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Impact of export determinants on the export sector in Republic of Serbia 出口决定因素对塞尔维亚共和国出口部门的影响
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-06-29 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-17408
Milica Peric, S. Filipovic
{"title":"Impact of export determinants on the export sector in Republic of Serbia","authors":"Milica Peric, S. Filipovic","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-17408","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-17408","url":null,"abstract":"In order to show the effect of export determinants on the export in the Republic of Serbia, this research comes to examine the correlation between export determinants and the degree of impact of export determinants on export in Republic of Serbia in the period of 2005-2016. This study applies the SPSS 23 software by Correlation matrix using Pearson coefficient in order to show the connection between export determinants and export, as well as the Linear Regression Models, in order to show the degree of impact of the export determinants on export. The analysis revealed the existence of the significant correlation between export and several hypothetical export determinants – import, GDP, GDP per capita, savings, population, employment, productivity of work, exchange rate, and consumption prices – as well as the impact of those on export. It stresses as well that there is no relationship between export and FDI, investments, and industrial production.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"151-171"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43864994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Motels in Serbia – what do potential guests expect? 塞尔维亚的汽车旅馆——潜在的客人期望什么?
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-06-29 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16578
Lazar Pavić, I. Blešić, B. Nerandžić, Svetlana Vukosav, D. Mumel
{"title":"Motels in Serbia – what do potential guests expect?","authors":"Lazar Pavić, I. Blešić, B. Nerandžić, Svetlana Vukosav, D. Mumel","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16578","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16578","url":null,"abstract":"The main aim of the paper is to investigate potential guests’ expectations in Serbian motels. Through the literature review process, it was determined that there is a cack of research about motel guests’ expectations. Based on the survey research on 237 potential motels’ guests 14 dimensions of guests’ expectations were determined. Statistical significant differences in guests’ expectations dimensions among sociodemographic profile were also investigated (Gender, Age, Monthly Income, Occupational Status, Marital Status, Growing up Place, Reason for Traveling, Country of Origin). In Conclusions are present proposal for future motel products development based on presented results as also future research proposals.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"65-76"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42637461","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Quantifying Extreme Market Risk in the selected Western Balkan Countries 量化所选西巴尔干国家的极端市场风险
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-06-29 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16666
Nikola Radivojević, N. Ćurčić, Marija Marčetić
{"title":"Quantifying Extreme Market Risk in the selected Western Balkan Countries","authors":"Nikola Radivojević, N. Ćurčić, Marija Marčetić","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16666","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16666","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this paper is to investigate the performance of unconditional and conditional Value at Risk ( VaR ) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models based on EVT. The application of one unconditional VaR and ES model based on EVT and three variants of conditional models of VaR and ES based on EVT in the capital markets of the selected WBC was tested in the paper. To test the VaR model, a conditional and unconditional cover test was used, with the note that their results were subject to verification using the Monte Carlo test procedure. The obtained results suggests that these models can be successfully used to quantify extreme market risk in selected markets, in the context of Basel standards. ES models have been tested and ranked using loss function. By using the Bootstrap simulation, these results are subject to verification. The obtained results does not reveal which model is most suitable for the selected markets, since they are differently ranked in different markets.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"99-115"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43259578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Financial position and Credit Rating of Companies in circular Economy in Serbia 塞尔维亚循环经济企业的财务状况与信用等级
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-06-29 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16618
Predrag Vukadinović, Slobodan Čerović, V. Matović, G. Stevanović
{"title":"Financial position and Credit Rating of Companies in circular Economy in Serbia","authors":"Predrag Vukadinović, Slobodan Čerović, V. Matović, G. Stevanović","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16618","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16618","url":null,"abstract":"The circular economy concept is increasingly gaining in importance. The world’s most developed economies pay more and more attention to this concept. The European Union adopted a special document to affirm the concept. In Serbia, this concept is in its early stages, but is being practically (production) and institutionally actuated. This paper analyses a sample of six companies engaged in different production options in the area of circular economy. The aim of the paper is to analyse the perspective of a new concept in Serbian economy, through assessment of the financial position and credit rating of these companies by applying Altman’s Zʼ and Z”-adjusted score model. The findings in the paper showed that the companies which had been subject to this analysis have such financial position and credit rating that make assessment of their future optimistic. In the light of that, there is a prospect for the development of circular economy concept in Serbia.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"77-98"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47135886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Currency Risk of Public Debt in Serbia: Current Status and European Lessons 塞尔维亚公共债务的货币风险：现状与欧洲经验教训
