Hallie Eakin, Ralph Hamann, Gina Ziervogel, Clifford Shearing
{"title":"Emergent governance responses to shocks to critical provisioning systems","authors":"Hallie Eakin, Ralph Hamann, Gina Ziervogel, Clifford Shearing","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00123-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00123-y","url":null,"abstract":"The structure and functioning of formal and informal governance arrangements and associated infrastructure prior to major environmental disturbance play a central role in how cities experience and respond to such events. This paper considers how city managers, businesses, and residents responded to two disturbances experienced in the City of Cape Town—a drought-induced water crisis and a pandemic crisis (COVID-19) that followed a year later—and the consequences of these actions for infrastructural assets and governance innovations. Our analysis suggests that efforts aimed at transformative change in these provisioning systems require attention to the existing and potential roles and responsibilities of private and public sector actors, as well as the associated distribution of risks and rewards. Furthermore, polycentric and decentralized governance arrangements, which are often thought to be most flexible in the face of shocks, are not always feasible or desirable to actors with a stake in resource governance.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-8"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00123-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42075150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dylan D. Furszyfer Del Rio, Benjamin K. Sovacool, Steve Griffiths, Aoife M. Foley, Jonathan Furszyfer Del Rio
{"title":"A cross-country analysis of sustainability, transport and energy poverty","authors":"Dylan D. Furszyfer Del Rio, Benjamin K. Sovacool, Steve Griffiths, Aoife M. Foley, Jonathan Furszyfer Del Rio","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00121-0","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00121-0","url":null,"abstract":"Poverty impacts people’s choices and opportunities and can perpetuate a disadvantaged status. Poverty remains a prevalent global issue due to disproportionate wealth distribution, which often translates to inequality in energy consumption and emissions. This research investigates if low-income households and minorities from four countries with very different national cultures, contexts, and levels of wealth experience a ‘double energy vulnerability’, a concept that simultaneously positions people at heightened risk of transport and energy poverty. Our research identifies that low-income households and minorities are at higher risk of simultaneously experiencing energy and transport poverty regardless of the national context in which they live. Our study also contests the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030, showing that even in relatively wealthy countries, many individuals still face energy and transport poverty. We conclude that global sustainable development requires significant shifts in policy action, resource distribution and investment in social services.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00121-0.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48290810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exploring residential built-up form typologies in Delhi: a grid-based clustering approach towards sustainable urbanisation","authors":"Aviral Marwal, Elisabete A. Silva","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00112-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00112-1","url":null,"abstract":"Previous studies have established a significant link between urban form and sustainability. However, the diversity of micro-scale urban forms in cities in the global south has received limited attention, hindered by the lack of neighbourhood-level spatial data and maps, which poses challenges in exploring micro-urban form features. The study addresses this gap using a grid-based k-means clustering algorithm to identify residential built-up form typologies in Delhi and assess their impact on sustainable urbanisation. The algorithm clusters 100×100 metre grid cells based on their attributes of accessibility, built-up density, and street design. The results show six distinct built-up form typologies in Delhi. However, only 19% of residential areas meet the criteria for sustainable urbanisation, highlighting the need for planning interventions in most areas. The study methodology can be applied to analyse micro-scale urban form features in other cities in the global south, providing a fresh perspective on urbanisation research.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-13"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00112-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42055860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mikhail V. Chester, Thaddeus R. Miller, Tischa A. Muñoz-Erickson, Alysha M. Helmrich, David M. Iwaniec, Timon McPhearson, Elizabeth M. Cook, Nancy B. Grimm, Samuel A. Markolf
{"title":"Sensemaking for entangled urban social, ecological, and technological systems in the Anthropocene","authors":"Mikhail V. Chester, Thaddeus R. Miller, Tischa A. Muñoz-Erickson, Alysha M. Helmrich, David M. Iwaniec, Timon McPhearson, Elizabeth M. Cook, Nancy B. Grimm, Samuel A. Markolf","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00120-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00120-1","url":null,"abstract":"Our urban systems and their underlying sub-systems are designed to deliver only a narrow set of human-centered services, with little or no accounting or understanding of how actions undercut the resilience of social-ecological-technological systems (SETS). Embracing a SETS resilience perspective creates opportunities for novel approaches to adaptation and transformation in complex environments. We: i) frame urban systems through a perspective shift from control to entanglement, ii) position SETS thinking as novel sensemaking to create repertoires of responses commensurate with environmental complexity (i.e., requisite complexity), and iii) describe modes of SETS sensemaking for urban system structures and functions as basic tenets to build requisite complexity. SETS sensemaking is an undertaking to reflexively bring sustained adaptation, anticipatory futures, loose-fit design, and co-governance into organizational decision-making and to help reimagine institutional structures and processes as entangled SETS.