World futures review最新文献

{"title":"Design & Society: Design as a Force for Behavioral Change at Scale in Kazakhstan","authors":"Noteh Krauss","doi":"10.1177/19467567221095179","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567221095179","url":null,"abstract":"Through an examination of the relationship of politics and aesthetics this paper challenges outdated human-centered modes of design in order to offer a new framework—Design & Society—which accounts for the role that politics, ideologies, systematic relationships, context and narratives play and have played in shaping the lived reality of past, contemporary and future life. Through a deep examination of the politico-design economy of Astana (since renamed Nur-Sultan) championed by former president of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev this paper peels back the strategic layers for the creation of Astana. Relevant to designers, policy-makers, futurists, business interests, and those studying the urban environment in general as well the nation of Kazakhstan in particular, this paper unravels the layers of history, demographic pressures, and geopolitical posturing that have intentionally placed Astana as a force changing Kazakh society forever by causing behavioral change at scale. This paper outlines a three-stage process of creation: conceptualization, materialization, and realization to track the design process of Astana and its effects at large on a personal level for millions of Kazakhs. In the conceptualization stage, the paper tracks the motivators from the past, the present considerations and future goals for the design of Astana. In the materialization stage, the threads are weaved together into the architecture of the three most prominent buildings in the Kazakh Capital: The Palace of Peace and Accord, Khan Shatyr Shopping Center and Baiterek tower. In the realization stage, the impact on the individuals of Kazakhstan is considered. Through this study, the dance of Design & Society and the ever evolving impact of one onto the other is presented as a key lens for all future studies of design.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"49 1","pages":"117 - 132"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90666674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The World Future Day Method: A 24-hour Round-The-World Global Discussion","authors":"Mara Di Berardo","doi":"10.1177/19467567221090539","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567221090539","url":null,"abstract":"The World Future Day is a 24-h round-the-world global conversation about the futures and represents a new kind of futures method. Launched for the first time by the Millennium Project in 2014, it is an open large-scale global participatory discussion among self-selected future-oriented people from around the world. The work introduces the main characteristics of the WFD method, the protocol of analysis, first considerations about its strengths and weaknesses, and the main results of the 2021 application on March 1. The results are reported in form of suggestions and solutions aggregated in clusters and macro-clusters related to some of the global challenges facing humanity and set a common agenda for further discussion.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"517 1","pages":"165 - 179"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80162978","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Skills Technology Foresight in Practice: The Case of the Atlas of New Professions of Kazakhstan","authors":"Sayasat Nurbek, Yerbol Sagatov, J. A. Sweeney","doi":"10.1177/19467567221104897","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567221104897","url":null,"abstract":"In order to meet the demands of building a workforce prepared to confront 21st century challenges, Kazakhstan initiated a national project guided by the International Labor Organization’s (ILO) efforts to bridge the gap between educational systems and the labor market. The “Atlas of New Professions of Kazakhstan” utilizes a Skills Technology Foresight methodology developed originally by the SKOLKOVO Education Development Center in partnership with the ILO. This article reflects not only on key results of the project but also on the process of engaging a wide array of stakeholders on the impacts and implications of new and emerging technologies as well as some of the methodological implications of engaging in such work. Outcomes from this project have ramifications for national labor and education policy with specific attention as to how students and families can make future-oriented career choices.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"40 1","pages":"106 - 116"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86503161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Social Futuring, Modern and Ancient","authors":"Z. Szántó, John D. Mueller","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2022.2059305","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2022.2059305","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article reviews and compares two approaches to the new, holistic, and multidisciplinary concept “Social Futuring,” which are expressed in two indices based on this concept, entitled the “Social Futuring Index” and the “Human Flourishing Index” (HFI). Broadly speaking, the Social Futuring Index is indebted to the broader context of modern social sciences, while the Human Flourishing Index attempts to update the scholastic moral philosophy, which was based primarily on the insights of Aristotle and Augustine, as combined by Thomas Aquinas (hence the HFI was previously called the “AAA Index”). Finally, we present the key elements of both indices and their measurement for individual countries from a comparative perspective.