Field staff reports最新文献

Pandemics Change Cities: Municipal Spending and Voter Extremism in Germany, 1918-1933 流行病改变城市:1918-1933年德国的市政支出和选民极端主义

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3592888

Kristian S. Blickle

引用次数: 19

Time-varying inflation risk and the cross section of stock returns 时变通货膨胀风险与股票收益的横截面

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2273666

Martijn Boons, Fernando M. Duarte, F. D. Roon, M. Szymanowska

引用次数: 15

Supervising large, complex financial companies: What do supervisors do? 监管大型、复杂的金融公司:监管者做什么?

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2015-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2646072

T. Eisenbach, A. Haughwout, B. Hirtle, A. Kovner, David O. Lucca, Matthew C. Plosser

引用次数: 4

Merit Aid, Student Mobility, and the Role of College Selectivity 奖学金、学生流动性和大学选择性的作用

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2013-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2335480

R. Chakrabarti, Joydeep Roy, Joydeep Roy

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引用次数: 10

Belief updating among college students: Evidence from experimental variation in information 大学生信念更新:来自信息实验变异的证据

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1928642

Matthew Wiswall, basit. zafar

引用次数: 20

The changing nature of financial intermediation and the financial crisis of 2007-09 金融中介性质的变化与2007-09年金融危机

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2010-08-11 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV.ECONOMICS.102308.124420

T. Adrian, H. Shin

引用次数: 90

Funding liquidity risk and the cross-section of stock returns 资金流动性风险与股票收益的横截面

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1652952

T. Adrian, Erkko M. Etula

引用次数: 9

Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments 商品价格、商品货币和全球经济发展

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2009-01-01 DOI: 10.3386/w15743

Jan J. J. Groen, Paolo A. Pesenti

{"title":"Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments","authors":"Jan J. J. Groen, Paolo A. Pesenti","doi":"10.3386/w15743","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/w15743","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we seek to produce forecasts of commodity price movements that can systematically improve on naive statistical benchmarks. We revisit how well changes in commodity currencies perform as potential efficient predictors of commodity prices, a view emphasized in the recent literature. In addition, we consider different types of factor-augmented models that use information from a large data set containing a variety of indicators of supply and demand conditions across major developed and developing countries. These factor-augmented models use either standard principal components or the more novel partial least squares (PLS) regression to extract dynamic factors from the data set. Our forecasting analysis considers ten alternative indices and sub-indices of spot prices for three different commodity classes across different periods. We find that, of all the approaches, the exchange-rate-based model and the PLS factor-augmented model are more likely to outperform the naive statistical benchmarks, although PLS factor-augmented models usually have a slight edge over the exchange-rate-based approach. However, across our range of commodity price indices we are not able to generate out-of-sample forecasts that, on average, are systematically more accurate than predictions based on a random walk or autoregressive specifications.","PeriodicalId":84751,"journal":{"name":"Field staff reports","volume":"31 1","pages":"15-42"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2009-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81650815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 16

Defining and detecting predatory lending 定义和检测掠夺性贷款

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.962711

Donald P. Morgan

引用次数: 52

Can U.S. monetary policy fall (again) into an expectation trap 美国的货币政策会(再次)落入预期陷阱吗

Field staff reports Pub Date : 2006-05-01 DOI: 10.17016/ifdp.2006.860

Roc Armenter, Martin Bodenstein

引用次数: 0