Jiantai Wang, Xiaobing Ma, Kaiye Gao, Yu Zhao, Li Yang
{"title":"Condition‐based maintenance management for two‐stage continuous deterioration with two‐dimensional inspection errors","authors":"Jiantai Wang, Xiaobing Ma, Kaiye Gao, Yu Zhao, Li Yang","doi":"10.1002/qre.3613","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3613","url":null,"abstract":"Inspections often perform imperfect outcomes during maintenance processes owing to human errors, management issues and other limitations. In particular, such imperfection affects the maintenance management of multistage deterioration significantly due to both false state identification and measurement errors, whose quantitative analysis, however, is seldom reported in the literature. To fill these gaps, this paper devises a condition‐based maintenance management strategy oriented to two‐stage continuous degradation under two‐dimensional inspection imperfection. Specifically, a threshold‐based replacement is executed under the normal‐working state if the detected degradation value exceeds the preset limit; additionally, preventive replacement is immediately performed once the defective state is identified. Notably, the detection outcome rather than the actual working condition decides how preventive maintenance operates. The long‐run cost rate is minimized via the optimization of the inspection cycle and replacement limit. Besides, numerical experiments conducted on train bogie bearing are provided, showing substantial superiorities over cost‐effectiveness promotion and performance improvement.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141546361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ammar M. Sarhan, Ehab M. Almetwally, Abdelfattah Mustafa, Ahlam H. Tolba
{"title":"Statistical inference of a series reliability system using shock models with Weibull distribution","authors":"Ammar M. Sarhan, Ehab M. Almetwally, Abdelfattah Mustafa, Ahlam H. Tolba","doi":"10.1002/qre.3604","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3604","url":null,"abstract":"In this study, we define a series system with non‐independent and non‐identical components using a shock model with sources of fatal shocks. Here, it is assumed that the shocks happen randomly and independently, following a Weibull distribution with various scale and shape parameters. A dependability model with unknown parameters is produced by this process. Making statistical conclusions about the model parameters is the main objective of this research. We apply the maximum likelihood and Bayes approaches to determine the model parameters' point and interval estimates. We shall demonstrate that no analytical solutions to the likelihood equations must be solved to obtain the parameters' maximum likelihood estimates. As a result, we will use the R program to approximate the parameter point and interval estimates. Additionally, we will use the bootstrap‐t and bootstrap‐p methods to approximate the confidence intervals. About the Bayesian approach, we presume that each model parameter is independent and follows a gamma prior distribution with a range of attached hyperparameter values. The model parameters' posterior distribution does not take a practical form. We are unable to derive the Bayes estimates in closed forms as a result. To solve this issue, we use the Gibbs sampler from the Metropolis‐Hasting algorithm based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo method to condense the posterior distribution. To demonstrate the relevance of this research, a real data set application is detailed.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141546363","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability analysis and preventive maintenance policy for consecutive k$k$‐out‐of‐n:F$n: F$ balanced system under failure criterion operating in shock environment","authors":"Qinglai Dong, Mengmeng Bai","doi":"10.1002/qre.3612","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3612","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a consecutive ‐out‐of‐: balance system in a shock environment, where the state transition of component is induced by external shocks. If a predetermined threshold number of effective shocks are applied to component in a critical state, the component will fail. The state of the system is defined by the number of consecutive failing component groups in the system, which leads to system failure when a critical number of consecutive failing components is reached. To minimize maintenance costs, we propose a preventive maintenance method with an optimization model. We use finite Markov chain imbedding and Phase‐type distribution to calculate component group failure rates and associated probability functions in discrete and continuous time, respectively. The validity and accuracy of the model are confirmed by numerical examples and Monte Carlo simulations.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"90 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141546362","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimal resource allocation in common bus performance sharing systems with transmission loss","authors":"Liudong Gu, Guanjun Wang, Yifan Zhou","doi":"10.1002/qre.3610","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3610","url":null,"abstract":"The reliability modeling and optimization of performance sharing systems (PSSs) are of vital importance due to their wide applications. Existing research mainly focuses on evaluating and maximizing the reliability of PSSs. However, in many practical systems, decision‐makers tend to prioritize the average cost of the system over its reliability. This paper studies the resource allocation optimization in common bus PSSs. In such systems, each unit has binary‐state random performance to satisfy the multi‐state random demand. The surplus performance can be shared via a common bus with transmission loss between the common bus and the unit. The performance allocation, performance transmission, and unsupplied demand incur costs. Resource allocation strategies are determined by optimization models considering different objective functions and constraints. Additionally, transmission loss between the common bus and the unit is considered. A genetic algorithm is employed to efficiently find the optimal allocation strategies. Numerical examples prove the effectiveness of the proposed models in improving system reliability and reducing system costs.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141503570","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Éder S. Brito, Vera L. D. Tomazella, Paulo H. Ferreira, Francisco Louzada Neto, Oilson A. Gonzatto Junior