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"74 1","pages":"267 - 296"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85813409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Afterword","authors":"F. Devji","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2022.2052707","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2022.2052707","url":null,"abstract":"To read Ziauddin Sardar’s autobiographical writings, all characterized by a deep sense of irony, is to obtain a ringside seat at the spectacle of Islam’s globalization. For they show us that Zia was both a participant in one of the great historical phenomena of our times, and yet a curiously detached observer of its progress as well. A number of the contributors to this special issue dwell on this aspect of Zia’s career, when he “surfed” Islamic groups and movements in Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. But it was Britain that stood at the center of Islam’s globalization from the 1980s, bringing as it did students, exiles, and other visitors from all over the Muslim world together with immigrant populations. Perhaps the first truly global demonstration of this hitherto subterranean process occurred in 1989, with the Rushdie Affair for which Britain was a crucial site. Despite his deep engagement with this and other events in Islam’s globalization, however, Zia could not be more different from its conventional representatives. In Britain these included figures ranging from institution-builders like Kalim Siddiqui and his Muslim Parliament to Tim Winter and his Cambridge Muslim College, by way of polemicists like Shabbir Akhtar and even extremists like Anjem Choudhary and Omar Bakri Muhammad. All, like the list of contributors to this issue, are unsurprisingly and disappointingly men. Iftikhar Malik suggests that Zia differed from such Muslim intellectuals, activists, and religious entrepreneurs because he refused to be ghettoized even by an ostensibly outward-reaching project like the “Islamization of knowledge,” which sought to appropriate contemporary scholarship for Islam. Unlike his peers, rivals, and enemies in the Muslim circles linking London or Bradford to backwaters like Mirpur and Sylhet as much as to great cities like Cairo and Tehran, Zia always had an","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"19 1","pages":"268 - 272"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90158156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Editorial on Ziauddin Sardar Festschrift","authors":"Christi-Lynn Jones","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2022.2050162","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2022.2050162","url":null,"abstract":"Our reality, notes Ziauddin Sardar, is increasing postnormal, where much of what we have taken for granted has lost its significance, or become irrelevant. Postnormal times, a neologism invented by Sardar so aptly describes the era that we inhabit. It is also a theory of change that seeks to understand the changing nature of change, and provide tools for navigating or turbulent epoch. As our times burst into postnormality, Sardar stands in the middle of the accelerating global forces of change, the devolution of democracy, global pandemic, and unfolding climate catastrophes. Readers of this Festschrift will see that he is many things: polymath, media figure, writer and thinker, futurist, and father. He is also a planetary citizen–not satisfied with naming a new era, and creating a new theory, postnormal times–he continues to advocate for transnormal futures: more diverse, positive, hopeful, and wise futures. Sardar casts a long shadow, has traveled far and wide, and has contributed significantly to theology, global Islam, futures studies and research, epistemology, and cultural studies, particularly as a critic of postmodernism. I must confess that while I have been acquainted with him for more than three decades, and consider myself his friend, it is only recently that I grasped what a remarkable person he is. Helping give birth to this special issue has only deepened my respect and admiration for the depth and scope of his life’s work. I had a cloistered view of him from futures studies and am beginning to see the bigger picture. I thank the contributors for celebrating his body of writing and thought. This special issue is intended to be a classic Festschrift, presented on his 70th birthday, to honor the work and inspiration given to others by Ziauddin Sardar (hereafter Zia). It is not a eulogy, but an engagement with, and celebration of, the man and his work, unapologetically incomplete given the breadth and scope of his work over the years. This is presumably only the first Festschrift given how much of his work and influence are still untouched here and that he is still very active and continues to breathe life into critical futures studies and Islamic thought. Readers new to his corpus of writing will want to sample Zia’s extensive body of work, that now extends to over 50 books, hundreds of articles, and media. He continues to lead Critical Muslim as Editor, and is the Director of Center for Postnormal Policy and Futures Studies, the network he established to develop and promote postnormal times theory. I came to know Zia through the lens of futures studies. His writing and thinking in the 1990s was aligned with the critical, normative futures studies’ philosophy of Jim Dator and the “Manoa School.” I was particularly