{"title":"Editorial: Data Science Meets Social Sciences","authors":"E. Erosheva, Shahryar Minhas, Gongjun Xu, Ran Xu","doi":"10.6339/22-jds203edi","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds203edi","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320918","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ko-Shin Chen, Tingyang Xu, Guannan Liang, Qianqian Tong, Minghu Song, J. Bi
{"title":"An Effective Tensor Regression with Latent Sparse Regularization","authors":"Ko-Shin Chen, Tingyang Xu, Guannan Liang, Qianqian Tong, Minghu Song, J. Bi","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1048","url":null,"abstract":"As data acquisition technologies advance, longitudinal analysis is facing challenges of exploring complex feature patterns from high-dimensional data and modeling potential temporally lagged effects of features on a response. We propose a tensor-based model to analyze multidimensional data. It simultaneously discovers patterns in features and reveals whether features observed at past time points have impact on current outcomes. The model coefficient, a k-mode tensor, is decomposed into a summation of k tensors of the same dimension. We introduce a so-called latent F-1 norm that can be applied to the coefficient tensor to performed structured selection of features. Specifically, features will be selected along each mode of the tensor. The proposed model takes into account within-subject correlations by employing a tensor-based quadratic inference function. An asymptotic analysis shows that our model can identify true support when the sample size approaches to infinity. To solve the corresponding optimization problem, we develop a linearized block coordinate descent algorithm and prove its convergence for a fixed sample size. Computational results on synthetic datasets and real-life fMRI and EEG datasets demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed approach over existing techniques.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
S. Sanders, Nuwan Indika Millagaha Gedara, Bhavneet Walia, C. Boudreaux, M. Silverstein
{"title":"Does Aging Make Us Grittier? Disentangling the Age and Generation Effect on Passion and Perseverance","authors":"S. Sanders, Nuwan Indika Millagaha Gedara, Bhavneet Walia, C. Boudreaux, M. Silverstein","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1041","url":null,"abstract":"Defined as perseverance and passion for long term goals, grit represents an important psychological skill toward goal-attainment in academic and less-stylized settings. An outstanding issue of primary importance is whether age affects grit, ceteris paribus. The 12-item Grit-O Scale and the 8-item Grit-S Scale—from which grit scores are calculated—have not existed for a long period of time. Therefore, Duckworth (2016, p. 37) states in her book, Grit: The Power and Passion of Perseverance, that “we need a different kind of study” to distinguish between rival explanations that either generational cohort or age are more important in explaining variation in grit across individuals. Despite this clear data constraint, we obtain a glimpse into the future in the present study by using a within and between generational cohort age difference-in-difference approach. By specifying generation as a categorical variable and age-in-generation as a count variable in the same regression specifications, we are able to account for the effects of variation in age and generation simultaneously, while avoiding problems of multicollinearity that would hinder post-regression statistical inference. We conclude robust, significant evidence that the negative-parabolic shape of the grit-age profile is driven by generational variation and not by age variation. Our findings suggest that, absent a grit-mindset intervention, individual-level grit may be persistent over time.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do Americans Think the Digital Economy is Fair? Using Supervised Learning to Explore Evaluations of Predictive Automation","authors":"E. Lehoucq","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1053","url":null,"abstract":"Predictive automation is a pervasive and archetypical example of the digital economy. Studying how Americans evaluate predictive automation is important because it affects corporate and state governance. However, we have relevant questions unanswered. We lack comparisons across use cases using a nationally representative sample. We also have yet to determine what are the key predictors of evaluations of predictive automation. This article uses the American Trends Panel’s 2018 wave ($n=4,594$) to study whether American adults think predictive automation is fair across four use cases: helping credit decisions, assisting parole decisions, filtering job applicants based on interview videos, and assessing job candidates based on resumes. Results from lasso regressions trained with 112 predictors reveal that people’s evaluations of predictive automation align with their views about social media, technology, and politics.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320492","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"High-Dimensional Nonlinear Spatio-Temporal Filtering by Compressing Hierarchical Sparse Cholesky Factors","authors":"Anirban Chakraborty, M. Katzfuss","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1071","url":null,"abstract":"Spatio-temporal filtering is a common and challenging task in many environmental applications, where the evolution is often nonlinear and the dimension of the spatial state may be very high. We propose a scalable filtering approach based on a hierarchical sparse Cholesky representation of the filtering covariance matrix. At each time point, we compress the sparse Cholesky factor into a dense matrix with a small number of columns. After applying the evolution to each of these columns, we decompress to obtain a hierarchical sparse Cholesky factor of the forecast covariance, which can then be updated based on newly available data. We illustrate the Cholesky evolution via an equivalent representation in terms of spatial basis functions. We also demonstrate the advantage of our method in numerical comparisons, including using a high-dimensional and nonlinear Lorenz model.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Supervised Spatial Regionalization using the Karhunen-Loève Expansion and Minimum Spanning Trees","authors":"Ranadeep Daw, C. Wikle","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1077","url":null,"abstract":"The article presents a methodology for supervised regionalization of data on a spatial domain. Defining a spatial process at multiple scales leads to the famous ecological fallacy problem. Here, we use the ecological fallacy as the basis for a minimization criterion to obtain the intended regions. The Karhunen-Loève Expansion of the spatial process maintains the relationship between the realizations from multiple resolutions. Specifically, we use the Karhunen-Loève Expansion to define the regionalization error so that the ecological fallacy is minimized. The contiguous regionalization is done using the minimum spanning tree formed from the spatial locations and the data. Then, regionalization becomes similar to pruning edges from the minimum spanning tree. The methodology is demonstrated using simulated and real data examples.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Skyler Gray, Matthew J. Heaton, D. Bolintineanu, A. Olson