{"title":"Reliability analysis of multiple repairable systems under imperfect repair and unobserved heterogeneity","authors":"Éder S. Brito, Vera L. D. Tomazella, Paulo H. Ferreira, Francisco Louzada Neto, Oilson A. Gonzatto Junior","doi":"10.1002/qre.3607","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3607","url":null,"abstract":"Imperfect repairs (IRs) are widely applicable in reliability engineering since most equipment is not completely replaced after failure. In this sense, it is necessary to develop methodologies that can describe failure processes and predict the reliability of systems under this type of repair. One of the challenges in this context is to establish reliability models for multiple repairable systems considering unobserved heterogeneity associated with systems failure times and their failure intensity after performing IRs. Thus, in this work, frailty models are proposed to identify unobserved heterogeneity in these failure processes. In this context, we consider the arithmetic reduction of age (ARA) and arithmetic reduction of intensity (ARI) classes of IR models, with constant repair efficiency and a power‐law process distribution to model failure times and a univariate Gamma distributed frailty by all systems failure times. Classical inferential methods are used to estimate the parameters and reliability predictors of systems under IRs. An extensive simulation study is carried out under different scenarios to investigate the suitability of the models and the asymptotic consistency and efficiency properties of the maximum likelihood estimators. Finally, we illustrate the practical relevance of the proposed models on two real data sets.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141528368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advanced reliability and safety methodologies and novel applications (Selected papers of the international conference of QR2MSE2023)","authors":"Hong‐Zhong Huang, He Li, Yanfeng Li","doi":"10.1002/qre.3611","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3611","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141503571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Maximal entropy prior for the simple step‐stress accelerated test","authors":"Fernando Antonio Moala, Karlla Delalibera Chagas","doi":"10.1002/qre.3609","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3609","url":null,"abstract":"The step‐stress procedure is a popular accelerated test used to analyze the lifetime of highly reliable components. This paper considers a simple step‐stress accelerated test assuming a cumulative exposure model with uncensored lifetime data following a Weibull distribution. The maximum likelihood approach is often used to analyze accelerated stress test data. Another approach is to use the Bayesian inference, which is useful when there is limited data available. In this paper, the parameters of the model are estimated based on the objective Bayesian viewpoint using non‐informative priors. Our main aim is to propose the maximal data information prior (MDIP) presented by Zellner (1984) as an alternative prior to the conventional independent gamma priors for the unknown parameters, in situations where there is little or no a priori knowledge about the parameters. We also obtain the Bayes estimators based on both classes of priors, assuming three different loss functions: square error loss function (SELF), linear‐exponential loss function (LINEX), and generalized entropy loss function (GELF). The proposed MDIP prior is compared with the gamma priors via Monte Carlo simulations by examining their biases and mean square errors under the three loss functions, and coverage probability. Additionally, we employ the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to extract characteristics of marginal posterior distributions, such as the Bayes estimator and credible intervals. Finally, a real lifetime data is presented to illustrate the proposed methodology.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"73 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141503572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
David Han, James D. Brownlow, Jesse Thompson, Ralph G. Brooks