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-10"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00120-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46626066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Rising vulnerability of compound risk inequality to ageing and extreme heatwave exposure in global cities","authors":"Mingxing Chen, Liangkan Chen, Yuan Zhou, Maogui Hu, Yanpeng Jiang, Dapeng Huang, Yinghua Gong, Yue Xian","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00118-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00118-9","url":null,"abstract":"Continued warming trends lead to an increasing risk of exposure to extreme heatwaves, which threaten the health of urban residents, especially the ageing population. Here, we project the spatiotemporal trend of future exposure risk across 9188 global urban settlements between 2020 and 2100 under the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Results show that urban heatwave exposure risk increases by 619% and 1740% for SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively, and by 1642% to 5529% for the elderly. Notably, 69% of the elderly exposure risk comes from middle-income countries, where the increasing trend on the regional average is 1.2 times higher than that of high-income countries. There is an increasing trend towards greater concentration on large cities, especially in low- and lower-middle-income countries. In high-income countries, climate effects contribute 39% to 58% of increasing exposure for elderly individuals, whereas ageing effects play more prominent role in lower-income countries. This emphasizes the disproportionately higher heat-related burden for elderly individuals and inequitable trends in lower income countries. Understanding the vulnerable and priority regions in future heatwave exposure will inform adaptation strategies to support urban climate-resilient development.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-11"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00118-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42664116","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Camilo Ordóñez, S. M. Labib, Lincoln Chung, Tenley M. Conway
{"title":"Satisfaction with urban trees associates with tree canopy cover and tree visibility around the home","authors":"Camilo Ordóñez, S. M. Labib, Lincoln Chung, Tenley M. Conway","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00119-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00119-8","url":null,"abstract":"Many world cities want to expand the number of urban trees. How this expansion occurs should consider what people expect from trees based on how they experience and perceive these trees. Therefore, we need a better understanding of how people perceptually respond to urban tree abundance. This research examined whether people’s satisfaction with urban trees and satisfaction with the management of those trees were related to objective measures of greenery such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), percent tree canopy cover, and the Viewshed Greenness Visibility Index (VGVI) for trees. We used a demographically and geographically representative survey of 223 residents in Toronto, Canada, and calculated NDVI, canopy cover, and VGVI at three neighbourhood sizes. We analysed the data using generalized linear regression. We found that canopy cover and VGVI had a positive association with satisfaction with urban trees. The associations were comparatively stronger at larger neighbourhood scales than at smaller scales. There were no statistically significant associations with NDVI or satisfaction with the management of urban trees.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-8"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00119-8.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48401763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Arguments for building The Circle and not The Line in Saudi Arabia","authors":"Rafael Prieto-Curiel, Dániel Kondor","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00115-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00115-y","url":null,"abstract":"Saudi Arabia plans to construct a new city, home to 9 million people. The most relevant aspect is its form, a line with a surprising length of 170 km. We analyse whether this is the best plan for a new city and some inconveniences of the prolonged urban form.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-4"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00115-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42069831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Explicit and tacit knowledge have diverging urban growth patterns","authors":"Linzhuo Li, Nannan Zhao","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00116-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00116-x","url":null,"abstract":"This article utilizes an online job recruitment dataset of more than 4.6 million jobs in China to examine the urban scaling patterns of explicit and tacit knowledge. Knowledge complexity is considered essential for economic development and innovation, and recent studies find complex economic activities of many fields concentrate more in large cities. However, it remains unclear whether the urban concentration tendency would differ by explicit and tacit knowledge, given the latter is often argued as the hard core knowledge more difficult to transfer. We measure explicit/tacit knowledge in job descriptions regarding education/experience requirements. Our analysis reveals that knowledge of different natures differs to a great extent in their property of urban concentration. Specifically, jobs requiring greater explicit knowledge show higher urban scaling rates. This, however, is not true for tacit knowledge, as it demonstrates the exact opposite pattern. Our findings suggest that while cities are centers of knowledge and innovation, the engines of continued growth tend to become more biased towards explicit rather than know-how knowledge.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-6"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00116-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47264080","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Song Leng, Ranhao Sun, Xiaojun Yang, Mingxin Jin, Liding Chen
{"title":"Diverse types of coupling trends in urban tree and nontree vegetation associated with urbanization levels","authors":"Song Leng, Ranhao Sun, Xiaojun Yang, Mingxin Jin, Liding Chen","doi":"10.1038/s42949-023-00111-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s42949-023-00111-2","url":null,"abstract":"Cities are increasingly recognizing the benefits of incorporating urban greening strategies into their planning and design to improve sustainability and livability. However, the specific contribution of tree versus nontree vegetation has not been adequately studied in the context of urban greening and rapid urbanization. In this study, we investigated the spatiotemporal variations of urban tree and nontree coverage in China during 2000–2020 by using satellite observations. Results show the nationwide mean urban tree coverage increased by 0.073 ± 0.511% per year (mean ± 1 standard deviation), while nontree vegetation coverage decreased by 0.584 ± 1.022% per year. We found that the majority of mega- and large cities had a contrasting vegetation pattern, with significantly ascending trends in both tree and nontree coverages in urban core areas but descending trends in peri-urban areas. These trends were positively associated with multiple greenness indices, suggesting the importance of the vegetation structure for growth and productivity in urban areas. This study highlights the predominance of enhancing vegetation growth in urban areas primarily driven by significantly increasing tree cover in China, and can further serve as a reference for global vegetation study.","PeriodicalId":74322,"journal":{"name":"npj urban sustainability","volume":" ","pages":"1-11"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s42949-023-00111-2.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45485471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}