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-02-10 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-15840
Goran Radosavljević, V. Tomov
{"title":"Currency Risk of Public Debt in Serbia: Current Status and European Lessons","authors":"Goran Radosavljević, V. Tomov","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-15840","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-15840","url":null,"abstract":"Currency risk, and its effect on public debt, is becoming more important in economic analysis, particularly in highly dollarized countries like Serbia. The aim of this paper is to analyse the currency structure of the public debt in Serbia and the associated risks, and to present the recommendations for improving public debt management based on international experiences. This paper analyses the currency structure of public debt of Serbia over the period 2004-2016, the comparative indicators of dollarization in Serbia and selected countries of the region, as well as the currency risk movements. The currency structure of the public debt of Serbia characterizes the predominance of three currencies – dinar, dollar and euro. Serbia is the most euroised country in the region, along with a marked highest share of dollar debt in total public debt.  As a result, due to currency mismatch, the public debt of Serbia is exposed to high currency risk. Based on the presented successful examples of public debt management in Hungary and Poland, as countries with a low level of dollarization, the recommendations for improving public debt management system in Serbia are presented in the final section of our paper.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"71-91"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46001594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Consumers’ Propensity to Complain Towards Tourist Agencies’ Services: Evidence from Serbia and Croatia 消费者对旅行社服务的抱怨倾向——来自塞尔维亚和克罗地亚的证据
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-02-10 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-18061
S. Tomić, Dražen Marić, Ksenija Leković, Jelena Jevtić
{"title":"Consumers’ Propensity to Complain Towards Tourist Agencies’ Services: Evidence from Serbia and Croatia","authors":"S. Tomić, Dražen Marić, Ksenija Leković, Jelena Jevtić","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-18061","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-18061","url":null,"abstract":"Cilj istraživanja je utvrđivanje statisticki znacajne razlike u sklonosti ka podnosenju žalbe u odnosu na socio-demografske karakteristike korisnika turistickih usluga. Studija je sprovedena na grupnom uzorku od 116 ispitanika iz Srbije i 106 iz Hrvatske. Empirijski deo istraživanja realizovan je tehnikom anketiranja. Rezultati sprovedenog empirijskog istraživanja potvrdili su nalaze i tvrdnje stranih autora po pitanju uticaja starosti, visine mesecnih prihoda korisnika turistickih usluga i broja clanova porodice, na njihovu sklonost da se žale. Glavni nalazi ovog istraživanja ukazuju da je održavanje odnosa dugorocne lojalnosti sa postojecim korisnicima sve teže. Rad nastoji doprineti postojecoj literaturi ukazivanjem na znacaj poznavanja delovanja faktora od uticaja na sklonosti ka podnosenju žalbe. Dobijeni rezultati pomažu zaposlenima na prvoj liniji usluživanja da identifikuju aspekte od uticaja na reakciju korisnika na neuspeh usluge i time stvore polaznu osnovu za kreiranja mera efikasnog resavanja nezadovoljstva korisnika. Buducim istraživacima se savetuje da prikupe dodatne informacije o faktorima od uticaja na žalbeno ponasanje korisnika.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"113-131"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46371538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Comparative Analysis of the Use of Renewable Energy Sources in Selected Countries 选定国家可再生能源使用情况的比较分析
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-02-10 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-19315
M. Reljić, Marko M. Mihić, Jelena Cvijović
{"title":"Comparative Analysis of the Use of Renewable Energy Sources in Selected Countries","authors":"M. Reljić, Marko M. Mihić, Jelena Cvijović","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-19315","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-19315","url":null,"abstract":"The aim of the paper is to present the results of a comparative analysis of energy consumption from renewable sources in total energy consumption in four European countries - Italy, Norway, Ukraine and Serbia. The research is based on the analysis of scientific literature and secondary data sources. Based on a comprehensive literature review and analysis of statistical data from this area, the answer to the research question is:  How much is the use of renewable energy sources (RES) in selected European countries, which sources of RES are used,  in which sectors of the economy and who are socio-economic effects of RES use. In addition, brief overviews of the framework and incentive measures that are applied in selected countries are presented in order to stimulate the use of renewable energy sources.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"93-111"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48809236","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Impact of retail market concentration on differences in retailers' productivity and business results 零售市场集中度对零售商生产率和经营业绩差异的影响