{"title":"On the Use of Deep Neural Networks for Large-Scale Spatial Prediction","authors":"Skyler Gray, Matthew J. Heaton, D. Bolintineanu, A. Olson","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1070","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1070","url":null,"abstract":"For spatial kriging (prediction), the Gaussian process (GP) has been the go-to tool of spatial statisticians for decades. However, the GP is plagued by computational intractability, rendering it infeasible for use on large spatial data sets. Neural networks (NNs), on the other hand, have arisen as a flexible and computationally feasible approach for capturing nonlinear relationships. To date, however, NNs have only been scarcely used for problems in spatial statistics but their use is beginning to take root. In this work, we argue for equivalence between a NN and a GP and demonstrate how to implement NNs for kriging from large spatial data. We compare the computational efficacy and predictive power of NNs with that of GP approximations across a variety of big spatial Gaussian, non-Gaussian and binary data applications of up to size $n={10^{6}}$. Our results suggest that fully-connected NNs perform similarly to state-of-the-art, GP-approximated models for short-range predictions but can suffer for longer range predictions.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Integration of Social Determinants of Health Data into the Largest, Not-for-Profit Health System in South Florida","authors":"Lourdes M. Rojas, Gregory L. Vincent, D. Parris","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1063","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1063","url":null,"abstract":"Social determinants of health (SDOH) are the conditions in which people are born, grow, work, and live. Although evidence suggests that SDOH influence a range of health outcomes, health systems lack the infrastructure to access and act upon this information. The purpose of this manuscript is to explain the methodology that a health system used to: 1) identify and integrate publicly available SDOH data into the health systems’ Data Warehouse, 2) integrate a HIPAA compliant geocoding software (via DeGAUSS), and 3) visualize data to inform SDOH projects (via Tableau). First, authors engaged key stakeholders across the health system to convey the implications of SDOH data for our patient population and identify variables of interest. As a result, fourteen publicly available data sets, accounting for >30,800 variables representing national, state, county, and census tract information over 2016–2019, were cleaned and integrated into our Data Warehouse. To pilot the data visualization, we created county and census tract level maps for our service areas and plotted common SDOH metrics (e.g., income, education, insurance status, etc.). This practical, methodological integration of SDOH data at a large health system demonstrated feasibility. Ultimately, we will repeat this process system wide to further understand the risk burden in our patient population and improve our prediction models – allowing us to become better partners with our community.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Active Data Science for Improving Clinical Risk Prediction","authors":"D. Ankerst, Matthias Neumair","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1078","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1078","url":null,"abstract":"Clinical risk prediction models are commonly developed in a post-hoc and passive fashion, capitalizing on convenient data from completed clinical trials or retrospective cohorts. Impacts of the models often end at their publication rather than with the patients. The field of clinical risk prediction is rapidly improving in a progressively more transparent data science era. Based on collective experience over the past decade by the Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG), this paper proposes the following four data science-driven strategies for improving clinical risk prediction to the benefit of clinical practice and research. The first proposed strategy is to actively design prospective data collection, monitoring, analysis and validation of risk tools following the same standards as for clinical trials in order to elevate the quality of training data. The second suggestion is to make risk tools and model formulas available online. User-friendly risk tools will bring quantitative information to patients and their clinicians for improved knowledge-based decision-making. As past experience testifies, online tools expedite independent validation, providing helpful information as to whether the tools are generalizable to new populations. The third proposal is to dynamically update and localize risk tools to adapt to changing demographic and clinical landscapes. The fourth strategy is to accommodate systematic missing data patterns across cohorts in order to maximize the statistical power in model training, as well as to accommodate missing information on the end-user side too, in order to maximize utility for the public.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Daeyoung Lim, Ming-Hui Chen, N. Ravishanker, Mark Bolduc, Brian McKeon, Stanley Nolan
{"title":"A Hybrid Monitoring Procedure for Detecting Abnormality with Application to Energy Consumption Data","authors":"Daeyoung Lim, Ming-Hui Chen, N. Ravishanker, Mark Bolduc, Brian McKeon, Stanley Nolan","doi":"10.6339/22-jds1039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6339/22-jds1039","url":null,"abstract":"The complexity of energy infrastructure at large institutions increasingly calls for data-driven monitoring of energy usage. This article presents a hybrid monitoring algorithm for detecting consumption surges using statistical hypothesis testing, leveraging the posterior distribution and its information about uncertainty to introduce randomness in the parameter estimates, while retaining the frequentist testing framework. This hybrid approach is designed to be asymptotically equivalent to the Neyman-Pearson test. We show via extensive simulation studies that the hybrid approach enjoys control over type-1 error rate even with finite sample sizes whereas the naive plug-in method tends to exceed the specified level, resulting in overpowered tests. The proposed method is applied to the natural gas usage data at the University of Connecticut.","PeriodicalId":73699,"journal":{"name":"Journal of data science : JDS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71320187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}