{"title":"Bayesian estimation of the mean time between failures of subsystems with different causes using interval‐censored system maintenance data","authors":"David Han, James D. Brownlow, Jesse Thompson, Ralph G. Brooks","doi":"10.1002/qre.3606","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3606","url":null,"abstract":"Ensuring an acceptable level of reliability stands as a primary imperative for any mission‐focused operation since it serves as a critical determinant of success. Inadequate reliability can lead to severe repercussions, including substantial expenses for repairs and replacements, missed opportunities, service disruptions, and in the worst cases, safety violations and human casualties. Within national defense organizations such as the USAF, the precise assessment and maintenance of system reliability play a pivotal role in ensuring the success of mission‐critical operations. In this research, our primary objective is to model the reliability of repairable subsystems within the framework of competing and complementary risks. Subsequently, we construct the overall reliability of the entire repairable system, utilizing day‐to‐day group‐censored maintenance data from two identical aircraft systems. Assuming that the lifetimes of subsystems follow non‐identical exponential distributions, it is theoretically justified that the system reliability can be modeled by homogeneous Poisson processes even though the number of subsystems of any particular type is unknown and the temporal order of multiple subsystem failures within a given time interval is uncertain due to interval censoring. Using the proposed model, we formulate the likelihood function for the mean time between failures of subsystems with different causes, and subsequently establish an inferential procedure for the model parameters. Given a considerable number of parameters to estimate, we explore the efficacy of a Bayesian approach, treating the contractor‐supplied estimates as the hyperparameters of prior distributions. This approach mitigates potential model uncertainty as well as the practical limitation of a frequentist‐based approach. It also facilitates continuous updates of the estimates as new maintenance data become available. Finally, the entire inferential procedures were implemented in Microsoft Excel so that it is easy for any reliability practitioner to use without the need to learn sophisticated programming languages. Thus, this research supports an ongoing, real‐time assessment of the overall mission reliability and helps early detection of any subsystem whose reliability is below the threshold level.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"72 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141503575","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessing changes in reliability methods over time: An unsupervised text mining approach","authors":"Charles K. Brown, Bruce G. Cameron","doi":"10.1002/qre.3596","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3596","url":null,"abstract":"Reliability engineering faces many of the same challenges today that it did at its inception in the 1950s. The fundamental issue remains uncertainty in system representation, specifically related to performance model structure and parameterization. Details of a design are unavailable early in the development process and therefore performance models must either account for the range of possibilities or be wrong. Increasing system complexity has compounded this uncertainty. In this work, we seek to understand how the reliability engineering literature has shifted over time. We exe cute a systematic literature review of 30,543 reliability engineering papers (covering roughly a third of the reliability papers indexed by Elsevier's Engineering Village. Topic modeling was performed on the abstracts of those papers to identify 279 topics. The hierarchical topic reduction resulted in the identification of eight top‐level method topics (prognostics, statistics, maintenance, quality control, management, physics of failure, modeling, and risk assessment) as well as three domain‐specific topics (nuclear, infrastructure, and software). We found that topics more associated with later phases in the development process (such as prognostics, maintenance, and quality control) have increased in popularity over time relative to other topics. We propose that this is a response to the challenges posed by model uncertainty and increasing complexity.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141197308","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability and maintainability estimation of a multi‐failure‐cause system under imperfect maintenance","authors":"Fatemeh Safaei, Sharareh Taghipour","doi":"10.1002/qre.3595","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.3595","url":null,"abstract":"Estimating the reliability and maintainability (R & M) parameters is crucial in various industrial applications. It serves purposes such as evaluating system performance and safety, minimising the risk and cost of potential failures, and designing efficient maintenance strategies. This task becomes challenging for complex repairable systems, where failures can occur due to different causes and performance may be affected by various covariates (such as material, environment, and labour). Another challenge in R & M studies arises from the presence of censorship in failure times. Existing methodologies often fail to account for all the aforementioned aspects of system‐related data in R & M analysis. By incorporating valuable information from covariates and utilising data from censored failure times alongside complete failure data, the accuracy of R & M parameter estimation can be significantly improved. This paper develops reliability models for repairable systems with multiple failure causes in the presence of covariates. The system can also be subject to imperfect maintenance. The R & M parameters are then estimated by applying the Kijima Type I and II model's virtual age concept. The proposed technique is illustrated using two case studies on gas pipelines and aero‐engine systems. Through these case studies, we show that the proposed method not only provides more efficient estimates of the R & M parameters compared to the alternative approach, but it is also easier to apply and yields more straightforward interpretations.","PeriodicalId":56088,"journal":{"name":"Quality and Reliability Engineering International","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141189028","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}