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-02-10 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-17337
Goran Vukmirović, Radenko Marić, J. Damnjanovic
{"title":"Impact of retail market concentration on differences in retailers' productivity and business results","authors":"Goran Vukmirović, Radenko Marić, J. Damnjanovic","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-17337","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-17337","url":null,"abstract":"The aim of this paper is to define the degree of the Serbian retail market concentration and to determine the nature of the correlation between market concentration and retailers’ business performances. The main task of the research is to indicate how changes in market share affect the development of the retail sector. Based on financial indicators in retail, realized turnover and profit per employee, the null research hypothesis was tested for proving a significant correlation between the size of market share of retail chains and their productivity and business results. The obtained results show the level of deviation in terms of the differences between the size of market share and productivity and the business result. There is also an obvious increase in the market share of large retail chains which has led to a decrease in the total number of small independent retailers, as well as a rise in market concentration levels. The obtained results, the conducted analyses and tests will point to the potential dangers of the concentration of the national market and define the criteria for achieving a higher degree of homogeneity. Suggestions and guidelines for future research are presented in the paper.","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"145-161"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48942423","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cyclic characteristics of Macroeconomic Variables in Serbia 塞尔维亚宏观经济变量的周期特征
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16344
Zarić Snježana
{"title":"Cyclic characteristics of Macroeconomic Variables in Serbia","authors":"Zarić Snježana","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16344","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16344","url":null,"abstract":"The paper focuses on identification of the characteristics of the business cycles in Serbia. In that purpose, the empirical connection between the aggregate economic activity and key macroeconomic variables was examined, such as the GDP components, industrial production, employment, wages, price and monetary aggregates from the aspect of volatility, synchronization, and co-movements, as well as persistency. Also, the obtained results were compared to the results of similar researches in transition countries of the Central and Eastern Europe. Findings confirm the existence of significant regularities in movements of the analyzed economic time series compared to movements of the aggregate economic activity. Thus, the determined cyclical characteristics of the macroeconomic variables in Serbia do not deviate significantly from the so far documented characteristics in other European developing countries, even in respect of the differences compared to the developed countries","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"21-43"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71229486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Fundamental drivers of prosperity in the European Union and Western Balkans countries 欧盟和西巴尔干国家繁荣的根本动力
Industrija Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16696
Biljana Jovanović-Gavrilović, M. Gligorić
{"title":"Fundamental drivers of prosperity in the European Union and Western Balkans countries","authors":"Biljana Jovanović-Gavrilović, M. Gligorić","doi":"10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16696","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5937/INDUSTRIJA46-16696","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper the aim is to identify key drivers that have contributed the most to the prosperity of European Union and Western Balkan countries in the 2007-2016 period. Empirical analysis is based on data for cumulative growth rate of values of nine original Legatum Prosperity Index (LPI) pillars and on implementation of Multivariate Data Analysis. Using Principal Component Analysis, four principal components are obtained and we named them: Economic Environment, Social Infrastructure, Institutional Framework and Life Conditions. Based on standardised score values of four new variables, we distinguish the countries that had the highest positive and negative score in each component. With cluster analysis based on LPI pillars growth rates, four clusters of countries have been formed: the first cluster consists of three Western Balkan countries, the second and third of, respectively, ten and four mostly new EU member state countries, and fourth of fourteen predominantly “old” EU member countries. The analysis points out the fundamental drivers of prosperity in countries belonging to different clusters according to changes in values of nine LPI pillars in the previous decade. In all observed countries it is possible to identify certain similarities in the change of components of prosperity, as they are EU members or candidates for membership. 1 University of Belgrade, Faculty of Economics, bgavrilo@ekof.bg.ac.rs 2 University of Belgrade, Faculty of Economics 3 This paper is a result of research as part of projects No. 179065, No. 179005 and III46001, financed by the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia. Jovanović Gavrilović B., Gligorić M.: Fundamental drivers of prosperity in the... 156 Industrija, Vol.46, No.1, 2018","PeriodicalId":55740,"journal":{"name":"Industrija","volume":"46 1","pages":"155-171"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71229498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
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