impressed","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"36 1","pages":"79 - 86"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82915428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Hypernormal Films for Postnormal Times: The Documentary Dance of Adam Curtis","authors":"Boyd Tonkin","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2022.2051996","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2022.2051996","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Since the early 1990s, documentary filmmaker Adam Curtis has created landmark, multi-episode series for the BBC that explore the emotional and social impact of change in dominant forms of power, communication and control. Together, his ambitious visual essays compose a secret history of technology-driven modernity, as a managerial model of radical individualism governed by data-gathering and surveillance replaces traditional mass politics. This process, which Curtis calls “hypernormalisation,” has affinities with the conception of “postnormal times” developed by Ziauddin Sardar. However, the two visions differ in significant ways, while Curtis’s analysis shows signs of evolving as flaws emerge in the stable systems his work foregrounds.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"513 1","pages":"243 - 255"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77454898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Spirituality and Suffering","authors":"N. Dahanayake","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2022.2050341","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2022.2050341","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Could spirituality help free us from suffering in an increasingly secularized and secularizing world? If spirituality can help us toward this goal, are we talking of merely individual spirituality, or is there room for collective spirituality, and so for activism? To answer we consider the historical significance of spirituality, and its meaning(s) in contemporary society, focusing on the growing interest in “secular” spirituality. Such “secular spiritualities” differ from traditional religious spiritualities in that they neither invoke, nor rest on, an “external” or transcendent supernatural foundation. We consider broadly Marxist, Buddhist and Existentialist spiritualities.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"78 1","pages":"311 - 338"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79260347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Organismic Health in Planetary Emergency Health Situations: A Transdisciplinary Salutogenic Approach","authors":"F. Panico, Abraham Puga-Olguín, E. Vargas‐Madrazo","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2022.2059306","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2022.2059306","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The topic of the health as a planetary affair is returned dramatically to the limelight in the public debate due to the current COVID-19 emergency. The lockdowns imposed almost worldwide have undoubtedly had the beneficial effect of limiting infections, but at the same time generating a civilizational collapse. This Policy brief is an invitation to action addressed to policy makers and health professionals to improve the physical, mental and spiritual (systemic) vitality of the person (salutogenesis) through the application of the Health Circles and + Immunity method, an approach inspired by Integrative-Systemic Medicine and salutogenic transdisciplinary approach.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"69 1","pages":"533 - 545"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86442308","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Major Transitions in Human Evolutionary History","authors":"M. Stuart-Fox","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2021.2018646","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2021.2018646","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Eörs Szathmáry and John Maynard Smith famously argued that the evolution of life on earth has been marked by a series of transitions to greater complexity, the last being from primate to human societies. I argue that this last transition, covering all of human evolutionary history, in turn comprises two phases: the first defined by increases in the capacity of the human brain/mind to structurally integrate causal inferences and selectively apply them to construct increasingly sophisticated sociocultural niches; the second defined by manipulation of the universal Darwinian mechanisms driving sociocultural evolution. During the first phase, hominin cognitive structure passed through three key transitions to produce the brain/mind of archaic Homo sapiens. The fourth transition, to fully modern Homo sapiens sapiens equipped with symbolic cognition and language, marks the fulcrum that leveraged the second phase in which changes in the scope and rate of niche construction were primarily driven by manipulation of sociocultural evolutionary mechanisms. The fifth transition to sedentary living enabled new selection pressures to be exerted through the concentration and application of social power, while the sixth transition multiplied the cognitive variation available to construct more elaborate sociocultural niches. Finally I note that decreasing intervals between transitions creates a pattern of accelerating sociocultural change.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"20 1","pages":"29 - 68"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87916503","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}