Ramya Ambikapathi, Mariana Arellano Rodriguez, Simon Barquera, Jane Battersby, Ty Beal, Christophe Béné, Carlo Cafiero, Christine Campeau, Patrick Caron, Andrea Cattaneo, Jeroen Candel, Namukolo Covic, Inmaculada Del Pino Alvarez, Ana Paula Dominguez Barreto, Ismahane Elouafi, Tyler J Frazier, Alexander Fremier, Pat Foley, Christopher D Golden, Carlos Gonzalez Fischer, Alejandro Guarin, Sheryl Hendriks, Anna Herforth, Maddalena Honorati, Jikun Huang, Yonas Getaneh, Gina Kennedy, Amos Laar, Rattan Lal, Preetmoninder Lidder, Getachew Legese Feye, Brent Loken, Hazel Malapit, Quinn Marshall, Kalkidan A Mulatu, Ana Munguia, Stella Nordhagen, Danielle Resnick, Diana Suhardiman, U Rashid Sumaila, Bangyao Sun, Belay Terefe Mengesha, Maximo Torero Cullen, Francesco N Tubiello, Corné van Dooren, Isabel Valero Morales, Jose-Luis Vivero-Pol, Patrick Webb, Keith Wiebe, Lawrence Haddad, Mario Herrero, Jose Rosero Moncayo, Jessica Fanzo","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01438-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-026-01438-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148932264","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Food social security as a new proposal to reshape the food system 粮食社会保障作为重塑粮食体系的新提案。
IF 24.7
Nature food Pub Date : 2026-09-09 DOI: 10.1038/s43016-026-01426-w
Raj Patel, Gaëtan Vanloqueren
{"title":"Food social security as a new proposal to reshape the food system","authors":"Raj Patel,&nbsp;Gaëtan Vanloqueren","doi":"10.1038/s43016-026-01426-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43016-026-01426-w","url":null,"abstract":"A bold proposal to re-embed food systems under democratic control, and within planetary boundaries, uses a long tradition of social security in francophone Europe. Beginning as a grassroots initiative, food social security and the right to food have since made parliamentary advances in France, Belgium and Switzerland, while a first pilot now runs in Spain. The proposal offers lessons for food system reform well beyond Europe.","PeriodicalId":94151,"journal":{"name":"Nature food","volume":"7 9","pages":"829-831"},"PeriodicalIF":24.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148922275","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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